Alert archive / Indiana / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Northern Indiana

August 2, 2018LaPorte County, Saint Joseph County, Indiana

NWS Northern Indiana issued this special weather statement at Aug 2, 2018, 3:42 PM CDT for LaPorte County, Saint Joseph County, Indiana. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2018, 3:42 PM CDT (20:42 UTC)
Expired
Aug 2, 2018, 4:30 PM CDT
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana

Counties LaPorte County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 263 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2018-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 123 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2018-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
123 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1153 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 2, 2:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 2, 2:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
341 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 309 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

Scattered storms are likely over far southwest Lower Michigan
into northern Indiana through this evening ahead of a weak cold
front. All of the activity will dissipate before midnight.
Conditions will then be mainly dry through the weekend with highs
warming well into the 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

A weak cold front will approach the area early tonight from the
northwest. It looks like there will be a narrow window for storms
late this afternoon into this evening. Some of the convective
allowing models show some hints of marginally severe storms during
this time. However, mid level lapse rate around 5.5C/Km and some
apparent weak subsidence over the area have been really stifling
storms upstream. Current thinking is storms are still possible
from basically 5 pm to 9 pm EDT. Slightly cooler weather will
follow for Friday. An isolated storm is possible along/ahead of
the front over mainly northwest Ohio Friday afternoon. Severe
storms are not expected Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

Conditions are expected to be dry this weekend with highs well
into the 80s as an upper level ridge attempts to build into the
area. After that, there is a good chance for showers and storms
from Monday into Tuesday as an upper level trof develops into the
region. Organized convection is likely at some point during this
time given the upper level support. Precipitable water values
should top 2.0 inches, bringing the potential for locally heavy
rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 122 PM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

Flight conditions will remain VFR for the forecast period.
Thunderstorms will develop this afternoon near KSBN ahead of the
approaching cold front. Storms weaken after sunset and will no
reach into FWA. Gusty winds out of the sw this afternoon will
diminish overnight. Hires guidance suggests a chance some low
stratus overnight but left out to low confidence in winds
becoming calm overnight.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Skipper
SHORT TERM...Skipper
LONG TERM...Skipper
AVIATION...Heidelberger

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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 2, 2:07 AM CDT, 13 hours 35 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
307 AM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

INZ003>009-012>017-020-022>025-MIZ077>081-030715-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-White-Cass IN-Miami-
Wabash-Huntington-Berrien-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-
307 AM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018 /207 AM CDT Thu Aug 2 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
southwest Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance for scattered thunderstorms late this afternoon
into this evening. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is chance for thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

INZ018-026-027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-030715-
Allen IN-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-
Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
307 AM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a slight chance for isolated thunderstorms Friday afternoon.
Severe thunderstorms are not expected.

There is a chance for thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ043-046-030715-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
307 AM EDT Thu Aug 2 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for The Nearshore Waters of
Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance for scattered thunderstorms late this afternoon
into this evening. Strong to severe thunderstorms are not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is chance for thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 2, 3:42 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
442 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

INZ003-004-012-014-MIZ077-078-022130-
La Porte-St. Joseph-Marshall-Starke-Berrien-Cass-
442 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ST. JOSEPH...
NORTHEASTERN STARKE...NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL...LA PORTE...WESTERN CASS
AND BERRIEN COUNTIES...

At 441 PM EDT/341 PM CDT/, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were
located along a line extending from 7 miles southeast of Benton
Heights to near Three Oaks to near Wanatah. Movement was northeast at
40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
South Bend, Mishawaka, Michigan City, La Porte, Niles, Benton Harbor,
St. Joseph, Westville, Buchanan, Georgetown, Trail Creek, Gulivoire
Park, Granger, Benton Heights, Fair Plain, Bridgman, Walkerton, North
Liberty, New Carlisle and Berrien Springs.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 196 between mile markers 0 and 7.
 Interstate 80 in Indiana between mile markers 38 and 83.
 Interstate 94 in Indiana between mile markers 33 and 44.
 Interstate 94 in Michigan between mile markers 2 and 42.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4224 8622 4207 8622 4207 8618 4152 8611
      4127 8693 4168 8693 4176 8674 4224 8636
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 241DEG 41KT 4205 8631 4180 8666 4139 8679

NWS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 3:34 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningIWX41 min
Aug 2, 4:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXLaPorte, Saint Joseph43 min
Aug 2, 5:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXFulton, Marshall, Pulaski, Saint Joseph, Starke42 min
Aug 2, 5:59 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXElkhart, Marshall46 min
Aug 2, 6:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXWhite43 min
Aug 2, 6:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXElkhart42 min
Aug 2, 6:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXPulaski, White50 min
Aug 2, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXPulaski, White40 min
Aug 1, 7:55 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningIWXPaulding, Van Wert3 hr
Aug 2, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBerrien, Cass24 min
Aug 2, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass38 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Indiana, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.