River Flood Warning 45, NWS Jackson, MS

513 
WGUS84 KJAN 290120
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
820 PM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek, Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-300720-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0045.180330T2120Z-180401T2024Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.180330T2120Z.180331T1200Z.180401T0824Z.NO/
820 PM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from Friday afternoon to Sunday afternoon.
* There is no current observed data.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The creek will rise to 23.9 feet on Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road 
  south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near 
  Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is 
  occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23     M M          11.8  20.2  23.9  23.9 07 AM 03/31


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

921 
WGUS84 KJAN 291545
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1045 AM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
the Tombigbee River System which includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila
Creek, Noxubee River,and the Tombigbee River mainstem.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-302145-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0045.180331T0359Z-180401T0800Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.180331T0359Z.180331T1200Z.180331T2000Z.NO/
1045 AM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from Friday evening to late Saturday night.
* There is no current observed data.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The creek will rise to 23.2 Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road 
  south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near 
  Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is 
  occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23     M M          19.9  23.2  22.1  23.2 07 AM 03/31


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

801 
WGUS84 KJAN 300242
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
942 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek, Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River, and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-310842-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0045.180330T2145Z-180401T2100Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.180330T2145Z.180331T1200Z.180401T0900Z.NO/
942 PM CDT Thu Mar 29 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from Friday afternoon to Sunday afternoon.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road 
  south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near 
  Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is 
  occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23     M M          20.7  23.7  22.8  23.7 07 AM 03/31


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

660 
WGUS84 KJAN 301407
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
907 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-301437-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-180401T2100Z/
/TBBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee.
* There is no current observed data.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The creek will crest below flood stage at 21.9 feet 
  on Saturday morning.
&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23     M M          21.9  20.1  16.2  21.9 07 AM 03/31


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
551 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

...FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
Flight categories will continue to meander from VFR to MVFR
through much of the next 24 hours as a result of varying ceilings
heights, and visibilities from increasing showers and storms late
today into tonight. Winds will again be breezy from the south
southeast today around 13 knots, with gusts between 17-22 knots
possible. As an outflow boundary drops into the area this morning,
winds in its wake will become northwesterly for a brief period,
before again becoming southern. Winds will not become northerly on
a prolonged basis, until the front finally moves east through the
region on Thursday. Heavy rain is expected with today's convect,
especially across the Delta region. A few severe storms are also
possible late this afternoon into tonight. /19/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and Tonight:

A period of active weather is expected to begin unfolding across
the forecast area through the course of today and into tonight.
During this time, the potential for heavy rainfall resulting in
flash flooding is possible across much of the forecast area, but
is expected across a good bit of the CWA, northwest of the Natchez
Trace Parkway, where a Flash Flood Watch will be in effect as of
1 PM today. Across this watch area, rainfall amounts totaling 3 to
5 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts possible, as
at least a couple of waves of heavy rain affect that area near a
stalled boundary, but ahead of a slow moving cold front
approaching from the west.

There's still some question regarding exactly where this outflow
boundary will hang up across the region, but a good bit of data
suggests a more east northeast to west southwest oriented boundary
and over a bit longer duration.  This in turn would further promote
the potential for training of convection and thus flash flooding.
Based upon this, I've slightly expanded the Flash Flood Watch to
encompass a bit more of north central portion of the CWA.  As this
continues to unfold and new data becomes available, this watch could
again be expanded across the forecast area.

Elsewhere, as the front picks up some pace and begins shifting east
across the CWA late tonight, a widespread 1 to 3 inches of rain will
be possible across the remainder of the forecast area through. early
Thursday morning.  While rain chances increase from west to east
through the course of today, the better potential for heavy rain and
flash flooding will be from this afternoon through the overnight
hours tonight.

In addition, some severe storms could also be possible across mainly
western portions of the forecast area from late this afternoon into
tonight.  With the aforementioned boundary hung up across mainly the
northwest portion of the CWA, a piece of energy aloft looks to race
east northeast out of Central Louisiana and into the forecast area
this evening into tonight.  This disturbance will be ahead of the
front, in the warm sector, and traverse an area where some
instability, although waning, will exist.  Deep-layer shear will
also increase across the forecast area during this time.  As a
result, a few severe storms will be possible, again mainly over
western portions of the CWA where a broken line of storms could move
into that area from late afternoon into the evening.  Damaging wind
gusts will be the primary hazard with the most intense storms, but a
tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

While the squall-line's momentum could indeed carry any severe
threat further east into Central, East, and Southeast Mississippi
early Thursday morning, due to the diurnal minimum over the region
at that time and further loss of instability, activity should wane
in intensity the further east it gets.  However, rain will continue
to fall across the forecast area until the front finally shifts
through late Thursday. /19/

