Alert archive / Louisiana / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 22, NWS Jackson, MS

February 23, 2018Avoyelles Parish, Catahoula Parish, Concordia Parish, Louisiana

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Feb 23, 2018, 12:03 PM CST for Avoyelles Parish, Catahoula Parish, Concordia Parish, Louisiana. It took effect at Mar 14, 2018, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for .

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 23, 2018, 12:03 PM CST (18:03 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 14, 2018, 7:00 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 2, 2018, 9:12 PM CST
In force
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Avoyelles Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA

The radar

The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Black River at Acme (ACML1).

Action stage
47 ft
Minor stage
48 ft
Moderate stage
52 ft
Major stage
58 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

106 
WGUS44 KJAN 231803
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1203 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Louisiana... 

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Today, 48 hours of forecast rainfall has been used
for the river forecasts due to expected weekend weather systems.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-250003-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1203 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Friday the stage was 34.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to slowly rise to near flood stage by
  Wednesday March 14.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  34.3 Fri 11 AM  35.3  35.0  35.7  48.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
15 follow-up statements
581 
WGUS84 KJAN 240334
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
934 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana..

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-250934-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
934 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 34.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Wednesday March 14.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  34.7 Fri 08 PM  35.3  35.0  35.7  48.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
502 
WGUS84 KJAN 241807
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1207 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana..

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-260007-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1207 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 35.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Wednesday March 14.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  35.8 Sat 11 AM  37.4  39.3  40.4  48.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
902 
WGUS84 KJAN 250343
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
943 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana..

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-260943-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 36.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Wednesday March 14.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  36.2 Sat 08 PM  36.1  38.0  39.7  48.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
438 
WGUS84 KJAN 251550
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
949 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana..

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-262149-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At  8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 36.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage by
  Wednesday March 14.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  36.9 Sun 08 AM  38.6  40.0  40.9  48.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
600 
WGUS84 KJAN 260238
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
838 PM CST Sun Feb 25 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana..

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-270838-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 PM CST Sun Feb 25 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 37.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Wednesday March 14.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  37.9 Sun 07 PM  38.6  40.0  40.9  48.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
726 
WGUS84 KJAN 261851
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1251 PM CST Mon Feb 26 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana..

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-280051-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1251 PM CST Mon Feb 26 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 12:00 PM Monday the stage was 39.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage by 
  Wednesday March 14th.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  39.6 Mon 12 PM  41.2  42.0  42.4  48.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
884 
WGUS84 KJAN 270316
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
916 PM CST Mon Feb 26 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana..

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-280916-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1200Z.180314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
916 PM CST Mon Feb 26 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 40.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage by
  Wednesday March 14.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  40.0 Mon 08 PM  40.0  41.0  41.6  48.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
159 
WGUS84 KJAN 271654
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1054 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

The black River Foreca are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-282254-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1305Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1305Z.180317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1054 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 40.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday March 14
  and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Saturday March 17.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 49.4 feet
  on Mar 22 2016.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  40.6 Tue 10 AM  41.6  42.9  43.6  49.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
551 
WGUS84 KJAN 280313
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
913 PM CST Tue Feb 27 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

The Black River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-010913-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180314T1234Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180314T1234Z.180317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
913 PM CST Tue Feb 27 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Wednesday March 14 until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 41.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday March 14
  and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Saturday March 17.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  41.0 Tue 08 PM  41.6  42.9  43.6  49.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
948 
WGUS84 KJAN 281752
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1152 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-012352-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180316T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180316T0000Z.180319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1152 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Thursday March 15 until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 41.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday evening, 
  and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Monday morning.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  41.6 Wed 11 AM  42.6  43.5  44.0  49.0 07 AM 03/19


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
840 
WGUS84 KJAN 010308
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
908 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-020908-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180315T2025Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180315T2025Z.180319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Thursday March 15 until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday March 15 
  and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Monday March 19th.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 49.4 feet
  on Mar 22 2016.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  42.0 Wed 08 PM  42.6  43.5  44.0  49.0 07 AM 03/19


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
989 
WGUS84 KJAN 011651
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1051 AM CST Thu Mar 1 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-022251-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180315T2340Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180315T2340Z.180319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1051 AM CST Thu Mar 1 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Thursday March 15 until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 42.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday March 15 
  and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Monday March 19.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 49.4 feet
  on Mar 22 2016.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  42.5 Thu 10 AM  43.3  43.9  44.4  49.0 07 AM 03/19


