Special Weather Statement, NWS Lincoln, IL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
330 PM CDT Tue Sep 25 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT Tue Sep 25 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch is ongoing across the northern third of
the CWA late this afternoon and is set to continue til 10 pm. The
strongest storms are north of the CWA but additional showers and
storms will continue to develop across portions of central IL
along I-72 and move northeast. Will keep highest pops to the north
through the evening hours and then have pops getting lower as
moving to the southeast and south. Based on HiRes models and other
models, back edge of the precip should move through rather quickly
this evening with precip ending across most areas around midnight
and then in the east and southeast late tonight. Once the precip
moves through tonight dry weather is expected on Wednesday.

As the front moves through tonight winds will become northwesterly
and this should usher in cooler temps for tonight. Overnight lows
are expected to drop into the upper 40s in the northwest to around
60 in the southeast. Most areas will see temps of around 50 mid
50s. Wed temps will be much cooler tomorrow with northwest
flow...with 60s possible across the CWA.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT Tue Sep 25 2018

The extended period will predominately be dry as a northwest flow
pattern takes over the area for the rest of the week and then more
zonal during the weekend. Any precip chances will remain north of
the CWA the rest of the week and into the weekend as weak waves
move through the flow and across the Great Lakes region. However,
small chances of precip will be seen across the extreme northern
tier of the CWA through the period. The pattern begins to slowly
change to more southwest/zonal for the beginning of next week and
this results in the models differing with timing and position of
precip across the CWA. A blend of the models brings precip chances
for Mon night and Tue and this seems fine for now.

Temps will vary through the period with 70s expected Thur and Fri,
60s for Sat, 70s again for Sun, and then 80s for Mon and Tue.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 112 PM CDT Tue Sep 25 2018

VFR conditions have finally arrived at all TAF sites but this will
only last through the afternoon, until more clouds and precip
begin to arrive from the west/northwest, as a cold front
approaches the area. HiRers models are showing scattered showers
developing out ahead of the front later this afternoon with
thunderstorms coming a couple hours later during the late
afternoon/early evening hours. These showers and storms could
last for a few hours this evening but best spots for this appear
to be at PIA and BMI so have kept TEMPO groups for these two sites
and just will have VCTS at the other sites during the late
afternoon/evening hours. MVFR conditions will prevail from late
afternoon through overnight and then once front/clouds leave the
area clouds will clear and VFR conditions are expected tomorrow
morning. Winds will be south-southwest this afternoon and then
become northwest once the front moves through. Wind speeds will be
10kts of less this afternoon and then 10-15kts behind the front.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Auten
LONG TERM...Auten
AVIATION...Auten

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
306 PM CDT Tue Sep 25 2018

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061-261100-
Cass-Champaign-Christian-Coles-De Witt-Douglas-Edgar-Fulton-Knox-
Logan-Macon-Marshall-Mason-McLean-Menard-Morgan-Moultrie-Peoria-
Piatt-Sangamon-Schuyler-Scott-Shelby-Stark-Tazewell-Vermilion-
Woodford-
306 PM CDT Tue Sep 25 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central and east central
Illinois.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Thunderstorms will continue to increase through mid evening. There
is a slight risk of severe weather. The primary threat will be
with damaging winds. Some isolated large hail is also possible,
especially northwest of the Illinois River. An isolated tornado
cannot be ruled out, though this would be most likely north of
I-72.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is likely into this evening. For areas west of
I-55, this is most likely through 10 pm. East of I-55, the most
likely time frame is between 6 pm and 11 pm.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-261100-
Clark-Clay-Crawford-Cumberland-Effingham-Jasper-Lawrence-Richland-
306 PM CDT Tue Sep 25 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Scattered thunderstorms are possible into the evening. While
widespread severe weather is not expected, a few of the storms may
contain damaging winds. Minor flooding is also possible,
especially where heavy rains occurred earlier today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible through 10 pm.

Geelhart

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
329 PM CDT TUE SEP 25 2018

ILZ027-252115-
Knox-
329 PM CDT TUE SEP 25 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN KNOX COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM
CDT...

At 329 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Rio, or 10 miles north of Galesburg, moving east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Oneida, Altona, Victoria and Rio.

This includes Interstate 74 between mile markers 35 and 42.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
west central Illinois.

LAT...LON 4115 9000 4104 9000 4103 9042 4109 9044
      4115 9044
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 256DEG 39KT 4109 9034

Smith

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
348 PM CDT TUE SEP 25 2018

ILZ044-045-054-055-252115-
Douglas-Piatt-Moultrie-Champaign-
348 PM CDT TUE SEP 25 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MOULTRIE...SOUTHERN
PIATT...SOUTHERN CHAMPAIGN AND NORTHWESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES UNTIL
415 PM CDT...

At 348 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bement, or 8 miles southeast of Monticello, moving northeast at 40
mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Champaign, Urbana, Savoy, Tolono, Bement, Philo, Sidney, Pesotum,
Hammond, Sadorus, Ivesdale, Milmine and Willard Airport.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 57 between mile markers 219 and 235.
 Interstate 72 near mile marker 182.
 Interstate 74 between mile markers 180 and 188.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3977 8863 3990 8870 4020 8818 3998 8802
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 240DEG 37KT 3991 8851

07

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
401 PM CDT TUE SEP 25 2018

ILZ027-028-252130-
Knox-Stark-
401 PM CDT TUE SEP 25 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN STARK AND NORTHEASTERN
KNOX COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 400 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
La Fayette, or 7 miles southwest of Kewanee, moving northeast at 45
mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Toulon, Osceola, Bradford, Elmira, Victoria, La Fayette and Snake Den
Hollow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
north central and west central Illinois.

LAT...LON 4123 8964 4115 8964 4098 9014 4115 9014
      4115 8987 4123 8986
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 240DEG 49KT 4114 8998

07

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>