Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2018
Wind Advisory 12, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Apr 17, 2018, 12:28 AM EDT for 12 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 20 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 17, 2018, 12:28 AM EDT (04:28 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 17, 2018, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 265 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1682 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -16 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 243 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
671 WWUS72 KGSP 170428 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1228 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TONIGHT... .Temperatures across the southwest mountains will drop below freezing tonight. NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-171230- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.180417T0428Z-180418T0000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180417T1300Z/ Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Including the cities of Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers 1228 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a Wind Advisory ABOVE 3500 FEET, which is in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening. * LOCATIONS...Elevations above 3500 feet across the North Carolina Mountains west of the French Broad Valley. * HAZARDS...Strong wind gusts and freezing temperatures. * TIMING...Strong winds will persist through the morning and afternoon and gradually diminish later this evening. * WINDS...Northwest 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * TEMPERATURES...Lows in the mid 20s. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Frost and freeze conditions may damage sensitive vegetation. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. && $$ NCZ048-053-064-171230- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.180417T0428Z-180418T0000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180417T1300Z/ Madison-Buncombe-Transylvania- Including the cities of Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Asheville, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, and Little River 1228 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a Wind Advisory ABOVE 3500 FEET, which is in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening. * LOCATIONS...Elevations above 3500 feet across the Southwest Mountains of North Carolina and far Northeast Georgia. * HAZARDS...Strong wind gusts and freezing temperatures. * TIMING...Strong winds will persist through the morning and afternoon and gradually diminish later this evening. * WINDS...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * TEMPERATURES...Lows in the lower 20s. * IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Frost and freeze conditions may damage sensitive vegetation. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. && $$ GAZ010-NCZ065-171230- /O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180417T1300Z/ Rabun-Henderson- Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, and Etowah 1228 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...the Southwest Mountains of North Carolina and far Northeast Georgia. * TEMPERATURES...Lows around 30. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions may damage sensitive vegetation. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. && $$ NCZ033-049-050-505-171230- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.180417T0428Z-180418T0000Z/ Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-McDowell Mountains- Including the cities of Banner Elk and Newland 1228 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET... The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a Wind Advisory ABOVE 3500 FEET, which is in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening. * LOCATIONS...Elevations above 3500 feet across the Northern Mountains of North Carolina. * HAZARDS...Strong wind gusts. * TIMING...Strong winds will persist through the morning and afternoon and gradually diminish later this evening. * WINDS...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages are expected. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. && $$ NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506>510-SCZ001>003-006>009- 171230- /O.CON.KGSP.FR.Y.0002.180417T0700Z-180417T1300Z/ Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston- Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke- Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford- Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains- Greenville Mountains-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York- Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, Advance, Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, Shelby, Kings Mountain, Lincolnton, Crouse, Gastonia, Charlotte, Concord, Kannapolis, Monroe, Trinity, Indian Trail, Weddington, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, Forest City, Rutherfordton, Spindale, Saluda, Tryon, Columbus, Mill Spring, Mountain Rest, Walhalla, Pumpkintown, Tigerville, Gowensville, Cleveland, Greenville, Taylors, Greer, Mauldin, Fork Shoals, Simpsonville, Berea, Spartanburg, Gaffney, Catawba, and Rock Hill 1228 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...Foothills and Piedmont areas of North and South Carolina. * TEMPERATURES...Lows in the mid 30s. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions may damage sensitive vegetation. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. && $$ JPT
3 follow-up statements
222 WWUS72 KGSP 170850 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 450 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TONIGHT... .Temperatures across the southwest mountains will drop below freezing tonight. NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-171700- /O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180417T1300Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-180418T0000Z/ Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Including the cities of Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers 450 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET... * LOCATIONS...Elevations above 3500 feet across the North Carolina Mountains west of the French Broad Valley. * HAZARDS...Strong wind gusts and freezing temperatures. * TIMING...Strong winds will persist through the morning and afternoon and gradually diminish later this evening. * WINDS...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * TEMPERATURES...Lows in the lower 20s. * IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Frost and freeze conditions may damage sensitive vegetation. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. && $$ NCZ048-053-064-171700- /O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180417T1300Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-180418T0000Z/ Madison-Buncombe-Transylvania- Including the cities of Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Asheville, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, and Little River 450 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET... * LOCATIONS...Elevations above 3500 feet across the Southwest Mountains of North Carolina and far Northeast Georgia. * HAZARDS...Strong wind gusts and freezing temperatures. * TIMING...Strong winds will persist through the morning and afternoon and gradually diminish later this evening. * WINDS...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * TEMPERATURES...Lows in the lower 20s. * IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages are expected. Frost and freeze conditions may damage sensitive vegetation. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. && $$ GAZ010-NCZ065-171300- /O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180417T1300Z/ Rabun-Henderson- Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, and Etowah 450 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...the Southwest Mountains of North Carolina and far Northeast Georgia. * TEMPERATURES...Lows around 30. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions may damage sensitive vegetation. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. && $$ NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506>510-SCZ001>003-006>009- 171300- /O.CON.KGSP.FR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180417T1300Z/ Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston- Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke- Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford- Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains- Greenville Mountains-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York- Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, Advance, Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, Shelby, Kings Mountain, Lincolnton, Crouse, Gastonia, Charlotte, Concord, Kannapolis, Monroe, Trinity, Indian Trail, Weddington, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, Forest City, Rutherfordton, Spindale, Saluda, Tryon, Columbus, Mill Spring, Mountain Rest, Walhalla, Pumpkintown, Tigerville, Gowensville, Cleveland, Greenville, Taylors, Greer, Mauldin, Fork Shoals, Simpsonville, Berea, Spartanburg, Gaffney, Catawba, and Rock Hill 450 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...Foothills and Piedmont areas of North and South Carolina. * TEMPERATURES...Lows in the lower 30s. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions may damage sensitive vegetation. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. && $$ NCZ033-049-050-505-171700- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-180418T0000Z/ Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-McDowell Mountains- Including the cities of Banner Elk and Newland 450 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET... * LOCATIONS...Elevations above 3500 feet across the Northern Mountains of North Carolina. * HAZARDS...Strong wind gusts. * TIMING...Strong winds will persist through the morning and afternoon and gradually diminish later this evening. * WINDS...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. && $$ JPT
665 WWUS72 KGSP 171830 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 230 PM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...STRONG WIND GUSTS ABOVE 3500 FEET TODAY... .Wind gusts to 50 mph will continue this afternoon. NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-505-180000- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-180418T0000Z/ Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham- Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania- McDowell Mountains- Including the cities of Banner Elk, Newland, Luck, Waynesville, Tuckasegee, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, and Highlands 230 PM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET... * LOCATIONS...Elevations above 3500 feet across the Northern Mountains of North Carolina. * HAZARDS...Strong wind gusts. * TIMING...Strong winds will persist through the afternoon and gradually diminish later this evening. * WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power lines. Scattered power outages are expected. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. && $$
218 WWUS72 KGSP 180000 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 800 PM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-505-180100- /O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-180418T0000Z/ Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham- Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania- McDowell Mountains- Including the cities of Banner Elk, Newland, Luck, Waynesville, Tuckasegee, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, and Highlands 800 PM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 3500 FEET... While breezy west winds will continue overnight, winds have fallen below wind advisory criteria, thus the Wind Advisory will be allowed to expire. $$ SGL
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Apr 16, 10:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 16, 10:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1036 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
After cold conditions tonight, temperatures will warm once again
through midweek. Another cold front will move through the area on
Wednesday night, bringing a chance of rain to the mountains. Dry and
seasonal conditions are expected for the end of the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1030 PM Monday: Minor adjustments made to Special
Weather Statement along with temperatures and PoPs to coincide with
latest trends, as the rest of the near term forecast remains on tap.
A Freeze Warning and Frost Advisory remain in effect for portions of
the FA tonight through Tuesday morning.
Latest radar imagery depicts weak returns continuing to slowly taper
off across portions of the northern foothills and back towards the
northern mountains, as well as along the TN border attm. As drier
air continues to slowly infiltrate into the area, am expecting any
snow to dissipate by or just after midnight. Have updated the
previous Special Weather Statement to add verbiage about the
potential for patchy black ice and/or slick roadways overnight into
Tuesday morning, due to a combination of the light snowfall this
evening and expected temperatures of below freezing through the
overnight hours. Motorists are urged to use caution while traveling,
especially on bridges and overpasses. Additionally, locations across
the higher elevations, above 3500 ft, are expected to have sustained
winds of 15 to 30 mph overnight with gusts up to 40 mph possible.
