Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018

Flash Flood Warning 31, NWS Little Rock, AR

February 28, 20185 counties in Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this flash flood warning at Feb 28, 2018, 5:35 PM CST for 5 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 14 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2018, 5:35 PM CST (23:35 UTC)
Expired
Mar 1, 2018, 8:00 AM CST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Prairie County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2018-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 257 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2018-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 224 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
257 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-50 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
438 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
224 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 28, 2:44 PM CST, 2 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 28, 2:44 PM CST, 2 hours 51 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 28, 3:52 PM CST, 1 hour 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
352 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-012200-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
352 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected through the night
as the next weather system and cold front move through the region.
Rain will be heaviest over central and southern Arkansas where
another two to more than four inches of rain could fall.

This additional rainfall will only aid in the worsening flood
conditions already in place from the most recent heavy rainfall
event across the area.

There will also be the possibility of isolated severe storms, with
hail and winds the main threats. An isolated tornado may also
develop. The main threat area will be over the southern half of
Arkansas late this afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday Through Tuesday

Rain will end during the day Thursday. Dry weather is forecast the
rest of Thursday, Friday and Saturday. The chances of rain will be
back in the forecast Sunday with the next weather system to affect
the region.

Due to the recent prolonged period of heavy rainfall, river stages
are expected to remain high into next week. Flooding will continue
in several river basins, including the Black, White, Cache,
Ouachita, and Saline Rivers.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation may be necessary late this afternoon and this
evening, given the possibility of severe weather.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 8:38 PM CSTRiver Flood AdvisoryLZKWhite36 hr
Feb 27, 10:38 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJefferson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, Saline52 min
Feb 27, 10:55 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Independence, Van Buren, White50 min
Feb 28, 8:24 AM CSTRiver Flood AdvisoryLZKJefferson, Lincoln36 hr
Feb 28, 9:48 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLZKWhite56 hr
Feb 28, 9:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLZKClark, Nevada, Ouachita4 days
Feb 28, 10:01 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLZKSaline68 hr
Feb 28, 10:44 AM CSTRiver Flood AdvisoryLZKIndependence, Jackson36 hr
Feb 28, 1:37 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningLZKFaulkner36 hr
Feb 28, 4:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Jefferson, Lincoln, Ouachita38 min
Feb 28, 5:46 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.