Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 103, NWS Jackson, MS

December 7, 2018Attala County, Holmes County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Dec 7, 2018, 10:33 AM CST for Attala County, Holmes County, Mississippi. It took effect at Dec 8, 2018, 12:55 PM CST. It was in force for 70 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 7, 2018, 10:33 AM CST (16:33 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 8, 2018, 12:55 PM CST
Expired
Dec 11, 2018, 10:44 AM CST
In force
70 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Attala County, MS, Holmes County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big Black River at West (WSTM6). The gauge peaked at 14.82 ft at Dec 10, 2018, 8:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderate510152012/0712/0812/0912/1012/1112/12
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
20 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07289350, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

058 
WGUS44 KJAN 071633
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1033 AM CST Fri Dec 7 2018


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-082232-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0103.181208T1855Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181208T1855Z.181209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST Fri Dec 7 2018

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Big Black River At West
* from Saturday afternoon until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...With 3 to 3.5 inches of rainfall expected over the next
  36 hours, the river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 18.0 feet Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15   4.2 Fri 10 AM   9.9  18.0  17.6  18.0 06 AM 12/09


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-082232-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0104.181209T1636Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181209T1636Z.181210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST Fri Dec 7 2018

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* from Sunday morning until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Friday the stage was 6.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...With 3 to 3.5 inches of rainfall expected over the next
  36 hours, the river will rise above flood stage late Sunday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 23.5 feet Monday morning.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to 
  flood.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Low lying woodland areas along the river 
  begins to flood.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor low land flooding occurs along the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22   6.4 Fri 10 AM   6.9  21.0  23.5  23.5 06 AM 12/10


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-082232-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0105.181209T1129Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181209T1129Z.181210T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM CST Fri Dec 7 2018

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* from late Saturday night until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Friday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...With 3 inches of rainfall expected over the next
  36 hours, the river will rise above flood stage Sunday morning and
  will continue to rise to near 30.0 feet Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural land near the river 
  begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28   8.4 Fri 10 AM   9.7  28.3  29.8  30.0 06 PM 12/09


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
8 follow-up statements
353 
WGUS44 KJAN 080205
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
805 PM CST Fri Dec 7 2018



  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecastrainfall for the next 24 hours. Rainfall 
amounts greater than forecast may take the rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-090806-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0103.181208T1855Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181208T1855Z.181209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
805 PM CST Fri Dec 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Big Black River At West.
* from Saturday afternoon until further notice.
* At  6:45 PM Friday the stage was 4.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 18.0 feet Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15   4.1 Fri 07 PM   9.5  18.0  17.6  18.0 06 AM 12/09


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-090806-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0104.181209T1636Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181209T1636Z.181210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
805 PM CST Fri Dec 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Big Black River Near Bentonia.
* from Sunday morning until further notice.
* At  7:15 PM Friday the stage was 6.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late Sunday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 23.5 feet early Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to 
  flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22   6.4 Fri 07 PM   6.9  21.0  23.5  23.5 12 AM 12/10


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-090806-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0105.181209T1129Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181209T1129Z.181210T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
805 PM CST Fri Dec 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Big Black River Near Bovina.
* from late Saturday night until further notice.
* At  7:15 PM Friday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Sunday morning and
  will continue to rise to near 30.0 feet Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural land near the river 
  begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28   8.3 Fri 07 PM   9.7  28.3  29.8  30.0 06 PM 12/09


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
095 
WGUS84 KJAN 081548
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
948 AM CST Sat Dec 8 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-092147-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0103.181209T0104Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181209T0104Z.181209T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
948 AM CST Sat Dec 8 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from this evening until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM Saturday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this evening and 
  will continue to rise to near 18.0 feet tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15   4.4 Sat 09 AM  17.8  18.0  17.9  18.0 06 PM 12/09


