River Flood Warning 247, NWS Atlanta, GA

835 
WGUS82 KFFC 290151
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
851 PM EST Fri Dec 28 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Morning Creek near North Fayetteville affecting Fayette and Fulton
  Counties

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Whitewater Creek near Starrs Mill affecting Fayette County 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Line Creek near Peachtree City affecting Coweta and Fayette 
  Counties 

  Line Creek near Below Lake McIntosh affecting Coweta and Fayette 
  Counties 

  Line Creek near Senoia affecting Coweta...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 


GAC063-113-255-291550-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0232.181229T0303Z-181230T0936Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.181229T0303Z.181229T1200Z.181230T0336Z.NO/
851 PM EST Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* From tonight until late Saturday night.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 11.3 feet and rising.
* Nonflood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 13.8 feet by tomorrow morning.The river will fall below 
  flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* At 14 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs of residential yards upstream of the gage betweenUpper 
  Riverdale Road and Georgia Highway 138. Some roads begin to flood 
  such as Upper Riverdale Road and Mockingbird Road. Flooding expands
  on portions of the Rivers Edge Golf Course. Several holes and 
  fairways will flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

GAC113-121-290221-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0241.000000T0000Z-181229T0151Z/
/MCFG1.1.ER.181228T1616Z.181228T2015Z.181228T2316Z.UU/
851 PM EST Fri Dec 28 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Morning Creek near North Fayetteville.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 12.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3355 8453 3360 8449 3347 8439 3346 8439


$$

GAC113-291447-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0256.000000T0000Z-181229T1447Z/
/SMFG1.1.ER.181228T2308Z.181229T0400Z.181229T0847Z.UU/
851 PM EST Fri Dec 28 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Whitewater Creek near Starrs Mill.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 11.1 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.4 feet by tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* At 11 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands and fields
  along the creek downstream from the Starrs Mill Dam to Line Creek. 
  The parking lot will be under a foot of water at Starrs Mill Park. 
  The rock access road leading to the park will begin to flood. Flood
  waters will be flowing through the concrete spillway.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3327 8450 3328 8451 3336 8453 3336 8449


$$

GAC077-113-291550-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0243.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PHCG1.2.ER.181228T1601Z.181228T2230Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
851 PM EST Fri Dec 28 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Line Creek near Peachtree City.
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 14.6 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 15 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs in the woodlands along the creek upstream and downstream 
  from the gage just below Georgia Highway 54. Residential yards on 
  Wynnmeade Parkway around Wynns Pond will be flooded up to 3 feet 
  deep. The flood waters will be reach the foundations of a few 
  homes. The significant flow into Lake McIntosh causes large 
  portions of the Planterra Ridge Golf Course to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3348 8466 3348 8459 3339 8456 3337 8463


$$

GAC077-113-291550-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0227.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LMCG1.1.ER.181228T1401Z.181228T2245Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
851 PM EST Fri Dec 28 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Line Creek near Below Lake McIntosh.
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 12 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands along the creek downstream from the gage on the tailwater
  side of Lake McIntosh Dam. Portions on the west side of the Falcon 
  Field Airport property will be flooded. Portions of baseball fields
  will begin to flood on the south end of the Baseball and Soccer 
  Complex off of Georgia Highway 74. A portion of the Fayette County 
  Water Treatment Plant near the fields will begin to flood also.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3334 8462 3338 8456 3335 8451 3332 8456


$$

GAC077-113-255-291550-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0247.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LING1.1.ER.181228T1801Z.181229T0116Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 PM EST Fri Dec 28 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Line Creek near Senoia.
* Until further notice.
* At 08PM Friday the stage was 12.9 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 13.5 feet...Minor flooding of the natural flood plain expands 
  further into agricultural and wooded areas. The water level reaches
  the bottom of the USGS gage house.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3332 8456 3335 8451 3330 8448 3328 8455


$$

859 
WGUS82 KFFC 290821
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
321 AM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Line Creek near Senoia affecting Coweta...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 


