Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 33, NWS St. Louis, MO

March 29, 2018Jefferson County, Saint Louis County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 29, 2018, 4:18 PM CDT for Jefferson County, Saint Louis County, Missouri. It took effect at Mar 29, 2018, 8:42 PM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 29, 2018, 4:18 PM CDT (21:18 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 29, 2018, 8:42 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 2, 2018, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Jefferson County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Meramec River at Valley Park (VLLM7). The gauge peaked at 18.70 ft at Mar 31, 2018, 5:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate510152003/2903/3003/3104/0104/0204/03
Action stage
11 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
21 ft
Major stage
27 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07019130, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

197 
WGUS43 KLSX 292118
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
418 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Missouri... 

  Meramec River near Eureka

  Meramec River at Valley Park

.This Flood Warning is a result of one to two inches of precipitation over the 
past 24 hours. Less than one inch is forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-302117-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0032.180330T1600Z-180401T1300Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.180330T1600Z.180331T0600Z.180331T1300Z.NO/
418 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Meramec River near Eureka
* from Friday morning to Sunday morning.
* At  4:00 PM Thursday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late 
  morning and crest near 19.3 feet by early Saturday morning. The 
  river is forecast to fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

Meramec River
  Eureka          19.0   17.80      18.8   19.1   16.3   13.2    9.8


&&


LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056




$$

MOC099-189-302117-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0033.180330T0336Z-180402T1000Z/
/VLLM7.1.ER.180330T0336Z.180331T0600Z.180401T1000Z.NO/
418 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Meramec River at Valley Park
* from this evening to late Sunday night.
* At  4:00 PM Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  crest near 17.3 feet by early Saturday morning. The river is 
  forecast to fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  Buder 
  Park begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 12.0 feet...Sluice gates at 5th Street, 3rd Street, and 
  Fishpot Creek at Union Pacific Railway tracks must be closed.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

Meramec River
  Valley Park     16.0   15.33      16.5   17.3   15.8   12.9    8.3


&&


LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044




$$

jam
7 follow-up statements
414 
WGUS83 KLSX 300150
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
850 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Sullivan

  Meramec River near Eureka

  Meramec River at Valley Park

.This Flood Warning is a result of one to two inches of precipitation in the 
past 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC055-221-310149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-180401T2332Z/
/SLLM7.1.ER.180328T0208Z.180331T0000Z.180331T2332Z.NO/
850 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Sullivan
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...The main entrance road to the Meramec State 
  Park campground begins flooding...blocking acess to cabins 1-8...
  the picnic and playground areas, and the Wilderness Trailhead 
  parking lot.  At Onondaga Cave State Park...the primary entrance to
  the campground is closed and the secondary entrance is used near 
  this height.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...Cave Road begins flooding at Onondaga Cave 
  State Park near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.0 feet...The main entrance gate at Onondaga Cave 
  State Park begins flooding near this height.  This may eventually  
  force the park to use the rear entrance as the primary entrance to 
  the park.
* Impact:  At 11.5 feet...A small bridge in the back of Meramec State 
  Park park is flooded, cutting the park in two.  If the river 
  continues to rise...park officials will evacuate the campgrounds at
  this point.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Right Bank begins to overflow flooding 
  wooded areas.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

Meramec River
  Sullivan        11.0   10.73      12.8   13.4    9.2    7.7    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9120 3806 9125 3829 9109 3840 9090
      3837 9082                       



$$

MOC099-189-310149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0032.180330T0358Z-180401T2308Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.180330T0358Z.180331T0000Z.180331T2308Z.NO/
850 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Eureka
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and to 
  crest near 20.5 feet by tomorrow evening. The river is forecast to 
  fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact:  At 21.0 feet...West Spring River Road becomes inundated at 
  this height.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

Meramec River
  Eureka          19.0   18.56      20.0   20.0   17.1   13.9   10.1


&&


LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056




$$

MOC099-189-310149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0033.180330T0142Z-180402T1708Z/
/VLLM7.1.ER.180330T0049Z.180331T0600Z.180401T1708Z.NO/
850 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River at Valley Park
* from this evening to Monday afternoon.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 18.5 feet by early Saturday 
  morning, then fall below flood stage Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  Buder 
  Park begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 12.0 feet...Sluice gates at 5th Street, 3rd Street, and 
  Fishpot Creek at Union Pacific Railway tracks must be closed.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03