Thursday through next Tuesday:

An active start to to extended period is in store beginning Thursday
morning. By the morning, the heavy rain axis will continue to be
confined to the ArkLaMiss Delta. A deep longwave trough will be
helping a strong ~1005mb surface low and associated cold front
towards the area. Ahead of that, the continued southwest flow will
continue to feed deep moisture, some 2-3 standard deviations above
normal and nearly the 97-99th percentiles, with PWs approaching one
and a half to one and three quarters inch PWs. With flow being
nearly parallel to the boundary, expect most of the heaviest axis of
the rain to be confined to the ArkLaMiss Delta and confined along
and northwest of the Natchez Trace corridor. With such deep layer
moisture, potential for training and being convective, continue to
be pretty confident in flash flooding risk in the Delta. As the
main surface low ejects to the northeast through the morning,
expect the system to get more of a push to the east and become
more progressive. However, some of the hi-res CAM guidance seem to
depict more of a cold pool draping more east-northeast to
southwest, bringing heavy rain & flash flooding potential even
further south closer to central Mississippi and through northeast
Louisiana. Decided to go towards a blend with the heaviest
confined in the Delta, through the early morning hours & slowly
shifting east. As the trough swings through, expect the heavy
rain issue to continue as it progresses eastward, but with more of
a eastward push, expect the flash flood threat to lessen as the
storms move to the east and less training will occur. For now,
going to continue to advertise the highest flash flood threat with
an "Elevated" in the HWO in the Delta through Thursday, with
potential up to 3-5 inches through early Thursday evening, with
1-3 inches elsewhere in a "Limited" HWO area. Regardless, some of
the higher CAM totals and some further east-southeast push in the
cold pool is concerning and could bring more significant flash
flooding threat and further east, into mid-morning Thursday.
There is still some uncertainty on how far out of the Delta this
will occur, so only made those previous adjustments for now in the
HWO/graphics.

In addition, as the surface low ejects to the east-northeast, there
should be sufficient low-mid level shear (40kts & 55kts/ 0-1km & 0-
3km bulk shear, respectively) and enough moisture (dewpoints in the
mid 60s) and some lapse rates for some weak destabilization. One
limiting factor is how progressive some of the CAM guidance are
bringing the orientation of the cold pool to the east-southeast
and earlier in the morning closer to daybreak. Due to this,
adjusted the "Slight" area for severe storms in the HWO/graphics
just a tier to the south-east but left marginal elsewhere. In
addition, most of the destabilization and CWASP seem to be hitting
further in the south-east Pine Belt so adjusted accordingly. All
modes of severe weather are possible, except large hail, but
tornadoes can't be ruled out, especially in areas of any QLCS
structure or line breaks. Damaging wind will likely be the most
likely hazard, especially any storms/QLCS that can surge more to
the east.

Expect the cold front to move through by late Thursday evening and
drier air and clouds will gradually move out by Friday morning.
Expect slightly cooler and drier conditions through early weekend.
This will bring conditions slightly closer but just above normals.
As a deep trough and surface low swing through the Great Lakes,
another cold front will approach the northern Highway 82 corridor by
Sunday, which could bring some rain chances in the north. Kept rain
chances confined in that area as the forcing weakens as it surface
high moves to our north. There continues to be some inconsistencies
so will have to iron this out. In addition, another disturbance
could bring some better widespread rain and some storm chances
around early next week (~Tuesday) but models continue to have
some issues with the overall synoptic pattern so this seems low
confidence at this time. /DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       81  65  73  51 /  51  66  93  15
Meridian      81  66  74  51 /  21  32  91  26
Vicksburg     81  65  74  51 /  73  92  79  10
Hattiesburg   82  65  74  53 /  21  32  95  34
Natchez       82  66  73  52 /  59  78  88   9
Greenville    75  62  71  49 /  88 100  72  10
Greenwood     79  63  70  48 /  74 100  88  15

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Thursday
     evening for MSZ018-019-025>029-034>036-040>042.

LA...Flash Flood Watch from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Thursday
     evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-023.

AR...Flash Flood Watch from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Thursday
     evening for ARZ074-075.

