Severe Thunderstorm Warning 247, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1235 PM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 18Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:

Most ceilings (at least away from the midst of thunderstorm
activity) have improved to VFR at this point although there remain
lots of scattered to broken decks near or above 3 kft around the
region. Main thunderstorm activity is training southeast across SE
AR, NE LA, and SW MS, and will continue to do so through the
afternoon hours. Other pockets of more isolated storms will also
tend to pop up through the day. Any locations impacted by storms
could experience very gusty winds and temporary IFR conditions
through early this evening. Most activity will diminish by late
evening with low level ceiling issues, mainly in the VFR range,
expected to build in again late tonight in most areas. There is
potential for additional thunderstorm activity to approach from
the northwest late tonight and may impact GLH/GWO/CBM/GTR corridor
late tonight through Saturday morning. Otherwise, expect surface
winds away from thunderstorms to be mainly from the southwest at
10 to 15 mph and occasionally gusty. /BB/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Morning discussion update:

As expected, complex convective evolution in progress this
morning within a background environment containing a rather
volatile combination of wind shear and instability. Main 850 mb
thetaE advection axis early this morning was driving strong to
severe thunderstorms into far northwestern zones (i.e., Ashley Co
AR) with activity tending to train and remain tied to this axis.
The potential for this process to repeat a few times in western
zones will remain into the afternoon and heightens the flash flood
risk in these areas. The HWO and graphics were updated to reflect
this thinking.

Recently, the somewhat organized and robust convective cluster
coming out of Ashley Co and Morehouse Parish LA has managed to
forward propagate downstream of mentioned thetaE axis and into
building low level instability over southwestern and central
zones. Thinking convection may struggle to maintain severe intensity
toward the Jackson Metro area, but ample wind shear (bulk deep
layer shear of 30+ kts) may allow kinematic boosting to ambient
instability pool potential. Further west, better instability
increases confidence of severe convection continuing downstream
into these areas into the afternoon hours. Also worth mentioning a
secondary axis of thunderstorms brushing far northern and
northeastern zones will be something to watch and severe (and
non-negligible flood) potential will be there at times. In these
northern areas the instability will not be as great (e.g., working
CAPE values mainly less than 2500 j/kg), but deep layer wind shear
could be 40+ kts plus, which is extremely impressive for this time
of year in this region.

The recently issued SVR Watch #197 basically outlines the best
risk for severe thunderstorms through late this afternoon,
focusing mainly on the southwest half of the area. Wind damage
will be the primary risk with severe storms, although hail cannot
be ruled out (particularly in NE LA). In addition, low level
shear vectors are lined up in such a way to make the possibility
of a brief spin up tornado non-zero.

Most of the activity should be diminishing or exiting between late
this afternoon and early this evening. There does remain some
potential for another potent cluster of storms to come in from the
northwest and impact at least northern zones late tonight through
early Saturday. Still a lot of uncertainty regarding this and we
will focus efforts with the afternoon forecast package to provide
more detail. /BB/

Prior discussion below:

Today and Tonight: Early morning water vapor imagery/RAP analysis
showed the circulation around a nearly stacked low over southern
Illinois with a shortwave nearing the Ozarks that will continue to
swing around the base of the low today. Surface analysis had the
associated cold front dropping over the Missouri bootheel and
extending southwest across southwest Arkansas into northeast Texas.
The shortwave is expected to help initiate convection along the cold
front later this morning. Models agree that this activity will
spread east southeast into our northwest most zones shortly
thereafter eventually spreading to the Highway 84 corridor by late
afternoon. Our tropical airmass with greater than two inch PWATs got
dry slotted yesterday but a moist airmass remains over the region as
GOES total PW imagery suggests PWATs continue around 1.6 inches over
our CWA early this morning. Surface observations also had mid 70F
dew points over our CWA. Although the storms will get an early
start in our north they should encounter an environment with MLCAPEs
in excess of 2000j/k. Considering the flow around the low to our
north contributing to deep layer bulk shear around 40 kts, the
environment will support the potential for severe storms with
damaging wind and hail being the main threats. Locally heavy
rainfall will also be possible and a brief tornado or two cannot be
ruled out.

