Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 97, NWS Jackson, MS

November 13, 2018Leake County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Nov 13, 2018, 10:54 AM CST for Leake County, Mississippi. It was in force for 47 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 13, 2018, 10:54 AM CST (16:54 UTC)
Expired
Nov 15, 2018, 10:08 AM CST
In force
47 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Leake County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tuscolameta Creek at Walnut Grove (WTGM6). The gauge peaked at 26.42 ft at Nov 14, 2018, 10:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderate1520253011/1311/1411/1511/16
Action stage
24 ft
Minor stage
25 ft
Moderate stage
31.5 ft
Major stage
33 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02483000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

561 
WGUS44 KJAN 131654
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1054 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-142253-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0097.181113T1654Z-181115T0200Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.181113T0445Z.181114T0000Z.181114T1400Z.NO/
1054 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet this 
  evening.  


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  25.3 Tue 10 AM  25.1  21.4  17.3  25.5 06 PM 11/13


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$
5 follow-up statements
944 
WGUS84 KJAN 131658
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1058 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-142258-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.181115T0000Z.181115T0000Z.181115T0600Z.NO/
1058 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  10.6 Tue 10 AM  12.6  12.9  12.4  13.0 12 AM 11/15


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-142258-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-181115T0200Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.181113T0445Z.181114T0000Z.181114T1400Z.NO/
1058 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet this 
  evening.  


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  25.3 Tue 10 AM  25.1  21.4  17.3  25.5 06 PM 11/13


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC029-127-142120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-181114T2120Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.181113T0900Z.181114T0000Z.181114T0920Z.NO/
1058 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.0 feet this 
  evening.  


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25  25.5 Tue 10 AM  24.6  19.5  18.5  26.0 06 PM 11/13


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$
502 
WGUS84 KJAN 140132
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
732 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-150732-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-181116T0600Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.181115T1200Z.181115T1200Z.181115T1800Z.NO/
732 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until late Thursday night.
* At  6:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  10.6 Tue 07 PM  11.2  13.0  12.7  13.0 06 AM 11/15


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-150732-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-181115T1400Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.181113T0445Z.181114T0600Z.181115T0200Z.NO/
732 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Thursday morning.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast... The river is near crest as of 7pm Tuesday. 

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  25.7 Tue 07 PM  25.8  22.5  18.8  near crest 11/13          


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$
170 
WGUS84 KJAN 141522
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
922 AM CST Wed Nov 14 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-152121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-181117T1200Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.181113T0445Z.181114T1800Z.181117T0000Z.NO/
922 AM CST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Saturday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is near crest this morning and should remain
fairly steady for the next 24 hours.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  26.5 Wed 09 AM  26.5  25.5  24.3  26.5 12 PM 11/14


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$
807 
WGUS84 KJAN 150136
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
736 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC079-160737-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-181117T1000Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.181113T0445Z.181114T1530Z.181116T2200Z.NO/
736 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until late Friday night.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage Friday afternoon.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  26.3 Wed 07 PM  26.0  25.4  24.1 24.9 4PM   11/16          


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$
955 
WGUS84 KJAN 151608
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1008 AM CST Thu Nov 15 2018


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-151638-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-181117T1000Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.181113T0445Z.181114T1530Z.181115T1138Z.NO/
1008 AM CST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  5:38 AM Thursday.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 15.5 feet by Saturday 
  morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  24.0 Thu 09 AM  16.3  15.5  15.1 Below Flood Stage          


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC029-127-151638-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-181118T0300Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.181113T0900Z.181114T0715Z.181115T0845Z.NO/
1008 AM CST Thu Nov 15 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  2:45 AM Thursday.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall very slowly over the next few days.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25  24.7 Thu 09 AM  24.6  24.5  24.3 Below Flood Stage        


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 13, 9:43 AM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 13, 9:43 AM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
943 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