Meramec River
  Valley Park     16.0   16.05      17.5   18.4   16.6   13.6    8.9


&&


LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044




$$

jam
032 
WGUS83 KLSX 301343
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
843 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Sullivan
                  ...Pacific
                  ...Eureka
                  ...Valley Park

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall that fell over
the basin the last several days..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC055-221-311343-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-180401T2315Z/
/SLLM7.1.ER.180328T0208Z.180331T0000Z.180331T2315Z.NO/
843 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Sullivan
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 13.0 feet by this evening, then
  fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...Cave Road begins flooding at Onondaga Cave 
  State Park near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.0 feet...The main entrance gate at Onondaga Cave 
  State Park begins flooding near this height.  This may eventually  
  force the park to use the rear entrance as the primary entrance to 
  the park.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Meramec River
  Sullivan        11.0   11.87      12.4    9.4    7.7    6.9    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9120 3806 9125 3829 9109 3840 9090
      3837 9082                       



$$

MOC071-099-311343-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-180331T2136Z/
/PCFM7.1.ER.180330T0815Z.180330T1300Z.180330T2136Z.NO/
843 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River at Pacific
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact:  At 15.4 feet...Hunters Ford Road is closed near this 
  height.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Meramec River
  Pacific         15.0   15.30      13.5   12.7   10.1    6.3    4.6


&&


LAT...LON 3838 9085 3840 9090 3848 9080 3849 9064
      3845 9065                       



$$

MOC099-189-311343-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-180401T2136Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.180330T0337Z.180330T1800Z.180331T2136Z.NO/
843 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Eureka
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 20.3 feet by this afternoon, 
  then fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Meramec River
  Eureka          19.0   19.99      19.8   17.3   13.4   10.0    8.6


&&


LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056




$$

MOC099-189-311343-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-180402T1800Z/
/VLLM7.1.ER.180330T0049Z.180331T0600Z.180401T1800Z.NO/
843 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River at Valley Park
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 18.3 feet by after midnight 
  tonight, then fall below flood stage Sunday early afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Meramec River
  Valley Park     16.0   17.46      18.1   16.7   13.3    8.7    6.0


&&


LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044




$$
590 
WGUS83 KLSX 310221
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
921 PM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...
 
  Big River at Byrnesville

  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia

  Meramec River near Sullivan

  Meramec River near Eureka

  Meramec River at Valley Park

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rain that fell over the
region over the course of the last week. Additional rainfall is
forecast over the weekend and could slow improvement.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-010221-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180402T0153Z/
/BYRM7.1.ER.180330T0220Z.180331T1200Z.180401T0153Z.UU/
921 PM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Big River at Byrnesville
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 18.3 feet by tomorrow morning, 
  then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...State Highway BB southeast of Cedar Hill 
  will be closed near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Cedar Hill Road at Cedar Hill and Klondike 
  Road south of Cedar Hill begin to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 15.5 feet...Rockford Beach Park at the Highway MM bridge
  begins flooding.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Big River
  Byrnesville     16.0   17.60      18.3   12.6   10.7   11.1    9.5


&&


LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057




$$

ILC051-010221-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-180403T1930Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.180327T1805Z.180330T1445Z.180402T1930Z.NO/
921 PM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Monday early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   21.77      21.5   20.9   18.9   16.3   14.7


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

MOC055-221-010221-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-180401T1500Z/
/SLLM7.1.ER.180328T0208Z.180330T2100Z.180331T1500Z.NO/
921 PM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Sullivan
* until Sunday morning.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late morning.
* Impact:  At 12.0 feet...The main entrance gate at Onondaga Cave 
  State Park begins flooding near this height.  This may eventually  
  force the park to use the rear entrance as the primary entrance to 
  the park.
* Impact:  At 11.5 feet...A small bridge in the back of Meramec State 
  Park park is flooded, cutting the park in two.  If the river 
  continues to rise...park officials will evacuate the campgrounds at
  this point.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Meramec River
  Sullivan        11.0   12.24      11.4    8.7    8.4    8.3    7.3