Otherwise, quiet conditions will prevail across the FA tonight with
the coldest temperatures of the week on tap for the overnight hours
into Tuesday morning, with below freezing across the mountains and
low to mid 30s across the Upstate and NW Piedmont. After daybreak on
Tuesday, expect temperatures to quickly climb above freezing,
warming into the mid to upper 60s/around 70 across the Upstate and
NW Piedmont, into the 50s/60s across the mountains. Anticyclone over
the Gulf of Mexico will maintain 850mb flow over the area and some
strong wind gusts at high elevations in the mountains will continue
to be possible Tuesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Monday: Westerly flow will develop across the
region Tuesday night and Wednesday ahead of a system crossing the
Ohio Valley. This will lead to a rapid warm up to above normal
temperatures on Wednesday. Expect highs to reach around 80 in the
Piedmont and into the middle 70s in the mountain valleys.
A cold front associated with the Ohio Valley system will move across
the region Wednesday night. This will be a dry front for most of the
forecast area. However, a few light showers can be expected in the
mountains near the Tennessee border. Highs will cool to at or just
below normal on Thursday with readings in the lower 70s in the
Piedmont to lower 60s in the mountain valleys.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 230 PM EDT Monday: The medium range period will begin quiet,
with a very interesting flow pattern evolving by early next week. An
upper trough axis will be on its way out of our area in the wake of
a dry front Thursday night and Friday, with benign and slightly
cooler than normal conditions expected through Saturday as surface
high pressure moves through the OH River Valley and slowly migrates
towards the Mid-Atlantic coast by early Sunday. Aloft, a split flow
pattern will take shape as an upper low cuts off over the southern
plains and swings down towards the southeastern states.
As this upper low and its surface reflection drop towards the Gulf
coast Sunday, the sprawling surface high (over parts of New England
and extending off the coast) appears that it will set up a wedge-
like surface pattern down the spine of the Appalachians. Global
models are in surprisingly good agreement on this point, though the
evolution of this type of pattern is generally quite uncertain. The
upper/surface cutoff low will spread precipitation into our area
beginning Sunday night, aided by the potential wedge of surface high
pressure over the Carolinas. The pattern isn't particularly
progressive, so without getting into finer details, it appears that
the start of next week will be wet, with a reduced diurnal range and
max temperatures well below average.
&&
.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Expect VFR to prevail through the valid TAF
period, with VFR cigs through tonight becoming FEW250/SKC on
Tuesday. Latest radar imagery depicts light snow spilling over into
portions of the northern foothills. Would not entirely rule out snow
flurries at KAVL/KHKY over the next couple of hours, but do expect
activity to taper off as a drying trend continues. Gusty NW winds
are expected to subside across the Upstate and NW Piedmont tonight,
with sustained winds AOB 15 kts prevailing at KAVL overnight. Will
note gusty NW winds up to near 40 kts are expected across the
northern mountains at elevations about 3500 ft. This along with snow
showers could briefly inhibit visibility - however not affecting any
of the terminals directly. After daybreak on Tuesday, expect NW
Winds to continue with sustained winds 15 to 20 kts and gusts up to
30 kts possible, subsiding after 00Z.
Outlook: Other than perhaps some lingering mountain showers, dry and
cooler conditions will continue into mid week. A dry cold front will
arrive from the west on Thursday, with some scattered restrictions
possible.
Confidence Table...
02-08Z 08-14Z 14-20Z 20-00Z
KCLT High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KGSP High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KAVL High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KHKY High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KGMU High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KAND High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:
www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Freeze Warning until 9 AM EDT Tuesday for GAZ010.
NC...Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM EDT Tuesday for NCZ035>037-
056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506>510.
Freeze Warning until 9 AM EDT Tuesday for NCZ051-052-058-059-
062-063.
Freeze Warning until 9 AM EDT Tuesday for NCZ048-053-064-065.
SC...Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM EDT Tuesday for SCZ001>003-
006>009.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SW
NEAR TERM...SGL/WJM
SHORT TERM...SW
LONG TERM...Carroll
AVIATION...SGLHazardous weather outlook, Apr 16, 10:21 PM EDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1021 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-508>510-SCZ001>003-006>009-180230- Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston- Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains- Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains- Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York- 1021 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Frost Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. ..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None. NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-180230- Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- 1021 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Freeze Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. ..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None. GAZ017-018-026-028-029-SCZ004-005-010>014-019-180230- Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Greater Oconee- Greater Pickens-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union-Chester-Greenwood- 1021 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia and upstate South Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. ..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None. GAZ010-NCZ064-065-180230- Rabun-Transylvania-Henderson- 1021 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia and western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Freeze Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. ..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None. NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-180230- Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains- McDowell Mountains- 1021 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Snow flurries are possible through midnight. Patchy black ice is possible and roads may become slick. Motorists should use caution. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. ..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None. NCZ048-053-180230- Madison-Buncombe- 1021 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Freeze Warning. Snow flurries are possible through midnight. Patchy black ice is possible and roads may become slick. Motorists should use caution. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. ..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None. NCZ502-504-506-507-180230- Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains- 1021 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Frost Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. ..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. ..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Apr 16, 8:10 PM EDT, 4 hours 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 810 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 NCZ033-048>050-053-501>507-170215- Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-Caldwell Mountains- Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains- Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Mount Mitchell State Park, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Asheville, Patterson, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, and Lake Lure 810 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 Aside from ongoing Northwest flow snow showers across the higher elevations and areas along the Tennessee border, latest radar imagery shows that moisture has pushed over the mountain peaks and is allowing for snow flurries/light snow to fall across the northern mountains and into some areas across the northern foothills at this time. Given temperatures in the mid to upper 30s to around 40 degrees, accumulation aside from a possible brief dusting on grassy areas is not anticipated. A few slick spots may develop on roadways, especially bridges and overpasses, and motorists should use caution. Winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph are expected through the overnight hours at elevations above 3500 ft. This along with brief snow showers could temporarily reduce visibility. Motorists should exercise caution while driving.
Special weather statement, Apr 16, 10:18 PM EDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1018 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 NCZ033-048>050-053-501>507-170430- Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-Caldwell Mountains- Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains- Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Mount Mitchell State Park, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Asheville, Patterson, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, and Lake Lure 1018 PM EDT Mon Apr 16 2018 Moisture that broke containment during the Northwest flow snow event this evening and brought snow flurries to light snow across portions of the northern foothills back towards the northern mountains will continue to gradually dissipate before midnight as drier air begins to move into the region. A few locations did report a dusting of snow on grassy areas and less traveled roadways. Combined with temperatures at or below freezing expected overnight, icy road conditions/patchy areas of black ice are possible, especially on bridges and overpasses, where snow was able to melt and will refreeze tonight and/or where isolated areas of light snow accumulation occurred. Across the higher elevations, above 3500 feet, winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph are expected through the overnight hours. This along with brief snow showers which are expected to taper off towards midnight could temporarily reduce visibility. Motorist are urged to use caution while traveling, especially at night when it is more difficult to see ice on roadways. SGL
Special weather statement, Apr 17, 12:28 AM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1228 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 NCZ033-048>050-053-501>507-171200- Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-Caldwell Mountains- Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains- Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Mount Mitchell State Park, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Asheville, Patterson, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, and Lake Lure 1228 AM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018 ...Light snow across the northern mountains will diminish through the overnight hours... ...Patchy black ice expected... Light snow fell Monday evening across the northern mountains, and any lingering light snow showers will continue to diminish. A few locations did report a dusting of snow on grassy areas and less traveled roadways. Combined with temperatures at or below freezing expected overnight, icy road conditions/patchy areas of black ice are possible, especially on bridges and overpasses, where snow was able to melt and will refreeze tonight and/or where isolated areas of light snow accumulation occurred. Motorist are urged to use caution while traveling, especially at night when it is more difficult to see ice on roadways.
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2018Every wind advisory in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.