.UPDATE...
Updated for morning discussion.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A slow moving upper shortwave trough is in the process of closing
off into an upper low over the Southern Plains. Ahead of this
feature, southwesterly flow continues aloft above a strong cold
front that pushed through overnight. This front was located
southeast of the Jackson metro this morning with a brisk and
chilly northerly wind in its wake. Temperatures have and will
continue to drop through the day across the area as strong cold
air advection persists. Most locations have already seen their
high temperatre for the day this morning. A band of light rain is
also oriented across the I-59 corridor with areas of drizzle
extending back into the Jackson metro owing to isentropic ascent
and favorable jet dynamics overhead. Only made minor updates to
the ongoing forecast to tweak PoPs and hourly temperatures. While
outside of the current period of interest for this update, it is
worth mentioning that a limited risk for ice accumulation was
added earlier this morning to the HWO/graphics across portions of
the Delta and north central Mississippi for tomorrow morning
through evening. More details regarding this potential will be
available with the main forecast package this afternoon and a
winter weather advisory for a portion of the area is not entirely
out of the question and will be evaluated as additional 12z model
guidance becomes available. /TW/

Prior discussion below:

Today through Tonight:

In the near term, the primary weather concerns will be for the
cold temperatures, and the threat for light wintry precipitation
developing toward daybreak Wednesday morning. By mid-November
standards, this is a remarkably cold airmass that is advecting
into the ArkLaMiss region, and it will bring the potential for
significant discomfort to those outdoors in the next few days. For
today, daytime temperatures will struggle to climb much, if any,
above morning readings which will range from the mid 30s to upper
40s, and cloudy skies combined with brisk northerly winds will
make it feel especially cold for those who are not dressed
appropriately. Daytime high temperatures will be up to 30 degrees
below normal for this time of the year.

For tonight, those same clouds will help to keep temperatures from
falling much, but enough decrease in cloud cover combined with
cold advection is expected to allow temperatures to fall below
freezing over the Delta region and we have issued a freeze warning
accordingly given that a solid freeze has yet to occur so far
this cool season for most of the area. Also, as has been discussed
in recent days, a threat for light wintry precipitation is still
on track to develop Wednesday morning when a shortwave trough
begins to close off and interact with the strong baroclinic zone
currently in place over the southeast CONUS. At this time we
expect the precip to not develop in earnest until after daybreak,
but given early morning temperatures near or just below freezing,
we'll be monitoring closely for signs of quicker development for
any accumulating precip. Some of the high-res guidance is more
aggressive in this manner, particularly the NAM, but have sided
with the more conservative global model consensus for now which
appears more realistic with initial precip in the cold airmass.
/EC/

Tomorrow Night through Monday:

As the closed low deepens over the ArkLaTex during the day on
Wednesday, expect moisture to continue being lifted and wrapped
around the low. Looking at forecast soundings and isentropic maps,
the atmosphere is expected to saturate beneath the 700mb level,
with a general lack of upper-level moisture or strong enough
forcing to saturate the dendritic growth zone. Therefore, the
precipitation type is expected to remain a mix of light rain and
light freezing rain. The distinguishing characteristic between the
two areas will be wherever the low-level air mass can cool to -
and remain - below freezing. In general, this will favor better
chances for light freezing rain through southeast Arkansas, far
northeast Louisiana, and portions of Mississippi to the north and
west of the Natchez Trace. There may be a struggle to maintain
freezing temperatures as low-level stratus may still allow some
insolation and precipitation may mix down some of the elevated
warm layer. For now, the temp forecast is a compromise between the
coldest scenarios and various hi-res hourly guidance. If
saturation can extend deep enough closer to the core of the closed
low, there may also be the chance for some snow flurries or light
snow showers to mix in. So for areas north and west of the Natchez
Trace, there is also a mention of flurries included.

With surface temperatures somewhat uncertain and precipitation
rates expected to be light, we are currently forecasting no
accumulation of any freezing or frozen precipitation. Any
meaningful snowfall accumulations should remain north of our
forecast area - northern Arkansas and western Tennessee. We will
continue to evaluate the threat for any light ice accumulations
from freezing drizzle or freezing rain, but currently confidence
is low enough that no ice threat has been included in the
Hazardous Weather Outlook or graphics.

