Gale Warning 3, NWS Northern Indiana

093 
WHUS73 KIWX 040256
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
956 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018

LMZ043-046-041100-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-180204T1200Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0003.180204T1200Z-180205T0000Z/
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
956 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 20 kts with gusts to 30 kts, becoming
  northwest with gusts up to 35 knot gales on Sunday. 

* WAVES...3 to 6 feet, increasing to 10 to 14 feet Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A small craft advisory means that sustained winds or frequent
gusts of 22 to 33 knots are likely...and/or waves greater than
4 feet are expected. Inexperienced mariners...especially those
operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these
conditions.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

370 
WHUS73 KIWX 040912
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
412 AM EST Sun Feb 4 2018

LMZ043-046-041715-
/O.CON.KIWX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-180204T1200Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0003.180204T1200Z-180205T0000Z/
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
412 AM EST Sun Feb 4 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...Becoming Northwest at 15 to 25 kts with gusts to 35 
  knot gales.
 
* WAVES...Building rapidly this morning to 8 to 12 feet, 
  occasional waves to 15 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A small craft advisory means that sustained winds or frequent
gusts of 22 to 33 knots are likely...and/or waves greater than
4 feet are expected. Inexperienced mariners...especially those
operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these
conditions.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

572 
WHUS73 KIWX 041148
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
648 AM EST Sun Feb 4 2018

LMZ043-046-042000-
/O.EXP.KIWX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-180204T1200Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0003.180204T1200Z-180205T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.UP.W.0001.180204T1500Z-180205T0400Z/
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
648 AM EST Sun Feb 4 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, which is in effect from 10 AM this
morning to 11 PM EST this evening. 

* WINDS...Becoming Northwest at 15 to 25 kts with gusts to 35  
knot gales.

* WAVES...Building rapidly this morning to 8 to 12 feet, 
  occasional waves to 15 feet. 

* FREEZING SPRAY...heavy freezing spay is expected in ice free
  areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equiped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

454 
WHUS73 KIWX 041557
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1057 AM EST Sun Feb 4 2018

LMZ043-046-050000-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180205T0000Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180205T0400Z/
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
1057 AM EST Sun Feb 4 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...Northwest at 15 to 25 kts with gusts to 35 knot gales,
  backing west at 15 to 20 kts overnight.

* WAVES...8 to 12 feet, occasional waves to 15 feet, subsiding to
  3 to 5 feet Monday.
 
* FREEZING SPRAY...heavy freezing spray is expected in ice free 
  areas. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

885 
WHUS73 KIWX 042051
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
351 PM EST Sun Feb 4 2018

LMZ043-046-050400-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180205T0000Z/
/O.CON.KIWX.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180205T0400Z/
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
351 PM EST Sun Feb 4 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...West at 15 to 25 kts with gusts to 35 knot gales
  overnight, subsiding to 10 to 15 kts by Monday. 

* WAVES...6 to 10 feet, occasional waves to 13 feet overnight, 
  subsiding to 3 to 5 feet Monday. 

* FREEZING SPRAY...heavy freezing spray is expected in ice free 
  areas. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
153 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 152 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018

Breezy and dry conditions will give way to a period of snow later
tonight into Sunday as low pressure tracks through the Lower Great
Lakes. Total snow accumulations will generally range between 1 and
3 inches, though higher amounts will be possible into far
northwest Indiana and southwest Lower Michigan thanks to some lake
enhancement. Dry and colder conditions into Monday will followed
by another period of light snow by Monday night. An additional 1
to 3 inches of snow will be possible with this system.
Temperatures will remain below normal through the remainder of the
week with several opportunities for light snow.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday)
Issued at 152 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018

A period of widespread accumulating snow (1-3") is expected to
develop later tonight into Sunday morning (peak timing approximately
09-15z). This will occur as significant height falls from
incoming/separate pv anomalies elicit a decent low-mid level fgen
response along a southeast pivoting frontal zone. In addition, a
plume of deeper moisture will advect north allowing precipitation to
expand as deeper ascent plume overspreads. Marginal temps may limit
accumulations (snow ratios) a bit, especially southeast of US 24
where temps may remain a little above freezing while it snows.
Some deformation/fgen forcing does pivot through the area later
in the morning into the early afternoon which could help bring
totals near 2-3 inches in some areas. The main focus mid afternoon
through early evening tomorrow with turn to a possible
intense/dominant lake enhanced band that could briefly impact our
far nw IN/sw Lower MI counties. A quick 1-3" of additional snow,
low visibilities, and falling temps in CAA wing appears likely
with very difficult travel conditions for a time. Opted to add La
Porte/St Joe IN/Berrien/Cass MI counties in a Winter Weather
Advisory to cover these threats for system snow-LES combination
(totals into the 3-5" range).

&&

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 152 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018

Broad upper troughing will persist within the base of a Hudson Bay
polar low into next week. Several sheared shortwaves will ripple
through in this fast flow bringing several opportunities for snow
and below normal temps near a baroclinic zone oscillating between
the Lower Great Lakes and OH Valley.

The first smaller scale perturbation of interest could bring a
quick 1-3" of snow later Monday into Monday night. 12z model
suite continued good consistency with this system...showing a
tightening thermal gradient thanks to weak mid lvl cva and upper
divergence. Model QPF continues to average near 0.15" into at
least our IN counties. Fcst soundings indicate a deep isothermal
layer within the lower portion of the dendritic growth zone which
could lead to higher snow ratios/amounts.

An open/sheared southern stream wave then looks to take aim on the
OH/TN Valleys late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Guidance
continue to show good upper divergence and deeper GOM moisture
return into this frontal wave but differ a bit on track/timing.
The bulk of guidance favors better headline level snows passing
just south of the FA (possible clipping areas southeast of US 24),
though confidence is low with adjustments expected. Another upper
trough then for the end of the forecast period will bring
additional pcpn chances.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 1231 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018

An area of warm moist advection along an area of fgen will help
to cause snow region-wide starting on either side of midnight.
Initial snow may have trouble reaching the ground with dry air
near the surface needing to be overcome. As we head into midday
Sunday, the system snow looks to transition into lake effect snow
on the back end so SBN would be affected by that later Sunday.

Flight conditions will start the TAF period in VFR, but will
descend into MVFR overnight with the entrance of the storm and
could reach IFR by Sunday morning.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Winter Weather Advisory from 11 PM EST /10 PM CST/ this evening
     to 9 PM EST /8 PM CST/ Sunday for INZ003-004.

MI...Winter Weather Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 9 PM EST
     Sunday for MIZ077-078.

OH...NONE.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Monday for LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Steinwedel
SHORT TERM...Steinwedel
LONG TERM...Steinwedel
AVIATION...Roller

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Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
202 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018

INZ003-004-MIZ077-078-041915-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Berrien-Cass MI-
202 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018 /102 PM CST Sat Feb 3 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Michigan
and northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Snow will develop after midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Periods of snow will continue into Sunday with total snow
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches.

Additional snow is then expected Monday night with another 1 to 3
inches.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ005>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ079>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-041915-
Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-
Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-
Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-St. Joseph MI-Branch-
Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-
Allen OH-
202 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018 /102 PM CST Sat Feb 3 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern Indiana...
southwest Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Light snow will develop later tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Periods of Light snow will continue into Sunday with total
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches.

Additional snow is then expected Monday night with another 1 to 3
inches.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-041915-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
202 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect into tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A Gale Warning is in effect on Sunday.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx