Alert archive / North Carolina / Winter Storm Warnings in 2018

Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

November 14, 201810 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this winter storm warning at Nov 14, 2018, 4:36 AM EST for 10 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Nov 14, 2018, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 18 hr. 8 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 14, 2018, 4:36 AM EST (09:36 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 14, 2018, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 15, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 15, 3:00 AM ESTSLEET 0Swannanoa, NCSLEET ACCUMULATING ON I-40 FROM SWANNANOA TO PARKER PADGET ROAD EXIT.
Nov 15, 4:05 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 02 Nw Waynesville, NCELEVATION 3800FT, THIN COATING OF ICE.
Nov 15, 4:07 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 04 Nne Oak Hill, NCPORCHES AND STAIRS COVERED WITH THIN SHEET OF ICE. TEMPERATURE 31 DEGREES.
Nov 15, 4:20 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0Black Mountain, NCFREEZING RAIN AND SLEET STICKING TO ELEVATED SURFACES IN BLACK MOUNTAIN.
Nov 15, 4:45 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Sugar Mountain, NCAT LEAST A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATING ON TOP OF SUGAR MOUNTAIN.
Nov 15, 5:40 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Jonas Ridge, NCAROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN ON ELEVATED SURFACES.
Nov 15, 5:49 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Little Switzerland, NCICING OF ELEVATED SURFACES ALONG NC 226A.
Nov 15, 7:42 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.382 E Linville, NCBETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.5 INCHES OF ICE ON GRANDMOTHER MOUNTAIN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2018-11-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2018-11-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -71 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
639 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
88 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-28 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

937 
WWUS42 KGSP 140936
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
436 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...ACCUMULATING ICE AND SLEET POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY 
MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

.A deep low pressure system moving east from the plains states
will send abundant moisture into the region atop a wedge of
surface-based cold air tonight. This setup will be favorable for 
not only heavy precipitation, but also the development of freezing
rain and sleet - especially over the central and northern Blue 
Ridge mountains and the adjacent foothills. Heavy accumulations of
freezing rain and sleet could lead to power outages and hazardous
travel conditions.

NCZ053-064-065-141745-
/O.UPG.KGSP.WS.A.0004.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0005.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Buncombe-Transylvania-Henderson-
Including the cities of Asheville, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, 
Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, 
Tuxedo, and Etowah
436 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY BELOW 2500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected above 2500 feet. Mixed
  precipitation expected below 2500 feet. Above 2500 feet, total
  sleet accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of
  around two tenths of an inch expected. Below 2500 feet, total
  sleet accumulations of up to one quarter inch and ice 
  accumulations of around two tenths of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Buncombe, Transylvania and Henderson Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of sleet, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of sleet, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

Please report sleet and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

NCZ052-141745-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0005.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Haywood-
Including the cities of Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, 
and Cove Creek
436 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET IN THE BALSAMS...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY BELOW 2500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected above 2500 feet in the
  Balsams. Mixed precipitation expected below 2500 feet. Above
  2500 feet, total sleet accumulations of up to one inch and ice
  accumulations of around two tenths of an inch expected. Below
  2500 feet, total sleet accumulations of up to one quarter inch 
  and ice accumulations of around two tenths of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Haywood County, specifically in the Balsams.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of sleet, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of sleet, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

Please report sleet and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-141745-
/O.UPG.KGSP.WS.A.0004.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0005.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
Poplar, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort
436 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total sleet 
  accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of 
  around one quarter of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Portions of western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely 
  due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of sleet, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

Please report sleet and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

NCZ035-502-504-506-507-509-141745-
/O.UPG.KGSP.WS.A.0004.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Alexander-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-
Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, 
Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Kings Creek, Lenoir, 
Sawmills, Granite Falls, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, 
Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, and Saluda
436 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total sleet accumulations
  of up to one quarter inch and ice accumulations of around one 
  tenth of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Portions of piedmont and western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of sleet, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

