Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Watches in 2018

Flash Flood Watch 8, NWS Jackson, MS

September 9, 2018Carroll County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood watch at Sep 9, 2018, 2:55 PM CDT for Carroll County, Mississippi. It was in force for 22 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 9, 2018, 2:55 PM CDT (19:55 UTC)
Expired
Sep 10, 2018, 1:00 PM CDT
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Flood severity
None

County Carroll County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 293 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2018-09-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 354 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2018-09-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -23 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
354 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
667 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Sep 9, 1:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 1:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 9, 2:42 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
242 PM CDT Sun Sep 9 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-023-MSZ018-019-034-040-041-072>074-
101945-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Franklin LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-Washington-Issaquena-Sharkey-Marion-
Lamar-Forrest-
242 PM CDT Sun Sep 9 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, northwest Mississippi, south
central Mississippi, southeast Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday night through Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Saturday.

LAZ016-024>026-MSZ025>033-035>039-042>066-101945-
Madison LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Humphreys-
Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-
Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-
Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
242 PM CDT Sun Sep 9 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Monday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Late this afternoon through this evening

Localized flash flooding will be possible through this evening as
pockets of heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms move through the
region and produce hourly rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per
hour.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday night through Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Saturday.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 9, 4:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJasper, Smith30 min
Sep 9, 4:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJasper31 min
Sep 9, 4:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWinston33 min
Sep 9, 5:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCovington35 min
Sep 9, 6:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLowndes43 min
Sep 9, 6:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANClay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha4 hr
Sep 9, 6:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAttala37 min
Sep 9, 4:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison44 min
Sep 9, 5:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANFranklin52 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2018Every flash flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.