Special Weather Statement, NWS North Platte, NE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
634 PM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 306 PM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

Active weather is in store for most of north central Nebraska
through Thursday. Severe weather is possible late this afternoon and
into the evening as a front moves across the region. Large hail and
strong winds will be the primary threats, however, an isolated
tornado is also possible. As the event progresses overnight
Wednesday night, severe potential will diminish and heavy rain will
become the main threat. One to two inches are possible northeast of
a line from Valentine to Broken Bow through 7am CDT Thursday.

Rain will end on Thursday with much of the precipitation east of the
forecast area by 7am to 9am CDT. Lingering showers will continue
east of a line from Broken Bow to Ainsworth through the early
afternoon before tapering off. Daytime high temperatures on Thursday
will rise into the low 80s with locations that experience rain
showers much of the day only rising into the upper 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 306 PM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

The extended period will start off dry as high pressure builds
across the central Plains. Dry weather will remain across the region
through midday Saturday. Expect temperatures to continue in the mid
to upper 80s for Friday and Saturday.

The next chance of rain and thunderstorms will arrive on Saturday
evening. Current model runs are inconsistent in timing of
precipitation arrival. For now, will have rain moving into locations
west of US-83 between 3pm and 6pm CDT. Rain will then progress
eastward through the overnight period. At this time severe potential
appears low, however, isolated thunderstorms are still possible. The
main concern with the rain on Saturday night and early Sunday will
be the potential for heavy rainfall. Locations across the I-80
corridor and into the southern Sandhills could easily see between 1
and 2 inches of new rain. For the most part due to the long duration
of this event and precipitation falling across the Sandhills,
flooding will not be a concern. In addition, small hail and brief
gusty winds could also be possible.

Rain showers will continue into Sunday, however, will be continuing
to move eastward. Rain ends from west to east throughout the day,
with all precipitation exiting the region by Sunday evening.
Additional rainfall up to a half inch is possible through Sunday.

High pressure and dry weather returns on Sunday night. Drier weather
and cooler temperatures will be the main stories through the middle
of next week. High temperatures will start off in the mid to upper
70s on Sunday and slowly rise into the upper 70s to low 80s by next
Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 633 PM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

For the KLBF terminal: Expect thunderstorms in the vicinity of the
terminal through 03z Thursday. Some strong storms are possible
from 00z to 02z with sfc wind gusts to 40 KTS, visibilities down
to 1SM, heavy rain and hail. Conds will improve after 04z with
scattered to broken ceilings 12000 to 25000 FT AGL. for the KVTN
terminal: Expect thunderstorms to impact the terminal through 05z
Thursday. conds will improve thereafter with ceilings ranging
from 15000 to 25000 FT AGL.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...Kulik
AVIATION...Buttler

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
325 PM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-162030-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
325 PM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018 /225 PM MDT Wed Aug 15 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

Strong thunderstorms are expected to develop this evening across
all of western and north central Nebraska. A few storms could
become severe with large hail, damaging winds, and heavy
rainfall the primary threats. An isolated tornado may be possible
as well. The area of concern for severe weather is north of I-80
with the best chance north of a line from Merriman to Thedford to
Burwell. Rainfall between 1 to 2 inches is possible across
northern Nebraska.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

Thunderstorms are possible Saturday night through Sunday morning.
At this time, severe weather is not anticipated. Stay tuned for
later outlooks as the details on this system become clearer.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed between 4pm and 11pm CDT
Wednesday across most of north central Nebraska.

&&

Get your weather, hydrological, and climate information at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

kulik

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