Alert archive / New Mexico / Wind Advisories in 2018
Wind Advisory 3, NWS El Paso, TX
NWS El Paso, TX issued this wind advisory at Jan 15, 2018, 11:15 AM MST for Doña Ana County, Otero County, New Mexico; El Paso County, Hudspeth County, Texas. It took effect at Jan 15, 2018, 6:00 PM MST. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 15, 2018, 11:15 AM MST (18:15 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 15, 2018, 6:00 PM MST
- Expired
- Jan 16, 2018, 5:37 AM MST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS El Paso, TX
Counties Doña Ana County, NM, Otero County, NM, El Paso County, TX, Hudspeth County, TX
The radar
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 65 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2530 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 49 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 60 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
315 WWUS74 KEPZ 151815 NPWEPZ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1115 AM MST Mon Jan 15 2018 ...Strong cold front arrives this evening and brings strong winds and much cooler air to the Borderland overnight and Tuesday... .An arctic cold front will make a hard push into South Central New Mexico and Far West Texas this evening and overnight. This backdoor cold front will arrive from the east and bring strong northeast and east winds to the region beginning about sunset and lasting through the night. Wind speeds in the 25 to 35 mph range are expected over a large region with west slope and gap areas seeing wind gusts over 45 mph. Much cooler air will move in for Tuesday; with temperatures 20 degrees below Monday's readings. Winds will continue brisk Tuesday after sunrise, but begin to drop down into the breezy category for the day. NMZ413-417-TXZ419-420-160630- /O.NEW.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.180116T0100Z-180116T1600Z/ Southern Tularosa Basin-Otero Mesa-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains- Including the cities of Chaparral, Orogrande, White Sands Range Headquarters, Crow Flats, East and Northeast El Paso, Socorro, Fort Bliss, Hueco Tanks, and Loma Linda 1115 AM MST Mon Jan 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST TUESDAY... The National Weather Service in El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 6 PM this evening to 9 AM MST Tuesday. * TIMING...Winds will turn northeast and increase in the very late afternoon hours. Stronger winds will begin about sunset with the strongest winds expected between 8pm tonight and 5am Tuesday morning. Winds will begin to slacken, but remain breezy, after sunrise Tuesday. * WINDS...Northeast to east winds increasing to 25 to 35 mph with some gusts to 40 mph. * IMPACTS...Buffeting and gusty winds will make north-south travel difficult. Some dust and haze may move in to reduce visibility. Lose objects will be blown about. Minor damage to weak vegetation and structures also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ NMZ411-TXZ418-160630- /O.NEW.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.180116T0300Z-180116T1700Z/ Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-Western El Paso County- Including the cities of Las Cruces, Vado, Sunland Park, Downtown El Paso, West El Paso, and Upper Valley 1115 AM MST Mon Jan 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM MST TUESDAY... The National Weather Service in El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 8 PM this evening to 10 AM MST Tuesday. * TIMING...Winds will begin to turn northeast in the late afternoon hours. Winds will begin to increase , and become breezy just after sunset. The strongest winds expected between 10pm tonight and 7am Tuesday morning. Winds will begin to slacken, but remain breezy, after sunrise Tuesday. * WINDS...Northeast to east winds increasing to 25 to 35 mph with some gusts to 50 mph. * IMPACTS...Buffeting and gusty winds will make north-south travel difficult. Some dust and haze may move in to reduce visibility. Lose objects will be blown about. Possible damage to weak vegetation and structures. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && Bird $$
2 follow-up statements
915 WWUS74 KEPZ 160549 NPWEPZ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1049 PM MST Mon Jan 15 2018 ...Strong cold front passed through the Borderland this evening, strong winds and much cooler air to continue overnight and Tuesday... .An arctic cold front will make a hard push into South Central New Mexico and Far West Texas this evening and overnight. This backdoor cold front will arrive from the east and bring strong northeast and east winds to the region beginning about sunset and lasting through the night. Wind speeds in the 25 to 35 mph range are expected over a large region with west slopes and gap areas seeing wind gusts over 45 mph. Much cooler air will move in for Tuesday; with temperatures 20 degrees below Monday's readings. Winds will continue brisk Tuesday after sunrise, but begin to drop down into the breezy category for the day. NMZ413-417-TXZ419-420-161300- /O.CON.