River Flood Warning 76, NWS Lake Charles, LA

230 
WGUS84 KLCH 271540
FLSLCH


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1040 AM CDT Thu Sep 27 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay

LAC019-280540-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OTBL1.1.ER.180926T1000Z.180929T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1040 AM CDT Thu Sep 27 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  5:00 AM Thursday the stage was 4.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 4.3 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor flooding of Goos Ferry 
  Road will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 3.5 feet...Ponding of water on low spots 
  along Goos Ferry Road will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3038 9314 3031 9303 3025 9308 3019 9321 3030 9329

$$

692 
WGUS84 KLCH 280227
FLSLCH


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
927 PM CDT Thu Sep 27 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana..
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay

LAC019-281626-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OTBL1.1.ER.180926T1000Z.180929T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 PM CDT Thu Sep 27 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 5:00 AM Thursday the stage was 4.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 4.3 feet by 
  Saturday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor flooding of Goos Ferry 
  Road will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 3.5 feet...Ponding of water on low spots 
  along Goos Ferry Road will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3038 9314 3031 9303 3025 9308 3019 9321 3030 9329

$$

089 
WGUS84 KLCH 281535
FLSLCH


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1035 AM CDT Fri Sep 28 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana..
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay

LAC019-290534-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OTBL1.1.ER.180926T1000Z.180929T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM CDT Fri Sep 28 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  5:00 AM Thursday the stage was 4.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 4.3 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor flooding of Goos Ferry 
  Road will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 3.5 feet...Ponding of water on low spots 
  along Goos Ferry Road will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3038 9314 3031 9303 3025 9308 3019 9321 3030 9329

$$

501 
WGUS84 KLCH 290037
FLSLCH


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
737 PM CDT Fri Sep 28 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay

LAC019-291436-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-181004T1800Z/
/OTBL1.1.ER.180926T1000Z.180929T1200Z.181003T1800Z.NO/
737 PM CDT Fri Sep 28 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay.
* until Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Friday the stage was estimated at 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast... The river will continue to slowly rise to a stage near
  4.3 feet by Saturday morning. The river will then fall below flood
  stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor flooding of Goos Ferry 
  Road will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 3.5 feet...Ponding of water on low spots 
  along Goos Ferry Road will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3038 9314 3031 9303 3025 9308 3019 9321 3030 9329

$$

715 
WGUS44 KLCH 300303
FLWLCH


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1003 PM CDT Sat Sep 29 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  
LAC019-300333-
/O.CAN.KLCH.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-181004T1800Z/
/OTBL1.N.ER.180926T1000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1003 PM CDT Sat Sep 29 2018

* At  9:25 AM Saturday the stage was 3.5 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Impact...At stages near 3.5 feet...Ponding of water on low spots 
  along Goos Ferry Road will occur.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3038 9314 3031 9303 3025 9308 3019 9321 3030 9329

$$

13

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
614 AM CDT Wed Sep 26 2018

.DISCUSSION...
12z taf issuance.

&&

.AVIATION...
Radar rapidly filling with scattered to numerous showers/isolated
thunderstorms across the coastal waters northward into the I-10
corridor parishes/counties this morning. Intermittent MVFR
visibility/ceilings will accompany the periods of SHRA at
LCH/LFT/ARA, with VCTS beginning at 15z. VCTS with intermittent
TSRA beginning a bit earlier at BPT with larger complex of
SHRA/TSRA moving NE from GLS. This will be the story for the
remainder of the morning into the afternoon hours further inland.
Activity expected to diminish by 02-03z.

DML

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 428 AM CDT Wed Sep 26 2018/

DISCUSSION...Local radar currently offline. Tech is addressing
the issue. Regional mosaic showing scattered showers and
a few thunderstorms over the near coastal waters with this
activity advancing inland.

Surface analysis showing high pressure ridging across the
southeast CONUS and adjacent coastal waters. Low pressure and an
accompanying NE-SW oriented cool front bisects Arkansas and
extends across north Texas. Surface boundary will advance across
the forecast area mainly through the overnight hours with the
approach of a shortwave trof across the southern plains. It still
remains in question how far south it will make it before stalling
and washing out. Going with the idea it will make it offshore of
our forecast area and drop temperatures and dewpoints area-wide
a few degrees.

Airmass over the forecast area remains deep in tropical moisture
with the evening LCH sounding coming in with PWAT at 2.31 inches.
Forecast 1000-500 hPa RH progged to increase to 80 percent plus
through the day. Carrying likely pops and certainly could see some
locally heavy rainfall with the approach of upper trof and front.
QPFs at this time however fall short of a need for a Flash Flood
Watch. Will continue to monitor. Deep tropical moisture continues
to linger over the area through the remainder of the week with
respectable rain chances remaining.

MARINE...Shower and thunderstorm activity will remain
considerable through the remainder of the week as deep
tropical moisture holds over the northwest Gulf. Winds will
remain light and primarily southerly for today and tonight,
but transition to offshore Thursday as a weak cold front
advances into the near coastal waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  84  70  80  69 /  70  50  40  20
LCH  84  73  82  72 /  70  50  50  20
LFT  84  72  83  71 /  70  50  60  20
BPT  84  73  82  72 /  70  50  50  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

AVIATION...08

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
454 AM CDT Wed Sep 26 2018

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
271000-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
454 AM CDT Wed Sep 26 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms are likely across the forecast area
today with 1/2 to 1 inch new rainfall expected. Some heavier rains
may be experienced with stronger or training storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

With the area remaining under a very moist tropical airmass, a
good chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue. Locally
heavy rainfall will remain possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely not be required.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-271000-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City
LA out 20 NM-
Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from  Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from
20 to 60 NM-
454 AM CDT Wed Sep 26 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue over the
northwest Gulf.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue over the
northwest Gulf. A weak cold front will advance into the near
coastal waters Thursday with a brief offshore flow following.
Rain chances will remain high through the remainder of the week
as deep tropical moisture lingers over the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely not be required.