Severe Thunderstorm Warning 85, NWS Wilmington, OH

116 
WWUS51 KILN 092113
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
513 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

OHC021-023-109-092123-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0085.000000T0000Z-180609T2130Z/
Champaign OH-Clark OH-Miami OH-
513 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN CHAMPAIGN...
NORTHWESTERN CLARK AND CENTRAL MIAMI COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds and
heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

Please report previous wind damage or hail to the National Weather
Service by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and submitting
your report via social media.

LAT...LON 4023 8378 3995 8371 3993 8433 4010 8436
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 261DEG 28KT 4008 8401 

$$

AR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
330 PM EDT Sat Jun 9 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Warm and humid conditions will continue into next week. A
surface boundary, increased humidity, and weak disturbances
will combine to result in chances for thunderstorms into
Tuesday. The front will push through the area offering a
temporary dry period at mid week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
Thunderstorms were developing across Indiana ahead of a remnant
MCV in the moderately unstable airmass. The airmass will
continue to destabilize with blyr CAPE values of 1500-2000 j/kg
over western Ohio. This moderate instability combined with the
mid level support will aid the continued development of deep
convection.

Effective shear will be 20-25 kts with the most favorable shear
over west central Ohio. DCAPE values approach 1000 j/kg. Expect
the storms along the Indiana/Ohio line to push east across
ILN/s FA through the remainder of the aftn into this evening.

Have adjusted pops up to categorical to account for the
expected coverage. Isolated strong to damaging winds will be a
threat due to favorable DCAPEs.

Also, PW/s to increase to 1.7 inches. Given the slow movement
and very moist environment heavy rain and potential flash
flooding will also be a threat.

Will continue the current HWO product which has a mention of
these threats of wind and heavy rain.

The storms will push through with a diminishing trend later this
evening due to loss of heating and with the upper support
shifting east. With the front laying out across the area
will keep a very low pop chance going overnight.

In the moist environment temperatures will be mild over night
with lows in the mid and upper 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
East-west surface front to continue to bisect ILN/s area
Sunday. This stalled front combined with moderate instability
will continue to lead to scattered thunderstorm development.
Have a period of likely pops durg the aftn when the most
favorable instby is expected and with the approach of upper
support. Warm conditions to continue with Sundays highs
from the lower 80s north to the upper 80s south.

With upper level support dropping ese in the flow and the front
across the Ohio River Valley will keep high chance pops going
Sunday night, with the highest pops south. Expect Sunday nights
lows to range from the lower 60s north to the upper 60s south.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The warm, humid, and active pattern will continue for the Ohio
Valley on Monday and Tuesday. The ILN forecast area will remain on
the south side of a stalled WNW-to-ENE boundary, well in the warm
sector, but in an area where primarily-diurnal convection will
continue to be possible. With little change to the going forecast,
PoPs and warm temperatures will be maintained for both Monday and
Tuesday.

Just behind a 500mb wave moving through the area on Tuesday, a cold
front is expected to clear through the region on Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning. PoPs will come to an end after this front passes
the region, with high pressure building into the area later
Wednesday and into early Thursday. Overall, it will only result in a
slight change in the air mass -- temperatures may be a couple
degrees cooler than on Monday and Tuesday, with dewpoints falling a
little more significantly into the 60s.

A more active pattern will set up later in the week, with
instability building back in by Thursday afternoon, and likely
continuing into Friday and Saturday as well. There is more spread
across recent model runs in how the pattern will set up for Friday
and beyond, so PoPs will be kept on the low end of things for now.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Thunderstorms developing across Indiana in axis of moderate
instby. These storms associated with MCV moving across IL to
track east impacting the ILN TAF sites this aftn into the early
evening. Some of the storms may contain gusty winds from the
northwest. Have kept CIGs VFR but brief IFR vsbys and CIGs are
possible in heavy rain. Storms will decrease later this evening
with some fog possible mainly at KLUK and KLCK. At this time
have limited mention to MVFR vsby restrictions but depending on
cloud cover IFR vsbys are possible especially at KLUK.

With the boundary across the area and moderate instby developing
scattered thunderstorm development likely again Sunday aftn.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible into Tuesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...AR
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...Hatzos
AVIATION...AR

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
334 PM EDT Sat Jun 9 2018

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-101945-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-
Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-
Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-
Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-
Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
334 PM EDT Sat Jun 9 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Thunderstorms will develop across the area through the afternoon
into this evening. A few storms could produce strong to damaging wind
gusts and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Daytime heating will lead to widely scattered afternoon storms
Sunday and Monday. A few storms could produce heavy rain, large hail
and damaging wind gusts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
350 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

OHZ035-042-043-051-092030-
Auglaize OH-Darke OH-Shelby OH-Miami OH-
350 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SHELBY...DARKE...
SOUTHWESTERN AUGLAIZE AND NORTHWESTERN MIAMI COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM
EDT...

