Alert archive / Louisiana / River Flood Warnings in 2018
River Flood Warning 22, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Feb 23, 2018, 12:03 PM CST for Avoyelles Parish, Catahoula Parish, Concordia Parish, Louisiana. It took effect at Mar 14, 2018, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for .
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 23, 2018, 12:03 PM CST (18:03 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 14, 2018, 7:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 2, 2018, 9:12 PM CST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Avoyelles Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA
The radar
The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Black River at Acme (ACML1).
- Action stage
- 47 ft
- Minor stage
- 48 ft
- Moderate stage
- 52 ft
- Major stage
- 58 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
106
WGUS44 KJAN 231803
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1203 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018
...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Louisiana...
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Today, 48 hours of forecast rainfall has been used
for the river forecasts due to expected weekend weather systems.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-250003-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1203 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Friday the stage was 34.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to slowly rise to near flood stage by
Wednesday March 14.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 34.3 Fri 11 AM 35.3 35.0 35.7 48.0 07 AM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$15 follow-up statements
581
WGUS84 KJAN 240334
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
934 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-250934-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Friday the stage was 34.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Wednesday March 14.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 34.7 Fri 08 PM 35.3 35.0 35.7 48.0 07 AM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$502
WGUS84 KJAN 241807
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1207 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-260007-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1207 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 35.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Wednesday March 14.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 35.8 Sat 11 AM 37.4 39.3 40.4 48.0 07 AM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$902
WGUS84 KJAN 250343
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
943 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-260943-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 36.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Wednesday March 14.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 36.2 Sat 08 PM 36.1 38.0 39.7 48.0 07 AM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$438
WGUS84 KJAN 251550
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
949 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-262149-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 36.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage by
Wednesday March 14.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 36.9 Sun 08 AM 38.6 40.0 40.9 48.0 07 AM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$600
WGUS84 KJAN 260238
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
838 PM CST Sun Feb 25 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-270838-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 PM CST Sun Feb 25 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 37.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Wednesday March 14.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 37.9 Sun 07 PM 38.6 40.0 40.9 48.0 07 AM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$726
WGUS84 KJAN 261851
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1251 PM CST Mon Feb 26 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-280051-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1251 PM CST Mon Feb 26 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 12:00 PM Monday the stage was 39.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage by
Wednesday March 14th.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 39.6 Mon 12 PM 41.2 42.0 42.4 48.0 07 AM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$884
WGUS84 KJAN 270316
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
916 PM CST Mon Feb 26 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-280916-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
916 PM CST Mon Feb 26 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Monday the stage was 40.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage by
Wednesday March 14.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 40.0 Mon 08 PM 40.0 41.0 41.6 48.0 07 AM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$159
WGUS84 KJAN 271654
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1054 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
The black River Foreca are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-282254-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1305Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1305Z.180317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1054 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 40.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday March 14
and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Saturday March 17.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 49.4 feet
on Mar 22 2016.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 40.6 Tue 10 AM 41.6 42.9 43.6 49.0 07 AM 03/17
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$551
WGUS84 KJAN 280313
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
913 PM CST Tue Feb 27 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
The Black River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-010913-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1234Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1234Z.180317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
913 PM CST Tue Feb 27 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 41.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday March 14
and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Saturday March 17.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 41.0 Tue 08 PM 41.6 42.9 43.6 49.0 07 AM 03/17
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$948
WGUS84 KJAN 281752
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1152 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-012352-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180316T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180316T0000Z.180319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1152 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Thursday March 15 until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 41.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday evening,
and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Monday morning.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 41.6 Wed 11 AM 42.6 43.5 44.0 49.0 07 AM 03/19
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$840
WGUS84 KJAN 010308
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
908 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-020908-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180315T2025Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180315T2025Z.180319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Thursday March 15 until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday March 15
and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Monday March 19th.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 49.4 feet
on Mar 22 2016.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 42.0 Wed 08 PM 42.6 43.5 44.0 49.0 07 AM 03/19
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$989
WGUS84 KJAN 011651
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1051 AM CST Thu Mar 1 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-022251-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180315T2340Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180315T2340Z.180319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1051 AM CST Thu Mar 1 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Thursday March 15 until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 42.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday March 15
and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Monday March 19.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 49.4 feet
on Mar 22 2016.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 42.5 Thu 10 AM 43.3 43.9 44.4 49.0 07 AM 03/19
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$750
WGUS84 KJAN 020231
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
831 PM CST Thu Mar 1 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-030831-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180316T0503Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180316T0503Z.180319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
831 PM CST Thu Mar 1 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Friday March 16 until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 42.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Friday March 16
and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Monday March 19.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 42.8 Thu 07 PM 43.1 43.6 44.0 49.0 07 AM 03/19
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$541
WGUS84 KJAN 021630
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1030 AM CST Fri Mar 2 2018
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-032230-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180315T0508Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180315T0508Z.180319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 AM CST Fri Mar 2 2018
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black River At Acme
* from Thursday March 15 until further notice.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 43.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday March 15
and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Monday March 19.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 49.4 feet
on Mar 22 2016.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 43.3 Fri 09 AM 44.1 44.7 45.2 49.0 07 AM 03/19
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$234
WGUS84 KJAN 030312
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
912 PM CST Fri Mar 2 2018
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Louisiana...
Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia
Parishes
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.
Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
LAC009-025-029-030342-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180303T0312Z/
/ACML1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM CST Fri Mar 2 2018
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Black River At Acme.
* At 8:00 PM Friday the stage was 43.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 46.5 feet
Wednesday March 07.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Black River
Acme 48 43.6 Fri 08 PM 44.1 44.7 45.2 46.5 Wed 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
3100 9165 3100 9173
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 23, 10:26 AM CST, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 10:26 AM CST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 1026 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018 ...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .UPDATE... Updated for morning discussion. && .DISCUSSION... The ArkLaMiss region remains entrenched beneath southwesterly flow aloft as a stout shortwave trough digs across the Desert Southwest and a subtropical ridge remains centered just off the southeast coast. The best moisture quality is located over the southern and western portions of the area this morning with a relative min in PWATs over east central Mississippi. However, a PWAT max located over Lake Pontchartrain will advect in to southern Mississippi along with positive ThetaE advection. There is already an area of ongoing convection associated with this moisture max and latest hi-res guidance is in agreement that this activity will spread north through the afternoon across much of the area. While the thermodynamic environment is supportive of severe weather, the shear profiles are weak and marginal. Nonetheless, a few strong and perhaps an isolated severe thunderstorm will be possible this afternoon. Additionally, these storms will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall so isolated flash flooding concerns cannot be ruled out, especially along and northwest of the Natchez Trace corridor and in the Delta where the heaviest rain has fallen over the last few days. Will continue to highlight this potential with the ongoing flooding threat in the HWO/graphics. Made a few tweaks to PoPs and max temps, but otherwise the ongoing forecast is still on track. /TW/ Prior discussion below: Today and tonight...No real changes to the forecast. The boundary remains just to the west of the CWA, where rain and a few thunderstorms were training over the same areas. For now, it still looks like the best flooding risk will remain over the Delta region, where a few streams were out of their banks and standing water remains on roadways. The models seemed to be a few hours showers with the development of convection this afternoon. Thinking showers will be isolated at best through early afternoon and become more scattered in nature as the wave gets closer. The best rain chances seem to be tonight. The models keep the boundary west of the region, but agree a wave will move out of the gulf, bringing rain and a few thunderstorms. With rain so close to counties in the west that have standing water, left elevated risk for flash flooding in the hwo. The grounds are saturated across the entire area with lots of poor drainage area, so also kept the limited flooding in for the rest of the area generally north of 20. It looks like the heavier rain won't move in before Saturday. Stuck with guidance for temps, above normal values in the lower mid 80s should hold on through today, near record breaking again. Saturday through Thursday night...Looks like a very active and wet extended period in store for the ArkLaMiss. The strong ridge that has been over the area will finally begin to break down on Saturday as a strong short wave approaches the area. The big factor on Saturday afternoon and evening will be the gusty southerly winds. The strongest winds will be over the delta, where winds may approach wind advisory criteria, with gusts to 40 mph possible. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible Saturday afternoon and evening, but expect the bulk of the activity to occur Saturday evening through early Sunday morning, as the short wave and associated cold front move across the area. Expect a fast moving QLCS to move across the area during this period, and with strong pressure falls, 50-55kts of deep layer shear and good instability, some of the storms will be strong to severe. The main risk for severe looks like it will generally be along and north of the I-20 corridor, but there will be an enhanced risk for portions of the delta. Will continue to highlight these areas in the HWO, and also upgrade portions of the delta to an enhanced risk. The boundary gets hung up over the area on Sunday, with another short wave and associated surface low moving over the area Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. There are significant differences between the GFS/ECMWF on rainfall amounts and how far north the precipitation develops across the area during this period. The ECMWF is much further north and heavier, with around 1.0 to 1.5 inches of rain Sunday and Sunday night, while the gfs is much lighter and further south. The Canadian model is also towards the lighter side. WPC guidance leans towards the heavier ECMWF, so will go with this guidance for now. Due to the potential of more rain Saturday night and Sunday, will continue to advertise a limited threat for Flooding in the graphicast and HWO through the weekend. We will finally get a break on Monday as cool high pressure builds across the area, with high temperatures climbing to around 70 degrees. Overnight lows will fall into the 40s for much of the area by Tuesday morning. Surface high pressure will continue to prevail Monday night into Tuesday, but moisture will begin to increase once again on Tuesday as the surface flow becomes more southerly. Another round of showers and thunderstorms will move across the area Tuesday afternoon through early Wednesday as another short wave moves across the area. The active weather pattern will continue on Thursday as another stronger short wave and associated cold front brings one more round of storms. /15/ && .AVIATION... 12Z TAF discussion: will continue to bring rain in this afternoon at most locations and continue it into early saturday. LIFR/MVFR will prevail at most locations after 21z. No real forecast changes, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms expected. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 81 66 82 56 / 65 58 45 88 Meridian 82 65 81 61 / 39 46 46 72 Vicksburg 81 66 84 54 / 71 48 46 75 Hattiesburg 81 66 83 65 / 59 46 37 55 Natchez 79 67 83 58 / 83 50 45 85 Greenville 76 65 80 51 / 60 75 67 92 Greenwood 80 66 81 53 / 54 72 64 79 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && TW/07/15