&&

19

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
455 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-034-040-291000-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-Washington-Issaquena-
455 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, northwest Mississippi, and west
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Early evening through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Severe storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and a few
tornadoes will be possible Wednesday afternoon and evening mainly
west of the Interstate 55 corridor.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

Heavy rainfall is expected through the ArkLaMiss Delta region
Wednesday afternoon through early Thursday. Event total rainfall
amounts from 3 to 5 inches with isolated higher amounts are likely
from Wednesday night through early-midday Thursday. Flash
flooding and river flooding are expected during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Heavy rainfall is expected through the ArkLaMiss Delta region
Wednesday night through early Thursday. Event total rainfall
amounts from 3 to 5 inches with isolated higher amounts are likely
from Wednesday night through early-midday Thursday. Flash
flooding and river flooding are expected during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

In addition to flooding, severe storms capable of producing
damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible mainly
along and east of the Interstate 55 corridor and especially into
the Pine Belt on Thursday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

LAZ024>026-MSZ032-037-042-043-047-048-053-059>061-291000-
Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Choctaw-Attala-Yazoo-Madison MS-Warren-
Hinds-Claiborne-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
455 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, and west
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Early evening through Tonight

Heavy rainfall is expected Wednesday night through early
Thursday. Event total rainfall amounts from 1 to 3 inches with
isolated higher amounts are likely from Wednesday night through
early-midday Thursday. Flash flooding and river flooding are
possible during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

Severe storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and a few
tornadoes will be possible Wednesday afternoon and evening mainly
west of the Interstate 55 corridor.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Heavy rainfall is expected through the ArkLaMiss Delta region
Wednesday night through early Thursday. Event total rainfall
amounts from 3 to 5 inches with isolated higher amounts are likely
from Wednesday night through early-midday Thursday. Flash
flooding and river flooding are expected during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

In addition to flooding, severe storms capable of producing
damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible mainly
along and east of the Interstate 55 corridor and especially into
the Pine Belt on Thursday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Thursday.

MSZ026>029-291000-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-
455 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Early evening through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Isolated severe storms are possible Wednesday afternoon to
evening. These storms are capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and a tornado can't be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

Heavy rainfall is expected Wednesday afternoon through early
Thursday. Event total rainfall amounts from 3 to 5 inches with
isolated higher amounts are likely from Wednesday night through
early-midday Thursday. Flash flooding and river flooding are
expected during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Heavy rainfall is expected to continue Wednesday night through
early Thursday. Event total rainfall amounts from 3 to 5 inches
with isolated higher amounts are likely from Wednesday night
through early-midday Thursday. Flash flooding and river flooding
are expected during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

MSZ030-031-033-038-044-045-049-050-054-055-062-063-291000-
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Leake-Neshoba-Rankin-Scott-Copiah-
Simpson-Lincoln-Lawrence-
455 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Isolated severe storms are possible late Wednesday afternoon into
the evening. These storms are capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and a tornado can't be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

Heavy rainfall is expected Wednesday night through early
Thursday. Event total rainfall amounts from 1 to 3 inches with
isolated higher amounts are likely from Wednesday night through
early-midday Thursday. Flash flooding and river flooding are
possible during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Heavy rainfall is expected to continue Wednesday night through
early Thursday. Event total rainfall amounts from 1 to 3 inches
with isolated higher amounts are likely from Wednesday night
through early-midday Thursday. Flash flooding and river flooding
are possible during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

In addition to flooding, severe storms capable of producing
damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible mainly
along and east of the Interstate 55 corridor and especially into
the Pine Belt on Thursday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Thursday.

MSZ025-035-036-041-291000-
Leflore-Humphreys-Holmes-Sharkey-
455 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Tonight

Heavy rainfall is expected Wednesday afternoon through early
Thursday. Event total rainfall amounts from 3 to 5 inches with
isolated higher amounts are likely from Wednesday night through
early-midday Thursday. Flash flooding and river flooding are
expected during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Heavy rainfall is expected to continue Wednesday night through
early Thursday. Event total rainfall amounts from 3 to 5 inches
with isolated higher amounts are likely from Wednesday night
through early-midday Thursday. Flash flooding and river flooding
are expected during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

MSZ039-046-051-052-056>058-064>066-072>074-291000-
Noxubee-Kemper-Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-
Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
455 AM CDT Wed Mar 28 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Heavy rainfall is expected Wednesday afternoon through early
Thursday. Event total rainfall amounts from 1 to 3 inches with
isolated higher amounts are likely from Wednesday night through
early-midday Thursday. Flash flooding and river flooding are
possible during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Heavy rainfall is expected to continue Wednesday night through
early Thursday. Event total rainfall amounts from 1 to 3 inches
with isolated higher amounts are likely from Wednesday night
through early-midday Thursday. Flash flooding and river flooding
are possible during this timeframe.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

In addition to flooding, severe storms capable of producing
damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible mainly
along and east of the Interstate 55 corridor and especially into
the Pine Belt on Thursday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday.

23

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html