Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Detroit, MI

February 20, 2018Wayne County, Michigan

NWS Detroit, MI issued this river flood warning at Feb 20, 2018, 10:30 AM EST for Wayne County, Michigan. It took effect at Feb 20, 2018, 10:03 PM EST. It was in force for 44 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2018, 10:30 AM EST (15:30 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 20, 2018, 10:03 PM EST
Expired
Feb 22, 2018, 6:06 PM EST
In force
44 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Wayne County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Lower Rouge at DEARBORN (DLRM4). The gauge peaked at 11.21 ft at Feb 21, 2018, 3:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderatemajor51002/2002/2102/2202/23
Action stage
9 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
12 ft
Major stage
13 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04168400, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

677 
WGUS43 KDTX 201530
FLWDTX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 
1030 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...

  Clinton River...Lower Rouge River...Rouge River
  

.One to two inches of rainfall overnight along with another one to two inches
of rain through Wednesday combined with snow melt is causing significant
rises on the rivers.

MIC099-202330-
/O.NEW.KDTX.FL.W.0001.180220T2105Z-180222T1100Z/
/FSRM4.2.ER.180220T2105Z.180221T1200Z.180222T0500Z.NO/
1030 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

The National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac has issued a

* Flood warning for 
  the Clinton River in Sterling Heights and Clinton Township..
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage is 13.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon...
  and crest around 17.2 feet tomorrow morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest
  of 16.3 feet on Mar 1 2017.  

&&

LAT...LON 4260 8294 4257 8290 4254 8296 4262 8309
      4268 8309 4260 8298             

$$

MIC163-202330-
/O.NEW.KDTX.FL.W.0002.180221T0450Z-180222T2306Z/
/DLRM4.1.ER.180221T0450Z.180221T1227Z.180222T1706Z.NO/
1030 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

The National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac has issued a

* Flood warning for 
  the Lower Rouge River in Inkster and Dearborn.
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage is 8.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by tonight...
  and crest around 10.6 feet tomorrow morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest
  of 10.3 feet on Sep 30 2016.  

&&

LAT...LON 4231 8338 4232 8326 4230 8326 4227 8338


$$

MIC163-202330-
/O.NEW.KDTX.FL.W.0003.180220T2333Z-180223T1200Z/
/DETM4.1.ER.180220T2333Z.180222T0000Z.180223T0600Z.NO/
1030 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

The National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac has issued a

* Flood warning for 
  the Rouge River in Detroit.
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage is 13.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this evening...
  and crest around 17.5 feet tomorrow evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest
  of 16.4 feet on Jun 1 2015.  

&&

LAT...LON 4245 8335 4245 8324 4234 8322 4234 8328


$$

DRC
6 follow-up statements
994 
WGUS83 KDTX 202205
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Clinton River...Flint River...Kearsley Creek...Lower Rouge 
River...Mill Creek...Rouge River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee 
River...Swartz Creek...Tittabawassee River

.Snow melt combined with rainfall of 1 to 3 inches through this
afternoon along with an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain through
Wednesday morning is causing significant rises in area rivers.

MIC049-210605-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180221T2248Z/
/FLSM4.3.ER.180220T2030Z.180221T0426Z.180221T1648Z.NR/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Swartz Creek in Flint. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage is 10.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is nearing crest and will go below
  flood stage tomorrow late morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 8367 4288 8374 4297 8380 4300 8372
      4298 8370 4296 8373             

$$

MIC099-210605-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180222T1100Z/
/FSRM4.2.ER.180220T2151Z.180221T1200Z.180222T0500Z.NO/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Clinton River in Sterling Heights and Clinton Township.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage is 16.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 17.2 feet tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4260 8294 4257 8290 4254 8296 4262 8309
      4268 8309 4260 8298             

$$

MIC017-145-210605-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0007.180221T1500Z-180225T1330Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.180221T1500Z.180223T0600Z.180225T0730Z.NO/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Tuesday the stage is 15.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning...
  and crest around 20.4 feet early Friday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC161-210605-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0008.180221T1200Z-180223T0900Z/
/DEXM4.1.ER.180221T1200Z.180222T0000Z.180223T0300Z.NR/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Mill Creek at Dexter. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage is 10.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning...
  and crest around 12.5 feet tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4235 8390 4232 8387 4227 8391 4230 8394


$$

MIC163-210605-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0002.180221T0303Z-180222T2306Z/
/DLRM4.1.ER.180221T0303Z.180221T1227Z.180222T1706Z.NO/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Lower Rouge River in Inkster and Dearborn. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage is 9.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by tonight...
  and crest around 10.6 feet tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4231 8338 4232 8326 4230 8326 4227 8338


$$

MIC125-163-210605-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-180222T0610Z/
/SFRM4.1.ER.180220T1730Z.180221T0245Z.180222T0010Z.NO/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Rouge River in Southfield. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage is 13.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 13.3 feet tonight.