The nearly stack low will move northeast toward the Ohio River
Valley tonight and weaken stranding the cold front to stall across
our northern zones this evening before drifting back north toward
morning. Most of the convection over our CWA will dissipate this
evening with the loss of daytime heating but, convection will linger
in proximity of the frontal boundary through the night. There are at
least a couple models that suggest a complex of storms may develop
tonight and track along the stalled front, possibly dropping into
our CWA prior to sunrise. Wl maintain a MARGINAL area in our HWO
across the Highway 82 corridor to account for this threat.
Otherwise, temperatures will be held close to normal today due to
the convection and cloud cover but Saturday morning lows will be
warmer than normal again. /22/

This weekend: As a mid/upper trough pulls northeastward away from
the area, a surface front stalled across east AR into north MS will
retreat northward, with a surface ridge building in along the Gulf
Coast. This will begin to confine convection north of the region as
capping increases from the south. However, there remains the
potential for a complex of storms to brush the northern fringe of
the CWA into early Saturday as suggested by the 00Z Euro and some
CAM solutions, so chance POPs were maintained into that time period.
Otherwise, with fewer clouds/showers, temps will tick up again this
weekend, and given the remaining moist airmass, heat stress will
become more of a concern. We'll continue mention in the HWO for heat
indices approaching 105 over most of the CWA on Saturday, also now
including Sunday as well. It is possible a heat advisory may be
needed eventually for some portion of the area.

Monday through Thursday: The surface ridge will begin to retreat
eastward, resulting in an increase in diurnal convection as our
region moves to the periphery of said ridge. Outside of the rain,
generally warmer conditions are expected as mid/upper heights
increase over the area. With a rather humid airmass remaining in
place, heat stress could continue to be a concern. However, the
greater potential for clouds/rain will create uncertainty over daily
peak apparent temps. Eventually, we may need to highlight a heat
stress risk on one of more of these days in the HWO/graphics/NPW.
/DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       88  73  93  74 /  55  38   7   3
Meridian      90  73  94  74 /  37  33  10   3
Vicksburg     88  74  93  74 /  72  34   7   3
Hattiesburg   93  74  94  74 /  22  22   7   4
Natchez       89  74  92  74 /  54  31   8   3
Greenville    85  73  91  75 /  74  27  30   8
Greenwood     84  73  91  74 /  63  30  38  11

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

DL/22/BB

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1023 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

ARZ074-231530-
Ashley-
1023 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly remainder of today

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...remainder of today

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
hail are possible today. A brief tornado cannot be ruled out as
well.

Isolated severe thunderstorms will also be possible late tonight,
with again the main threats being hail and damaging winds gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Flash flooding is likely as rainfall totals today range from 2 to
5 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

ARZ075-MSZ018-019-025>039-231530-
Chicot-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-
Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-
Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
1023 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and
north central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly remainder of today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of today

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
hail are possible today. A brief tornado cannot be ruled out as
well.

Isolated severe thunderstorms will also be possible late tonight,
with again the main threats being hail and damaging winds gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Flash flooding is possible today as rainfall totals range from 1
to 3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ040-047-231530-
Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA-
Franklin LA-Tensas-Issaquena-Warren-
1023 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...remainder of today

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...remainder of today

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
hail are possible today. A brief tornado cannot be ruled out as
well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Flash flooding is possible today as rainfall totals range from 1
to 3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest
of today.

MSZ041>046-048>053-231530-
Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-
Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-
1023 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...remainder of today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of today

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
hail are possible today. A brief tornado cannot be ruled out as
well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Flash flooding is possible today as rainfall totals range from 1
to 3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest
of today.

LAZ026-MSZ054>066-072-231530-
Concordia-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-
Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
Marion-
1023 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...remainder of today

Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and hail are possible today. A brief tornado cannot be ruled
out as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest
of today.

