River Flood Warning 12, NWS Kansas City, MO

395 
WGUS83 KEAX 271047
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
547 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis 
  Counties.
  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.

  Moniteau Creek near Fayette affecting Howard County.

  South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry 
  Counties.

  Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson 
  Counties.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-281046-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180329T1800Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.180327T0158Z.180327T1800Z.180328T1800Z.UU/
547 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  5:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 22.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.9 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the west approach to the N 
  Highway bridge located 0.2 miles west of Blairstown. Flooding also 
  occurs across B Highway near Big Creek which is several miles 
  northwest of Blairstown.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Big Creek
  Blairstown      20   22.9   Tue 05 AM   23.9 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391

  

$$

MOC101-159-281046-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180328T2116Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.180326T2046Z.180327T0645Z.180327T2116Z.NO/
547 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  5:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* At 25.0 feet...County Highway E near Valley City and Highway 23 
  near the Perry State Wildlife Area are under water.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Valley City     22   25.2   Tue 05 AM   25.0 this morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348

  

$$

MOC053-195-281046-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-180331T0548Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.180326T2044Z.180327T0500Z.180330T0548Z.NO/
547 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until late Friday night.
* At  4:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 28.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Friday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   28.6   Tue 05 AM   28.5 this morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC089-281046-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180328T1520Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.180326T1957Z.180327T0445Z.180327T1520Z.UU/
547 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Moniteau Creek near Fayette.
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  5:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.3 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late this morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low-lying fields along Moniteau Creek flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Moniteau Creek
  Fayette         16   18.2   Tue 05 AM   18.3 this morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3914 9259 3914 9252 3902 9256 3903 9262

  

$$

MOC013-037-083-281046-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0012.180327T1200Z-180329T0417Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.180327T1200Z.180328T0000Z.180328T0417Z.UU/
547 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  5:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to 
  rise to near 25.0 feet by this evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by tonight.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5 
  miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
  with cropland and secondary roads.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

South Grand River
  Urich           24   23.8   Tue 05 AM   25.0 this evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425

  

$$

039 
WGUS83 KEAX 271339
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
839 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson Counties.

  South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-281338-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180329T1724Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.180327T0158Z.180327T1800Z.180328T1724Z.UU/
839 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the west approach to the N 
  Highway bridge located 0.2 miles west of Blairstown. Flooding also 
  occurs across B Highway near Big Creek which is several miles 
  northwest of Blairstown.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Big Creek
  Blairstown      20   23.2   Tue 08 AM   23.5 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391 

$$

MOC013-037-083-281338-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-180329T0040Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.180327T1043Z.180327T1800Z.180328T0040Z.UU/
839 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  8:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5 
  miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
  with cropland and secondary roads.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

South Grand River
  Urich           24   24.7   Tue 08 AM   25.0 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425
 
$$

660 
WGUS83 KEAX 280030
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
730 PM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018



...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis 
  Counties.

  South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson 
  Counties.
  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-290030-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-180329T1724Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.180327T0158Z.180327T1515Z.180328T1724Z.UU/
730 PM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Wednesday afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Big Creek
  Blairstown      20   22.8   Tue 07 PM   22.0 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391

  

$$

MOC101-159-280100-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180328T2321Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.180326T2046Z.180327T0645Z.180327T2207Z.NO/
730 PM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  5:07 PM Tuesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 13.3 feet by Thursday
  morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Valley City     22   21.1   Tue 07 PM   19.8 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348

  

$$

MOC053-195-290030-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-180331T0941Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.180326T2044Z.180328T1200Z.180330T0941Z.NO/
730 PM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until late Friday night.
* At  6:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.9 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning.
* At 29.0 feet...Livestock in pastures along the river may be 
  endangered. Extensive damage also occurs to cropland and pasture.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   28.4   Tue 07 PM   28.9 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC013-037-083-280100-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-180329T0040Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.180327T1043Z.180327T1730Z.180327T2328Z.UU/
730 PM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The South Grand River at Urich.
* At  7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  6:28 PM Tuesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 13.0 feet by Thursday
  morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

