Beach Hazards Statement 7, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

514 
WHUS44 KHGX 091519
CFWHGX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1019 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY...

.The combination of increased tide levels and wave run up from
Hurricane Michael is causing minor coastal flooding and this will 
continue through through Wednesday morning. The usual flood prone 
locations will be most susceptible around times of high tide for a 
few hours. This includes the Bolivar
Peninsula, Blue Water Highway, Surfside and Crystal Beach even some 
canals on the northwest shores of Galveston Island and Bolivar 
Peninsula. Toddville Road in Seabrook may also see some minor 
overwash around high tide. Look for increased wave run up later 
today, possibly impacting additional beachfront locations, as the
longer period swells from Hurricane Michael arrive and surf increases.

TXZ214-313-335>338-436>438-100330-
/O.CON.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-181010T1200Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181010T1200Z/
Brazoria Islands-Chambers-Coastal Brazoria-Coastal Galveston-
Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-Coastal Matagorda-
Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-Matagorda Islands-
1019 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, increased tides and wave run up, 
  and dangerous rip currents. 

* TIMING...Minor coastal flooding today and tonight. Some 
  improvement may be expected on Wednesday. 

* LOCATION...beaches and low lying areas around Galveston Bay and 
  Gulf facing beaches. 

* POTENTIAL IMPACTS...Water and wave run up inundating low lying 
  coastal areas such as HWY 87 on Bolivar, Surfside, Blue Water 
  Highway and other low lying coastal areas. Dangerous swimming 
  conditions at area beaches due to large surf and strong rip 
  currents. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

482 
WHUS44 KHGX 092119
CFWHGX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
419 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING AND ADVISORY EXTENDED...

.Coastal flooding is already ongoing and will worsen overnight as
the swells from Hurricane Michael spread into the area tonight and 
build. The most susceptible areas around times of high tide will be 
High Island area, Bolivar Peninsula, Blue Water
Highway, Surfside and Crystal Beach even some canals on the
northwest shores of Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula.
Toddville Road in Seabrook may also see some minor overwash
around high tide. 

TXZ214-438-100530-
/O.UPG.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-181010T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KHGX.CF.W.0001.181009T2119Z-181010T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Chambers-Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-
419 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a
Coastal Flood Warning, which is in effect until 4 PM CDT
Wednesday. The Coastal Flood Advisory is no longer in effect. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...Ongoing coastal flooding of beaches and water
  backing up into the canals on the bay side of Galveston and Bolivar.
  Some roads are impassable and as tide levels rise overnight as much 
  another foot from the highest tide levels seen in the last day.

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, increased tides and wave run up, 
  and dangerous rip currents. 

* TIMING...Coastal flooding tonight will worsen and continue through 
  Wednesday afternoon before very slowly improving Wednesday late 
  afternoon and through the night. 

* LOCATION...Beaches and low lying areas around Galveston Bay 
  and Gulf facing beaches. 

* IMPACTS...Coastal flooding of beaches and Highway 87. Tide levels 
  in canals on the bay side will expand into the island. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or
imminent. Coastal residents in the warned area should be alert
for rising water...and take appropriate action to protect life
and property.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

TXZ313-335>338-436-437-100530-
/O.EXT.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-181010T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Brazoria Islands-Coastal Brazoria-Coastal Galveston-
Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-Coastal Matagorda-
Matagorda Islands-
419 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, increased tides and wave run up, 
  and dangerous rip currents. 

* TIMING...Minor coastal flooding tonight and Wednesday. 

* LOCATION...beaches and low lying areas along the Gulf facing beaches. 

* POTENTIAL IMPACTS...Water and wave run up inundating low lying 
  coastal areas such as, Surfside, Blue Water 
  Highway and other low lying coastal areas. Dangerous swimming 
  conditions at area beaches due to large surf and strong rip 
  currents. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

538 
WHUS44 KHGX 100305
CFWHGX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1005 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING AND ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

.Coastal flooding is already ongoing and will worsen overnight as
the swells from Hurricane Michael continue to fill into the upper Texas 
coastal waters tonight. The most susceptible areas around times of high tide
will be beach and bay front locations from the Bolivar Peninsula to Surfside. 
Toddville Road in Seabrook may also see some minor overwash around high tide.


