Small Craft Advisory 37, NWS Jacksonville, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
930 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

.UPDATE...
Showers and a few storms expected through the night as developing
area of low pressure around 1015 over ern Gulf tracks northeast
across the region. The center of this low is expected to move mainly
over NE FL, leaving areas to the south and east of the low most to
elevated instability with a slight chance of thunderstorms, some of
which could be briefly strong. Sfc cold front expected to pass
through and offshore by sunrise on Thursday. Widespread rainfall
totals of near 0.5 to 1 inch expected with locally higher amounts in
persistent showers and storms.

&&

.AVIATION...
IFR cigs expected to prevail during the overnight period with ocnl
vsby restrictions in drizzle, mist and shower activity. A few
t-storms will be possible this evening through about 07z for all
TAFs though best chances of storms will be where higher
instability will be located from SGJ to CRG as an area of low
pressure develops south of the area and moves east and northeast
into Thu morning. Ceilings will begin to improve near the end of the
TAF period, Thu late aftn. North to northeasterly winds about 10-18
knots with gusts to 25 knots will prevail along the coastal areas
into the evening hours. Winds will shift to west and northwest early
Thu morning as cold front moves east of terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Moderate to occasional strong northeast winds will continue tonight
as an area of low pressure moves northeast from the Gulf of Mexico
and up the east coast Thursday morning. Hazardous wind and sea
marine conditions expected to continue well into Thursday. Scattered
t-storms are possible tonight as well before moving well offshore
Thursday morning as the low helps sweep a cold front through the
area and resulting in offshore winds all day Thursday with moderate
cold advection and rough winds and seas for all mariners.

Rip Currents: SE GA: Moderate to high risk through Tonight and
Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  51  55  36  57 /  80  20   0   0
SSI  57  62  40  59 /  80  20   0   0
JAX  59  64  39  60 /  70  10   0   0
SGJ  64  68  42  61 /  70  10   0   0
GNV  61  65  37  62 /  80  10   0   0
OCF  62  66  39  63 /  80  10   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 3 AM EST Thursday for Coastal Duval-
     Coastal Flagler-Coastal Nassau-Coastal St. Johns.

GA...High Rip Current Risk until 3 AM EST Thursday for Coastal
     Camden-Coastal Glynn.

AM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 1 PM EST Thursday for Waters
     from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for Waters from
     Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EST Thursday for Coastal waters
     from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters
     from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60
     NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM EST this evening for Coastal
     waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out 20 NM.

&&

Shashy/Bricker

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