Please report sleet and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

SCZ003-141745-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Greenville Mountains-
Including the cities of Tigerville, Gowensville, and Cleveland
436 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total sleet accumulations
  of up to one quarter inch and ice accumulations of around one 
  tenth of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Greenville Mountains County, specifically above 2500
  feet.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of sleet, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

Please report sleet and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
591 
WWUS42 KGSP 141606
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1106 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...ACCUMULATING ICE AND SLEET POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

.A deep low pressure system moving east from the plains states
will send abundant moisture into the region atop a wedge of
surface-based cold air tonight. This setup will be favorable for
not only heavy precipitation, but also the development of
freezing rain and sleet - especially over the central and
northern Blue Ridge mountains and the adjacent foothills. Heavy
accumulations of freezing rain and sleet could lead to power
outages and hazardous travel conditions.

NCZ052-053-064-065-150015-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0005.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Haywood-Buncombe-Transylvania-Henderson-
Including the cities of Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, 
Cove Creek, Asheville, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, 
Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, 
and Etowah
1106 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY BELOW 2500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected above 2500 feet. Mixed
  precipitation expected below 2500 feet. Above 2500 feet, total
  sleet accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of
  up to a quarter of an inch expected. Below 2500 feet, total 
  sleet accumulations of up to one quarter inch and ice 
  accumulations of around two tenths of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Haywood, Buncombe, Henderson and Transylvania Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-150015-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0005.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
Poplar, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort
1106 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total sleet 
  accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of 
  around one quarter of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Portions of western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely 
  due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

NCZ035-502-504-506-507-509-SCZ003-150015-
/O.CON.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Alexander-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, 
Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Kings Creek, Lenoir, 
Sawmills, Granite Falls, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, 
Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, Saluda, Tigerville, 
Gowensville, and Cleveland
1106 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total sleet accumulations
  of up to one quarter inch and ice accumulations of around one 
  tenth of an inch expected.

* WHERE...Portions of upstate South Carolina and piedmont and 
  western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

ARK
745 
WWUS42 KGSP 142010
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
310 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...ACCUMULATING ICE AND SLEET EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY 
MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

.A deep low pressure system moving east from the Great Plains 
states will send abundant moisture into the region atop a wedge of
surface-based cold air tonight. This setup will be favorable for 
not only heavy precipitation, but also for the development of 
freezing rain and sleet, especially over the central and northern
Blue Ridge mountains and the northern North Carolina foothills. 
Heavy accumulations of freezing rain and sleet could lead to power
outages and hazardous travel conditions.

NCZ052-053-064-065-150815-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0005.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Haywood-Buncombe-Transylvania-Henderson-
Including the cities of Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, 
Cove Creek, Asheville, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, 
Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, 
and Etowah
310 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY BELOW 2500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected above 2500 feet. Mixed
  precipitation expected below 2500 feet. Above 2500 feet, total
  sleet accumulations of up to one half inch and ice accumulations
  of around one quarter inch expected. Below 2500 feet, including
  the cities of Asheville, Hendersonville, and Waynesville, total
  sleet and ice accumulation of less than one quarter inch 
  expected, mainly on elevated and grassy surfaces.

* WHERE...Haywood, Buncombe, Henderson and Transylvania Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At least scattered downed trees and power
  lines and scattered power outages can be expected in the higher
  elevations. Some slippery spots could develop on roads, mainly
  on bridges and overpasses and across the high elevations. This  
  could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-150815-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0005.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
Poplar, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort
310 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total sleet  
  accumulations of up to one half inch and ice accumulations of up
  to one half inch expected.

