Severe Thunderstorm Warning 93, NWS Wichita, KS

497 
WWUS53 KICT 200854
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
354 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

KSC205-200903-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-180520T0915Z/
Wilson-
354 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WILSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3700 9556 3752 9549 3773 9539 3773 9509
      3700 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0853Z 261DEG 23KT 3755 9531 3704 9540 

$$

KSC099-125-133-200915-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-180520T0915Z/
Labette-Neosho-Montgomery-
354 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM CDT
FOR LABETTE...NEOSHO AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...

At 353 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles west of Erie to near Edna, moving east at 25
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Parsons, Oswego, Erie, Chetopa, Altamont, St. Paul, Thayer, Edna,
Mound Valley and Galesburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9556 3752 9549 3773 9539 3773 9509
      3700 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0853Z 261DEG 23KT 3755 9531 3704 9540 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Cohen

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1138 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

Forecast Headline/Highlight:
Severe thunderstorms primarily with both large/very large hail and
damaging winds likely across south-central & southeast KS until
late this evening. A couple tornadoes are also possible.

Tonight:
This afternoon a SE-moving cold front was nearing the KS Turnpike.
The front is approaching a moisture-rich environment that combined
with sufficient heating, is causing rapid destabilization across
south-central & southeast KS. Severe thunderstorms are erupting
along the front from northern OK to southeast KS. At 3 PM CDT, the
front extended from south-central IA, to along the KS Turnpike, to
the western Red River. The front is being driven by a weak mid-
upper level shortwave that extends from central Nebraska to
central CO. With the shortwave shearing as it moves E/NE, the
front should decelerate this evening & perhaps stall as it
ventures into eastern & southern OK late tonight. This would
slowly shift the axis of strong & severe thunderstorms SE as the
night progresses. The mid-upper shortwave will couple with the sfc
front to promote increasing & deepening speed & directional shear
to trigger severe thunderstorms, especially along & southeast of
the turnpike. With the strengthening deep-layer shear, hail may
reach around 2 inches along with winds that may reach around 70
mph. There continues to be concern that a few tornadoes may form,
perhaps as far west as the turnpike. The front's presence will
produce a fairly sharp NW-SE temperature gradient with lows from
around 50 at KRSL & KGBD to around 65 in southeast KS.

Sun & Sunday Night:
The decelerating front dictates increasing PoPs across southeast
KS, especially Sun morning. With the front decelerating, a few
showers & isolated thunderstorms may redevelop just south of the
OK state line Sunday night, so wouldn't be surprised if slight
chance PoPs are assigned near the OK line on the next couple
forecasts.

Mon-Tue Night:
There should be a brief intermission from thunderstorms as a mid-
upper wave, which'll deepen rapidly near the Pacific Coast Mon
Night, undergoes pronounced cyclogenesis early next week. This
would cause amplification of a mid-upper ridge over the Great
Plains. The mid-upper pattern deamplifies Tue & Tue night as a
shortwave ejects E/NE across the central Rockies. This may enable
a few thunderstorms to develop Tue night.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

Southwest mid/upper flow is progged to return as we move through
much of the upcoming week. This will help steer any subtle
shortwave troughs into the area bringing additional chances for
showers and thunderstorms through much of the period. Above
normal temperatures are also expected with highs around 90.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1133 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

Scattered showers and storms will continue affect southern and
southeast Kansas overnight, with activity lingering over
southeast Kansas into Sunday morning. Meanwhile low clouds in the
IFR/MVFR range will spread southward across the region overnight
and linger through the morning hours. The low clouds will begin to
scatter out with ceilings rising for Sunday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    58  73  58  82 /  30  20  10  10
Hutchinson      55  71  54  81 /  30  10   0  10
Newton          56  70  55  81 /  30  20  10  10
ElDorado        59  71  57  81 /  30  20  10  10
Winfield-KWLD   60  73  57  83 /  40  30  10  20
Russell         51  68  51  81 /  20   0   0  10
Great Bend      50  69  52  80 /  20   0   0  10
Salina          55  70  52  82 /  20   0  10  10
McPherson       55  70  53  81 /  30  10  10  10
Coffeyville     66  77  60  83 /  70  40  10  10
Chanute         64  75  58  82 /  50  30  10  10
Iola            64  75  58  81 /  40  30  10  10
Parsons-KPPF    65  77  60  83 /  60  40  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...EPS
LONG TERM...EPS
AVIATION...CDJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
845 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-210145-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
845 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A few strong storms will be possible across southern Kansas otherwise
more storms could move up into southeast Kansas late tonight. Severe
weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Chances for thunderstorms will remain in the forecast periodically
from late Monday night through Friday. While a few strong storms
will be possible, the risk for organized severe storms appears low
at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1231 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1217 AM     HAIL             PARSONS                 37.34N 95.27W
05/20/2018  E0.88 INCH       Labette            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ADK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1232 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1217 AM     HAIL             ALTAMONT                37.19N 95.29W
05/20/2018  E0.75 INCH       Labette            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ADK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1235 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 PM     HAIL             INDEPENDENCE            37.23N 95.71W
05/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       Montgomery         KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ADK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
135 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

KSZ093-200715-
Cowley-
135 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN COWLEY COUNTY UNTIL 215
AM CDT...

At 135 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles southwest of Hardy, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Arkansas City and Winfield.

LAT...LON 3727 9706 3711 9652 3708 9652 3700 9662
      3700 9705
TIME...MOT...LOC 0635Z 207DEG 28KT 3693 9690

Cohen

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
147 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

KSZ098-200715-
Chautauqua-
147 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY UNTIL
215 AM CDT...

At 147 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Pearsonia, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Chautauqua and Elgin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9653 3718 9643 3702 9601 3700 9604
TIME...MOT...LOC 0647Z 223DEG 30KT 3684 9647

Cohen

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
251 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

KSZ094-200830-
Elk-
251 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ELK COUNTY UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

At 251 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 3 miles southeast of Moline to 5 miles
northwest of Elk City. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Howard, Moline, Longton and Elk Falls.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3730 9642 3731 9642 3761 9621 3760 9596
      3730 9597
TIME...MOT...LOC 0751Z 246DEG 39KT 3734 9625 3735 9597

Cohen