River Flood Warning 3, NWS Indianapolis, IN

952 
WGUS83 KIND 130347
FLSIND
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1047 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...The Flood Warning is no longer in effect for portions of the
following rivers in Indiana...

  Mississinewa River...


.Mississinewa River in east central Indiana fell below flood stage
earlier this evening after briefly being slightly above flood stage
for a portion of the afternoon and evening today.  The river is
expected to continue falling overnight.


Precautionary/Preparedness Actions...

Be alert to flood debris on previously flooded roads. Keep children 
away from flooded areas. Recreational and agricultural interests 
should remain alert to changing river conditions.

For detailed flood information go to weather.gov/ind on the web and 
click on rivers and lakes.



INC035-135-130417-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180113T0712Z/
/RIDI3.1.ER.180112T1653Z.180112T2100Z.180113T0117Z.UU/
1047 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Mississinewa River near Ridgeville.
* At 10:00 PM Friday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  8:17 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 4.9 feet by Sunday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4026 8496 4024 8528 4038 8551 4041 8543
      4030 8527 4029 8495             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
317 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 228 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

Snow will come to an end this evening across central Indiana as a
Low Pressure exits the area. Cold...Arctic high pressure over the
upper midwest will then build across Central Indiana and the Ohio
valley through the weekend...bringing very cold but dry winter
weather.

A quick moving Low pressure system is then expected to push in to
the Western Great lakes on Sunday night....pushing a cold front
across Indiana on Monday. This will bring another round of snow
to central Indiana.

Yet another arctic will arrive across Central Indiana on Tuesday.
This will continue the dry and cold weather for much of the next
work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Tonight/...

Issued at 228 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

Surface Analysis early this afternoon shows lows pressure over
West Virginia...with a cold front stretching from Western New
York...SW along the Appalachian Mountains to NW Georgia. Water
Vapor shows an upper low over Western Kentucky...pivoting
northeast...still providing southerly flow aloft to Central
Indiana. Radar shows snow showers overspreading Central Indiana
stretching in a band from Vincennes and Terre Haute east to a
Winchester-Greensburg line. Current band across the area suggests
a deformation zone like configuration...and accumulating snows
will be expected the next several hours as the band slowly edges
eastward. Ongoing Snow will continue to impact the evening rush
hours. Cold northerly surface flow was in place across Central
Indiana...with temps in the middle 20s flowing across the forecast
area.

GFS and NAM suggest the upper low will continue to slide eastward
this afternoon and tonight...and the southerly flow aloft of
moisture will be lost as it is diverted to the east. This will
bring an end to the precipitation across Central Indiana shortly
after 00Z. HRRR is in pretty good agreement wit this...sliding the
back edge of the precip to the southeastern counties by 00Z.
Forecast soundings show dry air arriving within the column near
00Z and impressive drying and subsidence arriving by 03Z as the
flow aloft shifts to the north on the backside of the upper
system. Thus will keeps some snow chances through the afternoon
and early evening across the area...but best chances will be
across the southeast as the system departs. Will try and trend
toward a dry forecast by midnight as the dry air previously
mentioned will be well in place.

Given the ongoing Cold air advection and the fresh snow...will
trend lows overnight at or below the forecast builder blend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Saturday through Monday/...

Issued at 228 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

Quiet weather will be anticipated on Saturday through Sunday. The
GFS and NAM show mainly a cold NW flow...slowly transitioning to
westerly through Sunday. Little in the way of upper support will
be pushing across the area through Sunday. Meanwhile at the
surface...High pressure looks to remain in place across the
area...slowly progressing east of Indiana by late Sunday. During
this time forecast soundings and time height show a dry column
with subsidence...which should be expected given the dry...polar
air mass. Thus will trend toward Partly clouds and trend temps at
or below the forecast builder blend through Sunday.

On Sunday night and Monday...the GFS Shows a strong wave aloft
over the Northern Plains poised to push southeast into the Ohio
Valley. Models suggest an associated well organized surface low
and cold front arriving in Central Indiana on Monday. Return flow
on the backside of the departing high should allow some limited
moisture return...however given the cold air mass...large amounts
of moisture will not be needed for snowfall. Forecast soundings
show a saturated column as the cold front approaches and passes
on Sunday Night and Monday with excellent saturation within the
-10C to -20C layer. Thus confidence is high for an accumulating
 snow as this system passes...however we would not be surprised
 to see slight changes to the timing in the next few models runs.
 Nonetheless will include high pops for snow on Sunday
 night...particularly after midnight...and on Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM /Monday Night Through Friday/...
Issued at 235 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

Models are close enough that the model blend initialization
was accepted for most items.

