Beach Hazards Statement 20, NWS Gray, ME

998 
WHUS41 KGYX 201342
CFWGYX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Gray ME
942 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018



MEZ026>028-210000-
/O.CON.KGYX.BH.S.0020.000000T0000Z-180721T0000Z/
Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
942 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* Location...The Mid Coast of Maine and the waters of Penobscot 
  Bay.

* Beach Hazard...The warm air temperatures around 80 may cause 
  people to underestimate the dangers of the cold water 
  temperatures which are currently only in the upper 50s.

* Timing...During the day today

* Winds...Southeast 5 to 10 MPH.

* Impacts...The cold water temperatures can quickly cause 
  hypothermia to anyone immersed in the water. Anyone on boats 
  or paddlecraft should use extreme caution to avoid this threat.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued on days when a significant
number of boats and paddlecraft are expected to be out on the
water and when warm air temperatures may cause people to
underestimate the danger of the cold water. Paddle smart from the
start. Always wear your life jacket. Be aware of wind conditions,
tides, and localized currents.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
250 AM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will remain overhead through Saturday providing
the region with fair weather. Low pressure will move northward
off the Mid Atlantic coast Saturday night and Sunday and bring
rain to northern New England. Thereafter, a tropical air mass
will remain in place through mid week with attendant chances for
showers and thunderstorms each day, especially away from the
coast.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Quiet weather is expected today as deep layer ridging remains
in place. Fair weather is expected today after some early
morning valley fog. No rainfall is expected with temperatures
mainly in the 80s areawide. Afternoon onshore flow will cool
temperatures at the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
Deep layer ridging remains in place through Saturday which will
allow for mostly sunny skies. Any rain chances should hold off
until Saturday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The deterministic model solutions are in decent agreement on the
long wave pattern through the first half of the upcoming week. we
begin the period with a weakening upper ridge and surface high
over the Maritimes and New England. This bodes well for a quiet
and seasonal start to the upcoming weekend. By Sunday...the ridge
is offshore and an upper low initially over the Great Lakes has
begun migrating southward into the southeast CONUS. This low will
eventually park itself over the southeast with a large upper
ridge over the western Atlantic. The resultant flow surface and
aloft will transport warm and increasingly humid air northward into
the region beginning Sunday then continuing well into the
upcoming work week. A shortwave impulse will pivot around the
upper low and with an associated surface system move north along
the coast on Sunday. This will lead to an organized area of
showers and thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall Sunday into Sunday
night. Thereafter...we'll see daily rounds of convection due to
weak passing shortwave impulses and daytime heating. Towards the
end of next week...a cold front will inch its way eastward into
New England with its eventual passage dependent on how fast the
western Atlantic ridge begins to weaken.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Short Term...VFR conditions are expected today through Saturday
as high pressure remains in place. The only exception will be
for areas of valley fog at night which may bring brief LIFR
conditions.

Long Term...

Sun...MVFR with areas of IFR in shra/tsra and fog.

Mon - Tue...Areas of MVFR in shra/tsra.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...Conditions are expected to remain below small craft
thresholds today through Saturday.

Long Term...

Sun - Tue...SCA's are psb...especially outside the bays.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...Beach Hazards Statement from 9 AM EDT this morning through
     this evening for MEZ026>028.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Ekster
SHORT TERM...Ekster
LONG TERM...Schwibs

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
404 PM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>015-202015-
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern Oxford-
Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-
Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-
Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
Northern Coos-Southern Coos-Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-
Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-
Strafford-Cheshire-Eastern Hillsborough-Interior Rockingham-
Coastal Rockingham-Western And Central Hillsborough-
404 PM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine,
southwest Maine, west central Maine, western Maine, New Hampshire,
central New Hampshire, northern New Hampshire and southern New
Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A tropical air mass will arrive Sunday. This will bring a potential
for heavy rain and thunderstorms Sunday. Scattered thunderstorms
Monday through Wednesday could also produce torrential downpours,
and bring a low risk for localized flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ150>154-202015-
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out 25 NM-
Casco Bay-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
404 PM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.