Alert archive / North Dakota / Special Weather Statements in 2018
Special Weather Statement, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this special weather statement at Jun 11, 2018, 2:36 AM CDT for Sargent County, North Dakota. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 11, 2018, 2:36 AM CDT (07:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 11, 2018, 3:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 24 min
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
County Sargent County, ND
The radar
The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 256 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1503 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -160 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2075 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 91 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 261 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.2
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 10, 11:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 11:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1142 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018 .UPDATE... Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018 Removed the mention of possible severe overnight, although there could still be some localized wind gusts to 50 mph and heavy rain. Looks like the pcpn should arrive in Devils Lake in the next couple of hours, taking longer to reach the Red River Valley. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday) Issued at 330 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018 Expect fair skies through the late afternoon and early evening. Gust south winds will decrease a bit in the evening hours but overall southeast gradient flow will persist during the evening and overnight period as a low pressure trof works its way into the area from the western Dakotas. Thunderstorms are likely to push into eastern ND around and after midnight, crossing the Red River after 1-2 am. The overall severe weather threat is low for our area, with storms becoming mainly elevated /stable near surface/ with some hail threat still possible. Not expecting much penetration into Minnesota until storms begin to refire after mid morning on Monday. Monday should see light and variable winds with a mainly cloudy and rainy forenoon period across the area. Thunderstorm swill likely stay embedded during the early part of the day and increase through the late forenoon and early afternoon hours. Storms should end in eastern ND around midday, but persist in northwest and west central MN into the late afternoon. There is a slight risk for excessive rainfall across portions of northwest and west central MN, mainly south of a Halstad to Bemidji line, where slower moving storms could produce localized rainfall amounts reaching 1.5 inches or more. West to northwest winds will slowly push in from the west through the late afternoon into the evening hours. .LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday) Issued at 330 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018 The week will become a little more unsettled and active as the upper level pattern begins to shift to southwesterly flow aloft early...then becoming more northwesterly aloft later in the period. By Monday evening...the area of low pressure will depart the area with showers ending and cooler air pushing south from Canada. High temperatures will only reach into the mid 70s for Tuesday. As the upper trof departs...the ridge will rebound bringing warmer temperatures again to the region. After some tranquil weather Tuesday...looking for a series of disturbances to propagate through the flow bringing continued chances for showers and isolated storms each day. The next significant system is forecast to cross the region late Thursday into Friday...with better chances for measurable precipitation...and slight cooling behind it through the end of the period. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night) Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018 Timing from the previous set of TAFs still looked pretty good, so did not change too much from that. Lower ceilings streamed in from the southeast through the late evening, so most TAFs are right at the MVFR/VFR border. Probably will not see much change in that into at least mid Monday morning. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. && UPDATE...Godon SHORT TERM...Gust LONG TERM...Hopkins AVIATION...Godon
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 11:12 PM CDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1112 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018 MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-120415- West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods- West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake- East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen- South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier- Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh County-Eddy-Nelson- Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent- Richland-Western Walsh County- 1112 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Tonight Showers and thunderstorms will move into eastern North Dakota after midnight, then into adjacent areas of Minnesota in the early morning hours. These may bring brief heavy rain and wind gusts to 50 mph. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the day Monday as a strong cold front moves through the region. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 11, 1:57 AM CDT, 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Eastern ND/Grand Forks ND
157 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2018
NDZ038-039-049-110730-
Ransom ND-Barnes ND-Cass ND-
157 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RANSOM...SOUTHWESTERN CASS AND
SOUTHERN BARNES COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM CDT...
At 157 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Sanborn to near Fort Ransom. Movement was
east at 60 mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Strong thunderstorms will be near...
Fort Ransom, Englevale and Fort Ransom State Park around 200 AM
CDT.
Valley City and Elliott around 205 AM CDT.
Lisbon around 210 AM CDT.
Oriska and Fingal around 215 AM CDT.
Tower City around 220 AM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.
&&
LAT...LON 4635 9804 4663 9804 4663 9844 4697 9844
4698 9757 4629 9750
TIME...MOT...LOC 0657Z 273DEG 53KT 4689 9816 4648 9799
DJRSpecial weather statement, Jun 11, 2:36 AM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Eastern ND/Grand Forks ND
236 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2018
NDZ049-052-110800-
Sargent ND-Ransom ND-
236 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN RANSOM AND SARGENT
COUNTIES UNTIL 300 AM CDT...
At 236 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Englevale to near Havana. Movement was
east at 45 mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Strong thunderstorms will be near...
Havana around 240 AM CDT.
Rutland and Stirum around 245 AM CDT.
Gwinner and Cayuga around 255 AM CDT.
Milnor and Geneseo around 300 AM CDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.
&&
LAT...LON 4593 9778 4594 9791 4639 9798 4638 9728
4628 9728 4628 9726 4600 9726 4599 9723
4594 9723
TIME...MOT...LOC 0736Z 275DEG 38KT 4633 9791 4599 9766
DJRThe office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2:56 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FGF | Polk | 64 min |
| Jun 11, 1:57 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Barnes, Ransom | 33 min |
| Jun 11, 3:04 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FGF | Richland | 56 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in North Dakota, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.