Red Flag Warning 16, NWS Wichita, KS

Allen County, KS, Barton County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Labette County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS

654 
WWUS83 KICT 111407
RFWICT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wichita KS
907 AM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

KSZ047-050>053-067>071-082-083-091>095-098-099-120515-
/O.UPG.KICT.FW.A.0012.180412T1800Z-180413T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KICT.FW.W.0017.180412T1800Z-180413T0100Z/
/O.CON.KICT.FW.W.0016.180411T1800Z-180412T0000Z/
Barton-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-
Woodson-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-
Chautauqua-Montgomery-
907 AM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 047...050...051...052...053...067...068...069...
070...071...082...083...091...092...093...094...095...098 AND
099...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR
EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 047...050...
051...052...053...067...068...069...070...071...082...083...091...
092...093...094...095...098 AND 099...

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a Red Flag
Warning for extreme grassland fire danger, which is in effect
from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Thursday. The Fire Weather Watch is no
longer in effect.

* Extreme Grassland Fire Danger...Is forecast.

* Winds...South 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 28 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly 
  and become very difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures
can contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

&&

$$

KSZ032-048-049-120515-
/O.UPG.KICT.FW.A.0012.180412T1800Z-180413T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KICT.FW.W.0017.180412T1800Z-180413T0100Z/
Russell-Ellsworth-Saline-
907 AM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR
EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 032...
048 AND 049...

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a Red Flag
Warning for extreme grassland fire danger, which is in effect
from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Thursday. The Fire Weather Watch is no
longer in effect.

* Extreme Grassland Fire Danger...Is forecast.

* Winds...South 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 22 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly 
  and become very difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures
can contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

&&

$$

KSZ033-120515-
/O.NEW.KICT.FW.W.0017.180412T1800Z-180413T0100Z/
Lincoln-
907 AM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR
EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033...

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a Red Flag
Warning for extreme grassland fire danger, which is in effect
from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Thursday.

* Extreme Grassland Fire Danger...Is forecast.

* Winds...South 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 26 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly 
  and become very difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures
can contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

&&

$$

KSZ072-096-100-120000-
/O.CON.KICT.FW.W.0016.180411T1800Z-180412T0000Z/
Allen-Neosho-Labette-
907 AM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 072...096 AND 100...

* Extreme Grassland Fire Danger...Is forecast.

* Winds...South 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 36 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly 
  and become very difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

&&

$$

148 
WWUS83 KICT 120006
RFWICT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wichita KS
706 PM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

KSZ051>053-067>071-082-083-091>095-098-099-121515-
/O.EXP.KICT.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180412T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KICT.FW.A.0013.180413T1700Z-180414T0000Z/
/O.CON.KICT.FW.W.0017.180412T1800Z-180413T0100Z/
McPherson-Marion-Chase-Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-
Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Chautauqua-
Montgomery-
706 PM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
051...052...053...067...068...069...070...071...082...083...091...
092...093...094...095...098 AND 099...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 051...052...053...067...068...069...070...071...082...083...
091...092...093...094...095...098 AND 099...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 051...052...
053...067...068...069...070...071...082...083...091...092...093...
094...095...098 AND 099...

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for extreme grassland fire danger, which is in effect from
Friday afternoon through Friday evening.

* Extreme Grassland Fire Danger...Is forecast.

* Winds...South 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph on Thursday
  with southwest winds 20 to 30 mph on Friday.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 28 to 35 percent Thursday and as 
  low as 18 to 28 percent on Friday.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly 
  and become very difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures
can contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

A fire weather watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

&&

$$

KSZ047-050-121515-
/O.EXP.KICT.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180412T0000Z/
/O.CON.KICT.FW.W.0017.180412T1800Z-180413T0100Z/
Barton-Rice-
706 PM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
047 AND 050...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 047 AND
050...

* Extreme Grassland Fire Danger...Is forecast.

* Winds...South 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 22 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly 
  and become very difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures
can contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

&&

$$

KSZ072-096-100-120115-
/O.EXP.KICT.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-180412T0000Z/
Allen-Neosho-Labette-
706 PM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 072...
096 AND 100...

South winds will remain gusty, however higher relative humidity
values will lessen the fire weather danger.

$$

KSZ032-033-048-049-121515-
/O.CON.KICT.FW.W.0017.180412T1800Z-180413T0100Z/
Russell-Lincoln-Ellsworth-Saline-
706 PM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
032...033...048 AND 049...

* Extreme Grassland Fire Danger...Is forecast.