At 350 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a line
extending from near St. Marys to near New Madison, moving east at 35
mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Pea size hail...
Very heavy rain...

Locations impacted include...
Sidney, Piqua, Greenville, New Bremen, Minster, Versailles,
Covington, Arcanum, Newport, Bradford, Anna, Fort Loramie, Pleasant
Hill, Ansonia, Botkins, New Madison, New Knoxville, Hardin, Webster
and Wayne Lakes.

This includes I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 83 and 108.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you
can do so safely.

LAT...LON 4052 8410 4019 8419 3993 8439 3992 8481
      4001 8481 4036 8455 4036 8445 4047 8446
      4052 8442
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 253DEG 29KT 4049 8442 4001 8476

Hatzos

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
430 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

INZ074-OHZ070-077-092100-
Dearborn IN-Hamilton OH-Butler OH-
430 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN DEARBORN...
NORTHWESTERN HAMILTON AND SOUTHWESTERN BUTLER COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM
EDT...

At 429 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over Harrison,
moving northeast at 20 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning...
Very heavy rain...

Locations impacted include...
Fairfield, Harrison, North College Hill, Mount Healthy, Bright, Ross,
Cleves, Shawnee, Taylor Creek, Dry Ridge, Skyline Acres, Blue Jay,
Dunlap, Colerain Township, Miami Heights, Monfort Heights, New Haven,
Grandview, West Harrison and Northbrook.

This includes the following Interstates...
 I-74 in Indiana between mile markers 169 and 171.
 I-74 in Ohio between mile markers 0 and 12.

Do not stay in the open or seek shelter under trees when lightning
threatens. Move indoors when a thunderstorm approaches.

Water will pond on roads and may quickly fill roadside ditches and
small streams.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3929 8488 3931 8485 3931 8482 3932 8482
      3940 8467 3922 8455 3914 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 236DEG 16KT 3926 8480

KC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
431 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0428 PM     TSTM WND GST     KI67 CINCY WEST APT     39.26N 84.77W
06/09/2018  M51 MPH          HAMILTON           OH   AWOS

&&

KC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
432 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND GST     KI67 CINCY WEST APT     39.26N 84.77W
06/09/2018  M53 MPH          HAMILTON           OH   AWOS

&&

KC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
437 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

OHZ060-061-092115-
Montgomery OH-Preble OH-
437 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN PREBLE AND CENTRAL
MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

At 437 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over Lewisburg,
moving east at 25 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning...
Very heavy rain...

Locations impacted include...
Dayton, Kettering, Huber Heights, Trotwood, Vandalia, Englewood,
Eaton, Moraine, Oakwood, West Carrollton, Lewisburg, West Alexandria,
Riverside, Clayton, Brookville, New Lebanon, Shiloh, Oklahoma, Fort
Mckinley and Northview.

This includes the following Interstates...
 I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 11 and 36.
 I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 48 and 62.

Do not stay in the open or seek shelter under trees when lightning
threatens. Move indoors when a thunderstorm approaches.

Water will pond on roads and may quickly fill roadside ditches and
small streams.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3987 8461 3989 8416 3988 8415 3968 8415
      3970 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 268DEG 23KT 3981 8452

Coniglio

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
450 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

OHZ026-035-043>045-052-092115-
Champaign OH-Auglaize OH-Logan OH-Shelby OH-Hardin OH-Union OH-
450 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY...NORTHERN
CHAMPAIGN...LOGAN...EAST CENTRAL AUGLAIZE...HARDIN COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL OHIO AND WESTERN UNION COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO UNTIL 515 PM
EDT...

At 449 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Belle
Center, moving east at 35 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning...
Very heavy rain...

Locations impacted include...
Bellefontaine, Kenton, Ada, West Liberty, North Lewisburg, Forest,
Russells Point, De Graff, Lakeview, Dunkirk, Alger, Belle Center,
West Mansfield, Chippewa Park, Northwood, Blanchard, Roundhead,
Quincy, Mount Victory and Rushsylvania.

Do not stay in the open or seek shelter under trees when lightning
threatens. Move indoors when a thunderstorm approaches.

Water will pond on roads and may quickly fill roadside ditches and
small streams.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 4081 8350 4070 8350 4070 8344 4069 8344
      4069 8342 4051 8342 4050 8341 4012 8348
      4016 8403 4018 8402 4019 8407 4064 8393
      4065 8388 4082 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 2049Z 270DEG 32KT 4048 8381

Coniglio