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 5:13 AM CST, 6 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 513 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>027-034-035-241115- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Bolivar- Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Washington-Humphreys- 513 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today through Tonight An elevated threat for flash flooding exists for the Delta region today and tonight due to periods of heavy rainfall falling on soaked ground. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday An elevated threat for flash flooding will continue over the Delta through Monday morning, due to periods of heavy rainfall falling on soaked ground. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) Sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph with wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected for extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of east central Mississippi, portions of southwest Mississippi, west central Mississippi, central Mississippi, northeast Louisiana, and all of north central Mississippi Saturday through Saturday night. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png) There is an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts, quarter sized hail and tornadoes for portions of the delta Saturday night into early Sunday morning. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday night. LAZ015-016-MSZ028>033-036>052-241115- Richland-Madison LA-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw- Oktibbeha-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo- Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton- Lauderdale- 513 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight Locally heavy rainfall will be possible for portions of the outlook area where a limited threat for flash flooding exists, primarily for areas along and north of the I-20 corridor. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Locally heavy rainfall will continue to be possible through Monday morning, for portions of the outlook area where a limited threat for flash flooding exists, primarily for areas along and north of the I-20 corridor. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) Sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph with wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected for extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of east central Mississippi, portions of southwest Mississippi, west central Mississippi, central Mississippi, northeast Louisiana, and all of north central Mississippi Saturday through Saturday night. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png) A slight risk for severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes exists, generally along and north of the Interstate 20 corridor for mainly Saturday night into early Sunday morning. A marginal risk for a few severe storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts exists generally south of Interstate 20 for the same time. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday night. LAZ023>026-MSZ053>066-072>074-241115- Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson- Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence- Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest- 513 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and south central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph with wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected for extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of east central Mississippi, portions of southwest Mississippi, west central Mississippi, central Mississippi, northeast Louisiana, and all of north central Mississippi Saturday through Saturday night. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png) A slight risk for severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes exists generally along and north of the Interstate 20 corridor for mainly Saturday night into early Sunday morning. A marginal risk for a few severe storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts exists generally south of Interstate 20 for the same time. (www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday night. 15 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *FLOODING* Extreme...Confident in significant flooding. Significant...Significant flooding possible. Elevated...Confident in flooding. Limited...Flooding possible. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Find NWS JAN on Facebook... www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES... Current Watches and Warnings... www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain Observed Precipitation Images... www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps River Forecast Center... www.weather.gov/lmrfc/ Significant River Flood Outlook... www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall... www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml Excessive Rainfall Discussion... www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html Day 1 through 7 QPF... www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml QPF Discussion... www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 3:18 PM CST | Wind Advisory | JAN | East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll | 28 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.