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9120 3806 9125 3829 9109 3840 9090
      3837 9082                       



$$

MOC099-189-010221-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-180401T2145Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.180330T0337Z.180331T0030Z.180331T2145Z.NO/
921 PM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Eureka
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact:  At 21.2 feet...Hunters Ford Road is closed near this 
  height.
* Impact:  At 21.0 feet...West Spring River Road becomes inundated at 
  this height.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Meramec River
  Eureka          19.0   20.82      20.2   16.5   13.0   11.3   10.1


&&


LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056




$$

MOC099-189-010221-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-180402T1312Z/
/VLLM7.1.ER.180330T0049Z.180331T0600Z.180401T1312Z.NO/
921 PM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River at Valley Park
* until Monday morning.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 18.6 feet by after midnight 
  tonight, then fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  Buder 
  Park begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 12.0 feet...Sluice gates at 5th Street, 3rd Street, and 
  Fishpot Creek at Union Pacific Railway tracks must be closed.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Meramec River
  Valley Park     16.0   18.47      18.6   16.2   12.6    9.9    8.3


&&


LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044




$$

jam
017 
WGUS83 KLSX 311534
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1034 AM CDT Sat Mar 31 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River near Eureka
                  ...Valley Park

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall that fell over 
the basin over the last few weeks...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-011534-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-180402T0045Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.180330T0337Z.180331T0400Z.180401T0045Z.NO/
1034 AM CDT Sat Mar 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Eureka
* until Sunday evening.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  this evening.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

Meramec River
  Eureka          19.0   20.29      17.2   12.6   10.6    9.1    8.2


&&


LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056




$$

MOC099-189-011534-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-180402T1715Z/
/VLLM7.1.ER.180330T0049Z.180331T0845Z.180401T1715Z.NO/
1034 AM CDT Sat Mar 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River at Valley Park
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

Meramec River
  Valley Park     16.0   18.50      16.7   12.4    8.6    6.9    5.3


&&


LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044




$$
617 
WGUS83 KLSX 010203
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
903 PM CDT Sat Mar 31 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...
 
  Big River at Byrnesville

  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia

  Meramec River near Eureka

  Meramec River at Valley Park

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall received over the
last few weeks. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-020201-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180402T0324Z/
/BYRM7.1.ER.180330T0220Z.180331T1400Z.180401T0324Z.UU/
903 PM CDT Sat Mar 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Big River at Byrnesville
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:45 PM Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact:  At 15.5 feet...Rockford Beach Park at the Highway MM bridge
  begins flooding.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

Big River
  Byrnesville     16.0   16.58      12.6    9.5    8.8    9.4    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057




$$

ILC051-020201-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-180403T1410Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.180327T1805Z.180330T1445Z.180402T1410Z.NO/
903 PM CDT Sat Mar 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 20.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  late Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   20.93      20.5   18.4   14.9   14.1   14.1


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

MOC099-189-020201-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-180402T0459Z/
/ERKM7.1.ER.180330T0337Z.180331T0400Z.180401T0459Z.NO/
903 PM CDT Sat Mar 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River near Eureka
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tonight.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

Meramec River
  Eureka          19.0   19.69      17.5   12.4   10.2    9.3    8.7


&&


LAT...LON 3845 9065 3855 9063 3855 9056 3850 9056




$$

MOC099-189-020201-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-180402T1832Z/
/VLLM7.1.ER.180330T0049Z.180331T0845Z.180401T1832Z.NO/
903 PM CDT Sat Mar 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River at Valley Park
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  Buder 
  Park begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 12.0 feet...Sluice gates at 5th Street, 3rd Street, and 
  Fishpot Creek at Union Pacific Railway tracks must be closed.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

Meramec River
  Valley Park     16.0   18.10      17.1   12.4    8.5    6.8    5.9


&&


LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044




$$

jam
058 
WGUS83 KLSX 011602
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1102 AM CDT Sun Apr 1 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River at Valley Park

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall that fell over
the basin the last few weeks...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-021602-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-180402T1950Z/
/VLLM7.1.ER.180330T0049Z.180331T0845Z.180401T1950Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT Sun Apr 1 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Meramec River at Valley Park
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05  04/06

Meramec River
  Valley Park     16.0   16.59      12.1    7.9    6.2    5.2    4.3


&&


LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044




$$
601 
WGUS83 KLSX 011846
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
146 PM CDT Sun Apr 1 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Meramec River at Valley Park



