Alert archive / Puerto Rico / Flash Flood Watches in 2018

Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS JSJ

September 13, 2018

NWS JSJ issued this flash flood watch at Sep 13, 2018, 10:00 AM CDT. It took effect at Sep 13, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 34 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 13, 2018, 10:00 AM CDT (15:00 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 13, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT
Expired
Sep 15, 2018, 2:35 AM CDT
In force
34 hr
Issued by
NWS JSJ
Flood severity
None

The text

As transmitted.

448 
WGCA62 TJSJ 131500
FFASJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WATCH
National Weather Service San Juan PR
1100 AM AST Thu Sep 13 2018

...Periods of heavy rainfall are expected late tonight into Friday
as Isaac moves south of the area...

.There is a high risk of flash flooding across eastern sections of
Puerto Rico as Isaac moves south of the area.

PRZ001>004-006-007-132300-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0002.180913T2200Z-180915T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-
Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-
Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, 
San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, 
Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, 
Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, 
Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, 
San Lorenzo, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, 
Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, 
Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, and Santa Isabel
1100 AM AST Thu Sep 13 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM AST THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in San Juan has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of Puerto Rico, including the 
  following areas, Central Interior, Eastern Interior, 
  Northeast, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, and 
  Southeast. 

* From 6 PM AST this evening through Friday evening

* As the outer bands of Tropical Storm Isaac move closer to the
  forecast area, showers and thunderstorms with some gusty winds
  will begin to affect the local islands as early as late tonight
  into early Friday morning. The shower and thunder activity is
  expected to become more frequent by the mid morning hours on
  Friday and continuing through at least Friday night. 
  
 Although fast-moving showers and thunderstorms are anticipated, 
 the rainfall activity could be enhanced by the local terrain. 
 Based on the latest forecast and the complexity of the terrain, 
 rainfall totals will range between 2 to 4 inches across the 
 south central, southeast and east sections of Puerto Rico. As a 
 result, there is a moderate to high risk of flash flooding 
 across these areas, and a Flash Flood Watch has been issued. 
 
 Possible impacts include, flooding of rivers and small streams 
 as well as mud slides in areas of steep terrain. 

 Elsewhere, including Vieques, Culebra, Saint Thomas and 
 Saint Croix, lower rainfall accumulations are expected. Rainfall
 totals will range 1 to 2 inches and therefore the risk for flash
 flooding across western Puerto Rico and the outlying islands is 
 low. However,urban flooding are still possible.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
115 
WGCA62 TJSJ 131510 CCA
FFASJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED
National Weather Service San Juan PR
1110 AM AST Thu Sep 13 2018

...Periods of heavy rainfall are expected late tonight into Friday
as Isaac moves south of the area...

.There is a high risk of flash flooding across eastern sections of
Puerto Rico as Isaac moves south of the area.

PRZ001>004-006-007-132300-
/O.COR.TJSJ.FF.A.0002.180913T2200Z-180915T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-
Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-
Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, 
San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, 
Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, 
Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, 
Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, 
San Lorenzo, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, 
Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, 
Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, and Santa Isabel
1110 AM AST Thu Sep 13 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM AST THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in San Juan has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of Puerto Rico, including the 
  following areas, Central Interior, Eastern Interior, 
  Northeast, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, and 
  Southeast. 

* From 6 PM AST this evening through Friday evening

* As the outer bands of Tropical Storm Isaac move closer to the
  forecast area, showers and thunderstorms with some gusty winds
  will begin to affect the local islands as early as late tonight
  into early Friday morning. The shower and thunder activity is
  expected to become more frequent by the mid morning hours on
  Friday and continue through at least Friday night. 
  
 Although fast-moving showers and thunderstorms are anticipated, 
 the rainfall activity could be enhanced by the local terrain. 
 Based on the latest forecast and the complexity of the terrain, 
 rainfall totals will range between 2 to 4 inches with locally
 higher amounts possible across the south central, southeast and 
 east sections of Puerto Rico. As a result, there is a moderate 
 to high risk of flash flooding across these areas, and a Flash 
 Flood Watch has been issued. 
 