TXZ437-102100-
/O.UPG.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-181010T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KHGX.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-181010T2100Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Brazoria Islands-
1005 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a
Coastal Flood Warning, which is in effect until 4 PM CDT
Wednesday. The Coastal Flood Advisory is no longer in effect. 

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, increased tides and wave run up, 
  and dangerous rip currents. Some roads may become impassable.

* TIMING...Through Wednesday.

* LOCATION...low lying areas along the Gulf facing beaches.

* POTENTIAL IMPACTS...Water and wave run up inundating low lying 
  coastal areas such as Surfside, Blue Water Highway and other 
  low lying coastal areas. Dangerous swimming conditions at area 
  beaches due to large surf and strong rip currents. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or
imminent. Coastal residents in the warned area should be alert
for rising water...and take appropriate action to protect life
and property.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

TXZ214-438-102100-
/O.CON.KHGX.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-181010T2100Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Chambers-Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-
1005 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, increased tides and wave run up, 
  and dangerous rip currents.  

* TIMING...Through Wednesday. 

* LOCATION...Beach front locations and roads. Low lying areas 
  around Galveston Bay. 

* IMPACTS...Some roads may become impassable. Dangerous swimming 
  conditions due to large surf and strong rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or
imminent. Coastal residents in the warned area should be alert
for rising water...and take appropriate action to protect life
and property.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

TXZ313-335>338-436-102100-
/O.CON.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-181010T2100Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Coastal Brazoria-Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Matagorda Islands-
1005 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, increased tides and wave run up, 
  and dangerous rip currents.  

* TIMING...Through Wednesday. 

* LOCATION...Beach front locations and roads. Low lying areas 
  around Galveston Bay. 

* IMPACTS...Some roads may become impassable. Dangerous swimming 
  conditions due to large surf and strong rip currents.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

950 
WHUS44 KHGX 100929
CFWHGX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
429 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING AND ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

.Coastal flooding is already ongoing and should continue as the 
swells from Hurricane Michael fill into the upper Texas coastal 
waters tonight. The most susceptible areas around times of high 
tide will be beach and bay front locations from the Bolivar 
Peninsula to Surfside. Toddville Road in Seabrook may also see 
some minor overwash around high tide.

TXZ214-437-438-102100-
/O.CON.KHGX.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-181010T2100Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Brazoria Islands-Chambers-Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-
429 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, increased tides and wave run up, 
  and dangerous rip currents. Some roads may become impassable. 

* TIMING...Through Wednesday.

* LOCATION...low lying areas along the Gulf facing beaches.

* POTENTIAL IMPACTS...Water and wave run up inundating low lying 
  coastal areas such as Surfside, Blue Water Highway and other 
  low lying coastal areas. Dangerous swimming conditions at area 
  beaches due to large surf and strong rip currents. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or
imminent. Coastal residents in the warned area should be alert
for rising water...and take appropriate action to protect life
and property.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

TXZ313-335>338-436-102100-
/O.CON.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-181010T2100Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Coastal Brazoria-Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Matagorda Islands-
429 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, increased tides and wave run up, 
  and dangerous rip currents. 

* TIMING...Through Wednesday.

* LOCATION...Beach front locations and roads. Low lying areas 
  around Galveston Bay. 

* IMPACTS...Some roads may become impassable. Dangerous swimming 
  conditions due to large surf and strong rip currents. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

393 
WHUS44 KHGX 101624
CFWHGX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1124 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING AND ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

.Coastal flooding is already ongoing and should continue as the
swells from Hurricane Michael fill into the upper Texas coastal
waters through this evening. The most susceptible areas around 
times of high tide will be beach and bay front locations from the 
Bolivar Peninsula to Surfside. Toddville Road in Seabrook may also
see some minor overwash around high tide.

TXZ214-437-438-110000-
/O.EXT.KHGX.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Brazoria Islands-Chambers-Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-
1124 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, increased tides and wave run up, 
  and dangerous rip currents. Some roads may become impassable. 

* TIMING...Through this evening. 

* LOCATION...low lying areas along the Gulf facing beaches.