Much of the long term will be dominated by upper troughing across
the eastern USA. The north to northwest flow will allow Arctic air
to move into the area. Snow cover refreshed by the Monday system
will aid in bringing temperatures down.

By the end of the long term, temperatures will moderate as upper
flow relaxes and becomes more zonal.

Some lingering snow may continue in the east Monday evening. A few
lake enhanced snow showers may make it into the far northwest around
Tuesday. Otherwise the long term will be dry.

&&

.AVIATION (Discussion for the 122100Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 317 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

Based on radar trends, the heavier snow should end at KIND by 21Z.
Adjusted TAF to reflect this.

Previous discussion follows...

IFR or worse conditions expected in snow at KIND/KBMG early in the
period. Otherwise MVFR conditions will give way to VFR this evening.
Gusty winds will continue into the night.

Area of snow will be over the KIND/KBMG sites at the beginning of
the period. Snow should diminish by 20-21Z. Will have to watch KHUF
as it will be close to the snow band initially. Otherwise expect
MVFR ceilings should persist through around 00-02Z then improve to
VFR. Confidence is medium on the timing of the snow.

North winds will remain gusty 25-30kt into the overnight period then
diminish.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for INZ021-
028>031-035>049-051>057-060.

Winter Storm Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for INZ061>065-
067>072.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Puma
NEAR TERM...Puma
SHORT TERM...Puma
LONG TERM...50
AVIATION...50

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
342 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060-132045-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo,
Crawfordsville, Anderson, Muncie, Indianapolis, Terre Haute,
and Shelbyville
342 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Outlook: Snow will continue this afternoon before tapering off
tonight. Total Accumulations of 2 to 3 inches are possible. A winter
weather advisory is in effect through 10 PM EST.

Hazards: Slick roads from earlier ice and additional snow.

Timing: Snow will continue through 900 PM.

Discussion: Much colder air will spread east across the region as low
pressure over Tennessee moves towards West Virginia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Outlook: Snow is likely on Sunday night and Monday with a couple
inches of accumulation possible. Bitter cold through much of the
period. Near zero temperatures possible Monday night and wind chills
as low as 15 to 20 below.

Discussion: Very cold temperatures will occur as an upper trough
moves into the upper midwest this weekend and across our region early
next week to Southern New England by Thursday. A low pressure system
will bring a period of snow to our area around Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

INZ061>065-067>072-132045-
Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-Lawrence-
Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Bloomington, Columbus, Vincennes, Bedford,
and Seymour
342 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Outlook: Snow will continue this afternoon before tapering off this
evening. Total accumulations of 2 to 3 inches with isolated higher
amounts are expected. A winter storm warning is in effect through 10
PM EST.

Hazards: Slick roads from earlier ice and additional snow.

Timing: Snow will come to an end by 900 pm.

Discussion: Much colder air will spread east across the region as low
pressure over Tennessee moves towards West Virginia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Outlook: Snow is possible Sunday Night and Monday with a couple
inches of accumulation possible. Bitter cold through much of the
period. Near zero temperatures possible Monday night and wind chills
as low as 15 to 20 below.

Discussion: Very cold temperatures will occur as an upper trough
moves into the upper midwest this weekend and across our region early
next week to Southern New England by Thursday. A low pressure system
will bring a period of snow to our area around Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

PUMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
158 PM EST FRI JAN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     SNOW             1 NW CARMEL             39.98N 86.12W
01/12/2018  M0.5 INCH        HAMILTON           IN   PUBLIC

&&

KEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
201 PM EST FRI JAN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0143 PM     SNOW             AVON                    39.76N 86.39W
01/12/2018  M1.5 INCH        HENDRICKS          IN   PUBLIC

&&

KEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
203 PM EST FRI JAN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0203 PM     SNOW             1 SSE INDIANAPOLIS INT' 39.71N 86.28W
01/12/2018  E0.5 INCH        MARION             IN   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

KEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
208 PM EST FRI JAN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0207 PM     SNOW             BLOOMINGTON             39.17N 86.52W
01/12/2018  M2.0 INCH        MONROE             IN   PUBLIC

&&

KEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
230 PM EST FRI JAN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0219 PM     SNOW             MONROVIA                39.58N 86.48W
01/12/2018  M2.0 INCH        MORGAN             IN   PUBLIC

&&

KEH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
312 PM EST FRI JAN 12 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     SNOW             5 S DEVORE              39.36N 86.76W
01/12/2018  M2.8 INCH        OWEN               IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            INCLUDES 0.6 INCH SLEET FROM EARLIER TODAY.

&&

50