Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 31, 2018Douglas County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jul 31, 2018, 4:16 PM EDT for Douglas County, Georgia. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 31, 2018, 4:16 PM EDT (20:16 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2018, 4:45 PM EDT
In force
29 min
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Wind
50

County Douglas County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 51 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2018-07-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 735 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2018-07-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
735 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
581 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 31, 2:56 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 2:56 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
256 PM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Wednesday Night/...

No major changes made to the short-term forecast trends from recent
runs. Medium-range models continue to show the region firmly locked
underneath the strong southwesterly upper flow out ahead of the deep
upper trough anchored over the central U.S. Individual short waves or
impulses notoriously hard to pin down in this type of flow, but good
chances for precipitation through the period. High precipitable water
values (near or above 2") linger through the end of the week. We have
gone ahead and sped up the onset of the Flash Flood Watch to this
evening for isolated/localized flood threat developing. Still think
the highest threat for more widespread issues would be developing as
we head into and through the day Wednesday. Certainly cannot rule out
an isolated severe storm through the period, but instability is
marginal for a more widespread severe threat.

20

.LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...

Current long term portion is on target and limited changes planned.
Main adjustment was for the Thursday portion where pops have been
increased from likely to categorical for a large portion of the area
which lines up well with adjacent offices. This is well supported by
the model guidance indicating precipitable water well above normal
and near 2.25 inches Thu. Although instability may be more limited
than today or We over NW portions, this is likely to be compensated
by the arrival of enhanced shortwave energy, keeping pops high.

Pretty much the same story for Friday with no frontal clearing and
actually some retrograding of moisture axis as west Atlantic ridge
begins to exert its influence. It will be this ridge that eventually
leads to lower rain chances by the end of the weekend and into early
next week. As mentioned, current forecast handles this very well and
no changes are planned.

Deese

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...

"Background" VFR ceilings and visibilities continue to develop, with
most areas expected to remain VFR, outside of convection, through
06Z. Conditions lowering back to mainly IFR between 06-09Z with slow
improvement back to MVFR between 15Z and 18Z. Scattered convection
expected to become more widespread through 01Z with some decrease in
coverage after. Still expect at least scattered showers with a few
thunderstorms to linger through the overnight period before
increasing in coverage again by late morning tomorrow. South to
southwest winds 6-10kt, diminishing to 6kt or less after 00Z and
becoming southeast to south by 06-09Z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium confidence all elements.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  78  69  79 /  70  70  70  90
Atlanta         70  77  69  78 /  70  70  70  90
Blairsville     64  74  64  74 /  60  80  70  80
Cartersville    69  79  69  78 /  70  70  70  80
Columbus        72  80  71  80 /  70  80  70  90
Gainesville     69  77  69  77 /  70  80  70  90
Macon           72  81  70  82 /  70  60  60  80
Rome            69  78  69  79 /  70  70  70  70
Peachtree City  70  79  69  79 /  70  70  70  90
Vidalia         73  85  73  86 /  50  60  60  70

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch from 8 PM EDT this evening through Thursday
evening for the following zones: Banks...Barrow...Bartow...
Butts...Carroll...Catoosa...Chattahoochee...Chattooga...
Cherokee...Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Dade...Dawson...
DeKalb...Douglas...Fannin...Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...
Gordon...Greene...Gwinnett...Hall...Haralson...Harris...Heard...
Henry...Jackson...Jasper...Lamar...Lumpkin...Madison...
Meriwether...Monroe...Morgan...Murray...Muscogee...Newton...
North Fulton...Oconee...Oglethorpe...Paulding...Pickens...Pike...
Polk...Putnam...Rockdale...South Fulton...Spalding...Talbot...
Taliaferro...Towns...Troup...Union...Upson...Walker...Walton...
White...Whitfield...Wilkes.

&&

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....Deese
AVIATION...20
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 31, 11:38 AM EDT, 4 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1138 AM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-011545-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1138 AM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected today.
A few of the storms could become strong producing gusty winds and
frequent lightning strikes. An isolated severe thunderstorm
cannot be ruled out. Any severe thunderstorm that develops will
have the potential to produce damaging wind gusts. Localized
flooding is also possible, especially in low lying areas and where
thunderstorms repeatedly move.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

...Flash Flood Watch In Effect For Wednesday and Thursday...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected each
day. The primary severe weather hazard will be flooding from heavy
rainfall. A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for Wednesday and
Thursday, when the heaviest rainfall is anticipated. In addition,
strong to isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 3:38 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 31, 3:53 PM EDT, 23 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 31, 3:56 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
356 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2018

GAZ023>025-034-035-045>048-055-057-312045-
Hall GA-Banks GA-Jackson GA-Walton GA-Rockdale GA-Barrow GA-
Clayton GA-DeKalb GA-Gwinnett GA-Newton GA-Henry GA-
356 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HALL...WESTERN BANKS...
NORTHWESTERN JACKSON...WESTERN WALTON...ROCKDALE...BARROW...EASTERN
CLAYTON...SOUTHEASTERN DEKALB...GWINNETT...WESTERN NEWTON AND HENRY
COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

