Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 52, NWS Wilmington, NC

December 30, 2018Bladen County, North Carolina

NWS Wilmington, NC issued this river flood warning at Dec 30, 2018, 9:10 AM EST for Bladen County, North Carolina. It took effect at Dec 31, 2018, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 30, 2018, 9:10 AM EST (14:10 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 31, 2018, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 2, 2019, 6:52 PM EST
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Wilmington, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Bladen County, NC

The radar

The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cape Fear River at Elizabethtown (ELZN7).

Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
25 ft
Moderate stage
35 ft
Major stage
42 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

372 
WGUS42 KILM 301410
FLWILM
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
910 AM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

...The National Weather Service in Wilmington NC has issued a Flood Warning for 
the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-310610-
/O.NEW.KILM.FL.W.0052.181231T1200Z-190102T1500Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.181231T1200Z.190101T0600Z.190102T0300Z.NO/
910 AM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

The National Weather Service in Wilmington NC has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* from Monday morning to Wednesday morning.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 25.5 feet early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational 
  lock.

&&

LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
          3459 7859 3465 7872         

$$

19
7 follow-up statements
667 
WGUS82 KILM 310244
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
944 PM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
  Black Creek At Quinby affecting Darlington and Florence Counties SC

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
  Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
  Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry affecting Dillon...Horry and Marion Counties
  SC
  Waccamaw At Conway affecting Horry County SC
  Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-311843-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.181231T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
944 PM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 45.33 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.6 feet by early tomorrow 
  afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Flood waters will affect areas along the left bank of 
  the river with some minor overflow along the right bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
          3465 7872 3472 7882         

$$

NCC017-311843-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0052.181231T1500Z-190102T0300Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.181231T1500Z.190101T0000Z.190101T1500Z.NO/
944 PM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

...Flood Warning now in effect until Tuesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* from Monday morning to Tuesday evening.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 25.2 feet tomorrow
  evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational 
  lock.

&&

LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
          3459 7859 3465 7872         

$$

NCC155-311843-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181216T2355Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
944 PM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At  4:58 PM Sunday the stage was 15.03 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 15.0 feet.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Flood waters will affect yards in the Pines area, Coxs 
  Pond area, and along River Road. Additional residential property will be 
  affected between the Pepsi plant and the river on the east side of Lumberton.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
          3461 7907 3458 7915         

$$

SCC033-051-067-311843-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GALS1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181220T2045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
944 PM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 9.50 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 9.5 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Flood waters will begin to affect residential yards in 
  the Fork Retch community upstream of Galivants Ferry near the town of Nichols.
  Swampland flooding becomes noticeable and natural boat landings will be 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
          3400 7938 3409 7930         

$$

SCC051-311843-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNWS1.2.ER.181216T2230Z.181230T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
944 PM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Waccamaw At Conway.
* until further notice.
* At  9:15 PM Sunday the stage was 12.34 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 12.0 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flooding will worsen in the Lees Landing, Riverfront 
  South, Pitch Landing and Savannah Bluff communities. Flood waters will begin 
  to affect homes north of Conway on Riverside Drive. Swamps will be heavily 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 7892 3382 7886 3379 7900 3371 7900
          3371 7911 3385 7908         

$$

SCC041-067-311843-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181227T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
944 PM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 23.08 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.9 feet by early Thursday 
  afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding will affect swamp and timberlands while also 
  disrupting logging operations. Operations will likely cease and equipment not 
  previously moved will remain trapped. Some farmland will have minor flooding 
  especially around Britton Neck.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
          3385 7944 3398 7957         

$$

SCC031-041-311843-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190104T1800Z/
/BCRS1.1.ER.181209T1932Z.181223T0600Z.190104T0600Z.NO/
944 PM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

...Flood Warning now in effect until Friday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Quinby.
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 11.65 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.3 feet by early Tuesday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Floodwaters continue to rise on Creekside Drive and 
  East Black Creek Road with water nearing a few homes. Homes along East Black 
  Creek Road become isolated and residents must use boats to exit the 
  neighborhood.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 7979 3429 7973 3431 7967 3423 7963
          3422 7975 3428 7984         

$$
43
892 
WGUS82 KILM 311408
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
908 AM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
  Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
  Black Creek At Quinby affecting Darlington and Florence Counties SC

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...

  Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
  Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry affecting Dillon...Horry and Marion Counties
  SC
  Waccamaw At Conway affecting Horry County SC
  Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-010608-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-190105T2100Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.181231T1800Z.190105T0900Z.NO/
908 AM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

...Flood Warning now in effect until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  8:00 AM Monday the stage was 45.84 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.9 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Flood waters will affect areas along the left bank of 
  the river with some minor overflow along the right bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
          3465 7872 3472 7882         

$$

NCC017-010608-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0052.181231T1700Z-190102T1800Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.181231T1700Z.190101T0600Z.190102T0600Z.NO/
908 AM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

...Flood Warning now in effect until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  7:30 AM Monday the stage was 24.10 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational 
  lock.

&&

LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
          3459 7859 3465 7872         

$$

NCC155-010608-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181216T2355Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
908 AM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At  7:30 AM Monday the stage was 15.04 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 14.8 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Flood waters will affect yards in the Pines area, Coxs 
  Pond area, and along River Road. Additional residential property will be 
  affected between the Pepsi plant and the river on the east side of Lumberton.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
          3461 7907 3458 7915         

$$

SCC033-051-067-010608-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GALS1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181220T2045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 AM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Monday the stage was 9.48 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.5 feet by this afternoon. 
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Flood waters will begin to affect residential yards in 
  the Fork Retch community upstream of Galivants Ferry near the town of Nichols.
  Swampland flooding becomes noticeable and natural boat landings will be 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
          3400 7938 3409 7930         

$$

SCC051-010608-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNWS1.2.ER.181216T2230Z.181230T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 AM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Waccamaw At Conway.
* until further notice.
* At  8:15 AM Monday the stage was 12.33 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 12.2 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flooding will worsen in the Lees Landing, Riverfront 
  South, Pitch Landing and Savannah Bluff communities. Flood waters will begin 
  to affect homes north of Conway on Riverside Drive. Swamps will be heavily 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 7892 3382 7886 3379 7900 3371 7900
          3371 7911 3385 7908         

$$

SCC041-067-010608-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181227T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 AM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 AM Monday the stage was 23.01 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.0 feet by Thursday 
  evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding will affect swamp and timberlands while also 
  disrupting logging operations. Operations will likely cease and equipment not 
  previously moved will remain trapped. Some farmland will have minor flooding 
  especially around Britton Neck.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
          3385 7944 3398 7957         

$$

SCC031-041-010608-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190104T1200Z/
/BCRS1.1.ER.181209T1932Z.181223T0600Z.190104T0000Z.NO/
908 AM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

...Flood Warning now in effect until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Quinby.
* until Friday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Monday the stage was 11.82 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.2 feet by early Tuesday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Floodwaters continue to rise on Creekside Drive and 
  East Black Creek Road with water nearing a few homes. Homes along East Black 
  Creek Road become isolated and residents must use boats to exit the 
  neighborhood.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 7979 3429 7973 3431 7967 3423 7963
          3422 7975 3428 7984         

$$

19
597 
WGUS82 KILM 010102
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
802 PM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
  Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...

  Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
  Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry affecting Dillon...Horry and Marion Counties
  SC
  Waccamaw At Conway affecting Horry County SC
  Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC
  Black Creek At Quinby affecting Darlington and Florence Counties SC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-011701-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-190105T1200Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190101T0600Z.190105T0000Z.NO/
802 PM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

...Flood Warning now in effect until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until Saturday morning.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 46.15 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 46.2 feet by early Tuesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Flood waters will affect areas along the left bank of 
  the river with some minor overflow along the right bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
          3465 7872 3472 7882         

$$

NCC017-011701-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-190102T2000Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190101T1200Z.190102T0800Z.NO/
802 PM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

...Flood Warning now in effect until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 25.7 feet Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational 
  lock.