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC099-189-011916-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-180402T1950Z/
/VLLM7.1.ER.180330T0049Z.180331T0845Z.180401T1807Z.NO/
146 PM CDT Sun Apr 1 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Meramec River at Valley Park.
* At  1:30 PM Sunday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  1:07 PM Sunday.
* The river will continue falling to 12.1 feet by tomorrow morning.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  Buder 
  Park begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 12.0 feet...Sluice gates at 5th Street, 3rd Street, and 
  Fishpot Creek at Union Pacific Railway tracks must be closed.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05  04/06

Meramec River
  Valley Park     16.0   15.89      12.1    7.9    6.2    5.2    4.3


&&


LAT...LON 3854 9056 3855 9056 3857 9043 3851 9044




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 29, 2:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 2:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
253 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

It looks like the trof/weather system that has been affecting us for
a while will finally lift out of the area the next 12 hours. However
we have to get through the next 12 hours. If it were colder I would
say we have a nice winter storm with a good deformation zone
developing, but it is warm so all we have to worry about is rain.
That said, the HRRR and CONSHORT agree in holding some pops across
parts of east and southeast MO and southern IL through the evening.
It will likely end up being a narrow band, but will keep at least
chance pops going through 06z for much of the southern part of the
CWA. Drier air is filtering in from the north so improvement is on
the way for Friday. Patchy fog may be an issue overnight given the
wet ground, but will let the evening shift tackle that as it
develops. With cloud cover holding in for much of the are
overnight, have raised low temperatures to the warmer MAV levels.
Guidance for Friday looks good.

This will be my last forecast shift for the NWS as I am retiring as
of March 31. It has been a pleasure working with and serving
everyone across the 46 county area of the NWS St. Louis. Take Care.

Jim Kramper

.LONG TERM...  (Friday Night through Next Thursday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

Active pattern will continue over the weekend into next week as
global models show that the upper flow will be semi-zonal over
Missouri and Illinois.

The first chance of rain will come late Friday night into Saturday
night as GFS/ECMWF/Canadian show a shortwave trough and attendant
cold front dropping east southeastward from the northern Plains into
Missouri/Illinois.  After this first shortwave moves quickly off to
the east, a second shortwave will move across southern Missouri and
far southern Illinois late Sunday into Sunday night bringing another
chance of rain with some snow possibly mixed in based on forecast
soundings.  The best chance for showers will be Monday into Tuesday
ahead of deeper trough that will move across the area on Tuesday
night.  There will be stronger moisture transport ahead of it along
with some instability, so kept the chance of thunderstorms Monday
afternoon into Tuesday. Wednesday looks dry at this point behind the
upper trough as a surface high moves across the area before the next
upper trough and attendant front affects Missouri and Illinois next
Thursday.

Temperatures still look below normal through this period based on
clouds and rain chances as well as the ECMWF MOS and the GEFS mean
temps.

Britt

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1127 AM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

The good news is the weather system will finally move east of the
region tonight and it looks like dry weather for Friday. The task
at hand will be when to end the rain and improve to VFR. HRRR and
some other short range models show a tendency to hold in rain
across parts of eastern MO and southern Il through the evening, so
at least MVFR will likely hold on their longer. That said, it
looks like UIN and COU will improve, the question will be whether
fog keeps conditions marginal. Most short range models keep the
VFR so will go with it. There is the possibility that MVFR clouds
could develop and hold in until Friday morning. Will be optimistic
for now and hold in MVFR longer than advertised, but go VFR by 12z
Friday.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL: HRRR wants to hold in rain across STL through
the evening. CONSHORT pops surprisingly go along with that trend.
Thus I will likely hold some rain in until about 06z, and then
slowly improve. I went with a blend of the pessimistic/optimistic
models and it gives me VFR by 12z, so will go with it for now.

JPK

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 29, 3:30 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
330 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-301145-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
330 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

There is a chance of thunderstorms for much of the area from
Monday afternoon through Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

Britt

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 29, 3:35 PM CDT, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
335 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4.5 WNW BELLEVILLE      38.55N 90.08W
03/29/2018  M0.94 INCH       ST. CLAIR          IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            ADDITIONAL RAINFALL SINCE 7 A.M.

&&

JAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 12:52 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXReynolds42 hr
Mar 29, 4:18 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Louis64 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.