Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2018
River Flood Warning 94, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Nov 12, 2018, 8:33 AM CST for Madison County, Yazoo County, Mississippi. It took effect at Nov 12, 2018, 9:37 PM CST. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 12, 2018, 8:33 AM CST (14:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 12, 2018, 9:37 PM CST
- Expired
- Nov 15, 2018, 11:08 PM CST
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Madison County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The river
Written for the forecast point Big Black River near Bentonia (BTAM6). The gauge peaked at 22.60 ft at Nov 14, 2018, 3:00 AM CST.
- Action stage
- 21 ft
- Minor stage
- 22 ft
- Moderate stage
- 25 ft
- Major stage
- 29 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07289730, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
608
WGUS44 KJAN 121433
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
833 AM CST Mon Nov 12 2018
...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties
Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
all rivers.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC007-051-132033-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0093.181113T1237Z-181116T0027Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181113T1237Z.181114T0600Z.181115T1227Z.NO/
833 AM CST Mon Nov 12 2018
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Big Black River At West
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday evening.
* At 7:45 AM Monday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow morning
and will continue to rise to near 17.5 feet early Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and
lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the
river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Upper Big Black River
West 15 7.5 Mon 08 AM 14.8 17.5 15.1 17.5 12 AM 11/14
&&
LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
3313 8969 3285 8987
$$
MSC089-163-132033-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0094.181113T2034Z-181116T0508Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181113T2034Z.181114T1800Z.181115T1708Z.NO/
833 AM CST Mon Nov 12 2018
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* from Tuesday afternoon to Thursday evening.
* At 8:15 AM Monday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow
afternoon and will continue to rise to near 23.5 feet early
Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to
flood.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Low lying woodland areas along the river
begins to flood.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor low land flooding occurs along the
river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bentonia 22 14.1 Mon 08 AM 21.0 23.2 22.6 23.5 12 PM 11/14
&&
LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
3272 8996 3245 9052
$$6 follow-up statements
766
WGUS84 KJAN 130156
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
756 PM CST Mon Nov 12 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties
Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
all rivers except for those in the Tombigbee River System which
includes Tibbee Creek, Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional
rainfall is used.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC007-051-140756-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0093.181113T1242Z-181115T1825Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181113T1242Z.181114T0600Z.181115T0625Z.NO/
756 PM CST Mon Nov 12 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River At West
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday afternoon.
* At 6:45 PM Monday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow morning
and will continue to rise to near 17.5 feet early Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and
lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the
river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Upper Big Black River
West 15 10.5 Mon 07 PM 14.8 17.4 13.7 17.5 12 AM 11/14
&&
LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
3313 8969 3285 8987
$$
MSC089-163-140756-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0094.181113T0337Z-181117T1800Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181113T0337Z.181115T0000Z.181117T0600Z.NO/
756 PM CST Mon Nov 12 2018
...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 7:15 PM Monday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tonight and will
continue to rise to near 24.5 feet Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Extensive flooding of agricultural land is
occurring.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to
flood.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Low lying woodland areas along the river
begins to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bentonia 22 21.8 Mon 07 PM 22.4 23.6 24.3 24.5 06 PM 11/14
&&
LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
3272 8996 3245 9052
$$363
WGUS84 KJAN 131701
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1101 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties
Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
all rivers except for those in the Tombigbee River System which
includes Tibbee Creek, Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional
rainfall is used.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC007-051-142300-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-181118T0325Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181114T0000Z.181115T0600Z.181117T1525Z.NO/
1101 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018
...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River At West
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this evening and
will continue to rise to near 17.5 feet early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and
lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the
river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Upper Big Black River
West 15 12.6 Tue 10 AM 16.9 17.4 16.8 17.5 12 AM 11/15
&&
LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
3313 8969 3285 8987
$$
MSC089-163-142300-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181113T0515Z.181117T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet Friday
evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Extensive flooding of agricultural land is
occurring.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to
flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bentonia 22 22.2 Tue 10 AM 22.9 23.6 24.2 24.5 06 PM 11/16
&&
LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
3272 8996 3245 9052
$$
MSC049-149-142300-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0095.181113T1658Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181113T1615Z.181119T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM CST Tue Nov 13 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River Near Bovina
* from this morning until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.0 feet early
Monday afternoon.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bovina 28 28.0 Tue 10 AM 28.3 28.4 28.5 29.0 12 PM 11/19
&&
LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
3218 9065 3204 9102
$$381
WGUS84 KJAN 140145
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
745 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi..
Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
all rivers except for those in the Tombigbee River System which
includes Tibbee Creek, Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional
rainfall is used.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC007-051-150745-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-181118T0730Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181114T1354Z.181115T0600Z.181117T1930Z.NO/
745 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018
...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River At West
* until late Saturday night.