* Winds...South 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 23 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly 
  and become very difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
322 AM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

Today and Thursday the wind and heat machine will be turned on!
Strong southerly flow and WAA will dominate the region which will
allow temperatures to warm up to well above normal for this time of
year.  Mixing heights are rather high today and Thursday as well
allowing gusty winds to develop this afternoon and Thursday
afternoon.  Wind gust 30 to 40 mph will be possible in Southern and
Southeastern portions of Kansas today.  Thursday afternoon looks
similar.  These warm temperatures and windy conditions will create
some fire weather issues today as well (see fire weather section for
more details).  While temperatures will be well above normal today,
records seem out of reach as most are in the low 90s. Thursday high
temperatures will be a little closer to records in Central Kansas
but again, most records are in the low to mid 90s and appear out of
reach.

Friday, the weather starts to get interesting.  The mid level cap
that will be in place over region today and Thursday will slowly
erode as moisture transport is very strong Thursday night and
Friday.  This will keep temperatures up Friday morning ahead of a
rather potent frontal system that will come through during the day.
There will be strong CAA behind the front which will keep the
temperatures in the mid to low 70s for the most part and will bring
the chance for some shower and thunderstorm activity. Unfortunately,
it appears that bulk of the shower and thunderstorm activity will be
east of turnpike.  Instability, shear and forcing look very good in
Southeast Kansas raising the specter of strong to severe
thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours.  Winds look to
the primary threat at this time but can't rule out large hail
either.

Metzger

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

The extended range will start out much colder and windy as well.
Weekend temperatures will be well below normal to the point where
some records could fall.  There will also be a chance for some
wintry precipitation along the I-70 corridor Saturday night and into
Sunday as well. Accumulations are not expected to be more than a
tenth of an inch but this could cause some slick roads.
Additionally, winds will remain strong Saturday and Sunday
afternoon.  Saturday's winds will be stronger making Saturday a raw
day with wind chills likely to be in upper 20s in parts of Central
Kansas. Temperatures do not look to recover much until Monday when
southerly flow returns to the region.

Metzger

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1152 PM CDT Tue Apr 10 2018

The greatest concerns are winds. With decoupling in progress LLWS
would be encountered in most areas with SW45-50kts likely by ~09Z.
The LLWS should persist until ~15Z when the inversion disappears
& momentum transfer greatly increases. Sustained S/SW winds ~25kts
are likely in most areas from mid-morning onward with ~35kt gusts,
especially along & E of I-135.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 321 AM CDT Wed Apr 11 2018

Dry, warm and windy conditions will make for a problematic couple of
days.  A Red Flag Warning has been issued for today along with a
wind advisory.  The greatest threat looks to be between noon and 6
pm this afternoon when the warmest and windiest conditions are
expected.  Thursday also looks to be problematic with strong winds
as well.  A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for much of the
region Thursday afternoon .  See the latest bulletins for details.
Friday and Saturday also look to have some issues with fire weather
with extreme GFDI values expected for South Central Kansas Friday.
Extreme GFDI values are also expected Saturday along the I-70
corridor due the high winds expected that day despite the colder
temperatures.

Metzger

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    81  56  83  65 /   0   0   0  10
Hutchinson      83  54  84  62 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          81  55  82  64 /   0   0   0  10
ElDorado        80  57  82  64 /   0   0   0  10
Winfield-KWLD   80  58  83  65 /   0   0   0  20
Russell         86  48  89  54 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      85  50  88  53 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          84  52  86  64 /   0   0   0  10
McPherson       83  53  83  64 /   0   0   0  10
Coffeyville     77  58  79  65 /   0   0   0  30
Chanute         77  57  78  65 /   0   0   0  20
Iola            77  57  78  65 /   0   0   0  20
Parsons-KPPF    77  58  78  65 /   0   0   0  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT this
evening for KSZ047-050>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

Wind Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
for KSZ052-053-068>072-083-092>096-098>100.

Fire Weather Watch from Thursday afternoon through Thursday
evening for KSZ032-047>053-067>071-082-083-091>095-098-099.

&&

SHORT TERM...ELM
LONG TERM...ELM
AVIATION...EPS
FIRE WEATHER...ELM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
900 PM CDT Tue Apr 10 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-120200-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
900 PM CDT Tue Apr 10 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central, South
Central and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Stronger south winds, unseasonably warm air and lower daytime
humidity values will result in very high to extreme grassland fire
danger Wednesday and Thursday afternoon. The most critical areas on
Wednesday would be across south central Kansas and the Flint Hills
and generally along and west of I-135 on Thursday afternoon. Please
refer to the latest Fire Weather Watch for details. A Wind Advisory
is also posted for parts of south central Kansas and the Flint Hills
on Wednesday afternoon.

There is a chance for thunderstorms late Thursday night through
Friday night across southeast Kansas. Strong thunderstorms are
possible on Friday.

A very high grassland fire danger is expected on Friday and Saturday
across much of the area.

A light wintry mix of snow and rain is possible early Saturday
morning across central Kansas, mainly along and north of the I-70
corridor.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/