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
750 
WGUS84 KJAN 020231
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
831 PM CST Thu Mar 1 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-030831-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180316T0503Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180316T0503Z.180319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
831 PM CST Thu Mar 1 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Friday March 16 until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 42.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Friday March 16 
  and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Monday March 19.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  42.8 Thu 07 PM  43.1  43.6  44.0  49.0 07 AM 03/19


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
541 
WGUS84 KJAN 021630
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1030 AM CST Fri Mar 2 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-032230-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.180315T0508Z-000000T0000Z/
/ACML1.1.ER.180315T0508Z.180319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 AM CST Fri Mar 2 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River At Acme
* from Thursday March 15 until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 43.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday March 15 
  and will continue to rise to near 49.0 feet Monday March 19.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 49.4 feet
  on Mar 22 2016.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is occurring near the
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  43.3 Fri 09 AM  44.1  44.7  45.2  49.0 07 AM 03/19


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$
234 
WGUS84 KJAN 030312
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
912 PM CST Fri Mar 2 2018


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Louisiana...
 
  Black River At Acme affecting Avoyelles...Catahoula and Concordia 
  Parishes

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Mississippi River forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred 
and that which is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

LAC009-025-029-030342-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180303T0312Z/
/ACML1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM CST Fri Mar 2 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Black River At Acme.
* At 8:00 PM Friday the stage was 43.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 46.5 feet 
  Wednesday March 07.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Black River 
Acme           48  43.6 Fri 08 PM  44.1  44.7  45.2  46.5  Wed 03/14   


&&


LAT...LON 3120 9208 3139 9199 3141 9168 3124 9166
      3100 9165 3100 9173             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 23, 10:26 AM CST, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 10:26 AM CST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1026 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.UPDATE...
Updated for morning discussion.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

The ArkLaMiss region remains entrenched beneath southwesterly flow
aloft as a stout shortwave trough digs across the Desert
Southwest and a subtropical ridge remains centered just off the
southeast coast. The best moisture quality is located over the
southern and western portions of the area this morning with a
relative min in PWATs over east central Mississippi. However, a
PWAT max located over Lake Pontchartrain will advect in to
southern Mississippi along with positive ThetaE advection. There
is already an area of ongoing convection associated with this
moisture max and latest hi-res guidance is in agreement that this
activity will spread north through the afternoon across much of
the area. While the thermodynamic environment is supportive of
severe weather, the shear profiles are weak and marginal.
Nonetheless, a few strong and perhaps an isolated severe
thunderstorm will be possible this afternoon. Additionally, these
storms will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall so
isolated flash flooding concerns cannot be ruled out, especially
along and northwest of the Natchez Trace corridor and in the Delta
where the heaviest rain has fallen over the last few days. Will
continue to highlight this potential with the ongoing flooding
threat in the HWO/graphics. Made a few tweaks to PoPs and max
temps, but otherwise the ongoing forecast is still on track. /TW/

Prior discussion below:

Today and tonight...No real changes to the forecast. The boundary
remains just to the west of the CWA, where rain and a few
thunderstorms were training over the same areas. For now, it still
looks like the best flooding risk will remain over the Delta
region, where a few streams were out of their banks and standing
water remains on roadways. The models seemed to be a few hours
showers with the development of convection this afternoon.
Thinking showers will be isolated at best through early afternoon
and become more scattered in nature as the wave gets closer. The
best rain chances seem to be tonight. The models keep the boundary
west of the region, but agree a wave will move out of the gulf,
bringing rain and a few thunderstorms. With rain so close to
counties in the west that have standing water, left elevated risk
for flash flooding in the hwo. The grounds are saturated across
the entire area with lots of poor drainage area, so also kept the
limited flooding in for the rest of the area generally north of
20. It looks like the heavier rain won't move in before Saturday.
Stuck with guidance for temps, above normal values in the lower
mid 80s should hold on through today, near record breaking again.

Saturday through Thursday night...Looks like a very active and wet
extended period in store for the ArkLaMiss. The strong ridge that
has been over the area will finally begin to break down on Saturday
as a strong short wave approaches the area. The big factor on
Saturday afternoon and evening will be the gusty southerly winds.
The strongest winds will be over the delta, where winds may approach
wind advisory criteria, with gusts to 40 mph possible. Isolated to
scattered showers and storms will be possible Saturday afternoon and
evening, but expect the bulk of the activity to occur Saturday
evening through early Sunday morning, as the short wave and
associated cold front move across the area. Expect a fast moving
QLCS to move across the area during this period, and with strong
pressure falls, 50-55kts of deep layer shear and good instability,
some of the storms will be strong to severe. The main risk for
severe looks like it will generally be along and north of the I-20
corridor, but there will be an enhanced risk for portions of the
delta. Will continue to highlight these areas in the HWO, and also
upgrade portions of the delta to an enhanced risk.