* At 6:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow morning
and will continue to rise to near 17.5 feet early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and
lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the
river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Upper Big Black River
West 15 12.7 Tue 07 PM 14.3 17.5 16.9 17.5 12 AM 11/15
&&
LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
3313 8969 3285 8987
$$
MSC089-163-150745-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181113T0515Z.181117T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
745 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet Friday
evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Extensive flooding of agricultural land is
occurring.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to
flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bentonia 22 22.4 Tue 07 PM 22.9 23.6 24.2 24.5 06 PM 11/16
&&
LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
3272 8996 3245 9052
$$
MSC049-149-150745-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181113T1615Z.181119T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
745 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.0 feet early
Monday afternoon.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bovina 28 28.1 Tue 07 PM 28.3 28.4 28.5 29.0 06 AM 11/19
&&
LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
3218 9065 3204 9102
$$099
WGUS84 KJAN 141550
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
950 AM CST Wed Nov 14 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties
Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
all rivers except for those in the Tombigbee River System which
includes Tibbee Creek, Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional
rainfall is used.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC007-051-152151-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-181116T1800Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181116T0000Z.181116T0000Z.181116T0600Z.NO/
950 AM CST Wed Nov 14 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River At West
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the
river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Upper Big Black River
West 15 11.1 Wed 09 AM 14.2 14.7 11.7 15.0 06 PM 11/15
&&
LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
3313 8969 3285 8987
$$
MSC089-163-152151-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181113T0515Z.181120T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 AM CST Wed Nov 14 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by next Monday
evening.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to
flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bentonia 22 22.6 Wed 09 AM 22.8 23.0 23.1 23.5 06 PM 11/19
&&
LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
3272 8996 3245 9052
$$
MSC049-149-152151-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181113T1615Z.181120T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 AM CST Wed Nov 14 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 27.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this evening and
will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet by next Tuesday morning.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bovina 28 27.9 Wed 09 AM 28.0 28.2 28.4 29.0 06 AM 11/20
&&
LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
3218 9065 3204 9102
$$162
WGUS84 KJAN 150140
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
740 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties
Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
all rivers except for those in the Tombigbee River System which
includes Tibbee Creek, Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional
rainfall is used.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC007-051-160739-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-181117T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181116T1200Z.181116T1200Z.181116T1200Z.NO/
740 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018
...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River At West
* until Friday evening.
* At 6:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Friday
morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the
river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Upper Big Black River
West 15 10.0 Wed 07 PM 10.2 15.0 13.8 15.0 06 AM 11/16
&&
LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
3313 8969 3285 8987
$$
MSC089-163-160739-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181113T0515Z.181120T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
740 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet early
Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to
flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bentonia 22 22.4 Wed 07 PM 22.4 22.5 22.7 23.5 12 PM 11/20
&&
LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
3272 8996 3245 9052
$$
MSC049-149-160739-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181113T1615Z.181121T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
740 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 27.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Friday morning and
will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural land near the river
begins to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bovina 28 27.7 Wed 07 PM 27.8 28.0 28.1 29.0 12 AM 11/21
&&
LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
3218 9065 3204 9102
$$397
WGUS84 KJAN 151605
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1005 AM CST Thu Nov 15 2018
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Mississippi...
Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties
Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
all rivers except for those in the Tombigbee River System.
Additional information is available at:
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC007-051-151635-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-181117T0000Z/
/WSTM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM CST Thu Nov 15 2018
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Big Black River At West.
* At 8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 13.5 feet
tomorrow evening.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Upper Big Black River
West 15 9.5 Thu 09 AM 12.7 13.3 11.6 13.5 06 PM 11/16
&&
LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
3313 8969 3285 8987
$$
MSC089-163-151635-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-181115T1605Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181113T0515Z.181114T1630Z.181115T1245Z.NO/
1005 AM CST Thu Nov 15 2018
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Big Black River Near Bentonia.
* At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 6:45 AM Thursday.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and has fallen below flood stage.
It will fall to 19.6 by Saturday morning.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bentonia 22 21.9 Thu 09 AM 20.5 19.6 19.6 Below Flood Stage
&&
LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
3272 8996 3245 9052
$$
MSC049-149-151635-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-181115T1605Z/
/BOVM6.N.ER.181113T1615Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM CST Thu Nov 15 2018
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Big Black River Near Bovina.
* At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested and has fallen below flood stage.