* POTENTIAL IMPACTS...Water and wave run up inundating low lying 
  coastal areas such as Surfside, Blue Water Highway and other 
  low lying coastal areas. Dangerous swimming conditions at area 
  beaches due to large surf and strong rip currents. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or
imminent. Coastal residents in the warned area should be alert
for rising water...and take appropriate action to protect life
and property.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

TXZ313-335>338-436-110000-
/O.EXT.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Coastal Brazoria-Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Matagorda Islands-
1124 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, increased tides and wave run up, 
  and dangerous rip currents. 

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* LOCATION...Beach front locations and roads. Low lying areas 
  around Galveston Bay. 

* IMPACTS...Some roads may become impassable. Dangerous swimming 
  conditions due to large surf and strong rip currents. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

153 
WHUS44 KHGX 102045
CFWHGX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
345 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.swells from Hurricane Michael are expected to gradually decrease this 
evening and on into the overnight hours. The most susceptible areas around
times of high tide will continue to be beach and bay front locations from 
the Bolivar Peninsula to Surfside. Toddville Road in Seabrook may also see 
some minor overwash around high tide.

TXZ214-437-438-110000-
/O.CON.KHGX.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Brazoria Islands-Chambers-Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-
345 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, elevated tides and wave run up, and 
  dangerous rip currents. Some roads may become impassable. 

* TIMING...Through early this evening.

* LOCATION...Low lying areas along the Gulf facing beaches.

* POTENTIAL IMPACTS...Water and wave run up inundating low lying 
  coastal areas such as Surfside, Blue Water Highway and other 
  low lying coastal areas. Dangerous swimming conditions at area 
  beaches due to large surf and strong rip currents. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or imminent. 
Coastal residents in the warned area should be alert for rising 
water...and take appropriate action to protect life and property.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

TXZ313-335>338-436-110000-
/O.CON.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
/O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Coastal Brazoria-Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Matagorda Islands-
345 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* HAZARDS...Coastal flooding, elevated tides and wave run up, and 
  dangerous rip currents. Some roads may become impassable. 

* TIMING...Through early this evening.

* LOCATION...Low lying areas along the Gulf facing beaches.

* POTENTIAL IMPACTS...Water and wave run up inundating low lying 
  coastal areas such as Surfside, Blue Water Highway and other 
  low lying coastal areas. Dangerous swimming conditions at area 
  beaches due to large surf and strong rip currents. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or imminent. 
Coastal residents in the warned area should be alert for rising 
water...and take appropriate action to protect life and property.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents...longshore currents...sneaker waves and other hazards
create life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution
should be used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

856 
WHUS44 KHGX 110009
CFWHGX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
709 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect...

.Though water levels are slowly improving and surf is gradually 
decreasing, minor coastal flooding will remain possible around the time 
of high tide overnight which will be around 5 am.  The most prone location 
in Galveston County will be near the intersection of Highway 87 at Highway 124.

TXZ438-110815-
/O.EXP.KHGX.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
/O.EXP.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KHGX.CF.Y.0003.181011T0009Z-181011T1200Z/
Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-
709 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a
Coastal Flood Advisory, which is in effect until 7 AM CDT
Thursday. 

* HAZARDS...Minor coastal flooding. Some roads may be hazardous with debris overwash. 

* TIMING...Through early Thursday morning.

* LOCATION...Low lying areas along the Gulf facing beaches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

TXZ214-437-110115-
/O.EXP.KHGX.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
/O.EXP.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Brazoria Islands-Chambers-
709 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

No additional hazardous weather or coastal flooding is anticipated.

$$

TXZ313-335>338-436-110115-
/O.EXP.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
/O.EXP.KHGX.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-181011T0000Z/
Coastal Brazoria-Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Matagorda Islands-
709 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

No additional hazardous weather or coastal flooding is anticipated.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
411 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

.Short Term/Aviation...

It was 81F at 1AM here at the forecast office. That tells me it is
still nasty humid and surface dewpoints in the upper 70s only
confirm it. Surface analysis shows a decent pressure gradient to
support E to SE winds which in some areas have decoupled. MVFR and
even IFR ceilings will be possible mainly for areas north of Houston
but still possible that MVFR ceilings could develop farther south.
There is some shower activity in the Gulf with the warm advection
pattern but it will again take diabatic heating for showers and
storms to develop today. SPC mesoanalysis and GOES 16 precipitable
water imagery show values around 2 inches or more west of I-45 with
a axis of lower moisture over east Texas into the Gulf. Most of the
shower and thunderstorm activity should remain embedded within areas
of higher moisture. Higher moisture from Hurricane Michael could
reach the area later today/tonight ahead of an approaching frontal
boundary. Overall think any convection will be widely scattered like
yesterday so TAFs will likely have VCSH/VCTS with a more linear line
of storms possible this afternoon/evening if WRF/HRRR trends are on
track. Short term forecast will hinge on this evolution and the
frontal boundary pushing through Wednesday. Assuming skies clear in
the evening there could be another set up for fog Wednesday morning
before the drier air behind the front arrives in the region.

