Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 316, NWS Jackson, MS

July 20, 2018Bolivar County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 20, 2018, 11:44 PM CDT for Bolivar County, Mississippi. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2018, 11:44 PM CDT (04:44 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2018, 12:34 AM CDT
In force
50 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.25 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Bolivar County, MS

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 172 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 20, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2018-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3694 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2018-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 220 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3694 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-94 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1760 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
220 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
407 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
28.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 20, 10:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 10:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 20, 5:03 PM CDT, 6 hours 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
503 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ008-009-016-MSZ040-212215-
Ashley-Chicot-West Carroll-East Carroll-Madison LA-Issaquena-
503 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

Isolated strong to severe storms will be possible late tonight as
a disturbance passes through the region. Wind gusts to 60 mph and
large hail will be possible. Heavy downpours may also lead to
localized flooding. Frequent dangerous lightning can also be
expected. Strong to severe storms may linger through Saturday
morning.

By Saturday afternoon highs will be in the upper 90s
and heat indices will range from 105 to 110. Precautions should
be taken to avoid heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose
fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices near 105 Sunday.
Precautions should be taken to avoid strenuous outdoor activities.
Check on those vulnerable to heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear
light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ018-019-034-212215-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Washington-
503 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

Severe storms will be possible late tonight as a disturbance
passes through the region. Wind gusts to 70 mph and quarter sized
hail will be possible. Heavy downpours may also lead to localized
flooding. Frequent dangerous lightning can also be expected.
Strong to severe storms may linger through Saturday morning.

By Saturday afternoon highs will be in the upper 90s and heat
indices will range from 105 to 110. Precautions should be taken to
avoid heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted
clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ025>029-031>033-037>039-044>046-051-052-057-058-212215-
Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Lowndes-Choctaw-
Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Newton-
Lauderdale-Jasper-Clarke-
503 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

Severe storms will be possible late tonight as a disturbance
passes through the region. Wind gusts to 70 mph and quarter sized
hail will be possible. Heavy downpours may also lead to localized
flooding. Frequent dangerous lightning can also be expected.
Strong to severe storms may linger through Saturday morning.

By Saturday afternoon highs will be in the upper 90s and heat
indices will range from 105 to 110. Precautions should be taken to
avoid heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted
clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Saturday.

MSZ030-212215-
Clay-
503 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

Severe storms will be likely late tonight as a disturbance passes
through the region. Wind gusts in excess of 70 mph and golf ball
sized hail will be possible. Tornadoes can not be ruled out.
Heavy downpours may also lead to localized flooding. Frequent
dangerous lightning can also be expected. Severe storms may linger
through Saturday morning.

By Saturday afternoon highs will be in the upper 90s and heat
indices will be near 105. Precautions should be taken to avoid
heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Saturday.

LAZ007-015-023>026-MSZ060-212215-
Morehouse-Richland-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Adams-
503 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

Highs in the upper 90s combined with high humidity will lead to
heat indices from 105 to 110. Precautions should be taken to
avoid heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted
clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices from 105 to 110
Sunday. Precautions should be taken to avoid strenuous outdoor
activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat stress. Stay
hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Thursday.

MSZ035-036-042-043-049-050-056-212215-
Humphreys-Holmes-Yazoo-Madison MS-Rankin-Scott-Smith-
503 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

Severe storms will be possible late tonight as a disturbance
passes through the region. Wind gusts to 70 mph and quarter sized
hail will be possible. Heavy downpours may also lead to localized
flooding. Frequent dangerous lightning can also be expected.
Strong to severe storms may linger through Saturday morning.

By Saturday afternoon highs will be in the upper 90s and heat
indices will range from 105 to 110. Precautions should be taken to
avoid heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted
clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices near 105 Sunday.
Precautions should be taken to avoid strenuous outdoor activities.
Check on those vulnerable to heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear
light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Saturday.