* WHERE...The northern mountains of North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely
  due to the ice. Some roads will become slick and hazardous,
  especially on bridges and overpasses. This could impact the 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

NCZ035-502-504-506-507-509-SCZ003-150815-
/O.CON.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.181115T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Alexander-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, 
Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Kings Creek, Lenoir, 
Sawmills, Granite Falls, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, 
Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, Saluda, Tigerville, 
Gowensville, and Cleveland
310 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Pockets of freezing rain producing up to one tenth of an
  inch of ice accumulation, mainly on elevated and grassy 
  surfaces.

* WHERE...The northern North Carolina foothills as well as the
  high elevations of the southern North Carolina foothills, and 
  the high elevations of northern Greenville County, South 
  Carolina.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Slippery spots could develop on roads,
  especially on bridges and overpasses, and across the high
  elevations. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$
Lane
859 
WWUS42 KGSP 150314
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1014 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...ACCUMULATING ICE AND SLEET EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING 
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

.A deep low pressure system moving east from the Mississippi
Valley will continue to send abundant moisture into the region 
atop a wedge of surface-based cold air tonight. This setup will 
be favorable for not only heavy precipitation, but also for the 
development of freezing rain and sleet, especially over the 
central and northern Blue Ridge mountains and the northern North 
Carolina foothills. Heavy accumulations of freezing rain and sleet
could lead to power outages and hazardous travel conditions.

NCZ052-053-064-065-151115-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Haywood-Buncombe-Transylvania-Henderson-
Including the cities of Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, 
Cove Creek, Asheville, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, 
Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, 
and Etowah
1014 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY
ABOVE 2500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY BELOW 2500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected above 2500 feet. 
  Mixed precipitation expected below 2500 feet. Above 2500 feet, 
  total sleet accumulations of up to one half inch and ice 
  accumulations of around one quarter inch expected. Below 2500 
  feet, including the cities of Asheville, Hendersonville, and 
  Waynesville, total sleet and ice accumulation of less than one 
  quarter inch expected, mainly on elevated and grassy surfaces.

* WHERE...Haywood, Buncombe, Henderson and Transylvania Counties.

* WHEN...Through 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At least scattered downed trees and power 
  lines and scattered power outages can be expected in the 
  higher elevations. Some slippery spots could develop on roads, 
  mainly on bridges and overpasses and across the high 
  elevations. This could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible.

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-151115-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
Poplar, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort
1014 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total sleet 
  accumulations of up to one half inch and ice accumulations of 
  up to one half inch expected.

* WHERE...The northern mountains of North Carolina.

* WHEN...Through 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely 
  due to the ice. Some roads will become slick and hazardous, 
  especially on bridges and overpasses. This could impact the 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible.

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

NCZ035-502-504-506-507-509-SCZ003-151115-
/O.CON.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Alexander-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, 
Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Kings Creek, Lenoir, 
Sawmills, Granite Falls, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, 
Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, Saluda, Tigerville, 
Gowensville, and Cleveland
1014 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Pockets of freezing rain producing up to one tenth of 
  an inch of ice accumulation, mainly on elevated and grassy 
  surfaces.

* WHERE...The northern North Carolina foothills as well as the 
  high elevations of the southern North Carolina foothills, and 
  the high elevations of northern Greenville County, South 
  Carolina.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Slippery spots could develop on roads, 
  especially on bridges and overpasses, and across the high 
  elevations. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$
616 
WWUS42 KGSP 150830
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
330 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...ACCUMULATING ICE AND SLEET EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS PARTS 
OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

.A deep low pressure system moving east from the Mississippi
Valley will continue to send abundant moisture into the region
atop a wedge of surface-based cold air this morning. This setup 
reamins favorable for not only heavy precipitation, but also for 
the development of freezing rain and sleet, especially over the 
central and northern Blue Ridge mountains and the northern North 
Carolina foothills. Heavy accumulations of freezing rain and sleet
could lead to power outages and hazardous travel conditions.