GAC077-113-255-292221-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0247.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LING1.1.ER.181228T1801Z.181229T0415Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
321 AM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Line Creek near Senoia.
* Until further notice.
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage was 12.9 feet...and 
  rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* At 13.5 feet...Minor flooding of the natural flood plain expands 
  further into agricultural and wooded areas. The water level reaches
  the bottom of the USGS gage house. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3332 8456 3335 8451 3330 8448 3328 8455


$$

924 
WGUS82 KFFC 291735
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Big Creek below Hog Wallow Creek near Roswell affecting Fulton 
  County 

  Chattahoochee River near Campbellton affecting Douglas and Fulton 
  Counties 

  Chattahoochee River near Whitesburg affecting Carroll...Coweta and
  Heard Counties 

  Chattahoochee River near Franklin affecting Heard County 

  New River near Franklin affecting Heard County 

  YellowJacket Creek near Hogansville affecting Troup County 

  Chattahoochee River near Columbus affecting Lee...Russell...
  Chattahoochee and Muscogee Counties 

  Sweetwater Creek near Austell affecting Cobb and Douglas Counties 

  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Whitewater Creek near Starrs Mill affecting Fayette County 

  Flint River near Woolsey affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Line Creek near Senoia affecting Coweta...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  South River near Snapping Shoals affecting Butts...Henry and 
  Newton Counties 


GAC063-113-255-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0232.000000T0000Z-181230T1648Z/
/LOVG1.2.ER.181229T0209Z.181229T1216Z.181230T1048Z.NO/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 14.4 feet...and falling.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 14 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs of residential yards upstream of the gage betweenUpper 
  Riverdale Road and Georgia Highway 138. Some roads begin to flood 
  such as Upper Riverdale Road and Mockingbird Road. Flooding expands
  on portions of the Rivers Edge Golf Course. Several holes and 
  fairways will flood. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

GAC113-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0256.000000T0000Z-181230T1540Z/
/SMFG1.1.ER.181228T2308Z.181229T1800Z.181230T0940Z.UU/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Whitewater Creek near Starrs Mill.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 11.9 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and fields along the creek downstream from the Starrs 
  Mill Dam to Line Creek. Most of Starrs Mill Park including the rock
  access road will be under 1 to 3 feet of water. The flood waters 
  will surround the steps leading to the mill and cover the concrete 
  spillway.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3327 8450 3328 8451 3336 8453 3336 8449


$$

GAC063-113-255-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0264.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSEG1.1.ER.181229T0945Z.181229T1645Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Woolsey.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 49 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 48 feet.
* At 50 feet...Minor flooding continues of the natural flood plain 
  upstream and downstream from the gage on Hampton Woolsey Road. This
  primarily affects woodlands...agricultural fields and pastures. The
  water level will reach the foundation of a Fayette County pump 
  station to the Lake Horton Reservoir.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3340 8443 3340 8435 3330 8437 3330 8444


$$

GAC077-113-255-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0247.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LING1.1.ER.181228T1801Z.181229T0415Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Line Creek near Senoia.
* Until further notice.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 11.1 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 10 feet...Minor flooding of the natural flood plain begins 
  which primarily affects agricultural and wooded areas. A small dirt
  utility access road near the Georgia Highway 85 bridge goes 
  underwater.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3332 8456 3335 8451 3330 8448 3328 8455


$$

GAC117-121-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0203.000000T0000Z-181230T2034Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.181228T0725Z.181229T0715Z.181230T1434Z.NO/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 10.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* At 11 feet...Moderate flooding begins and occurs upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Kimball Bridge Road near Rock Mill 
  Park. Backyards of homes off Seale Drive and Gunter Court and 
  portions of the Golf Club of Georgia are under two feet of water. 
  Backyards of homes off Jade Cove Circle and La View Circle near 
  Roswell begin to flood. The Big Creek Greenway will be flooded up 
  to 5 feet deep and will be closed. A large portion of the YMCA 
  Campground off Preston Ridge Road will be under 3 feet of water. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC121-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0246.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RWSG1.1.ER.181228T1900Z.181229T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek below Hog Wallow Creek near Roswell.
* Until further notice.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 11.3 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 12 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and grassy areas along the creek upstream and downstream 
  from the gage. Further downstream...where the creek merges with the
  Chattahoochee River...the Big Creek and Azalea parks near Roswell 
  Road and along Riverside Road and Azalea Drive begin to flood. If 
  the Roswell gage on the Chattahoochee River is 7.5 feet or 
  higher...then the combination of flows will cause the access road 
  to the Huntcliff horse stables across from Azalea Park to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3404 8433 3402 8430 3401 8434 3400 8436 3404 8436


