River Flood Warning 115, NWS Atlanta, GA

992 
WGUS82 KFFC 130648
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
148 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Little River near Woodstock affecting Cherokee County 


GAC057-132047-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WODG1.1.ER.181112T2313Z.181113T0530Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
148 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Woodstock.
* Until further notice.
* At 1 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.3 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding will continue in the woodlands and 
  fields upstream and downstream from the gage at Old Georgia Highway
  5. A public boat ramp just downstream and on the right bank from 
  the bridge will be under 3 feet of water. Portions of the South 
  Cherokee Recreation Park and the soccer fields off Druw Cameron 
  Drive will be under two feet of water.


&&

LAT...LON 3415 8438 3410 8434 3407 8448 3414 8461
      3418 8456 3414 8447             

$$

500 
WGUS82 KFFC 131159
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
659 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

  Etowah River near East Canton affecting Cherokee County 

  Little River near Woodstock affecting Cherokee County 

  Tallapoosa River near Tallapoosa affecting Haralson County 

  Big Creek near Cumming affecting Forsyth County 

  Suwanee Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County 


GAC313-140159-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-181115T1639Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.181113T0143Z.181114T1600Z.181115T1039Z.UU/
659 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.3 feet by tomorrow late 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC057-140159-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ECTG1.1.ER.181113T0243Z.181113T1130Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
659 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Etowah River near East Canton.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.2 feet...and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand in the woodlands 
  and fields along the river generally east of Canton near the 
  Interstate 575 bridge. A rock landing and grassy lot behind a pump 
  station off of Riverstone Parkway and areas behind the businesses 
  on Old Ball Ground Highway and Keith Drive are flooded with up to 
  two feet of water. 


&&

LAT...LON 3434 8427 3428 8425 3427 8436 3422 8446
      3427 8450 3433 8440             

$$

GAC057-140159-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WODG1.1.ER.181112T2313Z.181113T0530Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
659 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Woodstock.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.1 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* At 11 feet...Flood stage occurs. Minor flooding will occur in
  the woodlands and fields upstream and downstream from the gage at 
  Old Georgia Highway 5. A public boat ramp just downstream and on 
  the right bank from the bridge will be under one foot of water. Low
  lying areas of the South Cherokee Recreation Park and the soccer 
  fields off Druw Cameron Drive will begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3415 8438 3410 8434 3407 8448 3414 8461
      3418 8456 3414 8447             

$$

GAC143-140159-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0127.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TLAG1.1.ER.181113T0656Z.181113T1030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
659 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallapoosa River near Tallapoosa.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet...and falling slowly. 
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 16.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on U.S. Highway 78.


&&

LAT...LON 3386 8528 3384 8521 3377 8525 3371 8535
      3377 8536 3381 8531             

$$

GAC117-140159-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.181112T1940Z.181113T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
659 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Cumming.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.7 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 6 feet.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding will expand into the natural flood 
  plain of the creek upstream and downstream from the gage at Atlanta
  Highway or Georgia Highway 9. Most of the sidewalk and boardwalk of
  the Big Creek Greenway will be under a foot or two of water. The 
  areas under the Georgia 400 Highway and McFarland Road will be 
  covered with around three feet of water. A portion of the sidewalk 
  under Majors Road will be covered with around four feet of water.
 

&&

LAT...LON 3418 8424 3417 8420 3411 8419 3410 8420
      3410 8425 3411 8424             

$$

GAC117-121-140159-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-181116T1200Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.181112T1851Z.181114T1200Z.181116T0600Z.NO/
659 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet...and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.8 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Friday 
  morning.
* At 11 feet...Moderate flooding begins and occurs upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Kimball Bridge Road near Rock Mill 
  Park. Backyards of homes off Seale Drive and Gunter Court and 
  portions of the Golf Club of Georgia are under two feet of water. 
  Backyards of homes off Jade Cove Circle and La View Circle near 
  Roswell begin to flood. The Big Creek Greenway will be flooded up 
  to 5 feet deep and will be closed. A large portion of the YMCA 
  Campground off Preston Ridge Road will be under 3 feet of water. 

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC135-140159-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-181114T1350Z/
/SWEG1.1.ER.181113T0209Z.181113T1200Z.181114T0750Z.NO/
659 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Suwanee Creek near Suwanee.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.1 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.5 feet by this morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage after early Wednesday morning.
* At 11 feet...Moderate begins in the Suwanee Creek Park...Martin 
  Farm Park and George Pierce Park. The Suwanee Creek Greenway is 
  flooded with 1 to 3 feet of water. Water reaches the Swift Atlanta 
  Company parking lot. Portions of the Suwanee Creek Road flood near 
  the Bennett Creek bridge. Flooding expands into the yards off Bend 
  Creek Trail and Mill Creek Run. A large portion of the playground 
  behind the Suwanee Elementary School will be flooded. The water 
  level will reach the bottom of the Martin Farm Road bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3412 8403 3410 8396 3403 8398 3401 8413
      3403 8412 3406 8409             

$$

608 
WGUS82 KFFC 131404
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
904 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Little River near Woodstock affecting Cherokee County

 
GAC057-131434-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-181113T1404Z/
/WODG1.1.ER.181112T2313Z.181113T0530Z.181113T1153Z.NO/
904 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little River near Woodstock.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 8 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.6 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall however additional heavy rainfall is expected
on Wednesday so all interests near the river should continue to monitor future
forecasts.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3415 8438 3410 8434 3407 8448 3414 8461
      3418 8456 3414 8447             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
605 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

.UPDATE FOR AVIATION...