NCZ052-053-064-065-151630-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Haywood-Buncombe-Transylvania-Henderson-
Including the cities of Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, 
Cove Creek, Asheville, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, 
Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, 
and Etowah
330 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON ABOVE 2500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON BELOW 2500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected above 2500 feet. Mixed
  precipitation expected below 2500 feet. Above 2500 feet, total
  sleet accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of 
  around one quarter inch expected. Below 2500 feet, including the
  cities of Asheville, Hendersonville, and Waynesville, total 
  sleet and ice accumulation of less than one quarter inch 
  expected, mainly on elevated and grassy surfaces.

* WHERE...Haywood, Buncombe, Henderson and Transylvania Counties.

* WHEN...Through 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-151630-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
Poplar, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort
330 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total sleet
  accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of up to 
  one half inch expected.

* WHERE...The northern mountains of North Carolina.

* WHEN...Through 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely 
  due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet
and ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. 

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$

NCZ035-502-504-506-507-509-SCZ003-151630-
/O.CON.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Alexander-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, 
Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Kings Creek, Lenoir, 
Sawmills, Granite Falls, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, 
Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, Saluda, Tigerville, 
Gowensville, and Cleveland
330 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Pockets of freezing rain producing up to one tenth of 
  an inch of ice accumulation, mainly on elevated and grassy 
  surfaces.

* WHERE...The northern North Carolina foothills as well as the 
  high elevations of the southern North Carolina foothills, and 
  the high elevations of northern Greenville County, South 
  Carolina.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. 

&&

$$
996 
WWUS42 KGSP 151802
WSWGSP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
102 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...THREAT OF WINTER WEATHER HAS ENDED...

.Temperatures have warmed and showers have moved out of the area,
ending the threat of more sleet or freezing rain this afternoon.

NCZ052-053-064-065-151915-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
/O.EXP.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Haywood-Buncombe-Transylvania-Henderson-
102 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Wintry precipitation has ended, thus the Winter Storm Warning has 
been cancelled.

$$

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-151915-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
102 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

Wintry precipitation has ended, thus the Winter Storm Warning has 
been cancelled.

$$

NCZ035-502-504-506-507-509-SCZ003-151915-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-181115T1800Z/
Alexander-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
102 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Wintry precipitation has ended, thus the Winter Storm Warning has 
been cancelled.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Nov 14, 4:32 AM EST, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 4:32 AM EST, 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
432 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Cool high pressure will set up north of our region today. Another
low pressure will bring widespread rain Wednesday night into early
Thursday. Freezing rain and sleet will develop where temperatures
fall to the freezing point. Cool and dry high pressure moves
over our region for the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 430 AM: Under confluent upper flow, a strong sfc high is
expanding out of the Midwest and Ohio Valley toward the East
Coast. At the leading edge of this airmass, a cold front extends
across the Southeast. A cutoff upper low is located over the
ArkLaTex region and will move slowly northeast over the next 24
hours. With a weak frontal wave developing to our west, moist
upglide will redevelop over the cold high and lead to another CAD
event setting up by tonight. The forecast is complicated both by
the remarkably deep moisture producing a heavy rain threat, and
by temps being cold enough for some of that rain to change over
to sleet and/or freezing rain early Thursday in parts of the area.

As upper divergence increases today, the pockets of light rain that
have been streaming from the Gulf Coast thru the Carolinas since
yesterday eventually will increase in coverage from S to N. Thick
cloud cover will keep temps generally in the upper 30s over the
mountains and lower to mid 40s in the Piedmont. Rainfall rates
and coverage increase more sharply late in the day through early
Thursday morning as strong isentropic lift develops in advance
of the frontal wave. Winds in this layer are progged to be as
strong as 70 kt, and ideally oriented for upslope lift along
the Blue Ridge Escarpment as well. PWAT values again are fcst
to exceed the 90th percentile of climo. Runoff response from the
heavy rain earlier this week exceeded expectations, and with that
event priming hydrologic conditions ahead of this round, it is
appropriate that we are carrying a Flood Watch. Its extent looks
fine for now. QPF numbers will stick close to WPC values tonight,
with some minor adjustments made to timing.

