Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Jackson, MS

762 
WGUS74 KJAN 062359
FFSJAN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
659 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

ARC003-017-070145-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180407T0145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-
659 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR
NORTHERN CHICOT AND NORTHERN ASHLEY COUNTIES...

At 658 PM CDT, emergency management reported minor flooding ongoing 
earlier in Dermott. One to two inches of rain have fallen. Flash 
flooding issues are expected to continue over the next couple of 
hours.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Crossett, Hamburg, Dermott, Montrose, Fountain Hill, Old Milo,
Mcmillan Corner, Snyder and Blanchton.

Additional rainfall amounts of around an inch or two are possible in 
the warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3321 9213 3321 9208 3324 9209 3331 9198
      3338 9196 3340 9199 3339 9146 3356 9145
      3356 9135 3352 9132 3352 9125 3355 9123
      3350 9118 3344 9123 3345 9117 3350 9117
      3347 9112 3345 9112 3319 9176 3316 9214

$$

DC

317 
WGUS74 KJAN 070125
FFSJAN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
825 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

ARC003-017-070135-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180407T0145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-
825 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN CHICOT AND NORTHERN ASHLEY
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3321 9213 3321 9208 3324 9209 3331 9198
      3338 9196 3340 9199 3339 9146 3356 9145
      3356 9135 3352 9132 3352 9125 3355 9123
      3350 9118 3344 9123 3345 9117 3350 9117
      3347 9112 3345 9112 3319 9176 3316 9214

$$

DC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
403 PM CDT Fri Apr 6 2018

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight and Saturday: Severe storms are expected across much of the
area going into this evening followed by much cooler temperatures
Saturday. Local radars at mid afternoon still had scattered to
numerous storms tracking east along the Highway 82 corridor but
additional activity was developing over our southwest spreading
northeast into central Mississippi. The activity all day in the
north has kept the Highway 82 corridor stable but moisture and
instability will continue to increase into this evening ahead of an
approaching low pressure system. Water vapor imagery showed a
shortwave over southwest Arkansas and western Louisiana that will
swing east tonight and support a cold front that was noted dropping
across northern Arkansas and southeast Oklahoma. As the shortwave
and cold front approach, the convection is expected develop to our
west and punch across our Louisiana parishes and into central
Mississippi. The environmental parameters are such that damaging
winds will be the primary threat but large hail and a few tornadoes
will be possible south of the Highway 82 corridor. SPC has issued a
Tornado Watch for our Louisiana parishes and much of west and
central Mississippi until 11 pm this evening. In addition, heavy
rainfall can also be expected with the storms and a Flash Flood
Watch will remain in effect for the northwest two thirds of our CWA
tonight. The severe storm potential will shift southeast of our area
a little after midnight but the post frontal rain will not taper off
until later Saturday morning. In the wake of the cold front much
colder and drier air will blow in on a breezy north wind. Highs
Saturday will only be in the 40s across much of the area with wind
chills in the 30s. /22/

Saturday night through Thursday:  For Saturday night clouds will
be decreasing from the northwest as a cold airmass brings
unseasonable lows to the region. In this airmass we will be
looking at some lower 30s across our northeast counties where some
locations may briefing reach freezing under light winds. Some of
the guidance was trying to go with middle to upper 20s in that
area, which seemed too unreasonable for now, but will have to
monitor for any freeze warning potential in upcoming model runs.
Expecting patchy frost across the area mainly in the northeast. So
will keep the HWO graphic for a limited freezing potential for
that period. For Sunday the surface high will shift to the east as
we start to get some low level return flow. The frontal boundary
anchored to the south of the region will have some weak
disturbances tracking across it from the Sunday night into
Tuesday. In response low level isentropic lift will bring some
showers across the region. A midlevel shortwave trough will push
the showers out of the forecast area on late Monday night into
Tuesday morning. Dry weather will prevail for Tuesday afternoon
through Thursday. Looking ahead another storm system will be
approaching the area from the Plains going into next weekend./17/

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
Scattered to numerous TSRA activity wl cont along the HWY 82
corridor through 22Z reducing conds at GLH-GWO-GTR. Elsewhere, a
mix of VFR and MVFR cigs are expected. After 22Z conds are
expected to lower from the north as a large area of TSRA activity
is expected to develop and spread south overnight. IFR conds are
expected to prevail areawide by 07Z and cont through 18z Saturday.
/22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       48  52  35  65 /  93  31   5   5
Meridian      53  55  34  65 /  88  45   6   3
Vicksburg     46  50  36  64 /  94  25   4   5
Hattiesburg   60  65  39  66 /  94  81  13   8
Natchez       48  51  37  65 /  94  47  12   5
Greenville    40  46  33  60 /  96  22   2   3
Greenwood     41  47  32  62 /  94  23   1   2

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MSZ018-019-025>028-
     034>037-040>044-047>050-053>056.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023-025.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for ARZ074-075.

&&

17/22

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
439 PM CDT Fri Apr 6 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ034-040>043-047>050-
053>055-072145-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Washington-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-
439 PM CDT Fri Apr 6 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, northwest
Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into tonight as
a potent weather system impacts the region. Hail up to the size
of golf balls and widespread damaging wind gusts up to 80 mph will
be the primary concerns, although tornadoes will also be
possible.