Overpeck

.Discussion...
Showers and thunderstorms are expected into the overnight hours
tonight along and ahead of an approaching Pacific cold front. The
cold front should push through the area early Wednesday morning,
with conditions clearing out during the day Wednesday as dry air
pushes in. Hurricane Michael will remain well to the east of us
but will help drag the cold front through rather quickly and push
even more dry air overhead from being on the subsident side of the
storm. Since this front is a Pacific front, high temperatures may
come down a few degrees, but the noticeable change will come from
the low humidity and much lower low temperatures.

Generally dry and warm conditions are expected until this weekend.
Winds gradually come around to onshore again Friday night, giving
us some moisture return before the next cold front on Sunday. This
second front will be much more of an autumn front with both dry
and much cooler conditions expected in the wake of it. Expect high
temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s early next week with lows
in the 50s to low 60s.

11

&&

.MARINE...

Surface analysis is showing low pressure over W Texas and high
pressure over the New England States which is allowing for east to
southeast winds this morning. Hurricane Michael is also supporting
easterly winds across the northern Gulf. This should generated
higher periods swells which will increase wave heights tonight going
into Wednesday. For now think continuing SCEC for the offshore
waters will be the way to go since both winds and seas are still
just below SCA criteria. The first of 2 frontal boundaries will push
off the coast late Wednesday into Thursday turning winds offshore. A
stronger front is expected over the weekend and may require
advisories.

Coastal flood advisory continues through Wednesday morning and may
need to be extended through Wednesday night. This will largely
depend upon how much higher period swells influence tides and when
those swells stop. The swells could push tides higher than expected
so possible that a coastal flood warning could be needed. For now
levels look to remain consistent with an advisory and will continue
that today and tonight. The higher wave action may also produce
strong and hazardous rip currents. We will issue a beach hazards
statement to cover the threat of strong rip currents and wave action
on areas beaches.

Overpeck

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      85  69  83  60  80 /  60  50  20   0   0
Houston (IAH)              87  73  86  63  82 /  40  30  20   0   0
Galveston (GLS)            85  78  86  72  81 /  20  30  20   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM CDT Wednesday for the
     following zones: Brazoria Islands...Chambers...Coastal
     Brazoria...Coastal Galveston...Coastal Harris...Coastal
     Jackson...Coastal Matagorda...Galveston Island and Bolivar
     Peninsula...Matagorda Islands.

GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 7 AM CDT this morning
     for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to
     Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from
     High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport
     to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from
     High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

Discussion...11
Aviation/Marine...39

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
421 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>213-226-227-235>238-300-100930-
Austin-Brazos-Burleson-Colorado-Fort Bend-Grimes-Houston-
Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-Inland Harris-Inland Jackson-
Inland Matagorda-Madison-Montgomery-Northern Liberty-Polk-
San Jacinto-Southern Liberty-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
421 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms will be
possible today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-100930-
Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out
20 NM-Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM-
Galveston Bay-Matagorda Bay-
Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to
60 NM-Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM-
421 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAYS ONE THROUGH SEVEN...Today through Monday

Long period swells propagating toward the coast from Hurricane
Michael will produce rough seas with seas increasing to 3 to 6
feet near shore and 5 to 8 feet well offshore by tonight.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

TXZ214-313-335>338-436>438-100930-
Brazoria Islands-Chambers-Coastal Brazoria-Coastal Galveston-
Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-Coastal Matagorda-
Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-Matagorda Islands-
421 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Long period swell propagating from Hurricane Michael will cause
coastal flooding from elevated tides, increased wave run up, and
dangerous rip currents. A Coastal Flood Advisory and Beach Hazards
Statement for high surf and rip currents are in effect.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.