 Possible impacts include, flooding of rivers and small streams 
 as well as mud slides in areas of steep terrain. 

 Elsewhere, including Vieques, Culebra, Saint Thomas and 
 Saint Croix, lower rainfall accumulations are expected. Rainfall
 totals will range 1 to 2 inches and therefore the risk for flash
 flooding across western Puerto Rico and the outlying islands is 
 low. However, urban flooding is still possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
968 
WGCA62 TJSJ 132237
FFASJU

FLASH FLOOD WATCH
National Weather Service San Juan PR
637 PM AST Thu Sep 13 2018

...Periods of heavy rainfall are expected late tonight into
Friday as Isaac moves south of the area...

.There is a high risk of flash flooding across the eastern half  
section of Puerto Rico as Isaac moves westward off to the south 
of the area.

PRZ001>004-006-007-141115-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180915T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-
Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-
Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, 
San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, 
Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, 
Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, 
Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, 
San Lorenzo, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, 
Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, 
Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, and Santa Isabel
637 PM AST Thu Sep 13 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Puerto Rico, including the following areas, 
  Central Interior, Eastern Interior, Northeast, Ponce and 
  Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, and Southeast. 

* Through Friday evening

* As the outer bands of Tropical Storm Isaac move closer to the 
  forecast area, showers and thunderstorms with some gusty winds 
  will begin to affect the local islands as early as late 
  tonight into early Friday morning. The shower and thunder 
  activity is expected to become more frequent by the mid 
  morning hours on Friday and continue through at least Friday 
  night. 

Although fast-moving showers and thunderstorms are anticipated, 
the rainfall activity could be enhanced by the local terrain. 
Based on the latest forecast and the complexity of the terrain, 
rainfall totals will range between 2 to 4 inches with locally 
higher amounts possible across the south central, southeast and 
east sections of Puerto Rico. As a result, there is a moderate to 
high risk of flash flooding across these areas, and a Flash Flood 
Watch has been issued.

Possible impacts include, flooding of rivers and small streams 
as well as mud slides in areas of steep terrain.

Elsewhere, including Vieques, Culebra, Saint Thomas and  Saint
Croix, lower rainfall accumulations are expected. Rainfall 
totals will range 1 to 2 inches and therefore the risk for flash 
flooding across western Puerto Rico and the outlying islands is 
low. However, urban flooding is still possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
358 
WGCA62 TJSJ 140854
FFASJU

FLASH FLOOD WATCH
National Weather Service San Juan PR
454 AM AST Fri Sep 14 2018

...Periods of heavy rainfall are expected late tonight into
Friday as Isaac moves south of the area...

.There is a high risk of flash flooding across the eastern half
section of Puerto Rico as Isaac moves westward off to the south
of the local area.

PRZ001>004-006-007-141600-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180915T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-
Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-
Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, 
San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, 
Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, 
Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, 
Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, 
San Lorenzo, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, 
Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, 
Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, and Santa Isabel
454 AM AST Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Puerto Rico, including the following areas, 
  Central Interior, Eastern Interior, Northeast, Ponce and 
  Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, and Southeast. 

* Through this evening

* As the outer bands of Tropical Depression Isaac move closer to
  the forecast area, showers and thunderstorms with some gusty
  winds will continue affecting the local islands through the day
  today. The shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to
  become more frequent by the mid morning hours today and continue
  through at least tonight. 

Although fast-moving showers and thunderstorms are anticipated,
the rainfall activity could be enhanced by the local terrain.
Based on the latest forecast and the complexity of the terrain,
rainfall totals will range between 2 to 4 inches with locally
higher amounts possible across the south central, southeast and
east sections of Puerto Rico. As a result, there is a moderate to
high risk of flash flooding across these areas, and a Flash Flood
Watch has been issued.

