Severe Thunderstorm Warning 148, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
329 PM EDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

The closed upper low over the OH Valley will drift slowly northeast
into the Great Lakes area on Saturday and weaken. North and central
GA will remain in a broad trough through tonight...with the upper
flow becoming more zonal on Saturday. Weak impulses will persist and
rotate around the trough. The air mass will continue to destabilize
and showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop and move
across the area through this evening.  The convection today and
tomorrow will be enhanced by diurnal heating but expect some storms
to linger overnight...mainly north and west. Moderate instability
this afternoon should support a few strong to severe storms with
damaging wind and hail possible. Otherwise not as hot mainly north
and west due to more clouds...but much of central GA will still
reach into the low and mid 90s with overall fewer clouds and lower
chances for thunderstorms. Heat index values will remain below
advisory criteria tomorrow.

41

.LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...

Only tweaks to the long term based on the latest guidance.

BDL

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
Not much change in the over all pattern for the next 7 days.
North and Central GA stays in West to northwesterly upper level
flow through the middle of next week. This will allow waves and
moisture to continue to move across the area keeping the
Southeastern U.S. convectively active through the period. Still
expecting mainly diurnally driven storms each day as
instabilities peak everyday between 18z-00z across the CWA. The
airmass is also expected to stay fairly moist with PWs in the 1.5
to 1.9 inch range through day 7 as well. Temperatures remain warm
through the weekend and into next week. With dewpoints in the 70s
and above normal temperatures, heat index values will creep into
the lower 100s almost every day, especially over portions of
central and eastern Georgia. Although we are not anticipating
having to issue any heat advisories...those spending prolonged
periods outdoors should take frequent breaks and drink plenty of
water.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...

Ceilings should be vfr this afternoon...ranging from BKN040-050 and
then scattering this evening. Also looking for patchy layers
of mid and high clouds. Expect some mvfr and possibly ifr  ceilings
to form toward sunrise and then gradually lift during Saturday
morning. Showers will again develop this afternoon and evening
and have continued with a tempo to all taf sites. A few storms
could become severe mainly KATL to KAHN and north. Winds will remain
on the west side. Saturday will be similar to today with mainly a
diurnal thunderstorm pattern.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium on ceilings trends after 00z.
Medium to high on all other elements.

41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  89  72  94 /  60  50  10  20
Atlanta         72  90  74  92 /  60  50  20  20
Blairsville     64  83  67  86 /  60  50  30  40
Cartersville    70  87  72  92 /  60  60  20  30
Columbus        75  93  75  94 /  60  50  10  10
Gainesville     70  86  72  90 /  60  50  20  30
Macon           74  93  74  96 /  60  50  10  20
Rome            69  87  72  92 /  60  60  20  30
Peachtree City  72  91  73  93 /  60  50  10  20
Vidalia         75  94  76  97 /  50  30  10  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....BDL
AVIATION...41

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
900 AM EDT Fri Jun 22 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-231000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
900 AM EDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and
Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected across north
and central Georgia this afternoon into tonight. Some storms
will be severe, most so north and west of Atlanta.
The main hazards will be damaging winds, frequent lightning,
and isolated flooding from heavy rainfall. An isolated tornado
will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

There is a chance of thunderstorms everyday for the next week,
mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. A few storms
could be strong to severe each day with gusty winds, frequent
lightning and isolated flooding from heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
600 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018

GAZ033-034-045-046-222245-
De Kalb GA-North Fulton GA-Rockdale GA-Gwinnett GA-
600 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DE KALB...NORTH FULTON...
NORTHEASTERN ROCKDALE AND SOUTHWESTERN GWINNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM
EDT...

At 600 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Little Five Points, or
over Atlanta...moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Atlanta, Decatur, Conyers, East Point, Snellville, Lilburn, Chamblee,
Clarkston, Stone Mountain, Avondale Estates, Grayson, Lithonia, Pine
Lake, Tucker, Belvedere Park, North Decatur, North Atlanta, North
Druid Hills, Midtown and Grant Park-Zoo Atlanta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3387 8443 3390 8393 3382 8394 3379 8398
      3376 8394 3365 8395 3369 8443
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 266DEG 32KT 3377 8435

WIND...40MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
604 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE BIRMINGHAM        34.16N  84.32W
06/22/2018                   FULTON             GA   SOCIAL MEDIA

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON FREEMANVILLE ROAD JUST SOUTH
            OF BIRMINGHAM ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1800364

RWILLIS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
610 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018

GAZ023>025-034-035-222300-
Banks GA-Hall GA-Jackson GA-Barrow GA-Gwinnett GA-
610 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BANKS...SOUTHEASTERN HALL...
JACKSON...BARROW AND NORTHEASTERN GWINNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM
EDT...

At 608 PM EDT...strong thunderstorms extended from near Talmo to
near Hoschton to near Harbin, moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, occasional cloud-to-ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Gainesville, Winder, Jefferson, Commerce, Homer, Braselton, Auburn,
Dacula, Statham, Maysville, Arcade, Nicholson, Hoschton, Bethlehem,
Pendergrass, Carl, Gillsville, Talmo, Candler and Fort Yargo State
Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3444 8347 3425 8334 3421 8336 3420 8340
      3416 8336 3411 8336 3408 8338 3395 8358
      3392 8379 3393 8380 3390 8392 3406 8393
      3420 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 244DEG 26KT 3417 8376 3407 8369 3392 8384

WIND...40MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
618 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0536 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW LITHIA SPRINGS    33.76N  84.69W
06/22/2018                   DOUGLAS            GA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ONTO I-20 WESTBOUND ABOUT 2 MILES
            WEST OF LEE ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1800365

RWILLIS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
628 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018

GAZ042-052-053-222300-
Coweta GA-Carroll GA-Heard GA-
628 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN COWETA...SOUTHERN CARROLL
AND HEARD COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

At 627 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Frolona, or 11 miles
east of Wedowee...moving east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Franklin, Ephesus, Centralhatchee, Frolona, Plant Wansley, Texas,
Powers Crossroads, Handy, Roosterville and Arnco-Sargent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3346 8486 3325 8486 3323 8526 3343 8529
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 262DEG 33KT 3333 8529

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
630 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0556 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE BILL ARP          33.63N  84.78W
06/22/2018                   DOUGLAS            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON HIGHWAY 166 AT BIG A ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1800366

RWILLIS