Special Weather Statement, NWS Elko, NV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
126 PM PDT Sun Jul 15 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Showers and thunderstorms expected for the region
overnight with more activity across eastern Nevada Monday.
Drier conditions for mid to late week with hot temps expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday

Short wave with passing jet energy over progging over northern
NV this evening through tomorrow. Activity will decrease overnight
but expecting enough mid to upper level forcing some isolated storms
to continue across the north. With the passing jet overhead and
short wave continuing to push east, expect an increase in overall
showers and thunderstorms activity over easter Nevada. Some strong
storms are possible with increasing instability and moisture with
30-40 kts of shear in place. Activity should work east into Utah
by late evening. Dry conditions are expected for Tuesday. Hot
conditions continue will temps averaging around 10 degrees above
average. Highs in the 90s to low 100s and nighttime lows only
dipping down into the upper upper 50s and 60s. Heat Advisory
criteria could be met by Tuesday.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday night through Wednesday

500 mb high pressure centered over the Utah and southern NV area
with afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible mainly areas
along/south of US-50 Wednesday. Hot temperatures with light winds
expected. High slides eastward for the latter half of the week
which could advect additional mid-level moisture farther north
with the increasing southerly return flow around the western
periphery of the ridge. This could introduce more showers and
thunderstorms to the state and will be watched over the coming
days.

Above normal temperatures are likely, especially in areas where
cloud cover is less extensive across the north. Tuesday and
Wednesday look to be the hottest temps of the year where heat
advisory criteria could be met.

&&

.AVIATION...VCTS expected at all TAF locations with the exception
of KELY. Not high enough confidence for KELY to be included.
There is a slight chance of brief MVFR, but storms across the
north will mostly be dry with gusty outflow winds to 40-45kts
possible.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Showers and thunderstorms this evening lasting
through the overnight, with dry thunderstorms expected across
northern Nevada with wetter storms expected across central
Nevada. More thunderstorm development across eastern Nevada
Monday afternoon with dry storms expected over northeast
Nevada. Dry conditions with continued hot temps for Tuesday.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 11 PM PDT Monday for Eastern Elko County-
Southwestern and Central Elko County.

Red Flag Warning until 5 AM PDT Monday for Central Lander and
Eureka Counties-Central and Western Humboldt County-Eastern
Humboldt County and Northwestern Elko County.

&&

84/94/94/84

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Elko NV
517 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2018

NVZ037-160100-
Southern Lander County and Southern Eureka County NV-
517 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LANDER COUNTY UNTIL
600 PM PDT...

At 517 PM PDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of New Pass Summit, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Strong winds 40 mph or higher may change fire direction and growth,
adversely affecting the personnel on the Sage fire. Cloud to ground
lightning will be possible with this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of south central
Lander County.

LAT...LON 3936 11729 3944 11746 3975 11727 3958 11694
TIME...MOT...LOC 0017Z 213DEG 20KT 3946 11732

SH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Elko NV
535 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2018

NVZ030-036-160115-
Humboldt County NV-
Northern Lander County and Northern Eureka County NV-
535 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HUMBOLDT AND NORTH
CENTRAL LANDER COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM PDT...

At 535 PM PDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles southwest of Valmy, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Valmy, Lone Tree Mine, Trenton Canyon Mine and Golconda Summit.

LAT...LON 4087 11692 4059 11726 4060 11730 4068 11731
      4068 11750 4069 11751 4101 11739
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 212DEG 20KT 4070 11731

SH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Elko NV
613 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2018

NVZ040-160200-
Northwestern Nye County NV-
613 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL NYE COUNTY UNTIL 700
PM PDT...

At 612 PM PDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles west of Manhattan, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Round Mountain, Carvers and Hadley.

LAT...LON 3845 11732 3852 11747 3885 11731 3870 11698
TIME...MOT...LOC 0112Z 212DEG 22KT 3854 11735

SH