Severe Thunderstorm Warning 132, NWS Atlanta, GA

633 
WWUS52 KFFC 142341
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
741 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

GAC021-079-207-142351-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0132.000000T0000Z-180615T0015Z/
Bibb GA-Monroe GA-Crawford GA-
741 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL BIBB...
SOUTHWESTERN MONROE AND NORTH CENTRAL CRAWFORD COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds and
heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3276 8383 3273 8389 3291 8408 3299 8384
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 155DEG 14KT 3284 8391 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
249 PM EDT Thu Jun 14 2018

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/...
A weak upper low continues to slowly drift southward into
southeastern Alabama this afternoon and is providing a focus for
scattered shower and thunderstorm development, especially across
central Georgia. Movement of convection is relatively slow given
continued weak steering winds. Locally heavy rainfall can be
expected given this slow movement in combination with PWs ranging
from 1.5 to near 2 inches. Convective coverage will diminish
overnight, though an isolated shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled
out, especially in proximity to the upper low.

The upper low will continue to weaken and drift southward through
the day Friday. While upper ridging will begin to build in from the
west, sufficient low level moisture will remain in place for diurnal
shower and thunderstorm development, though coverage will likely be
lower than today. As has been the case, given ample heating as well
as elevated PWs, thunderstorms will produce locally heavy rainfall,
and stronger storms could produce gusty winds. Coverage will again
diminish after sunset Friday evening.

Temperatures on Friday will likely be a couple of degrees warmer
than today, especially across north Georgia where shower and
thunderstorm coverage is lower. Expect highs near 90 into the lower
90s.

RW

.LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/...
Looks like we are in a continued pattern of diurnally driven
convection through day 7. The extended starts off Saturday with
decent afternoon storm potential given a lingering weak upper low
centered across AL and associated enhanced Gulf moisture. The
broad upper ridge looks to build in from the west and should help
to limit overall coverage of showers and storms Sunday through
Monday. This ridge will not completely suppress development as
there will likely be enough daytime heating and available
instability to still trigger some isolated to scattered
convection. Have generally continued some slight to low end chance
pops for portions of the area, then more widespread chance pops
for Tuesday into Wednesday as the ridge is expected to weaken a
bit. The models are hinting at an upper shortwave and sfc front
approaching the area Wednesday so may need to up pops a bit at the
end of the forecast as it gets closer. Will stick with chance pops
for now as it is day 7 at the moment. High temps expected to stay
in the low 90s across the area with lows in the 70s through the
extended.

01

&&

AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Conditions have improved generally to VFR this afternoon with a
few lingering MVFR cigs. Scattered shra/tsra has begun to develop
in some areas, and the chance for shra/tsra will continue into
the evening with the highest coverage in central GA. The potential
for any MVFR/IFR cigs by Friday morning continues to be a bit
uncertain, but did include BKN MVFR cigs at CSG and SCT MVFR at
ATL area TAF sites. Shra/tsra coverage on Friday should be a bit
lower than today, but the potential remains, primarily in the
afternoon. Winds will be on the west side through Friday morning
at 4-6kts with a shift toward the S/SSE becoming more likely at
ATL Friday afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on all elements.

RW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  92  71  91 /  20  30  20  40
Atlanta         71  90  72  89 /  30  30  20  40
Blairsville     65  88  65  87 /  20  40  30  50
Cartersville    69  92  70  91 /  30  20  20  40
Columbus        71  89  72  90 /  40  40  30  40
Gainesville     70  89  71  89 /  20  30  20  40
Macon           71  91  72  90 /  30  30  30  40
Rome            70  93  70  91 /  20  10  10  30
Peachtree City  69  90  70  89 /  40  30  30  40
Vidalia         72  92  73  91 /  30  40  30  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...RW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
422 AM EDT Thu Jun 14 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-150830-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
422 AM EDT Thu Jun 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms can be expected this afternoon into this
evening. Some storms could be strong and an isolated severe storm
cannot be ruled out. The main threats will be isolated flooding
from locally heavy rainfall, strong damaging winds and frequent
lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

There is a chance of thunderstorms each day, mainly during the
afternoon and evening hours. A few storms could be strong to severe
each day with strong, gusty winds, frequent lightning and isolated
flooding from heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight, but spotters
are encouraged to submit reports of any severe weather and flooding
through the web by going to weather.gov/atlanta

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
627 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

GAZ023-142300-
Hall GA-
627 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN HALL COUNTY UNTIL
700 PM EDT...

At 627 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Clermont, or 9 miles
north of Gainesville...moving southwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Gainesville and Murrayville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3447 8383 3444 8375 3430 8375 3438 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 022DEG 8KT 3444 8381

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
645 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

GAZ052-142315-
Heard GA-
645 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN HEARD COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM
EDT...

At 645 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Big Springs to near Franklin...and moving south
at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Frequent lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. If you can
           hear thunder...you are close enough to be struck by
           lightning. Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding
           especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Franklin, Waresville, Frolona and Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.  Electrical
appliances should not be used unless in an emergency. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3330 8511 3320 8513 3322 8525 3335 8528
      3336 8528
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 344DEG 5KT 3331 8527 3326 8514

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
657 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

GAZ015-142330-
Lumpkin GA-
657 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LUMPKIN COUNTY UNTIL
730 PM EDT...

At 657 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Dahlonega...moving
southwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dahlonega and Auraria.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3448 8390 3447 8392 3447 8393 3446 8393
      3442 8399 3444 8403 3449 8410 3454 8396
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 056DEG 8KT 3450 8395

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
707 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

GAZ079-080-142345-
Taylor GA-Talbot GA-
707 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN TAYLOR AND EASTERN
TALBOT COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM EDT...

At 707 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Prattsburg, or 10
miles east of Talbotton...moving northeast at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Carsonville, Wesley Church and Prattsburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3269 8440 3278 8437 3277 8436 3278 8436
      3276 8434 3276 8430 3274 8428 3274 8427
      3272 8426 3273 8425 3270 8420 3264 8431
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 217DEG 8KT 3270 8435

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
714 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

GAZ052-142345-
Heard GA-
714 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEARD COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM EDT...

At 714 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Frolona to Franklin to near Powers Crossroads. These
storms were nearly stationary.

  HAZARD...Heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding especially
           in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Franklin and Frolona.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of
control due to hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3331 8510 3333 8498 3325 8495 3321 8505
      3327 8526 3336 8528
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 252DEG 2KT 3332 8526 3327 8509 3329 8498

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
719 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

GAZ071-081-082-142345-
Monroe GA-Bibb GA-Crawford GA-
719 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MONROE...WESTERN BIBB
AND NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM EDT...

At 719 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Lizella, or 9 miles
northeast of Roberta...moving northwest at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Russellville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3275 8382 3273 8388 3289 8404 3296 8384
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 155DEG 14KT 3278 8387

WIND...40MPH