Possible impacts include, flooding of rivers and small streams as
well as mud slides in areas of steep terrain.

Elsewhere, including Vieques, Culebra, Saint Thomas and  Saint
Croix, lower rainfall accumulations are expected. Rainfall totals
will range 1 to 2 inches and therefore the risk for flash
flooding across western Puerto Rico and the outlying islands is
low. However, urban flooding is still possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
893 
WGCA62 TJSJ 141017 CCA
FFASJU

FLASH FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED
National Weather Service San Juan PR
617 AM AST Fri Sep 14 2018

...Periods of heavy rainfall are expected today as Isaac moves 
south of the area...

.There is a high risk of flash flooding across the eastern half
section of Puerto Rico as Isaac moves westward off to the south
of the local area.

PRZ001>004-006-007-141600-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180915T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-
Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-
Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, 
San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, 
Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, 
Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, 
Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, 
San Lorenzo, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, 
Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, 
Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, and Santa Isabel
617 AM AST Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Puerto Rico, including the following areas, 
  Central Interior, Eastern Interior, Northeast, Ponce and 
  Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, and Southeast. 

* Through this evening

* As the outer bands of Tropical Depression Isaac move closer to
  the forecast area, showers and thunderstorms with some gusty
  winds will continue affecting the local islands through the day
  today. The shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to
  become more frequent by the mid morning hours today and continue
  through at least tonight. 

Although fast-moving showers and thunderstorms are anticipated,
the rainfall activity could be enhanced by the local terrain.
Based on the latest forecast and the complexity of the terrain,
rainfall totals will range between 2 to 4 inches with locally
higher amounts possible across the south central, southeast and
east sections of Puerto Rico. As a result, there is a moderate to
high risk of flash flooding across these areas, and a Flash Flood
Watch has been issued.

Possible impacts include, flooding of rivers and small streams as
well as mud slides in areas of steep terrain.

Elsewhere, including Vieques, Culebra, Saint Thomas and  Saint
Croix, lower rainfall accumulations are expected. Rainfall totals
will range 1 to 2 inches and therefore the risk for flash
flooding across western Puerto Rico and the outlying islands is
low. However, urban flooding is still possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
936 
WGCA62 TJSJ 142344
FFASJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WATCH
National Weather Service San Juan PR
744 PM AST Fri Sep 14 2018

...Periods of heavy rainfall are still possible across the eastern
half portion of Puerto Rico overnight...

PRZ001>004-006-007-150745-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180915T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-
Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-
Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, 
San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, 
Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, 
Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, 
Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, 
San Lorenzo, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, 
Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, 
Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, and Santa Isabel
744 PM AST Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM AST SATURDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* A portion of Puerto Rico, including the following areas, 
  Central Interior, Eastern Interior, Northeast, Ponce and 
  Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, and Southeast. 

* Until 4 AM AST Saturday

* As Tropical Storm Isaac continues to move away, the risk for
  widespread flash flooding across south central, southeast and
  eastern portions of Puerto Rico will continue to decrease.
  However, additional rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches are
  still possible across southeast Puerto Rico overnight. Although
  the latest observations from USGS river gauges suggested rivers
  and small streams across theses areas running near normal 
  levels, sharp rises along rivers, small streams and creeks 
  cannot be ruled out with the additional rainfall activity.
 
 As a result, the Flash Flood Watch has been extended through the
 overnight hours. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
065 
WGCA62 TJSJ 150735
FFASJU

FLASH FLOOD WATCH
National Weather Service San Juan PR
335 AM AST Sat Sep 15 2018

...The risk of widespread flash flooding has diminished significantly...