&&

LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
          3459 7859 3465 7872         

$$

NCC155-011701-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181216T2355Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
802 PM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At  5:10 PM Monday the stage was 15.02 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 14.7 feet by 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Flood waters will affect yards in the Pines area, Coxs 
  Pond area, and along River Road. Additional residential property will be 
  affected between the Pepsi plant and the river on the east side of Lumberton.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
          3461 7907 3458 7915         

$$

SCC033-051-067-011701-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GALS1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181220T2045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 9.46 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.5 feet by early Tuesday 
  morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Flood waters will begin to affect residential yards in 
  the Fork Retch community upstream of Galivants Ferry near the town of Nichols.
  Swampland flooding becomes noticeable and natural boat landings will be 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
          3400 7938 3409 7930         

$$

SCC051-011701-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNWS1.2.ER.181216T2230Z.181230T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Waccamaw At Conway.
* until further notice.
* At  7:15 PM Monday the stage was 12.32 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 12.0 feet by 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flooding will worsen in the Lees Landing, Riverfront 
  South, Pitch Landing and Savannah Bluff communities. Flood waters will begin 
  to affect homes north of Conway on Riverside Drive. Swamps will be heavily 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 7892 3382 7886 3379 7900 3371 7900
          3371 7911 3385 7908         

$$

SCC041-067-011701-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181227T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 23.02 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by early Friday 
  morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
  upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the 
  river will worsen.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
          3385 7944 3398 7957         

$$

SCC031-041-011701-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190104T1200Z/
/BCRS1.1.ER.181209T1932Z.181223T0600Z.190104T0000Z.NO/
802 PM EST Mon Dec 31 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Quinby.
* until Friday morning.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 11.87 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.1 feet by early Tuesday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Floodwaters continue to rise on Creekside Drive and 
  East Black Creek Road with water nearing a few homes. Homes along East Black 
  Creek Road become isolated and residents must use boats to exit the 
  neighborhood.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 7979 3429 7973 3431 7967 3423 7963
          3422 7975 3428 7984         

$$

43
415 
WGUS82 KILM 011406
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
906 AM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
  Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
  Black Creek At Quinby affecting Darlington and Florence Counties SC

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...

  Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
  Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry affecting Dillon...Horry and Marion Counties
  SC
  Waccamaw At Conway affecting Horry County SC
  Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-020606-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190101T0615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 AM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

...Flood Warning now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 45.93 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 44.9 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Flood waters will affect areas along the left bank of 
  the river with some minor overflow along the right bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
          3465 7872 3472 7882         

$$

NCC017-020606-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-190103T0300Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190101T1800Z.190102T1500Z.NO/
906 AM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

...Flood Warning now in effect until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until Wednesday evening.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 25.7 feet this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational 
  lock.

&&

LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
          3459 7859 3465 7872         

$$

NCC155-020606-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181216T2355Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
906 AM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At  6:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 14.8 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Flood waters will affect yards in the Pines area, Coxs 
  Pond area, and along River Road. Additional residential property will be 
  affected between the Pepsi plant and the river on the east side of Lumberton.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
          3461 7907 3458 7915         

$$

SCC033-051-067-020606-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GALS1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181220T2045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 AM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry.
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.43 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.5 feet by early Friday 
  morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Flood waters will begin to affect residential yards in 
  the Fork Retch community upstream of Galivants Ferry near the town of Nichols.
  Swampland flooding becomes noticeable and natural boat landings will be 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
          3400 7938 3409 7930         

