Severe Thunderstorm Warning 20, NWS Northern Indiana

228 
WWUS53 KIWX 150247
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1047 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018

INC033-113-151-OHC039-171-150330-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180515T0330Z/
Steuben IN-Noble IN-De Kalb IN-Defiance OH-Williams OH-
1047 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN STEUBEN...EASTERN NOBLE...DE KALB...NORTHWESTERN
DEFIANCE AND SOUTHWESTERN WILLIAMS COUNTIES...

At 1046 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Corunna, 
moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage 
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. 

Locations impacted include...
Auburn, Kendallville, Garrett, Butler, Avilla, Waterloo, Edgerton,
Hamilton, Edgerton In Williams County, Swan, Concord, Ashley,
Newville, Hudson, Corunna, Altona, Alvarado, Lisbon, Fairfield Center
and Hamilton Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4131 8530 4148 8532 4161 8484 4149 8475
      4133 8472
TIME...MOT...LOC 0246Z 256DEG 33KT 4142 8518 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

PBM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
743 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 302 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018

Chances for showers and thunderstorms return tonight into Tuesday
as a front remains stalled out across the region. Locally heavy
rainfall and isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be
possible with damaging winds and hail the main threats. Highs on
Tuesday are forecast to range between the middle 70s and lower
80s, though cooler near Lake Michigan. A drier pattern for a
majority of the area will likely set up across the region for the
remainder of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 302 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018

Showers and thunderstorms have another chance to form this evening/tonight
as an unstable airmass pairs with shear. Storms are expected to
be able to feed off of high mid level lapse rates and a thick hail
growth zone to allow for hail. In addition, DCAPE between 800 and
1000 J/kg will allow for the possibility of strong winds.

Short range models indicate convective initiation occurs over
northeast Illinois as a warm/moist airmass moves in. Storms will
then be able to move into the forecast area between 8 and 9 pm as
a low level jet becomes invigorated. As the storms go on tonight,
locally heavy rain will be possible as our atmospheric column has
PWATs around 1.5", which is in the upper echelon of climo for
this time of year and is also helped along by good large scale
lift. One area that will need to be watched will be if rainfall
can move back into the northwest, which received around 2" of
rain this morning. Storms will trend toward dissipation as we head
towards Tuesday morning.

Tomorrow, the front will sag south, but a few showers and storms
are still possible especially south of US-30 with some
instability. Areas north of US-30 have the potential to be just
cloudy during the afternoon as drier air begins to seep south.
Highs will be in the 70s with 850Ts between 10 and 15C.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 302 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018

An up and down pattern is in store for the long range. With the
front continuing to slowly drop south Tuesday night and Wednesday
morning, drier air comes in allowing for more clouds north than
south and possibly some sunshine on Wednesday and Thursday. 850Ts
between 13 and 15C allowing for upper 70s to low 80s for highs.
Dew points will drop into the upper 50s for a slightly less humid
day as well.

Friday, the front rises back north for a low chance for more
showers and possibly a thunderstorm especially south of rt-24 as
well as a rise of dew points back into the 60s as high pressure
slides by to the southwest.

Friday's high pressure moves through and ridging comes in allowing
for dry weather for the bulk of Saturday. However, a trough coming
in from the north for the evening/overnight allows for a chance
for showers and thunderstorms. GEFS has advertised that 850Ts
coming in are expected to be above normal allowing for low 80s to
reach into SW areas Saturday. High pressure and ridging follows
for early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 734 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018

Once again difficult convective forecast and lean to near
term/mesoanalysis over egregious blended high pop forecast.
Northeast Illinois convection increasingly elevated and likely
bypass KSBN airfield west through north this evening. Later
development likely associated with mesoscale convective vorticity
center over west central Illinois moving eastward into better
thermodynamic environment for surface based convection. Timed
tempo TSRA 04-08 UTC/08-12 UTC at KSBN/KFWA respectively with
updates as needed per convective trends.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Murphy
SHORT TERM...Roller
LONG TERM...Roller
AVIATION...Murphy

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

Follow us on Facebook...Twitter...and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
www.twitter.com/nwsiwx
www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
329 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018