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-092147-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0104.181209T1556Z-181213T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181209T1556Z.181210T0000Z.181212T1200Z.NO/
948 AM CST Sat Dec 8 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* from Sunday morning to Wednesday evening.
* At 9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 23.5 feet tomorrow 
  evening.  
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to 
  flood.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Low lying woodland areas along the river 
  begins to flood.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22   6.9 Sat 09 AM  19.9  23.2  22.6  23.5 06 PM 12/09


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-092147-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.181209T2140Z-181213T0300Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181209T2140Z.181210T0600Z.181212T1500Z.NO/
948 AM CST Sat Dec 8 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* from Sunday afternoon to Wednesday evening.
* At 9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow afternoon
  and will continue to rise to near 30.0 feet early Monday morning.  
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural land near the river 
  begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28   8.6 Sat 09 AM  20.4  29.9  29.0  30.0 12 AM 12/10


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
550 
WGUS84 KJAN 090046
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
646 PM CST Sat Dec 8 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-100645-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0103.181209T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181209T0600Z.181209T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
646 PM CST Sat Dec 8 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At 5:45 PM Saturday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 18.0 feet early 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15   9.0 Sat 06 PM  17.8  17.3  17.3  18.0 12 PM 12/09


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-100645-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0104.181209T0828Z-181213T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181209T0828Z.181209T1800Z.181212T1200Z.NO/
646 PM CST Sat Dec 8 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* from late tonight to Wednesday evening.
* At 6:15 PM Saturday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 23.5 feet early 
  tomorrow afternoon.  
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to 
  flood.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Low lying woodland areas along the river 
  begins to flood.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor low land flooding occurs along the 
  river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  16.5 Sat 06 PM  23.0  23.3  22.7  23.5 12 PM 12/09


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-100645-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.181209T1118Z-181213T0200Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181209T1118Z.181210T0000Z.181212T1400Z.NO/
646 PM CST Sat Dec 8 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* from late tonight to Wednesday evening.
* At 6:15 PM Saturday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and
  will continue to rise to near 30.0 feet tomorrow evening.  
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural land near the river 
  begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  19.5 Sat 06 PM  28.3  29.8  29.1  30.0 06 PM 12/09


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
049 
WGUS84 KJAN 091644
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1044 AM CST Sun Dec 9 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 
  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-102243-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181210T0900Z.181212T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 AM CST Sun Dec 9 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM Sunday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and
  will continue to rise to near 18.0 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  13.6 Sun 10 AM  15.3  17.4  18.0  18.0 06 AM 12/12


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-102243-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-181213T0600Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181210T0345Z.181211T0000Z.181212T1800Z.NO/
1044 AM CST Sun Dec 9 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 10:15 AM Sunday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tonight and will 
  continue to rise to near 23.5 feet tomorrow evening.  
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to 
  flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  20.3 Sun 10 AM  22.9  23.2  22.2  23.5 06 PM 12/10


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-102243-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-181214T0400Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181211T0300Z.181212T0000Z.181213T1600Z.NO/
1044 AM CST Sun Dec 9 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until Thursday evening.
* At 10:15 AM Sunday the stage was 23.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tomorrow 
  evening  and will continue to rise to near 30.0 feet early 
  Wednesday morning.  
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Low lying agricultural land near the river 
  is flooded.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  23.9 Sun 10 AM  26.3  29.0  29.7  30.0 12 AM 12/12


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
569 
WGUS84 KJAN 100028
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
628 PM CST Sun Dec 9 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties  
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-110628-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181210T0712Z.181212T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
628 PM CST Sun Dec 9 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until further notice.
* At 5:45 PM Sunday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 18.0 feet 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  14.3 Sun 06 PM  15.4  17.4  18.0  18.0 06 AM 12/12


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-110628-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-181213T0600Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181210T0600Z.181211T0000Z.181212T1800Z.NO/
628 PM CST Sun Dec 9 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 6:15 PM Sunday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 23.5 feet 
  tomorrow evening.  
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to 
  flood.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Low lying woodland areas along the river 
  begins to flood.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  21.1 Sun 06 PM  22.7  23.2  22.2  23.5 06 PM 12/10


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-110628-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-181214T0400Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181211T0300Z.181212T0600Z.181213T1600Z.NO/
628 PM CST Sun Dec 9 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until Thursday evening.
* At 6:15 PM Sunday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tomorrow 
  evening  and will continue to rise to near 30.0 feet early 
  Wednesday morning.  
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural land near the river 
  begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  24.6 Sun 06 PM  26.3  29.0  29.7  30.0 12 AM 12/12


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
919 
WGUS84 KJAN 101713
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1113 AM CST Mon Dec 10 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-112314-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-181213T0730Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181211T0900Z.181212T0000Z.181212T1930Z.NO/
1113 AM CST Mon Dec 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 10:45 AM Monday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and
  will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet early Wednesday morning.  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  14.8 Mon 11 AM  15.2  15.7  12.7  16.0 12 AM 12/12


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-112314-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-181212T0600Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181210T1052Z.181211T0000Z.181211T1800Z.NO/
1113 AM CST Mon Dec 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until late Tuesday night.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet this 
  evening.  

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  22.2 Mon 10 AM  22.3  20.9  19.7  22.5 06 PM 12/10


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-112314-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-181213T1630Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181211T1800Z.181212T0600Z.181213T0430Z.NO/
1113 AM CST Mon Dec 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until Thursday morning.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet early 
  Wednesday morning.  
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural land near the river 
  begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  25.4 Mon 10 AM  27.3  29.0  27.6  29.0 12 AM 12/12


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
277 
WGUS84 KJAN 110054
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
654 PM CST Mon Dec 10 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties  
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-120654-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-181213T0730Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.181211T0936Z.181212T0000Z.181212T1930Z.NO/
654 PM CST Mon Dec 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 5:45 PM Monday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow and
  will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet tomorrow evening.  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  14.5 Mon 06 PM  15.2  15.7  12.7  16.0 06 PM 12/11


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-120600-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-181212T0600Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.181210T1052Z.181211T0600Z.181211T1800Z.NO/
654 PM CST Mon Dec 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until late Tuesday night.
* At 6:15 PM Monday the stage was 22.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet just 
  after midnight tonight.  
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Low lying woodland areas along the river 
  begins to flood.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor low land flooding occurs along the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  22.3 Mon 06 PM  22.3  20.9  19.7  22.5 12 AM 12/11


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-120654-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-181213T1630Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.181211T1800Z.181212T0600Z.181213T0430Z.NO/
654 PM CST Mon Dec 10 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until Thursday morning.
* At 6:15 PM Monday the stage was 25.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet early 
  Wednesday morning.  
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural land near the river 
  begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  25.6 Mon 06 PM  27.2  29.0  27.6  29.0 12 AM 12/12


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
300 
WGUS84 KJAN 111644
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1044 AM CST Tue Dec 11 2018


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-111714-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-181213T0730Z/
/WSTM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 AM CST Tue Dec 11 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Black River At West.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage yesterday but should
  begin rising to just below flood stage by tomorrow evening.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  12.8 Tue 10 AM  12.7  14.0  11.2  14.9 06 PM 12/12


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 7, 10:18 AM CST, 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 7, 10:18 AM CST, 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1018 AM CST Fri Dec 7 2018

.UPDATE...
Updated for morning discussion.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Not much has changed since the morning discussion. The cold front
is still hanging out in the Delta and appears to have stalled.
This is where the bulk of the rain is falling this morning. So
far, it looks like the greatest amount of rain has been in Bolivar
County with radar estimates up to 1". The rest of the area has
seen from 1/4" to 3/4" within the ArkLaMiss Delta. As the front
has stalled, the rain is expected to continue throughout the day.
As the shortwave trough digs eastward into Mexico this afternoon
and evening, the rain will ramp up to our west. As the trough
pushes east tonight, the bulk of the rain will move into our CWA
during the day tomorrow. /10/

