Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

July 31, 2018Loving County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Jul 31, 2018, 12:01 AM CDT for Loving County, Texas. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 31, 2018, 12:01 AM CDT (05:01 UTC)
Expired: Jul 31, 2018, 12:30 AM CDT
In force: 29 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Loving County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 30, 6:05 PM CDT, 5 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 30, 6:05 PM CDT, 5 hours 56 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
605 PM CDT Mon Jul 30 2018

.DISCUSSION...

See 06Z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

A complex scenario will evolve over the next 24 hours as a cold
front moves into the area. Models all exhibit differing solutions
of convective development, timing, and placement. However, sfc
analysis shows the cold front just northeast of the terminals, and
this should increase moving to the SSE as diurnal cooling sets in.
Both the 18Z NAM and GFS develop an impressive MCS and bring it
thru KMAF 00-06Z. Elsewhere, models generally keep convection
along the front as it sinks southward over the next 18 hrs or so,
and we've timed it in the TAFs that way. Main concerns will be
erratic winds/heavy rainfall.  Needless to say, w/convection
developing multiple boundaries, expect frequent updates.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 220 PM CDT Mon Jul 30 2018/

DISCUSSION...As of 2:00 PM CDT Monday...well it has been one of
those days. Early this morning it looked like a cold front/
boundary was marching south towards Midland. So was ready to
update the fcst to lower temps everywhere. Snyder was 69 around 9
am whereas Midland was at 87. It looked like it would go thru
Midland shortly thereafter. So we waited...and waited...and
waited some more. Five hours later? It's still 89 in
Midland...and rebounded to 76 in Snyder. Could be a secondary
boundary further north. It might very well be one of those
forecasts where the extended is easier than the short- term.

The hi-res models such as the HRRR and the RAP13 haven't been
doing well at all (to be nice about it). The NAM and the GFS are
at polar opposites for Midland with the MET having a pop of 90
tonight whereas the MAV is 34. The ECMWF is closer to the NAM. It
seems like the "best model" is the NAM Nest 3 km CAM model.

It appears that the cold front will finally move south tonight
with an increase in convection. The CAM model has two rounds of
convection going thru tonight...one in the evening and another
round early Thursday morning as a shortwave drops south. Have pops
in for Tuesday as the cold front recedes and dissipates. Have
temps a little below normal for Tuesday. Thunderstorms tonight
could be strong to possibly severe with strong wind gusts. Locally
heavy rain is possible.

Starting Wednesday ridge parks itself over AZ. It looks like a
shortwave rounding the periphery of the ridge will bring a chance
of convection to most of the CWA Wednesday night into Thursday
night. Timing is a bit of an issue right now. The ridge spreads
east late in the week with easterly flow over the area.
Therefore...have left convection confined to the Guadalupe Mtns.
Temps from midweek thru the weekend will be near normal...mid to
upper 90s with temps near the century mark along the Rio Grande.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     72  90  71  95 /  60  10   0   0
Carlsbad                       71  87  70  95 /  60  40  10  10
Dryden                         78  91  73  97 /  30  20  10   0
Fort Stockton                  73  88  71  95 /  40  30   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 64  79  67  87 /  50  50  10  10
Hobbs                          68  88  67  93 /  50  30   0  10
Marfa                          69  82  61  87 /  30  20  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           71  90  70  95 /  60  20   0   0
Odessa                         71  90  71  95 /  60  20   0   0
Wink                           74  90  70  97 /  60  30   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

44/12/44

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 30, 1:54 PM CDT, 10 hours 7 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
154 PM CDT Mon Jul 30 2018

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-311900-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
154 PM CDT Mon Jul 30 2018 /1254 PM MDT Mon Jul 30 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this evening
into tonight, especially across the Permian Basin and southeast New
Mexico. Large hail and damaging winds will be possible with these
storms. Heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding will also
be possible.

