Beach Hazards Statement 7, NWS Wilmington, NC

923 
WHUS42 KILM 230855
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
455 AM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018


NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-231700-
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0007.180623T1000Z-180624T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown-
455 AM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

South to southwest winds at 15 to 20 mph with higher gusts, combined
with south-southwest wind waves, will produce a strong south to north
longshore current at east-facing beaches today.

$$

19

424 
WHUS42 KILM 231424
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1024 AM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018


NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-240000-
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-180624T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown-
1024 AM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

South to southwest winds at 15 to 20 mph with higher gusts, combined
with south-southwest wind waves, will produce a strong south to north
longshore current at east-facing beaches today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip currents,
piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas. Often, if the longshore 
current is strong enough, it will sweep swimmers off their feet, 
making it difficult to return to shore.

Caution should be used when in or near the water. Check with the
lifeguards before entering the ocean for possible hazards you may be
swept into. 

$$

VAO

694 
WHUS42 KILM 232341
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
741 PM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018


NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-241000-
/O.EXP.KILM.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-180624T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KILM.BH.S.0008.180624T1000Z-180625T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown-
741 PM EDT Sat Jun 23 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Beach
Hazards Statement, which is in effect from 6 AM EDT Sunday through
Sunday evening.

Strong southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with higher gusts and southwest 
wind waves will develop on Sunday. This will produce a strong south 
to north longshore current at east-facing beaches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used when
in or near the water.

&&

$$

21

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
705 PM EDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Hot and humid weather with isolated thunderstorms will continue
through the weekend and into Monday. Heat advisories are
possible Sunday and Monday. A cold front will cross the area
late Monday and Tuesday bringing a good chance for showers and
thunderstorms. Much cooler weather will follow for the middle
of next week before temperatures rebound above normal by next
Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 700 PM Friday...Unless an isolated shower can manage to
overcome the dry air aloft across the I-95 corridor late this
evening as indicated by several recent HRRR runs, the overnight
period should remain dry. A modest low-level jet (20-25 kt at
925 mb) should keep surface winds from decoupling for most
locations, with lows expected to remain in the very muggy 75-80
degree range. Our forecast low of 80 in Southport, should it
verify, would be the second night in a row with an 80 degree low
temperature there. Mercer Pier at Wrightsville Beach had an 81
degree low last night! Changes to the forecast were very minor.
Discussion from 300 PM follows...

750-600 mb capping keeping a lid on deep convection so far.
Along the sea breeze, and an inland thermal trough are the
favored locations for an updraft to pop through but longevity
would be limited. We are seeing enhanced cumulus in these
regions, and the Sandhills trough appears lined up well with
weak vertical circulations aloft, along a precipitable water
gradient and as such a few storms could pop here.

Heat Advisory posted for Williamsburg and Georgetown counties
until 6 PM today, where temperatures may climb several more
degrees. Saturday falls shy of heat headlines at this time, but
increasing mid-level moisture and high SBCAPES should allow
isolated to scattered TSTMS to develop Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 PM Friday...The mid level pattern will be almost due
west to east for Sunday and this will lead to probably the
hottest day of the year. With a deep downslope flow and a sea
breeze not making much inland progress expect wide coverage of
middle and upper 90s. By late Sunday night into early Monday a
decent shortwave buckles the flow with a front pushing across or
in the process of pushing across by the end of the period.
Expect good coverage of convection with this feature as well. As
for pops for Sunday, I walked back the values somewhat due to
somewhat unfavorable profiles.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 300 PM Friday...One last very hot and humid day forecast
for Monday but a change is coming. That change is due to a
strong cold front which will drop slowly southward across the
area Monday night into Tuesday, and may stall briefly before
pushing further south and washing out by Wednesday. This will
bring a good chance for showers and thunderstorms Monday night
and Tuesday, with heavy rain possible. Although this front will
dissipate into Wednesday, cool surface high pressure and broad
troughing aloft will keep temps much cooler through late week
before ridging develops again from the west with a possible
return to significant heat by the end of the week. With the high
pressure in place and cooler temperatures, convective potential
will be decreased Wed-Fri, with just isolated tstms possible
during the aftns. Highs Monday will climb well into the 90s with
heat advisory criteria heat index values possible. Temps Tue-
Thu will fall to more seasonable levels for both highs and lows
before warming again to above normal at the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Upper low will slowly move north northeast through the forecast
period. Overnight, little to no fog expected the a moderate
southerly wind, keeping the atmosphere fairly mixed. Saturday,
convection will be hard to kick off, but it looks like a spoke of
energy from the upper low will interact with the sea breeze tomorrow
afternoon. Pretty strong southwest flow expected.

Extended Outlook...Mostly VFR. Mainly afternoon showers and
thunderstorms each day with short duration restrictions
possible. A cold front will bring a better chance for showers
and thunderstorms Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 700 PM Friday...Seabreeze-enhanced winds gusting over 20
knots at times should diminish near shore this evening, but the
synoptic wind will continue at a solid 15 knots with gusts near
20 knots all night. Seas continue to build, and should reach 3
to locally 4 feet overnight. Changes with this forecast update
were very minor. Discussion from 300 PM follows...

SW winds ongoing, generally 15 kt, with occasional gusts to 20
kt. Winds will pick up late Saturday a bit and an 'Exercise
Caution' headline may be needed beyond this period. Seas around
3 ft, but up to 4 ft outer waters at times, especially Saturday
afternoon. Dominant wave energy, S waves 3 feet at 5 seconds, so
bumpy conditions can be expected. Radar updates are encouraged
as scattered TSTMS will prevail Saturday.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 PM Friday...Fairly brisk winds across the waters
through the period via good low level jetting and an approaching
front very late in the period. Expect a southwest flow of 15-20
knots through the period. Significant seas should be 2-4 feet
but some five footers could wander into the spectrum from time
to time especially late in the period.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 300 PM Friday...A cold front will drop slowly across the
waters Monday night through Tuesday, causing winds to turn from SW
early, to NE at 10-15 kts during Tuesday. This front will sag
southward and then dissipate into Wednesday as high pressure
elongates offshore. This drives winds to a more easterly direction
on Wednesday, while maintaining those 10-15 kt speeds. Wave heights
will be generally 3-4 ft through the middle of next week. However, a
variety of wave groups will exist due to the fluctuating winds, so a
confused spectrum is likely at times the first half of the period
before an easterly 5-sec wind wave becomes dominant.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JDW
NEAR TERM...MJC/TRA
SHORT TERM...SHK
LONG TERM...JDW
AVIATION...DL

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
734 PM EDT Fri Jun 22 2018

AMZ250-252-254-256-231100-
Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Murrells Inlet to South Santee River SC out
20 nm-
734 PM EDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

'Small Craft Exercise Caution' headlines may be needed Saturday
afternoon through Sunday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ087-096-099-105-107-109-110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-055-058-
059-231100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Inland Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
734 PM EDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Heat index values could reach or exceed 105 degrees Saturday, Sunday,
and Monday, most likely on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-231100-
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown-
734 PM EDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement for a strong longshore current.

Heat index values could reach or exceed 105 degrees Saturday, Sunday,
and Monday, most likely on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

9