$$

SCC051-020606-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNWS1.2.ER.181216T2230Z.181230T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 AM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Waccamaw At Conway.
* until further notice.
* At  8:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.28 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.3 feet by this afternoon.
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flooding will worsen in the Lees Landing, Riverfront 
  South, Pitch Landing and Savannah Bluff communities. Flood waters will begin 
  to affect homes north of Conway on Riverside Drive. Swamps will be heavily 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 7892 3382 7886 3379 7900 3371 7900
          3371 7911 3385 7908         

$$

SCC041-067-020606-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181227T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 AM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.11 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by early Friday 
  morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
  upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the 
  river will worsen.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
          3385 7944 3398 7957         

$$

SCC031-041-020606-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190105T1200Z/
/BCRS1.1.ER.181209T1932Z.181223T0600Z.190105T0000Z.NO/
906 AM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

...Flood Warning now in effect until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Quinby.
* until Saturday morning.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.85 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and get below flood stage by Friday
  evening.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Floodwaters spill over into yards of all residences on 
  Creekside Drive.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 7979 3429 7973 3431 7967 3423 7963
          3422 7975 3428 7984         

$$

19
279 
WGUS82 KILM 020113
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
813 PM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
  Black Creek At Quinby affecting Darlington and Florence Counties SC

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
  Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
  Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry affecting Dillon...Horry and Marion Counties
  SC
  Waccamaw At Conway affecting Horry County SC
  Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-021712-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190101T0615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 PM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 45.76 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 44.3 feet by Thursday
  morning.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Flood waters will affect areas along the left bank of 
  the river with some minor overflow along the right bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
          3465 7872 3472 7882         

$$

NCC017-021712-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-190103T1000Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190102T0600Z.190102T2200Z.NO/
813 PM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

...Flood Warning now in effect until late Wednesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until late Wednesday night.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 25.5 feet just 
  after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational 
  lock.

&&

LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
          3459 7859 3465 7872         

$$

NCC155-021712-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181216T2355Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
813 PM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At  4:55 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.95 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 14.9 feet.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Flood waters will affect yards in the Pines area, Coxs 
  Pond area, and along River Road. Additional residential property will be 
  affected between the Pepsi plant and the river on the east side of Lumberton.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
          3461 7907 3458 7915         

$$

SCC033-051-067-021712-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GALS1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181220T2045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 PM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry.
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.44 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.5 feet by early Friday 
  afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Flood waters will begin to affect residential yards in 
  the Fork Retch community upstream of Galivants Ferry near the town of Nichols.
  Swampland flooding becomes noticeable and natural boat landings will be 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
          3400 7938 3409 7930         

$$

SCC051-021712-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNWS1.2.ER.181216T2230Z.181230T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 PM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Waccamaw At Conway.
* until further notice.
* At  7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.25 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 11.8 feet by Thursday
  morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flooding will worsen in the Lees Landing, Riverfront 
  South, Pitch Landing and Savannah Bluff communities. Flood waters will begin 
  to affect homes north of Conway on Riverside Drive. Swamps will be heavily 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 7892 3382 7886 3379 7900 3371 7900
          3371 7911 3385 7908         

$$

SCC041-067-021712-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181227T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 PM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 23.26 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by early Friday 
  morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
  upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the 
  river will worsen.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
          3385 7944 3398 7957         

$$

SCC031-041-021712-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190107T0900Z/
/BCRS1.1.ER.181209T1932Z.181223T0600Z.190106T2100Z.NO/
813 PM EST Tue Jan 1 2019

...Flood Warning now in effect until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Quinby.
* until late Sunday night.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.66 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and get below flood stage by Sunday
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Floodwaters spill over into yards of all residences on 
  Creekside Drive.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 7979 3429 7973 3431 7967 3423 7963
          3422 7975 3428 7984         

$$

43
711 
WGUS82 KILM 021447
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
947 AM EST Wed Jan 2 2019

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
  Waccamaw At Conway affecting Horry County SC
  Black Creek At Quinby affecting Darlington and Florence Counties SC

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
  Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
  Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry affecting Dillon...Horry and Marion Counties
  SC
  Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-030647-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190101T0615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM EST Wed Jan 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At  9:01 AM Wednesday the stage was 45.41 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 44.3 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Flood waters will affect areas along the left bank of 
  the river with some minor overflow along the right bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
          3465 7872 3472 7882         

$$

NCC017-030000-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-190103T0000Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190102T1200Z.190102T1200Z.NO/
947 AM EST Wed Jan 2 2019

...Flood Warning now in effect until this evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until this evening.
* At  7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 25.00 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and get below flood stage by this 
  morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational 
  lock.