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-180116T1600Z/ Southern Tularosa Basin-Otero Mesa-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains- Including the cities of Chaparral, Orogrande, White Sands Range Headquarters, Crow Flats, East and Northeast El Paso, Socorro, Fort Bliss, Hueco Tanks, and Loma Linda 1049 PM MST Mon Jan 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST TUESDAY... * TIMING...Strong east to northeast winds to continue overnight. The strongest winds are expected between 8pm tonight and 5am Tuesday morning. Winds will begin to slacken, but remain breezy, after sunrise Tuesday. * WINDS...Northeast to east winds increasing to 25 to 35 mph with some gusts to 40 mph. * IMPACTS...Buffeting and gusty winds will make north-south travel difficult. Some dust and haze may move in to reduce visibility. Loose objects will be blown about. Minor damage to weak vegetation and structures also possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ NMZ411-TXZ418-161300- /O.CON.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-180116T1700Z/ Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-Western El Paso County- Including the cities of Las Cruces, Vado, Sunland Park, Downtown El Paso, West El Paso, and Upper Valley 1049 PM MST Mon Jan 15 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MST TUESDAY... * TIMING...Strong east to northeast winds to continue overnight. The strongest winds expected between 10pm tonight and 7am Tuesday morning. Winds will begin to slacken, but remain breezy, after sunrise Tuesday. * WINDS...Northeast to east winds increasing to 25 to 35 mph with some gusts to 50 mph. * IMPACTS...Buffeting and gusty winds will make north-south travel difficult. Some dust and haze may move in to reduce visibility. Loose objects will be blown about. Possible damage to weak vegetation and structures. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && Crespo $$
183 WWUS74 KEPZ 161237 NPWEPZ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 537 AM MST Tue Jan 16 2018 ...The strongest winds have slowed across the area this morning... .A cold front brought strong gusty winds into the region last night. Currently the winds have back off from their highest values that we saw last evening, so the wind advisory has been cancelled. We will continue to see gusty east winds on the west side of area mountains through the late morning hours. Winds will become much lighter tonight. NMZ413-417-TXZ419-420-161345- /O.CAN.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-180116T1600Z/ Southern Tularosa Basin-Otero Mesa-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains- Including the cities of Chaparral, Orogrande, White Sands Range Headquarters, Crow Flats, East and Northeast El Paso, Socorro, Fort Bliss, Hueco Tanks, and Loma Linda 537 AM MST Tue Jan 16 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa has cancelled the Wind Advisory. The strongest winds have dropped below advisory levels across the area. We will continue to see gusty winds on the west slopes of area mountains through the late morning hours. Winds will slow significantly by later tonight. $$ NMZ411-TXZ418-161345- /O.CAN.KEPZ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-180116T1700Z/ Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-Western El Paso County- Including the cities of Las Cruces, Vado, Sunland Park, Downtown El Paso, West El Paso, and Upper Valley 537 AM MST Tue Jan 16 2018 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa has cancelled the Wind Advisory. The strongest winds have dropped below advisory levels across the area. We will continue to see gusty winds on the west slopes of area mountains through the late morning hours. Winds will slow significantly by later tonight. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 15, 3:53 AM MST, 7 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 3:53 AM MST, 7 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 353 AM MST Mon Jan 15 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Monday will feature one final day of light winds and above normal temperatures before a strong cold front makes its way across the area. Tuesday will be gusty and overcast with temperatures 15 to 20 degrees below normal. Another cold day is expected on Wednesday, with a chance of lowland rain showers and light mountain snow. Westerly winds will return on Thursday and Friday as temperatures rebound back to above normal. Windy conditions return on Saturday as a low pressure system brings cooler temperatures and a chance of lowland rain showers and mountain snow. Next week will begin cool and dry for the borderland. && .DISCUSSION... This morning will feature pretty quiet weather across the area with only a few high clouds. Monday will feature light winds across the area with temperatures again above normal. These conditions will rapidly change ahead of a strong backdoor cold front currently making its way south down the plains. Strong surface high pressure moving across the high plains has brought with an arctic air mass that will progress southward today. Current timing for the front has it reaching the Sacramento Mountains by 18Z and the El Paso metro by 00Z this evening. Both GFS and NAM suggest winds behind the front won't reach advisory territory, but will still be gusty especially along west slopes. This air mass is dry, but upslope flow may allow for a dusting of snow Tuesday morning in the Sacs and Mayhill area. Tuesday will be breezy with high temperatures around 15 to 20 degrees colder than Monday. Overcast skies and continued cold air advection should keep lowland high