$$

GAC097-121-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0252.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FBNG1.1.ER.181228T2146Z.181229T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Campbellton.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 20.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3376 8460 3372 8455 3363 8466 3355 8478
      3359 8484 3368 8470             

$$

GAC045-077-149-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0231.000000T0000Z-181230T1737Z/
/WHTG1.1.ER.181228T1919Z.181229T1800Z.181230T1137Z.NO/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Whitesburg.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 20.2 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.3 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 21 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs in the woodlands and fields upstream and downstream from the
  gage. The Riverside Park next to the bridge will be under two feet 
  of water. Flood waters will surround some homes at the end of Bob 
  Brewster Road. Moore Creek will back up and flood portions of 
  Payton Road near Cliff Payton Circle. The water reaches the top of 
  the boat ramp at the day use area and the top of the steps at the 
  north camping site in the Chattahoochee Bend State Park.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3359 8484 3355 8478 3350 8479 3341 8498
      3344 8505 3350 8493             

$$

GAC149-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0260.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FRNG1.1.ER.181229T0253Z.181229T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Franklin.
* Until further notice.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 24.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 23 feet.
* At 25 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on U.S. Highway 27. Large portions of the park and 
  athletic fields will be flooded with up to two feet of water on the
  downstream and right bank side of the bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3344 8505 3341 8498 3325 8507 3324 8515


$$

GAC149-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0253.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NRVG1.1.ER.181228T2247Z.181229T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The New River near Franklin.
* Until further notice.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 12 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream from
  the gage on Georgia Highway 100.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3330 8499 3329 8491 3322 8489 3320 8499 3326 8501


$$

GAC285-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0242.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/YJCG1.1.ER.181228T1615Z.181229T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The YellowJacket Creek near Hogansville.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 9.5 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* At 10 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  marshy wetlands and woods along the creek upstream and downstream 
  from the stream gage on the Hammett Road bridge. Yards of nearby 
  homes will be flooded.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3323 8486 3318 8483 3311 8499 3316 8502


$$

ALC081-113-GAC053-215-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0254.000000T0000Z-190101T2100Z/
/CBUG1.1.ER.181229T0037Z.181229T0615Z.190101T1500Z.NO/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Columbus.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 28.6 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late 
  Tuesday morning.
* At 28 feet...Minor flooding continues along the river upstream 
  and downstream from the gage on the 14th Street bridge. Portions of
  the River Walk in Columbus will be flooded around one foot deep and
  closed to the public. The Phenix City Amphitheater on the Alabama 
  side will begin to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3259 8511 3262 8505 3251 8496 3238 8495
      3238 8502 3250 8503             

$$

GAC067-097-300705-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0224.000000T0000Z-181230T0705Z/
/AUSG1.1.ER.181229T0237Z.181229T1645Z.181230T0105Z.NO/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sweetwater Creek near Austell.
* Until late tonight.
* At 12 PM Saturday the stage was 11.1 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 12 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands and fields
  upstream and downstream from the gage near the Interstate 20 
  bridge. Portions of a paintball playing field just downstream of 
  the bridge and athletic fields in the Woodrow Wilson Park on Mount 
  Vernon Road are flooded with one to two feet of water. Water also 
  floods yards of four elevated homes along Mount Vernon Road. A 
  portion of Wren Circle in Douglas County...the County Iron Works 
  and Sunlight Drive in Cobb County begin to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3379 8464 3385 8463 3380 8459 3374 8459
      3370 8463 3376 8466             

$$

GAC035-151-217-300733-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0263.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPGG1.1.ER.181229T0630Z.181229T1545Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1234 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South River near Snapping Shoals.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 12.3 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on Georgia Highway 81. Much further downstream...portions 
  of Lucy Lane and Lunsford Road in north Butts County begin to 
  flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3353 8410 3357 8404 3350 8392 3341 8388
      3339 8393 3346 8398             

$$

646 
WGUS82 KFFC 292256
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
556 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Line Creek near Senoia affecting Coweta...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties

 
GAC077-113-255-292326-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0247.000000T0000Z-181229T2256Z/
/LING1.1.ER.181228T1801Z.181229T0415Z.181229T2222Z.NO/
556 PM EST Sat Dec 29 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Line Creek near Senoia.
* This takes effect immediately.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 5PM Saturday the stage was 10.0 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.
* At 10.0 feet...Minor flooding of the natural flood plain begins 
  which primarily affects agricultural and wooded areas. A small dirt
  utility access road near the Georgia Highway 85 bridge goes 
  underwater.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3332 8456 3335 8451 3330 8448 3328 8455


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1245 PM EST Fri Dec 28 2018

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 406 AM EST Fri Dec 28 2018/

SHORT TERM /Today through Saturday/...

Significant wave of showers and embedded thunderstorms moved
through the NW half of the area during the evening and first part
of the overnight hours. This was largely due to a strong low level
jet that interacted with a warm located along the I85 corridor on
the west side and along I20 to the east. This produced around 2
inches in the last 6 hours from LaGrange to Newnan and portions of
the metro. These areas also received close to an inch 8 to 12
hours ago bring totals up to around 3 inches with locally higher
amounts. This has resulted in some localized flooding across the
area although difficult to discern flash versus areal at this point
with the multiple rounds of precip affecting these areas.

Seeing a relative lull at the moment but next wave already forming
over portions of Alabama along actual frontal boundary. Should see
NW GA get in on the act first with most significant activity
later this morning. Initially this line will not have much
movement but front does eventually get some momentum with line
moving through the metro by early afternoon. Current Flash Flood
watch looks to cover these areas well and no changes planned
there. May be able to cancel watch early given earlier expected
clearing trend later tonight.

Front will stall through Saturday and SW flow aloft will ensure
deep layer moisture will continue to stream in. Some discrepancy
in models as to where re-development of activity takes place with
GFS and other global models indicating southern sections of the
forecast area while convective allowing models indicate more along
the I85 corridor and areas that have been seen the most rain. Have
used a blend for now but kept likely pops over southern most
sections for now but this will need to be refined.

No significant gusts of note per latest mesonet obs and should be
able to allow wind advisory expire at 12Z.

Deese

LONG TERM /Saturday Night through Thursday/...
Long term period will be punctuated by a prolonged wet period. The
upper level low will move across northern Mexico Saturday night
into Monday with deep moist southwest flow feeding periods of
showers. A warm front will lift northward Sunday, and a cold front
will move into the area late Monday as the now upper level wave
pushes the surface low through the Mississippi, Tennessee Valleys
onto the Ohio Valley by Tuesday. Isolated thunderstorms will be
possible Monday afternoon and again Tuesday afternoon in the
vicinity of the cold front. The cold front slowly pushes through
the forecast area Tuesday and Wednesday as the next upper level
low digs into the desert southwest. As the upper low ejects across
the Gulf Coast states by the end of the week, surface low pushes
the front through the forecast area by the end of the week.
Current rainfall totals for Saturday night through Wednesday
morning are in the 1.5 to 3 inch range. With already saturated
soils and multiple days of rainfall, the threat for flash flooding
in addition to river flooding will continue for several days. Have
stayed close to guidance temperatures through the extended period,
which brings near freezing temperatures into portions of north
Georgia Thursday morning which would support a mix of rain and
snow briefly Thursday morning. At this time any accumulations will
be an inch or less.