&&

LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
          3459 7859 3465 7872         

$$

NCC155-030647-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181216T2355Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
947 AM EST Wed Jan 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.00 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 14.8 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Flood waters will affect yards in the Pines area, Coxs 
  Pond area, and along River Road. Additional residential property will be 
  affected between the Pepsi plant and the river on the east side of Lumberton.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
          3461 7907 3458 7915         

$$

SCC033-051-067-030647-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GALS1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181220T2045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM EST Wed Jan 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Pee Dee At Galivants Ferry.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.44 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 9.4 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Flood waters will begin to affect residential yards in 
  the Fork Retch community upstream of Galivants Ferry near the town of Nichols.
  Swampland flooding becomes noticeable and natural boat landings will be 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
          3400 7938 3409 7930         

$$

SCC051-030647-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-190107T0600Z/
/CNWS1.2.ER.181216T2230Z.181230T1000Z.190107T0000Z.NO/
947 AM EST Wed Jan 2 2019

...Flood Warning now in effect until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Waccamaw At Conway.
* until late Sunday night.
* At  9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.20 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and get below flood stage by Sunday
  evening.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flooding will worsen in the Lees Landing, Riverfront 
  South, Pitch Landing and Savannah Bluff communities. Flood waters will begin 
  to affect homes north of Conway on Riverside Drive. Swamps will be heavily 
  flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3391 7892 3382 7886 3379 7900 3371 7900
          3371 7911 3385 7908         

$$

SCC041-067-030647-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181227T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM EST Wed Jan 2 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 23.49 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by early Friday 
  morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
  upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the 
  river will worsen.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
          3385 7944 3398 7957         

$$

SCC031-041-030647-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190107T0600Z/
/BCRS1.1.ER.181209T1932Z.181223T0600Z.190106T1800Z.NO/
947 AM EST Wed Jan 2 2019

...Flood Warning now in effect until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Quinby.
* until late Sunday night.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.29 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and get below flood stage by early 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Floodwaters spill over into yards of all residences on 
  Creekside Drive.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 7979 3429 7973 3431 7967 3423 7963
          3422 7975 3428 7984         

$$

21
202 
WGUS82 KILM 022352
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
652 PM EST Wed Jan 2 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...

  Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to 
protect life and property from the flood waters.

Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the 
"Rivers and Lakes" link.

&&

NCC017-030022-
/O.CAN.KILM.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-190103T0000Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.190102T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
652 PM EST Wed Jan 2 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast below flood stage with a maximum value of 
  24.8 feet this evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational 
  lock.

&&

LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
          3459 7859 3465 7872         