INZ007-009-018-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-151930-
Steuben-De Kalb-Allen IN-Berrien-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-
Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-
329 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Michigan...northern Indiana and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are likely tonight with hail, damaging winds and
locally heavy rain possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not likely this evening.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ003>006-008-014-016-017-151930-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Noble-Marshall-Kosciusko-
Whitley-
329 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018 /229 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are likely tonight with a risk for large hail,
damaging winds and heavy rain possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and evening.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ012-013-015-020-022>024-151930-
Starke-Pulaski-Fulton IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-
329 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018 /229 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are likely tonight with a risk for large hail,
damaging winds and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and evening.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ025>027-032>034-OHZ024-025-151930-
Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-Allen OH-
329 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern Indiana
and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms with a risk for large hail, damaging winds and heavy
rain are likely this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-151930-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
329 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are likely tonight with a risk for small hail and
gusty winds as well as locally heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
957 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018

INZ005-006-008-016-150245-
Lagrange-Noble-Kosciusko-Elkhart-
957 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ELKHART...NORTHERN
NOBLE...NORTHEASTERN KOSCIUSKO AND SOUTHWESTERN LAGRANGE COUNTIES...

At 956 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over New Paris, or
near Syracuse, moving east at 45 mph.

Winds up to 40 mph and dime size hail are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Goshen, Ligonier, Syracuse, Lagrange, Albion, Milford, Rome City,
Topeka, Millersburg, New Paris, Benton, Wolcottville, Cromwell,
Brimfield, Honeyville, Lake Wawasee, Waterford Mills, Kimmel, Eddy
and Adams Lake.

LAT...LON 4149 8530 4138 8528 4139 8588 4158 8590
      4166 8536
TIME...MOT...LOC 0156Z 270DEG 37KT 4149 8578

PBM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1011 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1007 PM     HAIL             SYRACUSE                41.42N 85.75W
05/14/2018  M0.50 INCH       KOSCIUSKO          IN   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1017 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1008 PM     HAIL             1 SW SYRACUSE           41.41N 85.76W
05/14/2018  E0.50 INCH       KOSCIUSKO          IN   COCORAHS

&&

MCD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1021 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1008 PM     HAIL             1 SW SYRACUSE           41.41N 85.76W
05/14/2018  E0.50 INCH       KOSCIUSKO          IN   COCORAHS

1007 PM     HAIL             SYRACUSE                41.42N 85.75W
05/14/2018  M0.50 INCH       KOSCIUSKO          IN   NWS EMPLOYEE

0955 PM     HAIL             NAPPANEE                41.45N 85.98W
05/14/2018  E0.25 INCH       ELKHART            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZED HAIL MIXING WITH HEAVY RAIN.

0950 PM     HAIL             2 NW TIPPECANOE LAKE    41.34N 85.78W
05/14/2018  E0.75 INCH       KOSCIUSKO          IN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED.

0920 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SE GRANGER            41.72N 86.11W
05/14/2018  E40 MPH          ST. JOSEPH         IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 35-40 MPH WITH GUST FRONT.

0920 PM     HAIL             NORTH LIBERTY           41.53N 86.43W
05/14/2018  M0.25 INCH       ST. JOSEPH         IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0915 PM     HAIL             3 SE FISH LAKE          41.54N 86.50W
05/14/2018  E0.25 INCH       LA PORTE           IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0855 PM     TSTM WND GST     LA PORTE                41.57N 86.73W
05/14/2018  M48 MPH          LA PORTE           IN   AWOS

            AWOS STATION PPO, LA PORTE.

0840 PM     HAIL             1 NNW TRAIL CREEK       41.71N 86.86W
05/14/2018  M0.25 INCH       LA PORTE           IN   COCORAHS

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1028 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018

INZ006>009-150300-
Lagrange-Noble-De Kalb-Steuben-
1028 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN STEUBEN...CENTRAL
NOBLE...CENTRAL DE KALB AND SOUTHEASTERN LAGRANGE COUNTIES...

At 1027 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Rome City, or
near Kendallville, moving east at 35 mph.

Wind gusts to 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Auburn, Kendallville, Angola, Garrett, Butler, Avilla, Albion,
Waterloo, Hamilton, Rome City, Wolcottville, Ashley, Hudson, Corunna,
Altona, Brimfield, Fairfield Center, Pleasant Lake, Hamilton Lake and
Golden Lake.

This includes Interstate 69 in Indiana between mile markers 327 and
349.

LAT...LON 4133 8554 4151 8554 4166 8502 4147 8484
      4133 8495
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 258DEG 33KT 4144 8534

PBM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1039 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     HAIL             NEW PARIS               41.50N 85.83W
05/14/2018  M1.75 INCH       ELKHART            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO GOLF-BALL SIZED HAIL. PHOTO WITH
            QUARTER FOR REFERENCE.

&&

MCD