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 259 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Tuesday Night/...
Wet conditions will continue through the short term periods. As an
upper level wave deepens into a low over Texas by tomorrow
afternoon and slowly shifts into the lower Mississippi Valley
overnight Tuesday, several weak surface lows will lift out of the
Gulf of Mexico. Overrunning across the area ahead of the surface
waves, will bring periods of heavy rain through Tuesday afternoon.
Winds will be east through daybreak across much of the area before
shifting to the northwest through the late morning hours. The
proximity of the surface waves will keep rain chances categorical
across much of central GA with chances across much of north and
northwest GA Abundant clouds will keep temperatures from changing
too much across the area, with afternoon highs below normal and
overnight lows near normal.

Atwell

LONG TERM /Wednesday through Monday/...

No significant deviation from previous forecast trends through the
extended forecast period. Strongly diffluent upper pattern over the
region Wednesday ahead of the deep upper low digging into the Lower
Mississippi Valley. Should see more rounds of heavy rain through at
least early Thursday with this pattern. Medium-range models continue
to show little instability Wednesday through Thursday, and severe
thunderstorm chances look low. However, northwestern half of the
forecast area will be coming off of a very wet short-term forecast
period and precipitable water values will remain seasonally very
high across the southeastern half, so flooding potential will
remain an issue. Upper low quickly begins filling and lifting
northeast by Thursday bringing a quick end to the precipitation.
Models in good agreement on showing the upper flow undergoing a
rapid de- amplification as the low lifts out keeping the coldest
air well north of the state. Dry weather and cool to seasonal
temperatures for the end of the work week, through the weekend and
into the beginning of next week.

20

&&

HYDROLOGY...

Latest storm totals indicate potential for an additional 2 to 4
inch rainfall across the area with locally higher amounts through
Thursday. The heaviest rainfall is forecast mainly through
Wednesday morning across north Georgia with additional amounts
across central Georgia Wednesday into Thursday. Have issued a
Flood Watch for north and portions of central GA generally along
and north of a La Grange to Homer line. We may need to extend the
watch in time and area as confidence grows in forecast of wave
Wednesday into Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z Update...
IFR and some MVFR ceilings through the overnight into Tuesday
along with IFR-MVFR vsbys in Showers/Rain/Drizzle/Fog.
Some improvement to MVFR ceilings and VFR vsbys on Tuesday but it
could be very slow to occur. Surface winds ENE around 10 kts or
less becoming W-N around 10 kts or less for Tuesday.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Low confidence for vsbys.
Medium confidence for all other elements.
Low to medium confidence for timing of improvement Tuesday.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          45  55  43  48 / 100 100  50  60
Atlanta         48  52  43  49 / 100 100  40  70
Blairsville     43  50  37  49 / 100  90  30  60
Cartersville    46  50  40  49 / 100 100  30  60
Columbus        56  60  46  53 / 100 100  50  80
Gainesville     44  53  42  48 / 100 100  40  60
Macon           55  61  47  52 /  90 100  50  70
Rome            46  49  39  48 / 100  90  30  60
Peachtree City  49  54  43  50 / 100 100  40  70
Vidalia         60  71  51  56 /  60  80  40  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for the following zones:
Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Carroll...Catoosa...Chattooga...
Cherokee...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Dade...Dawson...DeKalb...
Douglas...Fannin...Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...Gordon...
Gwinnett...Hall...Haralson...Heard...Henry...Jackson...Lumpkin...
Meriwether...Murray...Newton...North Fulton...Paulding...
Pickens...Pike...Polk...Rockdale...South Fulton...Spalding...
Towns...Troup...Union...Walker...Walton...White...Whitfield.

&&

AVIATION...BDL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
336 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-132045-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
336 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

...A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of north and central GA
through Wednesday morning...

Rainfall, heavy at times, will continue through the overnight
hours. Up to 2 inches of additional rainfall is possible, with
locally higher amounts possible. With this heavy rainfall
localized flooding will also be possible. Refer to the Flood Watch
for more information.

Thunderstorms are also possible, mainly in central Georgia. The
primary hazards with any thunderstorm will be heavy rainfall and gusty
winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

An extended period of rain is expected through early Thursday.
The rain could be heavy at times with isolated thunderstorms for
portions of central Georgia. As the rain occurs, an increased
threat for river and stream flooding is expected by the middle of
the week. Localized flash flooding is possible as well, especially
across the higher terrain of north Georgia.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.