At 356 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Clermont to Hampton...and moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Frequent cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. If you can
           hear thunder...you are close enough to be struck by
           lightning. Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding
           especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Gainesville, Lawrenceville, McDonough, Conyers, Winder, Covington,
Jefferson, Homer, Duluth, Stockbridge, Sugar Hill, Snellville,
Suwanee, Buford, Lilburn, Loganville, Braselton, Hampton, Auburn and
Lovejoy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.  Electrical
appliances should not be used unless in an emergency. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3449 8365 3443 8361 3448 8356 3447 8344
      3343 8391 3345 8393 3334 8403 3336 8434
      3401 8415 3450 8375
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 265DEG 16KT 3445 8371 3337 8429
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 3:56 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 31, 3:59 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
359 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2018

GAZ061-073-074-084-085-096-097-312030-
Wilkinson GA-Washington GA-Baldwin GA-Hancock GA-Johnson GA-
Laurens GA-Bleckley GA-
359 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN WILKINSON...WASHINGTON...
EASTERN BALDWIN...SOUTHEASTERN HANCOCK...NORTHWESTERN JOHNSON...
NORTHERN LAURENS AND NORTHEASTERN BLECKLEY COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM
EDT...

At 359 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Deepstep to Dexter...and moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph...pea sized hail and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Dublin, Sandersville, Wrightsville, Irwinton, East Dublin, Tennille,
McIntyre, Dexter, Dudley, Harrison, Toomsboro, Oconee, Montrose,
Deepstep, Hamburg State Park, Spann, Beulah, Nicklesville, Minter and
Lovett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3246 8271 3240 8312 3242 8314 3245 8318
      3241 8323 3315 8315 3325 8275
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 251DEG 17KT 3302 8304 3244 8308

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 4:16 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
416 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2018

GAZ031-032-043-044-312045-
Douglas GA-Cobb GA-Paulding GA-South Fulton GA-
416 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DOUGLAS...SOUTHWESTERN COBB...
SOUTHEASTERN PAULDING AND SOUTH FULTON COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

At 416 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Winston, or near
Douglasville...moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Douglasville, Union City, Villa Rica, Austell, Lithia Springs,
Sweetwater Creek State Park, Brownsville, Chapel Hill, Bill Arp,
Fairplay, Winston, Lake Val-Do-Mar, Campbellton, New Georgia and
Mableton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3384 8457 3360 8457 3361 8490 3372 8490
      3372 8491 3373 8491 3373 8490 3378 8490
      3378 8491 3381 8491
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 265DEG 16KT 3371 8485

WIND...50MPH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 8:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCherokee23 min
Jul 30, 8:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCJohnson28 min
Jul 30, 8:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel, Jefferson, Johnson, Washington35 min
Jul 31, 3:50 AM EDTFlash Flood WatchFFCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Butts, Carroll, Catoosa and 56 more3 days
Jul 31, 12:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBartow, Polk41 min
Jul 31, 1:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMuscogee32 min
Jul 31, 1:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCobb, Paulding, Polk28 min
Jul 31, 2:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPolk40 min
Jul 31, 2:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningFFCPolk6 hr
Jul 31, 2:20 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCForsyth25 min
Jul 31, 2:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCStewart45 min
Jul 31, 2:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClayton, Coweta, Fayette, Fulton38 min
Jul 31, 2:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTroup32 min
Jul 31, 3:10 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClayton, DeKalb, Fayette, Henry, Spalding50 min
Jul 31, 3:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCChattahoochee, Marion, Stewart, Taylor26 min
Jul 31, 3:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGwinnett38 min
Jul 31, 3:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWhitfield48 min
Jul 31, 3:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDouglas52 min
Jul 31, 3:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCChattooga, Walker, Whitfield52 min
Jul 31, 3:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHarris, Troup34 min
Jul 31, 3:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWashington, Wilkinson31 min
Jul 31, 4:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBanks, Barrow, Gwinnett, Jackson, Newton, Rockdale41 min
Jul 31, 4:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCoweta, Fayette38 min
Jul 31, 4:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll, Heard44 min
Jul 31, 4:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHancock, Johnson, Washington28 min
Jul 31, 4:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWilkes24 min
Jul 31, 4:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGordon47 min
Jul 31, 5:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll, Haralson44 min
Jul 31, 5:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGlascock, Hancock, Warren27 min
Jul 31, 5:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWilkes23 min
Jul 31, 5:26 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett3 hr
Jul 31, 5:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGilmer45 min
Jul 31, 5:31 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningFFCWilkes6 hr
Jul 31, 5:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBleckley, Dodge, Laurens, Pulaski, Wilcox24 min
Jul 31, 5:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTaliaferro, Warren29 min
Jul 31, 6:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClarke, Madison, Morgan, Oconee48 min
Jul 31, 6:24 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett72 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.