PRZ001>004-006-007-150845-
/O.CAN.TJSJ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180915T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-
Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-
Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, 
San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, 
Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, 
Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, 
Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, 
San Lorenzo, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, 
Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, 
Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, and Santa Isabel
335 AM AST Sat Sep 15 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Puerto Rico, including the 
Central Interior, Eastern Interior, Northeast, Ponce and Vicinity,
San Juan and Vicinity, and the Southeast has been cancelled. As 
the trailing moisture and much of the heavy shower activity associated
with Tropical storm Isaac continued to move westward and away from
the from Puerto Rico during the early morning hours, the potential
for widespread Flash flooding has diminished. In addition recent river
sensors and gages continued to indicate that water levels along 
rivers and streams were now below flood stage and continued to 
subside. No additional widespread heavy rains is expected for the 
moment. Therefore the Flash Flood Watch for portions of Puerto 
Rico has been cancelled. However, during the rest of the day 
periods of moderate locally heavy rains will remain possible in 
isolated areas across portions of the island. This may lead to 
minor flooding along rivers and small streams and in urban and 
poor drainage areas. Mudslides will also remain possible in areas 
of steep terrain due to saturated soil.


$$
RAM/JJA/GL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS JSJ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Sep 13, 3:43 AM CDT, 6 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 13, 3:43 AM CDT, 6 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
443 AM AST Thu Sep 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Building high pressure ridge north of the region and Tropical
Storm Isaac will continue to dominate the local synoptic pattern across
the region through Friday as Tropical Storm Isaac passes south of the
forecast area. Small infrequent bands of low clouds and showers generated
from the distant Tropical storm Isaac will make its way across the
local region and bring periods of moderate to heavy rains and gusty
winds across the coastal waters and parts of the islands during the
rest of the morning. A fairly moist and unstable weather pattern is
forecast through most of the week and into early next week with winds
becoming more southeasterly by Friday and into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday...

Isaac's forward outer band will continue to stream across the region
through this evening. This will feed squally weather conditions
along with gusty winds across the forecast area. First, streamer-
like scattered to numerous showers will quickly move across the
waters and into coastal areas of northern and eastern Puerto Rico
and the U.S. Virgin Islands during the early morning hours, then
these showers will affect the rest of the forecast area during the
late morning and early afternoon hours as this band progress
westward. The moisture associated to this band in combination with
diurnal and local effects will trigger afternoon convection over
most of Puerto Rico, with the strongest activity focused over the
interior and southwestern portions of the island.

Following the departure of the aforementioned outer rain band,
occasional rain bands will quickly move across the forecast area.
Although a slight break in showers and thunderstorm activity can be
expected, a secondary event of showers and thunderstorms is expected
as Isaac approaches and moves south of the local islands late
tonight into Friday. Showers and thunderstorms will first affect the
U.S. Virgin Islands and the eastern half of Puerto Rico during the
overnight hours. As the storm progress westward, the coverage and
intensity of the activity will increase, affecting most of the local
islands and waters through late Friday night. Based in the current
forecast, total rainfall accumulations are expected to range between
1 and 2 inches with isolated amounts up to 4 inches between today
and Saturday. Thus, urban and small stream flooding, rapid rises
along rivers, and mudslides near steep terrain are highly likely
during this forecast period.

Lingering moisture from Isaac will remain over the forecast area on
Saturday, resulting in a relative seasonal pattern. That is, showers
streaming over the waters into coastal areas of southern and eastern
Puerto Rico during the overnight and early morning hours, followed
by afternoon convection over the interior and western Puerto Rico.
The potential for urban and small stream flooding remains possible
on Saturday.

