Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 7, NWS Jackson, MS

February 9, 2018Leake County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Feb 9, 2018, 9:07 AM CST for Leake County, Mississippi. It took effect at Feb 11, 2018, 3:00 AM CST. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 9, 2018, 9:07 AM CST (15:07 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 11, 2018, 3:00 AM CST
Expired
Feb 16, 2018, 10:47 AM CST
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Leake County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Yockanookany River near Ofahoma (OFAM6). The gauge peaked at 19.39 ft at Feb 15, 2018, 12:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderate152002/0902/1002/1102/1202/1302/1402/1502/1602/17
Action stage
18 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
23 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02484500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

408 
WGUS44 KJAN 091507
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
907 AM CST Fri Feb 9 2018


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-102107-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180211T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180211T0900Z.180214T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 AM CST Fri Feb 9 2018

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Saturday night until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Friday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Sunday morning and
  will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet on Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  18.4 Fri 09 AM  18.6  19.1  19.1  20.0 06 PM 02/13


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
14 follow-up statements
227 
WGUS84 KJAN 100135
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
735 PM CST Fri Feb 9 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-110735-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.2.ER.180209T0830Z.180215T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
735 PM CST Fri Feb 9 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until further notice.
* At 6:45 PM Friday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...The open air pavilion in Burnside Lake Water
  Park begins to flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Most of the camping areas and roadways in 
  Burnside Lake Water Park are covered by flood water.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.7 Fri 07 PM  13.8  13.6  13.9  16.0 06 PM 02/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-110734-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.180208T0500Z.180212T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
735 PM CST Fri Feb 9 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM Friday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet Monday
  morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Agricultural land along the river is 
  flooding.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  26.0 Fri 07 PM  25.9  26.1  26.5  26.5 06 AM 02/12


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-110734-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180211T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180211T1500Z.180213T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
735 PM CST Fri Feb 9 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Sunday morning until further notice.
* At 5:45 PM Friday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late Sunday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet early 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  18.3 Fri 06 PM  18.4  18.9  19.4  20.0 12 AM 02/14


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
466 
WGUS84 KJAN 101615
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1015 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-112215-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.180209T0830Z.180212T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.0 feet Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.6 Sat 10 AM  13.6  13.9  14.0  14.0 06 PM 02/12


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-112214-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180214T0900Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.180208T0500Z.180209T2115Z.180213T2100Z.NO/
1015 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until late Tuesday night.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow evening 
  and will continue to rise to near 25.5 feet early Monday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  23.3 Sat 10 AM  21.4  25.5  25.2  25.5 12 PM 02/12


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-112214-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180213T0130Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180213T0130Z.180214T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Monday evening until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Monday evening and
  will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet early Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  17.6 Sat 10 AM  18.4  18.8  19.6  20.0 12 PM 02/14


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
493 
WGUS84 KJAN 110212
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
812 PM CST Sat Feb 10 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County   
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-120812-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.180209T0830Z.180213T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
812 PM CST Sat Feb 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.0 feet Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.6 Sat 08 PM  13.7  13.9  13.9  14.0 06 PM 02/12


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-120812-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180213T1200Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.180208T0500Z.180209T2115Z.180213T0000Z.NO/
812 PM CST Sat Feb 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 21.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 25.5 feet tomorrow 
  evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  21.4 Sat 07 PM  24.3  25.4  24.6  25.5 06 PM 02/11


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-120812-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180212T2230Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180212T2230Z.180214T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
812 PM CST Sat Feb 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Monday afternoon until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Monday afternoon 
  and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  17.3 Sat 08 PM  17.4  18.3  19.7  20.0 06 AM 02/14


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC077-120811-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0010.180212T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.180212T1200Z.180213T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
812 PM CST Sat Feb 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM Saturday the stage was 21.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Monday morning and
  will continue to rise to near 22.5 feet early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and 
  agricultural land near the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  21.2 Sat 07 PM  21.5  22.0  22.5  22.5 12 AM 02/13


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$
146 
WGUS84 KJAN 111605
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1005 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-122205-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.180209T0830Z.180213T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.0 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.6 Sun 09 AM  13.9  14.0  13.8  14.0 06 PM 02/12


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-122205-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180213T1330Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180213T1330Z.180215T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  17.2 Sun 09 AM  17.5  18.9  19.8  20.0 06 PM 02/14


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC077-122205-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0010.180213T0600Z-180216T0600Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.180213T0600Z.180213T1200Z.180215T1800Z.NO/
1005 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from late Monday night to late Thursday night.
* At  9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 21.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest at 22.0 feet Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and 
  agricultural land near the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  21.3 Sun 09 AM  21.6  22.1  22.0  22.0 06 AM 02/13


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$
810 
WGUS84 KJAN 120217
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
817 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-130817-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180216T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.180209T0830Z.180210T0730Z.180216T0600Z.NO/
817 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM Sunday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will begin a very slow fall.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.5 Sun 08 PM  13.5  13.4  13.3 crested         