South Grand River
  Urich           24   23.7   Tue 07 PM   22.4 early Wednesday 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425

  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
710 PM CDT Mon Mar 26 2018

.Discussion...
Issued at 204 PM CDT MON MAR 26 2018

Isolated flash flooding potential will resume late this evening into
Tuesday morning across areas east of I-35 and south of the Missouri
River. For the remainder of the afternoon and early evening, light
to moderate rain showers and embedded thunderstorms will continue to
affect much of the area as a surface low over eastern Kansas crosses
into northwest Missouri after sunset. While precipitation totals of
less than half an inch are expected with this activity, increased
low level moisture will keep visibilities down to 3 to 4 miles.
This, combined with existing wet roadways, will lead to a slow
commute Monday evening.

Late this evening, a cold front will begin to push through the area
into early Tuesday morning. Elevated thunderstorms are possible
along the boundary, generally forming along I-35, before moving
southeast. MUCAPE values by that time will have mostly diminished,
though marginal values may support the development of small hail as
the cold front continues to push southeast. The main concern will
then take shape as the night progresses, with the potential for
isolated flash flooding as moisture continues to pool ahead of the
frontal boundary. Persistent southwest flow aloft ahead of a
digging mid to upper-level trough over the Southwestern CONUS has
allowed deep moisture fields to advect into the region. This has
ushered in anomalously high PWAT values between 1 to 1.3 inches
across the CWA. The LLJ ahead of the cold front is progged to
position from southwest MO to east central MO. The cold front
should also have a reasonable push as it crosses through the CWA,
while increased MUCAPE values will coincide with the LLJ axis. All
said, the potential for flash flooding appears to be favored
further south, near the I-44 corridor. However, considering the
antecedent conditions from very efficient rainfall this morning,
there remains the potential for at least an isolated flash
flooding threat east of I-35, and south of the Missouri River. The
greatest area of concern is within areas from Louisburg, KS to
Pleasant Hill, continuing to extend northeast into Moberly, where
2 to 4 inches of rainfall fell this morning. An Areal Flood
Warning has been issued for these areas until Tuesday afternoon,
as only minimal additional rainfall totals should present flooding
concerns later tonight.

Rain showers should then taper off late Tuesday morning into Tuesday
afternoon. A brief lull in the active period is expected from late
Tuesday into Thursday. By the late week and into the weekend, off
and on precip chances are expected. Not anticipating as much in
the way of rainfall totals with this activity, as deeper moisture
fields will be well south of the area. Variable temperature trends
are also expected this week, though will see a general cooling
trend heading into the latter half of the week and into the
weekend.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 705 PM CDT MON MAR 26 2018

LIFR cigs and vsbys over the terminals as copious moisture
continues to stream in from the southwest. Meanwhile a surface cold
front from the northwest will continue to slowly move to the south
and will switch the winds to from 350 deg ushering in cooler and
somewhat drier air over the terminals. Therefore, we should see
some improvement in the cigs and vsbys tomorrow late in the am.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Discussion...Welsh
Aviation...Adolphson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
459 AM CDT Mon Mar 26 2018

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-271000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
459 AM CDT Mon Mar 26 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 On and off storms are expected today through late tonight across
the forecast area. Isolated hail up to one inch is possible for areas
south of I-70 and east of U.S. HWY 63.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

 Storms will diminish late tonight, but the widespread rain will
stick around, with the heavier rainfall shifting south over the I-44
corridor. Rainfall totals between one half of an inch to one and a
half inches may lead to some isolated flooding, especially south of
I-70.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
301 PM CDT MON MAR 26 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MOBERLY                 39.42N 92.43W
03/26/2018                   RANDOLPH           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL VEHICLES STALLED OUT UNDER RAIL
            BRIDGE ON ROUTE 63 IN MOBERLY. WATER UP TO
            THE HOOD ON A PICKUP TRUCK.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
348 PM CDT MON MAR 26 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 PM     FLOOD            MARSHALL                39.13N 93.20W
03/26/2018                   SALINE             MO   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT, RAILROAD TRACK WASHED OUT
            (TIME UNKNOWN).

&&

LAFLIN