The boundary gets hung up over the area on Sunday, with another
short wave and associated surface low moving over the area Sunday
afternoon into Sunday night. There are significant differences
between the GFS/ECMWF on rainfall amounts and how far north the
precipitation develops across the area during this period. The ECMWF
is much further north and heavier, with around 1.0 to 1.5 inches of
rain Sunday and Sunday night, while the gfs is much lighter and
further south. The Canadian model is also towards the lighter side.
WPC guidance leans towards the heavier ECMWF, so will go with this
guidance for now. Due to the potential of more rain Saturday night
and Sunday, will continue to advertise a limited threat for Flooding
in the graphicast and HWO through the weekend.

We will finally get a break on Monday as cool high pressure builds
across the area, with high temperatures climbing to around 70
degrees. Overnight lows will fall into the 40s for much of the area
by Tuesday morning. Surface high pressure will continue to prevail
Monday night into Tuesday, but moisture will begin to increase once
again on Tuesday as the surface flow becomes more southerly. Another
round of showers and thunderstorms will move across the area Tuesday
afternoon through early Wednesday as another short wave moves across
the area. The active weather pattern will continue on Thursday as
another stronger short wave and associated cold front brings one
more round of storms. /15/

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
will continue to bring rain in this afternoon at most locations
and continue it into early saturday. LIFR/MVFR will prevail at
most locations after 21z. No real forecast changes, scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       81  66  82  56 /  65  58  45  88
Meridian      82  65  81  61 /  39  46  46  72
Vicksburg     81  66  84  54 /  71  48  46  75
Hattiesburg   81  66  83  65 /  59  46  37  55
Natchez       79  67  83  58 /  83  50  45  85
Greenville    76  65  80  51 /  60  75  67  92
Greenwood     80  66  81  53 /  54  72  64  79

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

TW/07/15
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 5:13 AM CST, 6 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
513 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>027-034-035-241115-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Washington-Humphreys-
513 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

An elevated threat for flash flooding exists for the Delta region
today and tonight due to periods of heavy rainfall falling on
soaked ground.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

An elevated threat for flash flooding will continue over the
Delta through Monday morning, due to periods of heavy rainfall
falling on soaked ground.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

Sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph with wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph
are expected for extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of east
central Mississippi, portions of southwest Mississippi, west
central Mississippi, central Mississippi, northeast Louisiana, and
all of north central Mississippi Saturday through Saturday night.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

There is an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms capable of
producing damaging wind gusts, quarter sized hail and tornadoes
for portions of the delta Saturday night into early Sunday
morning.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
night.

LAZ015-016-MSZ028>033-036>052-241115-
Richland-Madison LA-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-
Oktibbeha-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-
Lauderdale-
513 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Locally heavy rainfall will be possible for portions of the
outlook area where a limited threat for flash flooding exists,
primarily for areas along and north of the I-20 corridor.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Locally heavy rainfall will continue to be possible through
Monday morning, for portions of the outlook area where a limited
threat for flash flooding exists, primarily for areas along and
north of the I-20 corridor.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

Sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph with wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph
are expected for extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of east
central Mississippi, portions of southwest Mississippi, west
central Mississippi, central Mississippi, northeast Louisiana, and
all of north central Mississippi Saturday through Saturday night.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

A slight risk for severe thunderstorms capable of producing
damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes exists, generally along
and north of the Interstate 20 corridor for mainly Saturday night
into early Sunday morning. A marginal risk for a few severe storms
capable of producing damaging wind gusts exists generally south of
Interstate 20 for the same time.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
night.

LAZ023>026-MSZ053>066-072>074-241115-
Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-
Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
513 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph with wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph
are expected for extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of east
central Mississippi, portions of southwest Mississippi, west
central Mississippi, central Mississippi, northeast Louisiana, and
all of north central Mississippi Saturday through Saturday night.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image4.png)

A slight risk for severe thunderstorms capable of producing
damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes exists generally along
and north of the Interstate 20 corridor for mainly Saturday night
into early Sunday morning. A marginal risk for a few severe storms
capable of producing damaging wind gusts exists generally south of
Interstate 20 for the same time.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
night.

15

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 23, 3:18 PM CSTWind AdvisoryJANEast Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll28 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.