Northeast winds of 35 to 45 mph will be possible through Guadalupe
Pass tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A few strong wind gusts are possible Tuesday but heavy rainfall and
localized flash flooding will be the main threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 9:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
954 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2018

NMZ028-034-TXZ058-059-310330-
Southern Lea County NM-Eddy County Plains NM-Loving TX-
Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos TX-
954 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDDY...SOUTHWESTERN
LEA...NORTHERN REEVES AND NORTHWESTERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM
CDT/930 PM MDT/...

At 954 PM CDT/854 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near Malaga, or 16 miles southeast of Carlsbad, moving
south at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Red Bluff Reservoir and Red Bluff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3232 10387 3217 10399 3188 10399 3190 10355
      3231 10351
TIME...MOT...LOC 0254Z 097DEG 130KT 3225 10401

12

Local storm report, Jul 30, 10:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1023 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1018 PM     HAIL             7 SW MIDLAND            31.93N 102.16W
07/30/2018  E0.88 INCH       Midland            TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

MSCHULDT

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 10:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1046 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2018

TXZ061-062-068-069-310415-
Midland TX-Crane TX-Ector TX-Upton TX-
1046 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ECTOR...SOUTHWESTERN
MIDLAND...NORTHEASTERN CRANE AND NORTHWESTERN UPTON COUNTIES UNTIL
1115 PM CDT...

At 1045 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles southeast of Odessa, moving south at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pleasant Farms.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3188 10214 3180 10244 3155 10251 3153 10203
TIME...MOT...LOC 0345Z 243DEG 46KT 3175 10224

12

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 11:26 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1126 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2018

NMZ029-033-TXZ045-310500-
Northern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM-Gaines TX-
1126 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL LEA AND NORTHWESTERN
GAINES COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT/1100 PM MDT/...

At 1124 PM CDT/1024 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 10 miles east of Lovington, moving southeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lovington, Humble City and Knowles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3300 10306 3296 10306 3296 10303 3291 10300
      3278 10324 3301 10336 3311 10313
TIME...MOT...LOC 0424Z 240DEG 49KT 3299 10318

12

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 11:33 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1133 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2018

TXZ045>047-050>052-310500-
Martin TX-Dawson TX-Andrews TX-Howard TX-Gaines TX-Borden TX-
1133 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ANDREWS...
SOUTHEASTERN GAINES...SOUTHWESTERN BORDEN...NORTHWESTERN HOWARD...
NORTHERN MARTIN AND SOUTHERN DAWSON COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT...

At 1131 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms 7
miles southwest of Lamesa, and near Sparenberg. The storms were
moving south at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible
with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Ackerly, Knott, Sparenberg, Tenmile, Patricia and Klondike.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3237 10231 3269 10224 3265 10166 3230 10163
TIME...MOT...LOC 0431Z 240DEG 49KT 3267 10206

12

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 12:01 AM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1201 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018

TXZ058-059-067-310530-
Loving TX-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos TX-Ward TX-
1201 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL REEVES...
NORTHWESTERN WARD AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM
CDT...

At 1201 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mentone, moving south at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Mentone.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3156 10374 3177 10376 3176 10351 3154 10347
TIME...MOT...LOC 0501Z 240DEG 49KT 3173 10359

12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 30, 8:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Martin	31 min
Jul 30, 9:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Martin	37 min
Jul 30, 9:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland	58 min
Jul 30, 9:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Loving	36 min
Jul 30, 10:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	29 min
Jul 30, 10:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Ector, Midland, Upton	34 min
Jul 30, 11:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Martin	27 min
Jul 31, 12:09 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Gaines	36 min
Jul 31, 12:49 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	26 min
Jul 31, 1:13 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Midland	62 min
Jul 31, 1:19 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews	3 hr
Jul 31, 2:17 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Ector, Midland, Winkler	3 hr
Jul 31, 4:09 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		36 min
Jul 30, 7:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	56 min
Jul 30, 8:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	35 min
Jul 30, 11:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	34 min
Jul 31, 3:14 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	31 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2018 Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.