Atwell

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 108 AM EST Fri Dec 28 2018/

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...

Mixture of mainly MVFR to LIFR conditions in the band of moderate to
heavy precipitation stretching from near the KAHN TAF site across
KMCN to KCSG, generally MVFR/VFR outside of this band including the
Atlanta Metro area TAFs. Band of convection will continue to sink
southeast across the area, clearing the southern and eastern TAF
sites this afternoon. Will see most areas returning to MVFR/IFR
conditions after 00Z, continuing through 18Z Saturday. Southeast to
southwest winds 6-12kt, becoming southwest to west by 20-24Z.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...

Medium for the overall, big picture, low in the details/timing.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  48  65  49 / 100  50  20  60
Atlanta         66  47  60  50 / 100  40  20  60
Blairsville     61  40  58  44 / 100  20   5  50
Cartersville    65  43  57  45 / 100  20   5  50
Columbus        69  55  64  54 / 100  60  60  60
Gainesville     62  45  62  48 / 100  30   5  50
Macon           70  56  66  55 / 100  70  60  60
Rome            65  41  56  45 / 100  10   5  50
Peachtree City  67  48  62  49 / 100  50  40  60
Vidalia         75  62  70  60 /  90  80  60  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for the following
zones: Baldwin...Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Bibb...Butts...
Carroll...Catoosa...Chattahoochee...Chattooga...Cherokee...
Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Crawford...Dade...Dawson...
DeKalb...Douglas...Fannin...Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...
Gordon...Greene...Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...Haralson...
Harris...Heard...Henry...Jackson...Jasper...Jones...Lamar...
Lumpkin...Madison...Marion...Meriwether...Monroe...Morgan...
Murray...Muscogee...Newton...North Fulton...Oconee...
Oglethorpe...Paulding...Pickens...Pike...Polk...Putnam...
Rockdale...South Fulton...Spalding...Talbot...Taliaferro...
Taylor...Towns...Troup...Union...Upson...Walker...Walton...
Warren...White...Whitfield...Wilkes.

Wind Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for the following
zones: Bartow...Carroll...Catoosa...Chattooga...Cherokee...
Cobb...Dade...Dawson...Douglas...Fannin...Floyd...Gilmer...
Gordon...Haralson...Lumpkin...Murray...Paulding...Pickens...
Polk...Towns...Union...Walker...White...Whitfield.

&&

SHORT TERM...Deese
LONG TERM....Atwell
AVIATION...Deese

Hazardous Weather Outlook...Updated
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
145 PM EST Fri Dec 28 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-291100-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
145 PM EST Fri Dec 28 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight...

From heavy rain since yesterday evening, ongoing runoff and flooding
issues exist across much of north and west-central Georgia,
especially along and north of I-85. Numerous creeks and streams
around the Atlanta metro area are in flood at this time. The heavy
rain has ended across these areas but localized flooding will likely
persist into the evening hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Several rounds of showers will continue into next week, with
isolated thunderstorms possible Monday and Tuesday. Much of the area
could see an additional 2 to 4 inches of rainfall, with locally
higher amounts possible. This rainfall will contiunue to elevate the
river and stream flood threat, especially since the grounds are
saturated from recent rains. Localized flash flooding will also be a
concern in flood prone areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

DJN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1104 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1027 AM     FLOOD            5 ESE MURRAYVILLE       34.40N  83.82W
12/28/2018                   HALL               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HALL COUNTY EMA REPORTING POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES IN
            NORTHERN PART OF COUNTY DUE TO HIGH WATER, SPECIFICALLY
            JIM HOOD ROAD AND HIGHLAND ROAD. THIS LOCATION IS NEAR
            THE WEST FORK LITTLE RIVER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1800963

DJN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1125 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1104 AM     FLOOD            1 SE HOLLINGSWORTH      34.43N  83.50W
12/28/2018                   BANKS              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HEAVY RAINFALL HAS MADE SEVERAL ROADS DIFFICULT OR
            IMPASSABLE TO TRAVEL ON ACROSS BANKS COUNTY,
            SPECIFICALLY MOSS MILL ROAD AT FLAT ROCK ROAD. THIS
            LOCATION IS ALONG LITTLE NAILS CREEK.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1800964