Prior discussion below:

Today through Saturday:

Expect an active period of weather through the weekend, with
widespread moderate-heavy rain & cooler than normal conditions
anticipated. As increasing zonal westerlies & isentropic lift &
moisture is advecting into the area, this is helping widespread
clouds to be moving across the area this morning. In addition, the
increasing lift & mid-deep layer moisture, in conjunction with a
cold front swinging down into the Delta, is helping scattered to
widespread light rain showers to move in. The synoptic, water
vapor & surface analysis this morning indicate a shortwave trough
off the California Coast & Baja Peninsula, helping to drive this
moisture & rain in, while our area is situated right along a
surface cold front & strong 1035mb off to the north over the mid-
upper Plains over Iowa. As the shortwave trough dives down through
the Desert Southwest & Mexico, expect rain chances to slowly
spread east- southeast through the day. Due to widespread rain &
clouds, expect temperatures to be below normal, in the upper 40s
north of I-20 to upper 50s to near 60 degrees to the south.

Main focus will be on the heavy rain potential developing late
tonight through the day Saturday. As the shortwave trough digs
across Mexico & into southern Texas tonight, expect moisture
advection & upper synoptic lift & divergence to overspread the
area. This will help a strong surface low to & cold front to
develop along the Texas Gulf coast & move eastward into Saturday.
This will help strong moisture advection & PWs approaching an inch
& a quarter to inch & a half to move across most of northeast
Louisiana, southeast Arkansas & west-southwest Mississippi tonight
& spreading eastward across the region. Due to limited lapse
rates, not expecting any activity being convective. However,
widespread rainfall with strong frontogenetical forcing will help
promote very efficient rainfall. The heaviest rainfall should
develop across the western areas along & west of the Mississippi
River before daybreak Saturday & spread eastward through the day.
As the longwave trough dives in & upper divergence increases,
expect the heaviest rainfall to become more confined to the better
low-level (i.e. ~850mb) frontogenetical forcing just along &
south of the I-20 corridor & near the track of the surface low
moving along the Gulf coast. Right now widespread totals of 2-4
inches are possible, with some potentially 4-5 inch amounts in
northeast Louisiana & southeast Arkansas. With this not being
convective & more long duration, expect this to gradually pile up
& not be an issue until the better frontogenetical forcing moves
in late tonight & through Saturday. Thus, expanded the "Limited"
for flooding in the HWO/graphics further east-northeast. However,
didn't include the Golden Triangle due the heaviest accumulation &
rates further south & west. In addition, as the strong surface
low moves in, very strong low-level winds will bring potential for
some of that to mix down to the surface. Some gusts could reach
up near 30mph or so. Kept the "Limited" going for the entire area
Saturday, with some brief gusts up to 30mph possible.

In terms of the forecast through Saturday, due to widespread
clouds & rain moving in, expect lows tonight to be above normal in
the low- mid 40s. Due to the same reasons & increasing moderate-
heavy rain chances & clouds, highs on Saturday will be below
normal & not really out of question for them to be a few degrees
cooler than anticipated. Went near raw guidance for temperatures
due to anticipated active weather scheme. /DC/

Saturday Night through Thursday:

Cooler air will start to filter into our forecast area as the
surface low pulls east on Saturday night. A mid-level trough will
remain in place over our region into the early part of next week,
and models show the axis of an elongated 700mb circulation
lingering through Sunday night into Monday morning. There is some
slight disagreement among models regarding a subtle shortwave
rounding the base of the trough on Sunday, but a more pronounced
shortwave (as depicted in the NAM and CMC) would keep enough mid-
level moisture in place for the possibility of some flurries or
light snow to mix in with the departing light rain. The less
developed shortwave in the ECMWF and GFS solutions would likely
not be enough to keep precipitation going into Sunday night. Given
the possibility however, I did introduce a mention of light snow
or flurries where precip lingers into the overnight hours Sunday
night and early Monday morning (mainly north and east from
Jackson). No accumulations are expected with prior temperatures
being warm and the amount of available moisture being
questionable.

