Severe Thunderstorm Warning 155, NWS Goodland, KS

927 
WWUS53 KGLD 192325
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
525 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC109-181-199-200000-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0155.000000T0000Z-180620T0000Z/
Wallace KS-Logan KS-Sherman KS-
525 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM
MDT/700 PM CDT/ FOR EASTERN WALLACE...NORTHWESTERN LOGAN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHERMAN COUNTIES...

At 525 PM MDT/625 PM CDT/, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles
north of Wallace, or 12 miles northeast of Sharon Springs, moving
north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wallace.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3925 10169 3925 10139 3913 10139 3885 10141
      3875 10168
TIME...MOT...LOC 2325Z 190DEG 38KT 3899 10155 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

715 
WWUS53 KGLD 200003
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
603 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC109-181-199-200013-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0155.000000T0000Z-180620T0000Z/
Wallace KS-Logan KS-Sherman KS-
603 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN WALLACE...NORTHWESTERN
LOGAN AND SOUTHEASTERN SHERMAN COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT/1100
PM CDT/ for northwestern and west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3925 10169 3925 10139 3913 10139 3885 10141
      3875 10168
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 188DEG 37KT 3936 10148 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
311 PM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 258 PM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Thunderstorms have developed along the front near our southeast
edge. Also large area of storms have developed over eastern
Colorado in a post frontal environment. Rather strong shortwave
moving in from the west is helping storms develop as well. Shear,
instability, and lapse rates are favorable for continued severe
storms to develop and currently have a tornado and severe
thunderstorm watches out covering the entire area through the
evening.

Parameters still in place for these storms to produce very heavy
rainfall. Hrrr is capturing both the placement of storms and the
intense rainfall they are producing. So flash flood watch looks
good. Some lingering rainfall in the morning along with additional
development afternoon will be possible in the afternoon. Not much
time to look at that. However, mesoscale influences from ongoing
convection could enhance that. Temperatures for Wednesday will
need to be looked since could have a lot of wet ground and
lingering cloud cover.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 237 PM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Upper low currently over Idaho will migrate slowly into the mid-
Mississippi Valley by Friday.  As it does so, it will keep a
lingering chance of showers and thunderstorms across the far
northeast counties through Thursday morning. Once the upper low
leaves the area, short wave ridging will temporarily move over the
area Thu-Fri. A second upper trough will move quickly into the area
Friday night with another chance of scattered convection. Later in
the weekend a closed upper low will move from the Intermountain
Region out over the High Plains with both the GFS and EC fairly
consistent in location and timing.  This will produce a chance for
widespread convection from Sunday afternoon into Monday evening.
Temperatures through the period will generally be near to above
normal with highs mostly in the 80s but approaching 90 by Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1143 AM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Complicated forecast. High resolution models not doing well in
resolving cloud cover, low level moisture/temperatures, and
especially the wind field. Front that was pushed a little further
south early this morning due to overnight convection is starting
to return north. Where this front ends up will be area of
thunderstorm focus. Other area of initiation will be from the
higher terrain to the west.

Winds will be variable in direction but will tend to start out
from the east and southeast at roughly 10 to 15 knots. Kmck will
shift more to the northeast while Kgld will become more south with
some gusts into the 20 to 25 knot range by later this afternoon.
Thunderstorms should develop/move into the area later this
afternoon into early this evening. Conditions will start out vfr
but expect mvfr conditions when thunderstorms affect the sites.
After the storms end, mvfr ceilings will hang on until tomorrow
morning before becoming vfr once again.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ001>004-013>016-
     027>029-041-042.

CO...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for COZ090>092.

NE...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for NEZ079>081.

&&

SHORT TERM...BULLER
LONG TERM...DLF
AVIATION...BULLER

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1047 AM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-201200-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
1047 AM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018 /1147 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop over and
the area after 2 pm MDT (3 pm CDT). Some of the storms could become
severe with large hail, some greater than 2 inches in diameter,
damaging winds in excess of 60 mph, and a few tornadoes. The severe
storms could occur over the entire area. However the area that will
have the greatest risk will be roughly along and south of a line from
Norton to Colby to Burlington to Flagler.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire region for
this afternoon and evening. Widespread heavy rainfall from
thunderstorms is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

Depending on the amount of rainfall received later today and
tonight...some flooding concerns may remain over portions of the
region and will have to be monitored going into Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed after 2 pm MDT(3 pm CDT). We would
appreciate any reports of flooding, hail, wind and tornadoes. Should
anything occur...please do so safely.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
411 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HAIL             5 WNW THE MONUMENT ROCK 38.79N 100.86W
06/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       LOGAN              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM 5 WNW THE
            MONUMENT ROCKS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
420 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     HAIL             9 S OAKLEY              39.00N 100.85W
06/19/2018  E0.88 INCH       LOGAN              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY EM.

&&

DLF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
423 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     HEAVY RAIN       9 S OAKLEY              39.00N 100.85W
06/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       LOGAN              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            1-2 INCHES OF WATER RUNNING OFF HIGHWAY 83.
            DITCHES NOT FULL, JUST VERY HIGH RAIN RATES.

&&

DLF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
434 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0428 PM     HAIL             OAKLEY                  39.13N 100.86W
06/19/2018  E2.75 INCH       LOGAN              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TWO INCH STONES OBSERVED, WITH
            LARGEST HAIL BASEBALL SIZE.

&&

DLF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
439 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HAIL             OAKLEY                  39.13N 100.86W
06/19/2018  E2.00 INCH       LOGAN              KS   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM TWITTER. HAIL LASTED 5 MINUTES.

&&

DLF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
505 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

COZ091-092-KSZ013-027-192315-
Kit Carson County CO-Cheyenne County CO-Wallace KS-Sherman KS-
505 PM MDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CHEYENNE AND
SOUTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
NORTHWESTERN WALLACE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN
SHERMAN COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS UNTIL 515 PM MDT...

At 505 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles south of Kanorado, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern
Cheyenne and southeastern Kit Carson Counties in east central
Colorado...northwestern Wallace County in west central Kansas and
southwestern Sherman Counties in northwestern Kansas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM MDT for east central
Colorado.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
northwestern and west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3895 10215 3914 10225 3929 10194 3903 10187
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 255DEG 24KT 3910 10206

JRM