Thunderstorms will also have a tendency to move repeatedly over
the same areas. This will increase the flash flooding potential
where locations could receive three to five inches of rain in a
short period of time.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Frost, which may result in minor damage to unprotected
vegetation, is possible late Saturday night and early Sunday
morning for areas generally north of Interstate 20.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is requested for portions of the region remainder of
the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ018-019-025>028-035>037-044-072145-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Humphreys-
Holmes-Attala-Leake-
439 PM CDT Fri Apr 6 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and northwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon into
tonight as a potent weather system impacts the region. Quarter
size hail and damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph will be the
primary concerns, although tornadoes will also be possible.

Thunderstorms will also have a tendency to move repeatedly over
the same areas. This will increase the flash flooding potential
where locations could receive three to five inches of rain in a
short period of time.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Frost, which may result in minor damage to unprotected
vegetation, is possible late Saturday night and early Sunday
morning for areas generally north of Interstate 20.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is requested for portions of the region remainder of
the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ029-032-038-046-072145-
Webster-Choctaw-Winston-Kemper-
439 PM CDT Fri Apr 6 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

Severe thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon into
tonight as a potent weather system impacts the region. Quarter
size hail and damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph will be the
primary concerns, although tornadoes will also be possible.

Thunderstorms will also have a tendency to move repeatedly over
the same areas. This will increase the flash flooding potential
where locations could receive one to three inches of rain in a
short period of time.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Frost, which may result in minor damage to unprotected
vegetation, is possible late Saturday night and early Sunday
morning for areas generally north of Interstate 20.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is requested for portions of the region remainder of
the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ030-031-033-039-072145-
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Noxubee-
439 PM CDT Fri Apr 6 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon into
tonight as a potent weather system impacts the region. Quarter
size hail and damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph will be the
primary concerns, although tornadoes will also be possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Frost, which may result in minor damage to unprotected
vegetation, is possible late Saturday night and early Sunday
morning for areas generally north of Interstate 20.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is requested for portions of the region remainder of
the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ045-052-058-063>066-072>074-072145-
Neshoba-Lauderdale-Clarke-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
439 PM CDT Fri Apr 6 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon into
tonight as a potent weather system impacts the region. Quarter
size hail and damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph will be the
primary concerns, although tornadoes will also be possible.

Thunderstorms will also have a tendency to move repeatedly over
the same areas. This will increase the flash flooding potential
where locations could receive one to three inches of rain in a
short period of time.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Frost, which may result in minor damage to unprotected
vegetation, is possible late Saturday night and early Sunday
morning for areas generally north of Interstate 20.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is requested for portions of the region remainder of
the afternoon through tonight.

LAZ024-026-MSZ051-056-057-059>062-072145-
Catahoula-Concordia-Newton-Smith-Jasper-Jefferson-Adams-
Franklin MS-Lincoln-
439 PM CDT Fri Apr 6 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south
central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into tonight as
a potent weather system impacts the region. Hail up to the size
of golf balls and widespread damaging wind gusts up to 80 mph will
be the primary concerns, although tornadoes will also be
possible.

Thunderstorms will also have a tendency to move repeatedly over
the same areas. This will increase the flash flooding potential
where locations could receive one to three inches of rain in a
short period of time.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Frost, which may result in minor damage to unprotected
vegetation, is possible late Saturday night and early Sunday
morning for areas generally north of Interstate 20.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is requested for portions of the region remainder of
the afternoon through tonight.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
342 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

LAZ025-MSZ059-062130-
Tensas LA-Jefferson MS-
342 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN TENSAS PARISH IN
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 430
PM CDT...

At 342 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Waterproof, or 11 miles northeast of Ferriday, moving east at 35
mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Waterproof around 350 PM CDT.
  Helena around 355 PM CDT.
  Church Hill around 405 PM CDT.
  St. Joseph around 410 PM CDT.
  Lorman around 425 PM CDT.
  Red Lick around 430 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for northeastern
Louisiana...and southwestern Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3199 9110 3196 9118 3194 9119 3192 9118
      3187 9125 3186 9101 3185 9094 3177 9091
      3171 9130 3175 9132 3175 9137 3173 9138
      3175 9138 3176 9155 3184 9157
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 254DEG 29KT 3178 9147

BYB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
348 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

MSZ036-037-042-043-062115-
Attala MS-Yazoo MS-Madison MS-Holmes MS-
348 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL HOLMES...
SOUTHWESTERN ATTALA...NORTHEASTERN YAZOO AND NORTHEASTERN MADISON
COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

At 348 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Vaughan, or 14 miles north of Canton, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Pickens around 355 PM CDT.
  Cameron and Camden around 405 PM CDT.
  Newport around 415 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3298 8973 3273 8973 3270 9013 3294 9015
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 260DEG 33KT 3281 9005

TW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
352 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             1 SSE LAKE PROVIDENCE   32.79N 91.18W
04/06/2018  E1.00 INCH       EAST CARROLL       LA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
417 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0357 PM     HAIL             ROXIE                   31.51N 91.06W
04/06/2018  E0.75 INCH       FRANKLIN           MS   PUBLIC

&&

CE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
433 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0342 PM     HAIL             10 ESE NATCHEZ          31.49N 91.24W
04/06/2018  E0.75 INCH       ADAMS              MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            PENNY SIZED HAIL IN CRANFIELD RD AREA.

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
439 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0356 PM     HAIL             1 WNW ROXIE             31.51N 91.08W
04/06/2018  E1.00 INCH       FRANKLIN           MS   PUBLIC

&&

CE