temperatures in the lower 40's, making Tuesday one of the coldest afternoons of the season so far. Wednesday's temperatures will struggle to recover, as an upper level shortwave riding the northwest flow will produce a chance for light mountain snow and lowland rain showers. Split jet flow over the central U.S. will produce a jet max over Arizona on Wednesday with the left front quadrant of the jet over southern New Mexico. Sufficient synoptic lift with this system should allow for overcast conditions and a few snow showers for the Black Range and Sacramento Mountains. Accumulations will be light. Cloud cover is expected to diminish on Thursday as the upper high begins to move over the area and westerly winds return. Temperatures will rebound back to near normal and go back to above normal on Friday. The most interesting event of the forecast period is expected on Saturday as a low pressure system arrives. Both the GFS and ECMWF are in pretty good agreement with the timing the strength of the system. Strong surface pressure gradients will bring strong winds across the area. Low level lift associated with the Pacific front will allow for lowland rain and mountain snow chances. Zonal flow behind the low will bring cool and dry conditions for Sunday and Monday, with temperatures near normal. && .AVIATION...Valid 15/12Z-16/12Z... VFR conditions expected through 18Z. Light winds with SCT-BKN250 through 18Z lowering to BKN150-200. A cold front will approach from the east 21Z-00Z and shift winds to 050-080 degrees at 10-20G25KTS. BKN100-150 with occasional FEW010-050 after FROPA. && .FIRE WEATHER... Monday will have above normal temperatures and light winds. A cold front will arrive tonight from the east and bring with it colder temperatures and gusty winds along west slopes on Tuesday. A few light snow showers are possible in the Sacramento Mountains. Wednesday will also be cold, with a chance of lowland rain showers and light mountain snow. Temperatures should warm back to above normal on Friday before another weather system knocks temperatures back to normal on Saturday. Strong daytime winds and lowland rain/mountain snow are expected on Saturday. Min RH values will be in the lower 20s today, moistening to above 30 percent Tue/Wed before dropping back into the upper teens on Friday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 62 28 41 25 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 62 23 37 21 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 62 26 41 24 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 61 24 41 21 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 46 19 30 18 / 0 0 0 10 Truth or Consequences 61 27 43 26 / 0 0 0 10 Silver City 61 27 41 26 / 0 0 0 10 Deming 64 28 43 25 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 64 29 45 28 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 61 30 41 27 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 61 21 37 17 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 65 26 42 24 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 58 22 36 21 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 63 25 43 23 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 62 28 41 25 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 62 27 42 24 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 62 23 42 21 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 63 26 44 23 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 64 29 43 26 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 61 25 41 22 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 53 18 34 19 / 0 10 0 10 Mescalero 52 18 35 18 / 0 0 0 10 Timberon 51 18 32 18 / 0 0 0 10 Winston 58 22 42 20 / 0 0 0 20 Hillsboro 61 26 42 24 / 0 0 0 10 Spaceport 61 25 42 22 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 59 21 43 20 / 0 0 0 20 Hurley 62 26 41 24 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 64 24 48 23 / 0 0 0 10 Mule Creek 62 29 47 27 / 0 0 0 20 Faywood 62 27 42 24 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 65 29 45 27 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 64 28 44 25 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 66 29 45 27 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 64 30 44 28 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && Dennhardt
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 6:13 AM MST, 5 hours 2 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 613 AM MST Mon Jan 15 2018 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-161315- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 613 AM MST Mon Jan 15 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A backdoor cold front will arrive this evening and bring much colder temperatures to the area. Winds will be gusty, especially along west slopes tonight. A slight chance of mountain snow is possible late tonight for the Sacramento Mountains. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday There is a chance of lowland rain showers and mountain snow on Wednesday. On Saturday, a low pressure system will bring strong west winds and another chance for lowland rain and mountain snow. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. Dennhardt
Nearby
Wind Advisories in New Mexico, 2018Wind Advisories in Texas, 2018Every wind advisory in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.