.LONG TERM...Sunday through Friday...
Following the passage of Isaac south of the region, a moist
southeasterly flow is expected to prevail through most of the
upcoming weekend and into early next week. Recent model guidance
continued to suggest layered precipitable water values in excess
of 2 inches into early next week. The proximity of a retrograding
Tutt low and another tropical wave forecast to move across the region
during the early part of next week will maintain a moist and unstable
environment trough at least Wednesday, with a gradual improvement
during the latter part of the week. The overall pattern should therefore
support periods of moderate to heavy rainfall with showers and isolated
thunderstorm activity each day at least through mid week followed by
lesser potential for shower development and drier conditions expected
thereafter.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions will prevail across area airports for most
of the forecast period. However, there are chances for isolated
passing showers through the mid morning hours along the northern
coasts facing terminals. Model guidance bring a drier airmass across
the area for the first part of the afternoon and therefore, limited
shower activity is anticipated with the exception of the typical
afternoon convection over TJMZ around 21Z to 00Z FRI. Cigs of SCT020-
030 with a second cloud deck of SCT030 to BKN40 are expected across
the area through the forecast period. E to NE winds of 5 to 15 knots
and gusts up to 20 knots are expect for this cycle.

&&

.MARINE...Seas at buoy 41044 have ranged between 8 to 10 feet, while
the northern buoy 41043 was around 7 feet overnight through the early
morning. These wind generated waves and north and east swell action
is expected to spread across the regional waters and passages through
Friday bringing deteriorating and hazardous sea conditions. Winds
and seas are forecast to increase and reach 8 to 10 feet through Friday
with occasional seas up to as much as 12 feet over the offshore Caribbean
waters and the Anegada passage. Occasional gusts and squalls will remain
possible across the local waters in advance of the tropical storm as
it is still forecast to pass south of the region. Small craft advisories
will therefore eventually be required for most of the local waters and
passages beginning today and continuing through Friday. Please refer
to the latest Coastal Waters Forecast and Marine Weather Message issued
by the National Weather Service WFO San Juan PR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  88  80  86  78 /  70  90  90  70
STT  92  80  86  78 /  40  70  80  40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for Culebra-North
     Central-Northeast-Northwest-San Juan and Vicinity-Southeast-
     Western Interior.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 2 AM AST Saturday
     for Southeast.

     High Rip Current Risk from this evening through late tonight for
     Central Interior-Vieques.

VI...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM AST Saturday for St.Thomas...St.
     John...and Adjacent Islands.

     High Rip Current Risk from 6 AM AST this morning through late
     tonight for St Croix-St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent
     Islands.

AM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 2 AM AST Saturday
     for Coastal Waters of Southern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

     High Rip Current Risk from this evening through late tonight for
     Coastal Waters of Southern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM AST Saturday for Anegada Passage
     Southward to 17N-Caribbean Waters of Puerto Rico from 10 NM
     to 17N-Coastal Waters of Northern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-
     Coastal Waters of Northern USVI and Culebra out 10 NM-
     Coastal Waters of Southern USVI Vieques and Eastern Puerto
     Rico out 10 NM.

     High Rip Current Risk from 6 AM AST this morning through late
     tonight for Coastal Waters of Northern USVI and Culebra out
     10 NM-Coastal Waters of Southern USVI Vieques and Eastern
     Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST Saturday for Atlantic Waters
     of Puerto Rico and USVI from 10 NM to 19.5N.

     Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Friday to 2 AM AST Saturday for
     Mona Passage Southward to 17N.

&&

SHORT TERM...ICP/OB
LONG TERM....RAM
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 13, 5:08 AM CDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
400 AM AST jueves 13 de septiembre de 2018

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-140800-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior- Norte Central-
Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste- Oeste Interior-Mayaguez
y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-Aguas cercanas y lejanas a la
costa del Atlantico y Caribe-
400 AM AST jueves 13 de septiembre de 2018

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es
para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Tronadas...Existe la posibilidad de tronadas con fuertes lluvias y
vientos en rafagas breves esta tarde sobre sectores del interior y
suroeste de Puerto Rico.

.Inundaciones...Fuertes lluvias pudieran resultar en inundaciones
urbanas y de riachuelos a traves del interior y suroeste de Puerto
Rico. Acumulacion de agua en carreteras y en areas de drenaje pobre
son posibles en el resto del area.