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-130817-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180213T1330Z-180217T0430Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180213T1330Z.180215T0000Z.180216T1630Z.NO/
817 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Tuesday morning to Friday evening.
* At 7:45 PM Sunday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Tuesday morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet Wednesday evening. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  17.2 Sun 08 PM  17.5  18.9  19.8  20.0 06 PM 02/14


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC077-130816-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0010.180213T0600Z-180217T0000Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.180213T0600Z.180213T1200Z.180216T1200Z.NO/
817 PM CST Sun Feb 11 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from late Monday night to Friday evening.
* At 7:15 PM Sunday the stage was 21.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Tuesday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 22.1 feet Tuesday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and 
  agricultural land near the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  21.5 Sun 07 PM  21.6  22.1  22.0  22.1 06 AM 02/13


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$
194 
WGUS84 KJAN 121544
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
944 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-132144-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180217T0600Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.180209T0830Z.180210T0730Z.180216T1800Z.NO/
944 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until late Friday night.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain fairly steady over the 24 hours.
  After that, the river should begin to slowly fall.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.5 Mon 09 AM  13.5  13.4  13.2              


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-132144-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180213T1030Z-180215T1200Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180213T1030Z.180214T0000Z.180215T0000Z.NO/
944 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late tonight to Thursday morning.
* At 8:45 AM Monday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and
  will continue to rise to near 19.5 feet  tomorrow evening. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  17.1 Mon 09 AM  19.1  19.3  18.7  19.5 06 PM 02/13


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
295 
WGUS84 KJAN 130212
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
812 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC079-140812-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180213T2136Z-180215T1200Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180213T2136Z.180214T0600Z.180215T0000Z.NO/
812 PM CST Mon Feb 12 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
  from Tuesday afternoon to Thursday morning.
* At  7:45 PM Monday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow afternoon
  and will continue to rise to near 19.5 feet  early Wednesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  17.2 Mon 08 PM  18.1  19.4  18.7  19.5 12 AM 02/14


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
506 
WGUS84 KJAN 131546
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
946 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-142146-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180216T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.180209T0830Z.180210T0730Z.180216T0600Z.NO/
946 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage early Friday morning.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.5 Tue 09 AM  13.3  13.1  12.9 Blo FS friday          


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-142146-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180214T1500Z-180216T1400Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180214T1500Z.180215T0600Z.180216T0200Z.NO/
946 AM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Wednesday morning to Friday morning.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 19.5 feet early Thursday
  morning. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  17.6 Tue 09 AM  18.8  19.5  18.6  19.5 12 AM 02/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
350 
WGUS84 KJAN 140156
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
756 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC079-150756-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180214T1500Z-180216T1400Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180214T1500Z.180215T0600Z.180216T0200Z.NO/
756 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Wednesday morning to Friday morning.
* At  6:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 19.5 feet  early Thursday
  morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river will occur.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  18.0 Tue 07 PM  18.8  19.5  18.6  19.5 12 AM 02/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
312 
WGUS84 KJAN 141458
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
858 AM CST Wed Feb 14 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-150600-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180215T0600Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.180209T0830Z.180210T0730Z.180214T1800Z.NO/
858 AM CST Wed Feb 14 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until late tonight.
* At  7:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage this afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.1 Wed 08 AM  12.8  12.4  12.0 Fall BLO FS Tda afn          


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-152058-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.180215T0000Z-180216T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180215T0000Z.180215T0000Z.180215T1200Z.NO/
858 AM CST Wed Feb 14 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from this evening to Thursday evening.
* At  7:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  18.6 Wed 08 AM  19.0  18.2  16.9  19.0 12 AM 02/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
802 
WGUS84 KJAN 150217
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
817 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC079-160817-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180216T0900Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180215T0015Z.180215T0600Z.180215T2100Z.NO/
817 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* Until late Thursday night.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.2 feet  
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  19.0 Wed 08 PM  19.2  18.4  17.2  19.2 06 AM 02/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
778 
WGUS84 KJAN 151614
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1014 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-162214-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180217T0600Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180215T0015Z.180215T1445Z.180216T1800Z.NO/
1014 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* until late Friday night.
* At 8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting and will begin to fall by tomorrow.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  19.4 Thu 09 AM  19.3  18.0  16.0     cresting          


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
237 
WGUS84 KJAN 160049
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
649 PM CST Thu Feb 15 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC079-170600-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180217T0600Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180215T0015Z.180215T2130Z.180216T1800Z.NO/
649 PM CST Thu Feb 15 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* until late Friday night.
* At 5:45 PM Thursday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  19.4 Thu 06 PM  19.3  18.0  16.0    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
019 
WGUS84 KJAN 161647
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1047 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2018


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-161717-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180217T0600Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.180215T0015Z.180215T2130Z.180216T1200Z.NO/
1047 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  6:00 AM Friday.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 16.9 feet tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  18.8 Fri 10 AM  16.9  13.7  11.0  Blo FS now         


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 9, 6:07 AM CST, 3 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 9, 6:07 AM CST, 3 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
607 AM CST Fri Feb 9 2018

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
VFR conditions will occur this morning but clouds will move in
through the afternoon. MVFR ceilings will occur and some light
rain will also be possible as a warm front moves north. IFR
ceilings will eventually move in with some of the heavier
rainfall. Another round of rain will move in during the pre-dawn
hours tomorrow morning and this will lead to heavy downpours and
continued MVFR to even LIFR ceilings during this time and reduced
vis. /28/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and tonight...