DJN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1133 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2018

GAZ038-039-049>051-059>061-071>073-084-281715-
Taliaferro GA-Wilkes GA-Wilkinson GA-Morgan GA-Putnam GA-Baldwin GA-
Monroe GA-Hancock GA-Oglethorpe GA-Jones GA-Jasper GA-Greene GA-
1133 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2018

At 1132 AM EST...a line of strong storms was along a line extending
from near Lexington to near Parks Mill to Bolingbroke...and moving
east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding especially
           in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Milledgeville, Eatonton, Washington, Greensboro, Gray, Sparta,
Crawfordville, Lexington, Gordon, Union Point, Ivey, Tignall,
Woodville, White Plains, Siloam, Maxeys, Rayle, Sharon, Reynolds
Plantation and Phoenix.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of
control due to hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3361 8263 3361 8264 3359 8270 3351 8275
      3352 8282 3347 8287 3337 8282 3288 8328
      3289 8366 3295 8373 3288 8384 3288 8391
      3346 8336 3394 8311 3399 8283 3399 8265
      3386 8261 3387 8257 3383 8260 3376 8255
TIME...MOT...LOC 1632Z 263DEG 30KT 3389 8308 3348 8330 3295 8380

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1145 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2018

GAZ071-072-080>084-091>095-102>105-281730-
Peach GA-Stewart GA-Monroe GA-Marion GA-Jones GA-Twiggs GA-Macon GA-
Schley GA-Wilkinson GA-Dooly GA-Taylor GA-Bibb GA-Sumter GA-
Houston GA-Crawford GA-Webster GA-
1145 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEACH...SOUTHEASTERN STEWART...
SOUTHEASTERN MONROE...SOUTHEASTERN MARION...SOUTHEASTERN JONES...
NORTHWESTERN TWIGGS...MACON...SCHLEY...WESTERN WILKINSON...
NORTHWESTERN DOOLY...SOUTHEASTERN TAYLOR...BIBB...SUMTER...HOUSTON...
CRAWFORD AND WEBSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 PM EST...

At 1145 AM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Lake Tobesofkee to Kimbrough...and moving east at
40 mph.

  HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Macon, Americus, Perry, Fort Valley, Ellaville, Oglethorpe, Roberta,
Preston, Warner Robins, Centerville, Byron, Montezuma, Gordon,
Marshallville, Reynolds, Plains, Ideal, Andersonville, Payne and
Dooling.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3192 8478 3290 8384 3295 8373 3288 8330
      3193 8421 3193 8440 3197 8444 3193 8445
TIME...MOT...LOC 1645Z 264DEG 33KT 3285 8384 3199 8467

WIND...40MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1213 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 AM     FLOOD            2 WNW MADRAS            33.45N  84.77W
12/28/2018                   COWETA             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVERFLOWING LAKE COWETA ALONG LAKE COWETA TRAIL,
            PER EM REPORTS AND VIDEO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1800965

DJN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1246 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2018

GAZ092-093-095-104>106-281815-
Macon GA-Schley GA-Crisp GA-Dooly GA-Sumter GA-Houston GA-
1246 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MACON...SOUTHEASTERN
SCHLEY...NORTHWESTERN CRISP...WESTERN DOOLY...SUMTER AND SOUTHWESTERN
HOUSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 115 PM EST...

At 1246 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was over New Era, or near
Americus...moving northeast at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Americus, Vienna, Oglethorpe, Montezuma, Byromville, Leslie,
Andersonville, Lilly, De Soto, Dooling, Desoto, Cobb, Sumter, Lamar,
Croxton Crossroads, New Era, La Crosse, Huntington, Pennington and
Drayton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3211 8437 3239 8398 3233 8380 3205 8378
      3191 8407 3192 8408 3192 8434 3188 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 1746Z 233DEG 49KT 3213 8416

WIND...40MPH