.Vientos...Se esperan vientos sostenidos entre 20 y 24 mph a traves
de las aguas mar afuera y cercanas a la costa del Atlantico y del
Caribe, al igual que a traves de sectores de los Pasajes de Mona
y de Anegada.

.Olas...Se espera oleaje peligroso de hasta 10 pies a traves de
las aguas al este del Atlantico y del Caribe. Como resultado,
advertencias para los operadores de embarcaciones pequenas estan en
efecto. En el resto del area, los operadores de embarcaciones
pequenas deben ejercer precaucion debido al oleaje hasta 6 pies.

.Corrientes marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas
para las playas a lo largo de la costa norte de Puerto Rico.

.Dias dos a siete...viernes a miercoles

A medida que la Tormenta Tropical Isaac entre y se mueva a traves
del Mar Caribe, la actividad de aguaceros y tronadas aumentara a
traves de la region. Primero, la banda delantera de Isaac resultara
en condiciones de mal tiempo hoy , y luego, se espera una segunda
ronda de aguaceros y tronadas el viernes a medida que la tormenta se
acerque y se mueva al sur de las islas locales. Humedad residual
permanecera sobre la region hasta temprano la semana proxima
aumentando el desarrollo de aguaceros y tronadas sobre el area
acompanando de lluvias fuertes y rafagas de vientos hasta 40 mph. Se
esperan inundaciones urbanas y de riachuelos el viernes hasta
martes.  El riesgo alto de corrientes marinas continuara en efecto
hasta el fin de semana.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar fuertes
vientos, inundaciones y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia en San Juan.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-140800-
San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-Santa Cruz-
Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes
del Caribe-
600 AM AST jueves 13 de septiembre de 2018

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones del tiempo peligrosas es para
las Islas Virgenes Americanas y las aguas costeras adyacentes.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Tronadas...Existe probabilidad de tronadas con lluvia y rafagas de
vientos esta tarde a traves de sectores de Santa Cruz.

.Inundaciones...Lluvias fuertes pudieran resultar en acumulacion de
agua en carreteras y en areas de drenaje pobre.

.Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos entre 20 y 24 mph a traves
de sectores de las aguas cercanas a la costa y mar afuera del
Atlantico y del Caribe, al igual que a traves de sectores de los
Pasajes de Mona y Anegada.

.Olas...Se espera oleaje peligroso de hasta 10 pies a traves de
sectores del este de las aguas del Atlantico y del Caribe. Como
resultado, advertencias para los operadores de embarcaciones
pequenas estan en efecto. En el resto del area, los operadores de
embarcaciones pequenas deben ejercer precaucion debido al oleaje de
hasta 6 pies.

.Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado/alto de corrientes
marinas para las playas de la costa norte de  San Thomas y Santa
Cruz.

.Dias dos hasta siete...viernes a miercoles

A medida que la Tormenta Tropical Isaac entre y se mueva a traves
del Mar Caribe, la actividad de aguaceros y tronadas aumentara a
traves de la region. Primero, la banda delantera de Isaac resultara
en condiciones de mal tiempo hoy , y luego, se espera una segunda
ronda de aguaceros y tronadas el viernes a medida que la tormenta se
acerque y se mueva al sur de las islas locales. Humedad residual
permanecera sobre la region hasta temprano la semana proxima
aumentando el desarrollo de aguaceros y tronadas sobre el area
acompanando de lluvias fuertes y rafagas de vientos hasta 40 mph. Se
esperan inundaciones urbanas y de riachuelos el viernes hasta
martes.  El riesgo alto de corrientes marinas continuara en efecto
hasta el fin de semana.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores.

The office that day

Everything else NWS JSJ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 13, 10:57 AM CDTHigh Surf AdvisoryJSJ29 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Puerto Rico, 2018Every flash flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.