MSZ073-074-231530-
Lamar-Forrest-
1023 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Thursday.

LAZ024-231530-
Catahoula-
1023 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...remainder of today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of today

Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and hail are possible today. A brief tornado cannot be ruled
out as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Flash flooding is possible today as rainfall totals range from 1
to 3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest
of today.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
954 AM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

MSZ018-221530-
Bolivar MS-
954 AM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN BOLIVAR COUNTY
UNTIL 1030 AM CDT...

At 953 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Gunnison, or 9 miles northeast of Rosedale, moving east at 40
mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Deeson around 1000 AM CDT.
  Shelby around 1010 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Winstonville, Duncan
and Alligator.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3390 9066 3388 9106 3393 9101 3395 9106
      3398 9106 3400 9102 3397 9100 3396 9097
      3398 9096 3402 9099 3402 9090 3403 9089
      3406 9089 3408 9087 3412 9066
TIME...MOT...LOC 1453Z 262DEG 37KT 3397 9096

TW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1124 AM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1024 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNE BASTROP           32.84N 91.87W
06/22/2018                   MOREHOUSE          LA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ALONG
            LOUISIANA 140, TO THE NORTH OF LOG CABIN.

&&

JC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1154 AM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

MSZ042-043-047-048-221745-
Warren MS-Hinds MS-Yazoo MS-Madison MS-
1154 AM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL WARREN...CENTRAL
HINDS...SOUTH CENTRAL YAZOO AND SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTIES UNTIL
1245 PM CDT...

At 1154 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Phoenix, or 13 miles northeast of Redwood, moving southeast at
35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Brownsville around 1215 PM CDT.
  Flora around 1220 PM CDT.
  Pocahontas around 1225 PM CDT.
  Annandale around 1235 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
central and west central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3238 9081 3247 9063 3269 9049 3255 9015
      3218 9035
TIME...MOT...LOC 1654Z 293DEG 30KT 3256 9059

TW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1156 AM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ034-040-221745-
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-Morehouse LA-East Carroll LA-West Carroll LA-
Washington MS-Issaquena MS-
1156 AM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CHICOT AND SOUTHEASTERN
ASHLEY COUNTIES...NORTHEASTERN MOREHOUSE...NORTH CENTRAL EAST CARROLL
AND NORTHEASTERN WEST CARROLL PARISHES...SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND
NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 PM CDT...

At 1156 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Parkdale, or over Wilmot, moving southeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Millikin and Gassoway around 1230 PM CDT.
  Shelburn around 1235 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Kilbourne.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
northeastern Louisiana...and west central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3300 9173 3323 9157 3312 9106 3277 9126
TIME...MOT...LOC 1656Z 293DEG 30KT 3308 9153

TW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1244 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

LAZ008-009-MSZ040-221815-
East Carroll LA-West Carroll LA-Issaquena MS-
1244 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CARROLL...NORTHEASTERN WEST
CARROLL PARISHES IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA
COUNTIES UNTIL 115 PM CDT...

At 1244 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Oak Grove, or 9 miles northwest of Lake Providence, moving
southeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Shelburn around 1255 PM CDT.
  Lake Providence around 105 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Kilbourne, Pioneer and
Forest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
northeastern Louisiana...and west central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3289 9150 3294 9148 3297 9144 3299 9145
      3301 9143 3301 9099 3257 9126 3282 9155
TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 303DEG 23KT 3288 9132

17

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1246 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-221815-
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-Morehouse LA-
1246 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN CHICOT...
SOUTHEASTERN ASHLEY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MOREHOUSE PARISHES UNTIL 115 PM CDT...

At 1246 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Jones, or near Wilmot, moving southeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Wilmot around 1250 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Bonita.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
northeastern Louisiana.

LAT...LON 3312 9166 3311 9137 3287 9152 3288 9155
      3285 9157 3283 9157 3280 9159 3298 9179
TIME...MOT...LOC 1746Z 303DEG 23KT 3301 9164

17