A period of wet weather will begin starting later today and
continuing through at least the weekend. The region will remain
under zonal to near southwesterly flow aloft, which will the
southwesterly flow aloft will become more pronounced through the
weekend as an upper trough digs south across west Texas. Through the
day today, southerly flow will increase across the region as a warm
front will lift north through the forecast area in association with
a surface low developed across the Texas Panhandle. As this occurs,
moisture will also drastically increase across the area. PW value
for KJAN off the 00Z sounding was around 0.28 inches, which will
increase to around 1.3 inches by this afternoon thanks to the warm
front intrusion. Clouds and some light rain will move into the
region as this feature progresses northward this afternoon. Rain
this afternoon should not be heavy and lighter in nature. This will
progress toward the Highway 82 corridor by this evening.

There could be some lull in any rain activity this evening and
overnight in portions of the forecast area. However, after midnight
and toward daybreak, additional showers and storms will move into
the area from the south and west thanks to an incoming disturbance
in the southwesterly flow. Coverage should be increasing toward 6am
with this activity, some of which may be heavy at times given PW
values will have increased to around 1.6-1.7 inches. Based on
climatology, this is about 225% of normal. Some instability will be
present with this activity and thus a few rumbles of thunder will be
possible. However, I expect most of the thunderstorm activity will
hold off until into the day Saturday. /28/

Saturday through next Thursday... A wet pattern will continue across
the forecast area through the long term period.  Beginning Saturday,
a trough will lift northeast out of South Texas and towards the
Lower Mississippi River Valley.  With a warm front already north of
the CWA, this will prompt a surface low to develop and lift
northeast into the forecast area.  As it does so, it'll drag a cold
front in the region, which will hang up across the CWA Saturday
night through at least Sunday evening. During this time, a couple of
disturbances aloft will likewise lift northeast in the vicinity of
the front and across the forecast area.  This will prompt a few
rounds of showers across the ArkLaMiss, with some thunderstorms
possible across mainly central and southern portions of the area.

With the presence of some marginal instability and deep wind shear,
an isolated severe storm could be possible across mainly locales
along and south of the Interstate 20 corridor Saturday through
Sunday.  Damaging wind gusts will be the biggest concern with the
most intense storms, but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
Also, given a couple of models, namely the GFS, are currently
advertising mid-level lapse rates around 7 C/km, with vertical
totals between 27-28, an isolated storm could perhaps produce hail
to the size of quarters overnight Saturday into Sunday.  Therefore,
I'll continue to advertise a "Marginal" risk for severe storms in
the HWO.

Despite this, the bigger concern currently looks to rest with the
potential for heavy rain throughout the course of the upcoming
weekend.  With the above described synoptic setup over the region,
in addition to good moisture transport and deep moisture across the
area, at least a couple of rounds of heavy rain look to lift
northeast across the forecast area.  This could result in rainfall
totals over the weekend in the 1-3 inch range, with locally higher
amounts possible. This, coupled with already saturated soils from
heavy rains that fell across the area this past Tuesday night and
Wednesday morning, could result in some flash flooding and river
flooding across the forecast area.  This too will continue to
highlighted in the HWO.

The front will finally get pushed a bit further south and out of the
CWA Monday.  High pressure and cooler drier air will advect into the
region during this time.  This currently looks to bring a brief end
to rain chances across the CWA, at least for a day.

Rain chances once again increase across the forecast area Tuesday,
and continue through Thursday as a warm front again lifts north
through the forecast area.  This will increase moisture over the
region as a series of disturbances aloft lift northeast through the
Lower Mississippi River Valley. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       62  55  70  61 /  49  73 100  90
Meridian      63  53  70  61 /  49  49 100  91
Vicksburg     61  55  70  56 /  52  80 100  86
Hattiesburg   67  58  73  62 /  41  55  88  78
Natchez       66  58  71  59 /  40  76  98  85
Greenville    58  52  65  49 /  51  85 100  81
Greenwood     63  55  67  53 /  42  85 100  89

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

28
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 9, 4:40 AM CST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
440 AM CST Fri Feb 9 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
092200-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-
Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
440 AM CST Fri Feb 9 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Locally heavy rainfall will once again be possible this weekend,
especially Saturday afternoon through Sunday. Rainfall totals
on the order of 1 to 3 inches, with locally higher amounts
possible, could result in flash flooding and river flooding over
the outlook area. This will especially be the case in areas were
soils are already saturated from recent heavy rains.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible for portions of Northeast
Louisiana, and portions of Mississippi, primarily along and south
of the Interstate 20 corridor, Saturday afternoon into Sunday.
Damaging winds gusts will be the primary concern with these
storms, but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. A storm or
two could also produce hail to the size of quarters Saturday
night into Sunday.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
into Sunday.

19

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

No short term hazards expected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 9, 7:36 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba6 days
Feb 9, 9:11 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Yazoo14 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.