Alert archive / Indiana / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Indianapolis, IN

June 1, 2018Bartholomew County, Indiana

NWS Indianapolis, IN issued this special weather statement at Jun 1, 2018, 5:34 PM EDT for Bartholomew County, Indiana. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 1, 2018, 5:34 PM EDT (21:34 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2018, 6:15 PM EDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Indianapolis, IN

County Bartholomew County, IN

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2018-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 22 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2018-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -16 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
22 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-76 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
709 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Indianapolis, IN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 31, 7:14 PM EDT, 22 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 31, 7:14 PM EDT, 22 hours 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
714 PM EDT Thu May 31 2018

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION Section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 240 PM EDT Thu May 31 2018

A cold front is expected to move through the area on Friday. Another
frontal system may affect the area by Saturday night and Sunday. In
the wake of the weekend system, high pressure will move into the
area for the early to middle parts of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Rest of This Afternoon and Tonight/...
Issued at 240 PM EDT Thu May 31 2018

Mid level vorticity lobe currently moving through southern Indiana
at this time, associated with a large convective cluster.
Elsewhere, isolated convection is present over the rest of the
area as convective temperatures are reached. Short term models
suggest the mid level vorticity lobe will reach the far southeast
zones by 312000Z-312100Z. Should see organized convective
activity over the southern zones for a couple more hours, with a
diminishing trend after that as the vorticity lobe passes off to
the east. Threat for high winds along the leading edge of the
convective activity.

Could be some additional convective development through this
evening as the trailing vorticity tail hangs back across central
Indiana. Progged 925-850mb flow is somewhat favorable for this to
happen. Another vorticity center currently over Missouri is
expected to begin moving into the local area after about 010400Z.
At this time, not sure as to amount of convection that may be
associated with this feature later tonight, given that the air
mass will probably be worked over quite a bit from current
activity. However, model guidance suggests some lapse rate
recovery is possible late tonight.

Based on above, will keep high PoPs going over the southern zones
through late this afternoon, and go with chance PoPs though tonight
over the rest of the area. Low level thicknesses suggest the GFS MOS
lows tonight look reasonable.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Friday through Sunday/...
Issued at 240 PM EDT Thu May 31 2018

Diffuse cold front is expected to drop through the area during the
day Friday. Model data suggest not a lot of organized lift
associated with this front, although there may be some upper support
present due to a trough passing through the Great Lakes. Will keep
some chance PoPs going on Friday ahead of the front.

Will keep some chance PoPs going into Friday evening over the
southeast zones as the front may still be in the process of moving
through those areas.

Dry conditions expected on Saturday as surface high pressure noses
into the area from the Great Lakes.

Another upper trough is progged to drift through the northern Plains
and into the Midwest by Sunday. Will bring PoPs back into the
forecast by Saturday night and Sunday.

Progged low level thicknesses suggest the GFS MOS highs for Friday
may be a little on the warm side. Will nudge the guidance highs down
a bit in that period. The remainder of the periods look OK for
now.

&&

.LONG TERM /Sunday Night Through Thursday/...
Issued at 225 PM EDT Thu May 31 2018

Models are close enough that the model blend initialization
was accepted for most items.

Central Indiana will remain in northwest flow aloft during the long
term, which will lead to a period of near normal temperatures.

The GFS looks overdone with an upper low moving in on Monday, so
ignored it. Thus went with a dry forecast through the long term with
high pressure in control at the surface for most of the period.

Of course in northwest flow there is always a chance a short wave
could develop and bring a shower chance, so will have to continue to
watch for later developments.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for 010000z TAF issuance/...

Issued at 703 PM EDT Thu May 31 2018

Mainly VFR at the sites through much of the period with exceptions
mentioned below. Some scattered thunderstorms will move through
KLAF over the next few hours. They could impact the other sites
also during the night but less confident in timing on those so
will avoid anything beyond a VCTS mention at the others. Not
impressed enough with thunderstorm chances on Friday afternoon to
even leave in the prob30, but there is a small chance.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...JAS
NEAR TERM...JAS
SHORT TERM...JAS
LONG TERM....50
AVIATION...CP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Indianapolis, IN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 8:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementINDCarroll34 min
May 31, 8:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementINDCarroll47 min
Jun 1, 5:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementINDDecatur52 min
Jun 1, 6:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBartholomew, Johnson, Shelby35 min
Jun 1, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDHenry32 min
Jun 1, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBartholomew, Jennings49 min
Jun 1, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDGreene, Monroe, Owen34 min
Jun 1, 7:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementINDJackson38 min
Jun 1, 7:46 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryINDBartholomew, Shelby3 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Indiana, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.