Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018

Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS Little Rock, AR

February 21, 20186 counties in Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this flash flood warning at Feb 21, 2018, 9:15 PM CST for 6 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 21, 2018, 9:15 PM CST (03:15 UTC)
Expired
Feb 22, 2018, 12:15 AM CST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lincoln County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 00:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 248 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2018-02-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2018-02-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 323 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
565 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
323 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
424 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 21, 5:45 PM CST, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 5:45 PM CST, 3 hours 30 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 21, 2:45 PM CST, 6 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...Update
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
245 PM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221100-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-
Bradley-Drew-
245 PM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Rest of Today and Tonight

Flood and flash flood watches remain in effect for much of Arkansas.
Areas of rain, heavy at times, and isolated thunderstorms will
continue to affect much of central and southern Arkansas, while
lowering over northern Arkansas. River levels are coming up and
areas of flooding have been reported. Tonight, most of the rain will
be seen over southern and the eastern half of Arkansas.
Precipitation will tend to taper off or become more spotty in the
northwest, also where temperatures will be around freezing some
spotty winter precipitation will be possible. No accumulations are
expected.

In much of the south and east, rain will continue tonight, and be
heavy at times. The threat for flooding will continue. Two to five
plus inches of rain have fallen over much of Arkansas, and one to
two more inches of rain may be seen tonight through Thursday
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday Through Tuesday

Some rainfall will linger through the morning hours Thursday, mainly
across southeastern portions of the area. Any rain that falls would
likely only worsen expected flooding conditions.

Additional heavy rainfall will return to the forecast by late
Thursday through Sunday morning as the aforementioned front moves
back to the north over the region. Rainfall totals across the state
from Thursday through Sunday morning will likely be in the two to
four inch range for many areas. As a result, the threat for
widespread river and flash flooding will continue to increase
throughout the week and into the weekend.

Severe weather may be possible on Saturday as an upper level storm
system approaches from the west. Even with well above normal
temperatures expected and abundant moisture in place, certain
atmospheric conditions appear to limit the severe weather threat. Be
sure to monitor the latest forecast and outlooks for more
information regarding this severe weather chance.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Flooding will continue to be a concern across Arkansas, and any
significant reports are requested. Otherwise, due to a low severe
weather concern, spotter activation is not anticipated through
Friday. If there are severe storms, they appear most likely this
weekend, and spotter activation may be required.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

46/67/59

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 21, 4:15 PM CST, 5 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
415 PM CST WED FEB 21 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0413 PM     FLOOD            BAUXITE                 34.56N  92.52W
02/21/2018                   SALINE             AR   AMATEUR RADIO

            STORM SPOTTER REPORTS WATER FROM HURRICANE CREEK IS
            COVERING SARDIS ROAD NEAR BAUXITE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK1800063

COOPER
Local storm report, Feb 21, 5:15 PM CST, 4 hours before
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Local storm report, Feb 21, 5:19 PM CST, 3 hours 56 minutes before
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Local storm report, Feb 21, 5:21 PM CST, 3 hours 54 minutes before
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Local storm report, Feb 21, 6:59 PM CST, 2 hours 16 minutes before
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Local storm report, Feb 21, 7:54 PM CST, 1 hour 21 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 21, 6:58 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Bradley, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln and 5 more9 hr
Feb 21, 8:18 PM CSTRiver Flood AdvisoryLZKYell36 hr
Feb 21, 8:54 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKHot Spring8 hr
Feb 22, 3:54 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLZKWhite4 days
Feb 22, 3:57 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Bradley, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln and 5 more6 hr
Feb 22, 4:22 AM CSTFlood WatchLZKBaxter, Conway, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Sharp and 1 more68 hr
Feb 22, 9:32 AM CSTRiver Flood AdvisoryLZKRandolph36 hr
Feb 22, 10:48 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe68 days
Feb 22, 10:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLZKAshley, Bradley, Cleveland, Drew14 days
Feb 22, 3:55 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Perry, Pulaski, Saline3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.