$$

19

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 30, 6:33 AM EST, 2 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 30, 6:33 AM EST, 2 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
633 AM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Weak high pressure will sit off the coast while a front sits
stalled just to our south. A cold front arrives Tuesday night. A
storm system will affect the area late in the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 330 AM Sunday...Latest sfc analysis shows a weak stationary
frontal boundary off the SC coast with high pressure centered over
eastern VA. This setup is favorable for a weak wedge today...with
temps noticeably cooler than yesterday and a cloudy sky with some
patchy fog this morning. Despite a lack of large-scale forcing,
decent moisture feed in conjunction with weak lift will allow for
periods of rain today, especially during the morning hours when the
best mid-level shortwave energy approaches the area. High temps in
the low 60s most areas. After a dry evening, included a 20-30%
chance of rain over western areas late tonight as warm air
advection/isentropic lift increase. Low temps in the low/mid 50s
with some patchy fog again possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM Sunday...Deep layer west to southwesterly flow on
Monday as the area sits well ahead of a surface cold front to the
west while mid level ridging will be closer by to our east. Warm and
moist advection in the lower levels will make it feel more like late
Fall than winter as temps warm to 70 and dewpoints shoot up into the
low 60s. The mid levels will remain dry however and measurable rain
is not expected despite a day that may look like rain is possible
due to what may end up being widespread low cloud cover. This should
change Monday night albeit somewhat gradually as the moisture
deepens. That is not to say that deep layer saturation occurs
however, as there remains some semblance of dryness aloft Tuesday
even as a cold front approaches. The ridge offshore will be holding
its ground, and this will channel and stretch the moisture well off
to our north and west. A few showers should manage to cross the
region in an isolated to widely scattered fashion and only offer
minimal QPF prospects. Meanwhile the continued warm advection ahead
of the approaching front will push Tuesday afternoon highs into the
mid 70s. Cool and dry advection gets underway Tuesday night
following FROPA.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 300 AM Sunday...Frontal boundary will be stalled just to our
south on WEdnesday while low pressure will be deepening over the
Gulf Coast. Light to moderate rain will spread into the area from
the west. This low will pass by to our northwest Thursday and Friday
as a deeply occluded cyclone taking most of the moisture with it and
leaving the Carolinas with just scattered light showers. The GFS
solution opens the upper wave and allows the surface and low level
storm system to cross the mountains and would imply a higher rain
chance and QPF event. Cool and dry advection is expected on Friday
but overall likely only getting us back to seasonable temperatures;
a trend that will weakly reverse already by Saturday.&&

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 12Z...Influx of moisture is bringing in rain from the southwest
this morning, and will continue to have scattered rain early afternoon.
Currently seeing decrease in visibilities within heaviest rain areas.
Mostly VFR ceilings right now, but expect these to lower to MVFR as day
goes on, with IFR possible overnight. MVFR/IFR for likely overnight into
tomorrow morning. Winds will remain light and variable, before becoming
more easterly at end of TAF period.

Extended Outlook...Unsettled weather dominates through Thursday with
sub-VFR possible each day.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 300 AM Sunday...As of 330 AM Sunday...Sub-Small Craft
Advisory conditions through tonight with a weak frontal boundary
off to the south and light flow over area waters. 5-10 kt N
winds this morning become E/NE late this aftn and into tonight.
Seas 2-3 ft. Only other thing of note is the potential for sea
fog today and tonight, especially over SC coastal waters where
dewpoints are higher than SSTs in areas.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... As of 300 AM Sunday...A
pretty weak gradient in place on MOnday as high pressure centered
all the way up off coast of MA, its southern end getting underneath
the mid level ridge closer to our latitude. Winds will be capped at
about 10kt as they slowly veer in direction. Another veer on Monday
night to SW will be accompanied by a small increase in wind speed.
The approach of a cold front on Tuesday is what will cause a more
substantial tightening of the gradient and the resulting winds and
seas. Sea fog will be increasingly possible through the period as
warm dewpoints surge across the relatively cooler waters.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 300 AM Sunday...A
front stalled just south of the area Wednesday bringing a light NE
wind and relatively diminutive seas. This boundary will only limp
northward on Thursday, but some veering could still be possible.
Winds will remain quite light and seas relatively unchanged.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MBB
NEAR TERM...MAS
SHORT TERM...MBB
LONG TERM...MBB
AVIATION...VAO
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 30, 2:58 AM EST, 6 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 AM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059-
310800-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-
Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-
Coastal Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-
Williamsburg-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Central Horry-Northern Horry-
258 AM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

AMZ250-252-254-256-310800-
Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Murrells Inlet to South Santee River SC out
20 nm-
258 AM EST Sun Dec 30 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Sea fog may develop Monday night into Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.