Severe Thunderstorm Warning 116, NWS Lubbock, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
319 PM CDT Thu Jun 7 2018

.DISCUSSION...
An overnight MCS across Oklahoma has continued to propagate
through the day extending and reinforcing existing outflow
boundaries well back to the west across the southern Texas
Panhandle, South Plains and northern Rolling Plains. Warm
temperatures aloft, in the upper teens C at H7, held off
strong storms until now. We expect increased coverage of showers
and storms as we head through the evening hours, mostly from the
Caprock escarpment eastward into the Rolling Plains where a more
unstable airmass is in place. Though, similar to what we've seen
the past few days, we could see some strong storms develop as far
back as the I27 corridor. Some of these thunderstorms may
eventually produce strong or even severe wind gusts up to 70 mph
and hail up to two inches, given their high bases.

Overnight convection will continue southeast out of our area while
gradually eroding during the overnight hours. Tomorrow will
unfold similar to today as the center of the upper level ridge is
draped across West Texas and eastern New Mexico. But with lee
surface pressure falls to the north and a series of weak
shortwaves in the upper level flow we'll see more conditional
instability. In fact, similar evolution of ridging and weak
instability aloft with above normal temperatures that gradually
moderate back toward more seasonal levels by the middle of next
week.

Rain chances late Friday into Saturday seem to be dwindling
somewhat as the upper level Pacific trough shifts eastward around
the persistent ridging over the Central and South Plains. Surface
winds will eventually become more southwesterly which will dampen
rain chances. Guidance keeps afternoon dewpoints steadily in the
upper 40s/lower 50s across our northwest zones to upper 50s/low
60s through across our southeast zones. With no drastic pattern
change indicated in operational guidance we'll like continue to
see numerous days beyond today and tomorrow, with spotty
convection, especially as we head into next week.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

55

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1112 AM CDT Thu Jun 7 2018

TXZ021>044-080415-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1112 AM CDT Thu Jun 7 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely to develop this
afternoon from the southwest South Plains into the southeast
Texas Panhandle, before spreading into the Rolling Plains this
evening. Wind gusts to 70 mph and large hail to golf ball size
will be possible. Heavy rain and some flooding are also a threat
as some storms will be very slow moving.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability of hazardous weather is low at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
252 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2018

TXZ024-072015-
Briscoe TX-
252 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN BRISCOE COUNTY UNTIL 315
PM CDT...

At 251 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles northeast of Silverton, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northern Briscoe
County.

LAT...LON 3456 10095 3448 10129 3468 10141 3475 10122
      3475 10095
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 244DEG 17KT 3462 10118

23

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
316 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2018

TXZ024-025-072045-
Briscoe TX-Hall TX-
316 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN HALL AND
NORTHEASTERN BRISCOE COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

At 315 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles southwest of Brice, or 13 miles north of Caprock Canyon State
Park, moving east at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Brice and rural portions of northeast Briscoe and northeast Hall
Counties.

LAT...LON 3447 10073 3444 10112 3472 10122 3475 10114
      3475 10084
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 251DEG 15KT 3464 10107

23

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
333 PM CDT THU JUN 07 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     HAIL             3 S TELL                34.34N 100.40W
06/07/2018  E1.50 INCH       CHILDRESS          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL COVERING THE GROUND - QUARTERS TO PING PONG BALLS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1800179

JWJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
335 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2018

TXZ021-022-027-028-033-034-072100-
Bailey TX-Hockley TX-Cochran TX-Parmer TX-Castro TX-Lamb TX-
335 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BAILEY...COCHRAN...SOUTHERN
PARMER...NORTHWESTERN HOCKLEY...SOUTHWESTERN CASTRO AND WESTERN LAMB
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 335 PM CDT, isolated light and elevated rain showers over the
extreme southwestern Texas Panhandle and the western South Plains
were producing brief wind gusts up to 65 mph. These showers will
continue pushing eastward across the region around 25 mph. While
little to no rainfall is expected additional strong wind gusts will
be possible.

Locations impacted include...
Muleshoe, Morton, Earth, Bovina, Sudan, Amherst, Needmore,
Lazbuddie, Progress, Oklahoma Lane, Bledsoe, Enochs, Muleshoe
Wildlife Refuge, Bula, Pep, Lehman, and Whiteface.

LAT...LON 3432 10304 3454 10289 3443 10231 3355 10248
      3354 10305
TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 261DEG 23KT 3413 10278

CWA

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>