Temps are expected to fall somewhat rapidly with the onset of
steady precipitation this afternoon and evening. We have the usual
challenge of deciding how far they will fall. Dewpoints will be
on the moist side, which will limit the wet-bulb temps. However,
it still looks likely that temps will be at or below freezing
tonight in a fairly contiguous area along and east of the Blue
Ridge, remaining there until late tomorrow morning. The warm nose
aloft will be a limiting factor for snow or sleet occurring at the
sfc. It is progged to be quite deep, at about 150 mb. Though models
disagree as to how warm temps get in that layer, in most areas
even a model blend would suggest the ice nuclei will melt. Thus
we will feature rain or freezing rain, depending on sfc temp,
except in a portion of the northern mtns where the temps aloft
still support some sleet. With our robust fcst QPF late tonight
and early tomorrow, any of the various methods we use to fcst
ice accretion result in warning-criteria numbers at elevations
above 2500 feet along the Escarpment and in the adjacent ranges
(the Balsams in particular). The northern mountains could result
with a notable amount of sleet, up to around an inch, though that
is of little impact compared to a heavy coat of ice. With a little
sleet possible, and more sleet expected in Blacksburg's CWFA to our
north, we are upgrading the watch to a Winter Storm Warning. This
will be in effect for all of our northern mountain zones, plus the
high elevations of the zones southwest of the Black Mountains. The
lower elevations of those zones, plus the northern foothills
and far NW Piedmont, will receive a Winter Weather Advisory for
lesser ice accumulations mainly causing travel issues. With some
ice possible on the ridges of far northern Greenville County, the
Greenville Mountains zone is included in the advisory. One note:
while the elevation-split headlines are technically in effect for
all areas above 2500 feet in this event, the Smoky Mtn portion
of Haywood County is not expected to see accumulating ice; the
warning was issued specifically to cover the Balsams.

Precip will taper off from SW to NE Thursday morning, and by aftn
temps will warm into the upper 30s in the areas affected by the
ice/sleet. The upper low will be to our west by then and low-level
flow will reorient to westerly along the mountain spine, setting
up for a northwest flow snow event later.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 300 AM EST Wednesday: Short term begins Thursday night with
upper low lifting into the Upper OH Valley/central Appalachians, and
precip lifting north as well. At some point early in the period, as
the cold core upper low moves over the region and column winds shift
all W/NWerly, topographic lift combined with increasing lapse rates
will result in a changeover from frozen to freezing precip, with the
event ending as a few hours of NW flow snow in the mountains. Snow
accums look pretty light given the lack of moisture depth in the
column, but a quick 0.5-1.5" certainly possible especially across
the northern mountains and maybe the Smokies. Overnight lows with
the CAA will drop into the 20s across the mountains, near or below
freezing elsewhere. Decent day on Friday with the damming completely
scoured, and high temps rising markedly into the mid 50s in the
Piedmont, still int eh 40s at higher elevations in the mountains.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 100 AM EST Wednesday: Quiet and generally dry through the
extended (a welcome change). This weekend looks exceptionally nice
(we'll deserve it for sure), with high pressure in place as a
(mainly) dry front sweeps through the Midwest and OH Valley.
Temperatures both Saturday and Sunday look to be flirting with 60
across the Piedmont, overall just a few degrees below normal, with
nearly full sun on Saturday. As the front approaches Sunday, should
see an increase in upper cloudiness, and guidance is squeezing a
little (slight chance) pops out over the mountains on Monday as the
front moves through. The steering shortwave will dissipate as the
system moves east, and the post-frontal CAA isn't too strong, but
still looking at a couple degree drop in temperatures Monday and
again on Tuesday

