Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
315 PM EDT Fri Jun 8 2018

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

Current satellite image shows a cumulus field across the area with
isolated showers and thunderstorms on radar. These will continue to
develop before waning later on this evening. There is plenty of
instability across the area currently, so some thunderstorms may
become strong with gusty winds, heavy rain, and lightning being the
main hazards. Moisture will continue to increase and advect into the
area as the upper level low near the Big Bend region of FL continues
to shift to the northeast into southeast Georgia. The morning
sounding had a PW value of 1.42 inches, with forecast PWATS rising
to 1.5 to 1.9 inches through Saturday. As a result, Saturday will
bring another afternoon of mainly diurnal scattered thunderstorms
although coverage is expected to be higher than this afternoon. Have
chance pops across most of the area on Saturday with likely pops
edging into the mountains. Similar to today, we won't be lacking
in instability so some storms may become strong with gusty winds,
heavy rain, and lightning being the main hazards.

Overall high and low temps will remain above average through the
short term with Saturday being just a couple degrees lower than
today.

Reaves

.LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...

The extended forecast period continues to be characterized by
chances for showers and thunderstorms each day, especially during
the afternoon and evening. The weak upper low over south Georgia at
the start of the long-term period will be absorbed into the upper
trough over the southeast. With moist southerly flow and a
persistent upper trough across the east, the impetus for diurnal
shower and thunderstorm development will persist into next week.
Some thunderstorms may become strong with gusty winds and locally
heavy rainfall each day.

High temperatures will generally be near to slightly above normal
while lows will run several degrees above normal.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update... VFR conditions through most of the
period. Scattered cu field filling in much of the area this
afternoon around 5 kft. Added tempo for tsra at all taf sites from
18z to 20z at ATL and 22z for the rest of the sites due to
isolated -tsra chance this afternoon. Winds are currently east to
southeast and light, generally 3-7 kts. Winds should stay east
until a shift to the west/southwest at ATL after 13z on Saturday,
still 6 kts or less. Currently have -shra for tomorrow afternoon,
although based on trends, a prob30 for -tsra might be needed with
a later update.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on all elements.

Reaves

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          68  89  69  89 /  20  30  20  50
Atlanta         70  88  71  88 /  20  30  20  50
Blairsville     63  83  64  84 /  30  50  40  60
Cartersville    67  89  68  88 /  20  30  30  50
Columbus        71  90  72  90 /  20  40  20  50
Gainesville     68  86  69  87 /  20  40  30  50
Macon           69  89  69  90 /  20  40  20  50
Rome            67  90  69  89 /  20  30  30  50
Peachtree City  68  89  69  88 /  20  30  20  50
Vidalia         71  88  71  89 /  30  50  20  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Reaves
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...Reaves

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
430 AM EDT Fri Jun 8 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-091000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
430 AM EDT Fri Jun 8 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and
Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms can be expected today
into tonight. A few storms could be strong this afternoon and
evening with gusty winds, frequent lightning and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms can be expected Saturday
through Thursday, most so during the afternoon and evening
each day. On any given day, a few storms could be strong with
gusty winds, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
420 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2018

GAZ069-080-081-082100-
Taylor GA-Upson GA-Crawford GA-
420 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN TAYLOR...
SOUTHEASTERN UPSON AND WESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EDT...

At 419 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was between Roberta and
Fickling Mill, moving west at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...40 mph wind, up to penny sized hail, frequent cloud-to-
           ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Butler, Roberta, Reynolds, Knoxville, Salem, Horns and Fickling Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3277 8396 3257 8397 3252 8425 3286 8422
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 090DEG 5KT 3266 8406

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
436 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2018

GAZ049-050-060-061-072-073-082115-
Morgan GA-Putnam GA-Baldwin GA-Hancock GA-Jones GA-Greene GA-
436 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN...PUTNAM...
NORTHWESTERN BALDWIN...WESTERN HANCOCK...NORTHEASTERN JONES AND
SOUTHERN GREENE COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

At 435 PM EDT...strong thunderstorms extended from near Phoenix to
near Plant Harlee Branch, moving west at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...40 mph wind, up to penny sized hail, frequent cloud-to-
           ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Milledgeville, Eatonton, Reynolds Plantation, Phoenix, Meriwether,
Ethridge, Harmony, Godfrey, Resseaus Crossroads, Oconee Springs Park,
Warfield, Willard, Rockville, Rock Eagle 4-H Center, Central Georgia
Experiment Station, Plant Harlee Branch, Parks Mill, Stanfordville
and Blountsville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3356 8344 3347 8351 3314 8350 3306 8339
      3312 8317 3346 8317
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 091DEG 10KT 3346 8326 3321 8325

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
502 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2018

GAZ034-045>048-082145-
De Kalb GA-Walton GA-Rockdale GA-Gwinnett GA-Newton GA-
502 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DEKALB...WESTERN
WALTON...ROCKDALE...SOUTHERN GWINNETT AND NORTHWESTERN NEWTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

At 501 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Magnet, moving
northwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...40 mph wind, up to penny sized hail, frequent cloud-to-
           ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Conyers, Covington, Lithonia, Porterdale, Lakeview Estates, Georgia
International Horse Park, Magnet, Almon, Milstead, Arabia Mountain,
Big Haynes Creek Park, Panola Mountain State Park, Oak Hill and
Redan.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3379 8409 3380 8392 3355 8388 3350 8400
      3364 8418 3364 8419 3365 8420
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 155DEG 8KT 3360 8398

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
519 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2018

GAZ079-080-091-092-082200-
Schley GA-Taylor GA-Marion GA-Talbot GA-
519 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN SCHLEY...WESTERN
TAYLOR...NORTHEASTERN MARION AND SOUTHEASTERN TALBOT COUNTIES UNTIL
600 PM EDT...

At 517 PM EDT...strong thunderstorms extended from Butler to
Howard and Rupert, moving west at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, nickel sized hail, frequent cloud-to-
           ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Butler, Junction City, Howard, Tazewell, Baldwinville, Rupert,
Charing, Wesley Church, Po Biddy Crossroads and Mauk.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3225 8441 3244 8449 3272 8452 3264 8427
      3254 8424 3240 8424 3240 8425 3238 8425
TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 068DEG 8KT 3249 8430

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
534 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2018

GAZ083-084-096-097-109-082215-
Wilkinson GA-Laurens GA-Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-Twiggs GA-
534 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN WILKINSON...NORTHWESTERN
LAURENS...BLECKLEY...NORTHWESTERN DODGE AND SOUTHEASTERN TWIGGS
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

At 534 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Goldsboro, moving
west at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, up to penny sized hail, frequent
           cloud-to-ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Cochran, Chester, Danville, Montrose, Allentown, Royal, Yonkers,
Goldsboro, Rebie, Cary and Rowland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3263 8312 3238 8310 3235 8335 3255 8343
      3269 8329
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 095DEG 5KT 3251 8322

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...40MPH