Alert archive / Nebraska / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS North Platte, NE

July 27, 2018Logan County, Thomas County, Nebraska

NWS North Platte, NE issued this special weather statement at Jul 27, 2018, 4:36 PM CDT for Logan County, Thomas County, Nebraska. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2018, 4:36 PM CDT (21:36 UTC)
Expired
Jul 27, 2018, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
39 min
Issued by
NWS North Platte, NE

Counties Logan County, NE, Thomas County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 507 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 78 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
507 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-75 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
752 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS North Platte, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 27, 3:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 3:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
317 PM CDT Fri Jul 27 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Fri Jul 27 2018

The near term concern is thunderstorms with severe storms possible
mainly west of Ellsworth through North Platte this evening.
Overcast skies with showers and a few thunderstorms have limited
the instability this afternoon, and thus the potential for
widespread severe storms into this evening. Models do however
indicate a mid level disturbance currently extending from
southwest South Dakota thorugh southeast Wyoming to increase
thunderstorm coverage this evening, especially for areas south of
Highway 2. In addition to an isolated hail and wind threat, heavy
rainfall will be an additional concern. Areas which have received
heavy rainfall the past few days will be under increased chances
for localized flooding, which includes eastern Keith, west and
southeast Lincoln into Frontier County. Showers and thunderstorms
chances lower to a low chance pop after midnight, while chances
increase in the northeast to around 50 percent.

On Saturday, as the disturbance moves into eastern Nebraska,
showers and storms are likely during the morning with just a
slight chance southwest. In the afternoon, an approach disturbance
to the northwest, will bring increased chances for showers and
storms to the northwest Sandhills, while still near a 30 percent
chance southeast. Stratus will likely cover much of the forecast
area during the morning, while still mostly cloudy into the
afternoon. This will limit highs to only the low to mid 70s most
areas with a light southeast wind through the day.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Fri Jul 27 2018

Northwest flow aloft will continue Saturday night thorugh Sunday
night. This is due to upper level high pressure remaining anchored
across the desert southwest, and a slow moving upper trough draped
across the Great Lakes and Midwest. Shower and thunderstorm
chances to remain near 50 percent most areas Saturday night and
Sunday, with the best potential for heavy rainfall expected
across southwest areas Saturday night. Unsettled, rather cool
conditions are forecast though Sunday night, with scattered
showers and thunderstorms and highs Sunday in the mid 70s. Only
general thunderstorms forecast Sunday.

Early next week an upper level low will develop near and east of
the mid Missouri Valley and move eastward through Wednesday. With
lingering shower and thunderstorm chances Monday, the remainder
of the extended look dry. Upper level ridging will expand
northward across the Rockies. The upper level ridge to the west
will flatten out late next week. Flow aloft will become more zonal
across the central and northern plains as this occurs, with highs
returning to near normal in the middle 80s to around 90.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Fri Jul 27 2018

Thunderstorms will be the main aviation concern this afternoon and
early evening, followed by MVFR to IFR ceilings developing late
tonight. Thunderstorms to increase in coverage this afternoon
through early tonight with an enhanced and moderate risk for
severe storms along and south of a line from Ogallala through
Stockville. Hail, high wind gusts, and heavy rainfall are all
possible with thunderstorms. Included a tempo at KLBF for 3sm
tsrags with gusts up to 43kt from 21z-24z. Otherwise, late tonight
stratus is possible and is expected to develop across much of
western and north central NEB with MVFR to IFR ceilings persisting
into Saturday morning. Patchy fog is possible as well, however,
confidence in occurrence is too low to be included at this time.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Roberg
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 3:36 PM CDT, 1 hour before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
336 PM CDT Fri Jul 27 2018

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-282045-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
336 PM CDT Fri Jul 27 2018 /236 PM MDT Fri Jul 27 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

Thunderstorms are expected to impact portions of western Nebraska
tonight. Isolated to scattered severe storms are possible,
including some longer lived severe storms. The greatest threat for
severe storms lies along and west of a line from Hayes Center to
the Crescent Lake National Wildlife Refuge.

Large hail is the primary threat, with hail 2 inches or larger
possible across parts of southwest Nebraska and the southeast
Panhandle. Damaging winds and one or two tornadoes are also
possible. Heavy rain will be also possible this evening with
localized flooding possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

Isolated strong storms are possible Saturday and Saturday night
across the Panhandle and southwest Nebraska. Hail and damaging
winds are the primary threats.

While isolated to scattered storms are possible Sunday as well,
severe thunderstorms are not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed along and west of a line from
Merriman to Callaway this afternoon and evening.

&&

Get your weather, hydrological, and climate information at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

Roberg

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 27, 3:48 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
348 PM CDT FRI JUL 27 2018

NEZ005-025-026-272130-
Eastern Cherry NE-Thomas NE-Blaine NE-
348 PM CDT FRI JUL 27 2018

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 348 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northeast of Thedford, moving southeast at 5 mph.

Half inch hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Halsey and Natwick.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 2 between mile markers 213 and 231.
 Highway 83 between mile markers 150 and 156.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4204 10066 4210 10050 4196 10005 4184 10025
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 305DEG 6KT 4204 10046

JWS
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 3:53 PM CDT, 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
253 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018

NEZ069-272130-
Chase NE-
253 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHASE COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM MDT...

At 251 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles south of Lamar, or 19 miles southeast of Holyoke, moving
southeast at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Crete.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southwestern
Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4055 10205 4041 10176 4035 10171 4035 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 317DEG 41KT 4035 10209

JWS
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 4:36 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
436 PM CDT FRI JUL 27 2018

NEZ025-026-037-038-272215-
Custer NE-Thomas NE-Blaine NE-Logan NE-
436 PM CDT FRI JUL 27 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LOGAN...NORTHWESTERN CUSTER...
SOUTHWESTERN BLAINE AND SOUTHEASTERN THOMAS COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM
CDT...

At 435 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles southwest of Halsey, or 13 miles southeast of Thedford, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Stapleton, Halsey, Gandy, Logan, Highway 83 crossing The Dismal
River, Tarboz Lake, Shanklin Bluff, Pleasant Hill, Hoagland and Brown
Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 2 between mile markers 222 and 233.
 Highway 92 between mile markers 221 and 228, and between mile
markers 255 and 262.
 Highway 83 between mile markers 111 and 140.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4186 10058 4197 10023 4147 9996 4145 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 323DEG 15KT 4181 10046

JWS

The office that day

Everything else NWS North Platte, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 3:48 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFThomas42 min
Jul 27, 3:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFChase37 min
Jul 27, 5:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFLogan46 min
Jul 27, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry43 min
Jul 27, 5:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry48 min
Jul 27, 6:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLBFBrown44 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Nebraska, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.