Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Memphis, TN

347 
WWUS54 KMEG 070229
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
929 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2018

MOC069-155-070238-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180507T0245Z/
Pemiscot MO-Dunklin MO-
929 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN PEMISCOT AND
SOUTHEASTERN DUNKLIN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3577 8981 3574 8987 3576 8991 3574 8996
      3571 9016 3600 9014 3600 8988
TIME...MOT...LOC 0228Z 340DEG 28KT 3592 9003 

$$

ARC093-070245-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180507T0245Z/
Mississippi AR-
929 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY...

At 928 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Dell, or near
Gosnell, moving south at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Blytheville, Gosnell, Manila, Luxora, Dell, Burdette, Little River,
Victoria, Calumet, Dearman, Eastview, Hightower, Tuckertown, Rosa,
Woodland Corner, Lowden, Roseland, Lens Ford, Moran and Wilson
Junction.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3577 8981 3574 8987 3576 8991 3574 8996
      3571 9016 3600 9014 3600 8988
TIME...MOT...LOC 0228Z 340DEG 28KT 3592 9003 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JOHNSON

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
625 PM CDT Sun May 6 2018

.UPDATE...
Updated to include the 00z aviation discussion.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 255 PM CDT Sun May 6 2018/

DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms have begun to pop up across Northeast
Arkansas and the Missouri Bootheel this afternoon. Expect more
development as we progress into the late afternoon and evening
hours as a weak cold front pushes into the region. Put 40/50 POPS
along and west of the Mississippi River this evening, but POPS may
need to be increased further if some of the short term CAM models
are correct. Some storms may become severe producing large hail.

Expect the convection to become more isolated after midnight due
to the loss of daytime heating thus continued 20 POPS for the
overnight hours for areas along and south of I-40.

Drier air will begin to filter into the area behind the front on
Monday, but don't expect much change in regards to temperatures.
Highs will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Can't rule out isolated
showers and thunderstorms occurring along a corridor from
Clarksdale to Tupelo as the front will still be in the vicinity.

High pressure over the Ohio Valley will keep the weather tranquil
Monday Night into Tuesday. With drier air in place, expect
temperatures to be cool at night and warm during the day. Lows
will drop into the 50s while highs stay in the lower to mid 80s.

Another upper trof will move into region late Tuesday Night
through Thursday and will produce scattered showers and
thunderstorms across the area. At this point, timing is too hard
to pinpoint on where and when the best chances for convection will
occur.

The upper flow will become more zonal by Friday with ridging
occurring by the weekend. This pattern looks very summer like thus
it could be the first hot and humid weekend of 2018. Highs will
reach into the upper 80s across much of the CWA and would not be
surprised to see a few locations reach 90 degrees sometime next
weekend. Rain free conditions can be expected Friday into next
weekend.

KRM

&&

.AVIATION...
/00z TAFs/

A few thunderstorms will be possible this evening, mainly
along/north of I-40. Convection will be weakening as it moves
through the area by late evening with generally dry conditions
anticipated by 08z. Primarily VFR conditions are expected
thereafter, although some patchy fog is possible around sunrise
(mainly at KMKL and KTUP). Otherwise, expect north winds of 5-9
kts on Monday with a high based afternoon Cu field.

Johnson

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
905 AM CDT Sun May 6 2018

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-071615-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
905 AM CDT Sun May 6 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will develop across Northeast Arkansas
and the Missouri Bootheel this afternoon into this evening. Some
storms may become strong to severe. Large hail will be the main
threats from these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

No Hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
833 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2018

ARZ009-MOZ113-070200-
Clay AR-Dunklin MO-
833 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2018

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR...

Southeastern Clay County in eastern Arkansas...
Southeastern Dunklin County in southeastern Missouri...

At 832 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located near Kennett, moving
south at 20 mph.

People in southeastern Clay and southeastern Dunklin Counties should
monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3635 8996 3610 8996 3606 9015 3619 9020
      3620 9020 3620 9021 3634 9026
TIME...MOT...LOC 0132Z 341DEG 17KT 3628 9012

JOHNSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
854 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2018

ARZ028-MOZ113-115-070230-
Mississippi AR-Pemiscot MO-Dunklin MO-
854 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2018

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR...

Northeastern Mississippi County in eastern Arkansas...
Southwestern Pemiscot County in southeastern Missouri...
Southeastern Dunklin County in southeastern Missouri...

At 854 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail or
larger and winds at least 40 mph was located near Steele, moving
south at 35 mph.

People in northeastern Mississippi...southwestern Pemiscot and
southeastern Dunklin Counties should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3616 8991 3589 8967 3588 8967 3590 8969
      3591 8972 3590 8976 3587 8978 3586 9006
      3616 9019
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 338DEG 29KT 3611 8996

JOHNSON