Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Lubbock, TX

May 14, 2018Floyd County, Hale County, Texas

NWS Lubbock, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 14, 2018, 4:26 PM CDT for Floyd County, Hale County, Texas. It was in force for 64 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2018, 4:26 PM CDT (21:26 UTC)
Expired
May 14, 2018, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Lubbock, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.25 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Floyd County, TX, Hale County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 128 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3144 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 14, 3:45 PM CDT, 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 3:45 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
345 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Early morning convection moving off the Trans-pecos region that
was not well depicted in shorterm guidance has spread some cirrus
over the western South Plains along the NM/TX state line and may
hold back some of the convection expected to begin over the next
couple of hours but for only a short amount of time. A second
round of convection in the the same area of the Trans-Pecos has
initiated as expected. SPC analysis shows strong surfaced base
CAPE from 2500 J/Kg in the southeast South Plains to 5000 J/kg
over Childress and little to no inhibition. This will lead to more
coverage and intensity than what unfolded last night in the
northern Rolling Plains near Estelline. Anemic bulk shear
(20-25kts) and low 0-1km helicity should lead to a more
multicelluar mode of storms as mentioned in earlier update. Can't
rule out a weakly rotating storm at this point, where the largest
hail would be expected up to golf ball size with maybe even larger
in isolated spots. Wind gusts up to 70 mph will also be possible
with the strongest storms.

The southern South Plains and southern Rolling Plains are also in
the exit region of relatively local H50 divergence while H70 temps
are around 10-11C which is a couple of degrees cooler than
yesterday leading to steeper lapse rates. Tornadoes are not much
of a concern given poor ventilation for updrafts, elevated bases,
weak steering flow and low 0-1km helicity.

Overall, rinse and repeat for tomorrow at the surface as another
dryline sets up between the I27/87 corridor and the escarpment.
But divergent flow from the trough to our west today will become
more zonal and eventually northwest by the evening hours which
will shift mid and upper level instability further south toward
the I20 corridor. Given lower dewpoints and best instability to
our south, convection in our area is most likely going to be
elevated along a weak warm front as surface low pressure deepens
in eastern New Mexico. Storm chances persist for most of our CWA
through the week as persistent trough to our west remains
favorable for daily dryline development, but overall weak forcing
to limit vigorous widespread convection. The increased moisture
will help keep temperatures in the low to mid 90s and not the 100
degree days we've seen recently with steady mild overnights.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

55
Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 11:24 AM CDT, 5 hours 2 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1124 AM CDT Mon May 14 2018

TXZ021>044-150430-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1124 AM CDT Mon May 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

There is a risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening mainly east of a Silverton to Tahoka line. Hail to the
size of golf balls and wind gusts to 60 mph are the primary
threats.

A rangeland fire danger statement is in effect for elevated fire
weather conditions along and west of a Dimmitt to Brownfield line
through 7 PM this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Tuesday afternoon, storms should develop east of the dryline and
south of a cold front. Storms that do develop will be capable of
large hail and strong wind gusts. Through much of the rest of the
week mainly afternoon and evening strong to severe thunderstorms
will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested today.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 14, 4:08 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress, Hall65 min
May 13, 7:30 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLUBChildress, Hall2 hr
May 13, 8:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress, Hall26 min
May 13, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress, Cottle, Hall, Motley65 min
May 13, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress, Hall64 min
May 13, 8:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLUBChildress, Cottle, Hall, Motley2 hr
May 13, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress, Cottle, Hall63 min
May 13, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress41 min
May 13, 10:30 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLUBChildress90 min
May 14, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBDickens, Kent, King, Stonewall58 min
May 14, 4:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBFloyd, Hale36 min
May 14, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBDickens, Kent, King, Motley, Stonewall67 min
May 14, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress23 min
May 14, 5:41 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLUBBriscoe, Swisher58 min
May 14, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBMotley33 min
May 14, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress, Hall, Motley54 min
May 14, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBChildress37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.