The stage will fall to 25.6 by Saturday morning.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Lower Big Black River
Bovina 28 27.3 Thu 09 AM 26.8 25.6 24.4 Below Flood Stage
&&
LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
3218 9065 3204 9102
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 12, 6:53 AM CST, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 12, 6:53 AM CST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 653 AM CST Mon Nov 12 2018 .UPDATE... Updated for 12Z aviation discussion && .AVIATION... 12Z TAF discussion: Widespread IFR/LIFR conditions can be expected today through tonight in association with RA/TSRA and low ceilings/vsby. Northerly surface wind will pick up on the back side of the passing system and could become gusty late this afternoon and tonight. /EC/ && .DISCUSSION... Today and Tonight: With moist southwesterly flow over a cooler surface air mass in our region, fairly widespread and steady rain will continue across our forecast area this morning and into today. POPs have been kept in the 90-100 percent range through around lunch time. The greatest precip totals will be driven by frontogenetical forcing with a northward-lifting elevated warm front. A little bit of elevated instability will also allow for isolated heavier showers or thunderstorms to produce locally higher rainfall rates. Therefore we have a Limited risk for flash flooding across most of the area today. Apart from the flash flooding threat, ponding of water on roadways will be a threat, so be careful on the morning commute and while driving around today. The chances for rain won't start to decrease until later tonight as drier mid- level air moves overhead and isentropic lift weakens. A cold front pushing west to east through our region this afternoon and evening will usher in steadily decreasing temperatures into tomorrow morning. Temperatures in the Delta may briefly hit the freezing mark by sunrise, but cloud cover and strong north winds mean frost is not expected. Tuesday morning will be a cold morning out at the bus stop, as north winds of 10 to 20 mph and these cold temperatures will result in wind chills in the lower 30s as far south as the Natchez Trace corridor, and in the mid to low 20s through the Delta. /NF/ Tuesday through Sunday: Look for the chilly weather to continue through the end of the work week as an upper-level trough deepens and closes off over the ArkLaTex to our west on Tuesday. The trend toward this slower and closed off low pressure system means less of a threat for hard freeze conditions to local agricultural interests, but it also means the cool air will linger for a longer time across our region as reinforcing cold air advection will continue through Thursday. With model guidance trending toward this colder upper-low type of a system, it is also worth mentioning that the chances for some type of wintry precipitation occurring are slightly higher. Wrap around moisture being lifted through the mid-level portions of the system could lead to light precipitation spreading southeast to northwest early Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. Analyzing forecast soundings, it currently looks like a lack of upper-level moisture combined with warmer mid-level temperatures should keep the precip type as mostly light rain or drizzle where low-level dryness can be overcome. Closer to the core of the upper-low however, that light rain could fall into a surface air mass with temperatures near or just below freezing. Therefore some locations have a mention of light rain of light freezing rain during those periods. Possibly in the Delta, temperatures may be cold enough for a few flurries to mix in, however deep layer moisture looks to be lacking so "snow" is really not anticipated at this time. We will definitely monitor this system's evolution should any worsening conditions be a concern. Apart from precipitation concerns, more widespread conditions near freezing on Wednesday morning will lead to a an Elevated freezing risk for southeast Arkansas, far northeast Louisiana, and northern portions of Mississippi. Wind chills that morning will range from upper teens in the Delta to upper 20s through the Pine Belt. Cold temperatures (although lighter winds) will remain in place for Thursday morning. A slight warming trend in highs and lows will commence through the weekend, with values closer to normal for those days. /NF/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 54 38 41 32 / 100 67 30 17 Meridian 54 41 44 35 / 100 83 62 22 Vicksburg 52 37 40 31 / 100 67 17 14 Hattiesburg 64 44 46 36 / 91 84 75 42 Natchez 55 37 40 32 / 91 67 24 14 Greenville 48 34 40 29 / 100 73 15 14 Greenwood 50 35 41 30 / 100 67 15 14 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 12, 3:51 AM CST, 4 hours 42 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 351 AM CST Mon Nov 12 2018 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ019-025>066-072-131000- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland- Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Sunflower- Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw- Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee- Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren- Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson- Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence- Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion- 351 AM CST Mon Nov 12 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and south central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today Widespread rain and thunderstorms are expected through much of today. Periods of heavy rainfall could lead to localized flash flooding of low lying and urban areas. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Freezing temperatures are possible Tuesday night, mainly along and northwest of the Natchez Trace Parkway as colder air pours into the region. It is possible that a freeze warning will eventually be needed for portions of the outlook area. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations is not expected through next Sunday. MSZ018-131000- Bolivar- 351 AM CST Mon Nov 12 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Freezing temperatures are likely Tuesday night as colder air pours into the region. It is possible that a freeze warning will be needed. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations is not expected through next Sunday. MSZ073-074-131000- Lamar-Forrest- 351 AM CST Mon Nov 12 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Today Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected through much of today. Periods of heavy rainfall could lead to localized flash flooding of low lying and urban areas. A few of the storms could be severe and capable of producing damaging wind gusts. A tornado cannot be ruled out as well. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today. 21 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *FLOODING* Extreme...Confident in significant flooding. Significant...Significant flooding possible. Elevated...Confident in flooding. Limited...Flooding possible. *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected. Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant severe weather possible. Enhanced...Severe storms expected. Slight...Severe storms possible. Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Tropical page... https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan National Hurricane Center Home Page... https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES... Current Watches and Warnings... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain Observed Precipitation Images... https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps River Forecast Center... https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/ Significant River Flood Outlook... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml Excessive Rainfall Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html Day 1 through 7 QPF... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml QPF Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 8:32 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Neshoba | 49 hr |
| Nov 12, 8:32 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 11 hr |
| Nov 12, 8:33 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes | 3 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.