The cool weather should continue into the middle of next week
with the cooler surface high pressure slowly moving across the
region. A progressive upper-air pattern through most of the week
will limit any extreme warming or cooling trends, but a possibly
potent weather system arriving late in the week may change that.
Exact timing, placement, and depth of the late week system are
uncertain at this time, but the various model guidance continue to
show cyclogenesis occurring as an upper-level low pressure system
dives from the Pacific Northwest toward teh Southern Plains
Thursday into Friday. Such a system would definitely wrap up
plenty of moisture into it, but it is too early to speculate on
wintry precipitation potential for anywhere near our region yet.
For now, have increased POPs some beginning Wednesday night. /NF/

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
Increasingly low ceilings & rain showers are moving in the region,
with some MVFR ceilings & VCSH & -RA moving in near GLH & GWO. Due to
drier air, most of the other areas near GTR, JAN & HKS will be
slightly later near mid-morning to midday (07/15-18Z) for VCSH & -RA
& lowered MVFR to possibly IFR ceilings. Most widespread IFR ceilings
can be expected across the Delta (i.e. GLH & GWO) where rainfall
rates will be higher, with some of these heavier rates moving near
GTR by mid-afternoon (07/~21Z). Otherwise, VFR conditions can be
expected at MEI, HBG & PIB with ceilings lowering to around 3-5kft.
Some MVFR ceilings & VCSH/-RA are possible later at these sites into
this evening to near midnight (i.e. 08/03-07Z). Extremely poor
aviation weather is still on tap for most of the weekend. /DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       52  43  49  41 /  53  89 100  61
Meridian      52  41  49  42 /  26  73 100  79
Vicksburg     52  44  48  39 /  79  96 100  55
Hattiesburg   60  44  53  44 /  10  58 100  65
Natchez       59  45  50  39 /  36  89 100  43
Greenville    47  43  45  37 / 100 100 100  75
Greenwood     47  42  47  39 / 100 100 100  79

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

10
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 7, 4:30 AM CST, 6 hours 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
430 AM CST Fri Dec 7 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ034-040-041-081030-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Washington-
Issaquena-Sharkey-
430 AM CST Fri Dec 7 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, northwest Mississippi, and west
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, localized flash flooding, due to heavy rain, is possible,
particularly in low lying and urban areas. This will mainly be through
Saturday morning along and west of the Mississippi River. Rainfall
totals will be between 2-4 inches, with locally higher amounts
possible, with a majority of the rainfall occurring Saturday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Localized flash flooding, due to heavy rain, is possible, particularly
in low lying and urban areas. This will mainly be early Saturday
morning and spreading eastward across the region through the day.
Rainfall totals will be between 2-4 inches, with locally higher
amounts possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Wind gusts up to 30 mph are possible for the entire outlook area
on Saturday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Thursday.

MSZ018-019-025>033-035>039-042>066-072>074-081030-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-
Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-
Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-
Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-
Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
430 AM CST Fri Dec 7 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Localized flash flooding, due to heavy rain, is possible, particularly
in low lying and urban areas. This will mainly be early Saturday
morning and spreading eastward across the region through the day.
Rainfall totals will be between 2-4 inches, with locally higher
amounts possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Wind gusts up to 30 mph are possible for the entire outlook area
on Saturday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Thursday.

23

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 7, 10:27 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake4 days
Dec 7, 10:27 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson5 days
Dec 7, 10:27 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLawrence49 hr
Dec 7, 10:27 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba3 days
Dec 7, 10:33 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Yazoo5 days
Dec 7, 10:33 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Warren4 days
Dec 7, 10:35 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore48 hr
Dec 7, 10:35 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANYazoo48 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.