Confidence is much higher with regards to the freezing
temperatures spreading across our entire forecast area in the wake
of the system on Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Most
locations will likely see low temperatures dip to the upper 20s by
early Thursday morning, and much of the area will see those
temperatures for several hours overnight. Therefore a Significant
threat for a freeze has been added to the Hazardous Weather
Outlook and graphics, with frost posing a threat to unprotected
sensitive vegetation.

A gradual warming trend beneath clearing skies will commence
through the end of the week, although temperatures will still be
on the cooler side of normal. As the cool surface high lifts north
and eastward, models hint that our next cold front may arrive in
the region sometime early next week. As of this time, it does not
look to bring significant chances for rain or cooler weather. /NF/

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
-RA/-DZ will continue to slowly diminish this morning and
 visibility improve, but widespread IFR ceilings will remain for
 most of the day...slowly lifting to MVFR categories during the
 afternoon and evening at most sites. Some VFR conditions may even
 develop at GLH/GWO overnight, but this will be short-lived with
 the approach of the next system for Wed/Wed night. Otherwise,
 gusty northerly surface wind can be expected this forecast period
 in the cold advection pattern. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       40  34  37  27 /  54  14  26  19
Meridian      46  37  40  28 /  82  33  50  37
Vicksburg     40  32  37  26 /  22  12  18  12
Hattiesburg   45  38  42  28 /  88  56  42  19
Natchez       40  32  39  26 /  39  13  14  11
Greenville    38  30  36  28 /   8  12  28  22
Greenwood     38  32  37  28 /  22  12  34  32

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM CST Wednesday for MSZ018-019-
     025>028-034>036-040>042-047.

LA...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM CST Wednesday for LAZ007>009-
     015-016-023>025.

AR...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM CST Wednesday for ARZ074-075.

&&

TW/NF/EC
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 13, 10:38 AM CST, 16 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1038 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-024-MSZ018-019-025>028-034>036-
040>042-141645-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-
Sharkey-Yazoo-
1038 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FREEZE AND FROST
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, a freeze warning is in effect for late tonight into
early Wednesday. Much colder air pouring into the region will
send temperatures falling to just below freezing for a few hours.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Light icing of bridges and overpasses is expected for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of north central Mississippi,
portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of west central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi on Wednesday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

A significant freeze is expected Wednesday night over much of the
area as temperatures fall well into the 20s. Another light freeze
could extend into Thursday night as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

LAZ025-026-MSZ029-032-037-043-047-048-053-059-060-141645-
Tensas-Concordia-Webster-Choctaw-Attala-Madison MS-Warren-Hinds-
Claiborne-Jefferson-Adams-
1038 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
southwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FREEZE AND FROST
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, temperatures will fall to near freezing late tonight
into early Wednesday as much colder air continues to pour into
the region.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Light icing of bridges and overpasses is expected for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of north central Mississippi,
portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of west central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi on Wednesday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

A significant freeze is expected Wednesday night over much of the
area as temperatures fall well into the 20s. Another light freeze
could extend into Thursday night as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-044>046-049>052-054>058-061>066-072>074-
141645-
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-
Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
1038 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Light icing of bridges and overpasses is expected for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of north central Mississippi,
portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of west central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi on Wednesday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

A significant freeze is expected Wednesday night over much of the
area as temperatures fall well into the 20s. Another light freeze
could extend into Thursday night as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

23

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FREEZE AND FROST*
Extreme...Hard Freeze (less than or equal to 28 degrees) for
 3 hours or more during the growing season with catastrophic
 damage to unprotected vegetation.
Significant...Freeze expected (less than or equal to 32 degrees)
 for 3 hours or more during the growing season with significant
 damage to unprotected vegetation.
Elevated...Frost likely during the growing season with some
 damage to unprotected vegetation expected.
Limited...Patchy frost during the growing season with minor
 damage to unprotected vegetation possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 12, 7:37 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Warren62 hr
Nov 12, 7:50 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson62 hr
Nov 13, 3:02 AM CSTFreeze WarningJANBolivar, Carroll, Grenada, Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena and 7 more30 hr
Nov 13, 3:15 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryJANBolivar, Carroll, Grenada, Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena and 5 more27 hr
Nov 13, 3:34 PM CSTFreeze WatchJANAdams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 41 more18 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.