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Another challenging fcst this morning. A
cold front will continue to ooze south into SC, bringing brief
low-level drying as high pressure builds in to its north. Bands
of rain will continue across the SC sites and KCLT between now
and dawn, but the rain should shift southward with time with the
front, leaving dry conditions for a while. Generally the rain
is not lowering conditions beyond MVFR, but patches of IFR cigs
are not out of the question especially over KAND. The front will
stall across SC by midday; warm upglide will develop above it,
and another cold-air damming event will take place, dominating the
pattern for the remainder of the TAF period. Thus, while VFR will
prevail early today, deteriorating conditions are expected during
the afternoon, with widespread IFR after sunset. Winds will be N
to NE and somewhat gusty this aftn/tonight.

Outlook: Within a cold wedge of high pressure, flight restrictions
will linger into Thursday. Accumulating ice and sleet may affect
KAVL and KHKY late Wednesday night and Thursday morning, but that
should improve by midday. VFR conditions are expected to return
at the end of the week.

Confidence Table...

            09-15Z        15-21Z        21-03Z        03-06Z
KCLT       High  85%     Med   75%     Med   61%     Med   67%
KGSP       High  83%     Med   68%     Med   68%     Med   63%
KAVL       High  83%     Med   79%     High  83%     Med   62%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     Low   59%     Low   50%
KGMU       High  89%     Med   68%     Med   70%     Med   67%
KAND       High  81%     Med   73%     Med   66%     Med   73%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Flood Watch from noon EST today through Thursday evening for
     GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029.
NC...Flood Watch from noon EST today through Thursday evening for
     NCZ033-035>037-049-050-053-056-057-062>065-068>072-082-
     501>510.
     Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST
     Thursday for NCZ033-049-050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST
     Thursday for NCZ035-053-064-065-502-504-506-507-509.
SC...Flood Watch from noon EST today through Thursday evening for
     SCZ001>014-019.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST
     Thursday for SCZ003.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Wimberley
NEAR TERM...Wimberley
SHORT TERM...TDP
LONG TERM...TDP
AVIATION...Wimberley
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 13, 3:44 PM EST, 12 hours 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
344 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

NCZ033-035-049-050-053-064-065-501>507-509-142045-
Avery-Alexander-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-Transylvania-Henderson-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Polk Mountains-
344 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina and
western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ036-037-056-068-069-508-510-SCZ003-142045-
Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Cleveland-Lincoln-Greater Rutherford-
Eastern Polk-Greenville Mountains-
344 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina,
western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

In addition to the flooding potential, with temperatures dropping to
or below freezing across the far northern and far western Piedmont of
North Carolina Wednesday night, rain may briefly change to freezing
rain and perhaps sleet for a brief period. Light icing will be
possible, especially on elevated surfaces. Winter weather advisories
may become necessary for these areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ052-142045-
Haywood-
344 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another round of heavy rain will move into the North Carolina
mountains Wednesday into Thursday. With this heavy rain falling on
top of a wet ground from recent rainfall, the risk of isolated
flooding will increase.

In addition to the flooding potential, with temperatures dropping to
or below freezing across the higher elevations of the Balsams and
surrounding mountains Wednesday night, rain may briefly change to
freezing rain and perhaps sleet for a brief period. Light icing will
be possible, especially on elevated surfaces. Winter weather
advisories may become necessary for this area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ057-062-063-070>072-082-SCZ001-002-
004>014-019-142045-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Rowan-Macon-
Southern Jackson-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-
Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-
Greenwood-
344 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ048-051-058-059-142045-
Madison-Swain-Graham-Northern Jackson-
344 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another round of heavy rain will move into the North Carolina
mountains Wednesday into Thursday. With this heavy rain falling on
top of a wet ground from recent rainfall, the risk of isolated
flooding will increase.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

Lane

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 4:36 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGSPAlexander, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Haywood, Henderson and 4 more32 hr
Nov 14, 12:51 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPGaston25 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in North Carolina, 2018Every winter storm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.