MSZ041-047-048-053>055-061>065-072>074-212215-
Sharkey-Warren-Hinds-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
503 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight through Saturday

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

Severe storms will be possible late tonight as a disturbance
passes through the region. Wind gusts to 60 mph and quarter sized
hail will be possible. Heavy downpours may also lead to localized
flooding. Frequent dangerous lightning can also be expected.
Strong to severe storms may linger through Saturday morning.

By Saturday afternoon highs will be in the upper 90s and heat
indices will range from 105 to 110. Precautions should be taken to
avoid heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted
clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices near 105 Sunday.
Precautions should be taken to avoid strenuous outdoor activities.
Check on those vulnerable to heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear
light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Saturday.

MSZ059-212215-
Jefferson-
503 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Saturday

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

Isolated strong to severe storms will be possible late tonight as
a disturbance passes through the region. Wind gusts to 70 mph and
quarter sized hail will be possible. Heavy downpours may also
lead to localized flooding. Frequent dangerous lightning can also
be expected. Strong to severe storms may linger through Saturday
morning.

By Saturday afternoon highs will be in the upper 90s and heat
indices will range from 105 to 110. Precautions should be taken to
avoid heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted
clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices 105 to 110 Sunday.
Precautions should be taken to avoid strenuous outdoor activities.
Check on those vulnerable to heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear
light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday.

MSZ066-212215-
Jones-
503 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight through Saturday

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

Isolated strong to severe storms will be possible late tonight as
a disturbance passes through the region. Wind gusts to 70 mph and
quarter sized hail will be possible. Heavy downpours may also
lead to localized flooding. Frequent dangerous lightning can also
be expected. Strong to severe storms may linger through Saturday
morning.

By Saturday afternoon highs will be in the upper 90s and heat
indices will range from 105 to 110. Precautions should be taken to
avoid heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted
clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices from 105 to 110
Sunday. Precautions should be taken to avoid strenuous outdoor
activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat stress. Stay
hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Saturday.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*EXCESSIVE HEAT*
Extreme...Maximum heat index greater than 110 degrees for 3 or
 more days in a row and/or air temperatures greater than 107
 degrees.
Significant...Maximum heat index greater than 110 degrees
 and/or air temperatures greater than 105 degrees.
Elevated...Maximum heat index 105 to 110 degrees and/or air
 temperatures greater than 103 degrees.
Limited...Maximum heat index near 105 degrees and/or air
 temperatures 100 to 103 degrees.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 20, 11:27 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1127 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

MSZ018-019-025-034-210515-
Washington MS-Leflore MS-Sunflower MS-Bolivar MS-
1127 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SUNFLOWER...NORTHERN LEFLORE...
NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON AND SOUTHEASTERN BOLIVAR COUNTIES UNTIL 1215
AM CDT...

At 1127 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Renova, or over Cleveland, moving southeast at 45 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Cleveland and Boyle around 1135 PM CDT.
  Ruleville around 1140 PM CDT.
  Blaine around 1150 PM CDT.
  Sunflower around 1155 PM CDT.
  Moorhead around 1205 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Doddsville, Schlater,
Pace and Merigold.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
north central and northwestern Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3383 9045 3381 9045 3381 9040 3375 9029
      3373 9031 3370 9030 3370 9027 3373 9025
      3367 9013 3333 9071 3375 9104 3395 9068
TIME...MOT...LOC 0427Z 321DEG 37KT 3377 9076

GRG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 10:31 PM CDTTornado WarningJANBolivar45 min
Jul 20, 11:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar, Sunflower48 min
Jul 21, 12:09 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeflore51 min
Jul 21, 12:16 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSunflower29 min
Jul 21, 12:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANHolmes36 min
Jul 21, 3:45 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar45 min
Jul 21, 4:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower59 min
Jul 21, 4:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower, Washington65 min
Jul 21, 4:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Leflore62 min
Jul 21, 4:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Humphreys64 min
Jul 21, 5:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Yazoo56 min
Jul 21, 5:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Leake48 min
Jul 21, 6:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Rankin, Scott43 min
Jul 21, 2:27 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryJANAdams, Claiborne, Copiah, Covington, Forrest, Franklin and 6 more30 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.