&&

LAT...LON 4253 8329 4249 8323 4245 8324 4245 8335


$$

MIC163-210605-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.180220T2340Z-180223T1200Z/
/DETM4.1.ER.180220T2340Z.180222T0000Z.180223T0600Z.NO/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Rouge River in Detroit. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage is 14.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this evening...
  and crest around 17.5 feet tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4245 8335 4245 8324 4234 8322 4234 8328


$$

MIC145-155-210605-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180227T0000Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.180220T1654Z.180221T1800Z.180226T1800Z.NR/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage is 7.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 8.9 feet tomorrow afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC049-210605-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0005.180220T2159Z-180225T0300Z/
/DAVM4.1.ER.180220T2119Z.180221T1800Z.180224T2100Z.NR/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Kearsley Creek near Davison. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage is 10.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 10.9 feet tomorrow afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4306 8365 4300 8350 4294 8351 4303 8365


$$

MIC049-145-210605-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.180221T0520Z-180223T0600Z/
/FLTM4.1.ER.180221T0520Z.180222T0000Z.180223T0000Z.NO/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Flint River in Flint. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage is 11.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage after midnight...
  and crest around 14.1 feet tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4304 8364 4299 8375 4304 8389 4308 8382
      4305 8372 4308 8367             

$$

MIC111-145-210605-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0011.180221T2040Z-180223T1030Z/
/MIDM4.1.ER.180221T2040Z.180222T1200Z.180223T0430Z.NO/
505 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Tittabawassee River from Midland downstream into Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Tuesday the stage is 17.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon...
  and crest around 24.9 feet Thursday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4366 8438 4367 8432 4362 8421 4344 8398
      4341 8401 4360 8427             

$$

drc
927 
WGUS83 KDTX 210649
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
149 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Clinton River...Flint River...Lower Rouge River...Mill Creek...
Rouge River...Saginaw River

.Snow melt combined with 2 to 3 inches of rainfall since last night
is causing significant rises on area rivers.


MIC017-145-211448-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0007.180221T1236Z-180225T1630Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.180221T1236Z.180223T0000Z.180225T1030Z.NO/
149 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 1 AM Wednesday the stage is 15.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this morning...
  and crest around 20.4 feet tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC161-211448-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0008.180221T1500Z-180223T1000Z/
/DEXM4.1.ER.180221T1500Z.180222T0600Z.180223T0400Z.NR/
149 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Mill Creek at Dexter. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 1 AM Wednesday the stage is 11.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by late this morning...
  and crest around 12.5 feet after midnight tomorrow.


&&

LAT...LON 4235 8390 4232 8387 4227 8391 4230 8394


$$

MIC163-211448-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180222T0000Z/
/DLRM4.1.ER.180221T1038Z.180221T1200Z.180221T1800Z.NO/
149 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Lower Rouge River in Inkster and Dearborn. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 1 AM Wednesday the stage is 9.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by early this morning...
  and crest around 10.1 feet this morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4231 8338 4232 8326 4230 8326 4227 8338


$$

MIC125-163-211448-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-180222T1319Z/
/SFRM4.1.ER.180220T1730Z.180221T0245Z.180222T0719Z.NO/
149 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Rouge River in Southfield. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 1 AM Wednesday the stage is 13.2 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 13.3 feet at 11 PM Tuesday
  and should fall below flood stage after midnight tomorrow.


&&

LAT...LON 4253 8329 4249 8323 4245 8324 4245 8335


$$

MIC163-211448-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180223T1200Z/
/DETM4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.180221T1800Z.180223T0600Z.NO/
149 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Rouge River in Detroit. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 1 AM Wednesday the stage is 16.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 17.5 feet this afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4245 8335 4245 8324 4234 8322 4234 8328


$$

MIC099-211448-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180222T0417Z/
/FSRM4.1.ER.180220T2245Z.180221T1800Z.180221T2217Z.NO/
149 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Clinton River in Sterling Heights and Clinton Township.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 1 AM Wednesday the stage is 15.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this morning...
  and crest around 16.5 feet this afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4260 8294 4257 8290 4254 8296 4262 8309
      4268 8309 4260 8298             

$$

MIC049-145-211448-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180223T1030Z/
/FLTM4.1.ER.180221T0234Z.180221T1800Z.180223T0430Z.NO/
149 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Flint River in Flint. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 1 AM Wednesday the stage is 13.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage tomorrow late evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4304 8364 4299 8375 4304 8389 4308 8382
      4305 8372 4308 8367             

$$

DG
894 
WGUS83 KDTX 211451
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
951 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Clinton River...Lower Rouge River...North Branch Clinton...River 
Raisin...Rouge River

.Light rain will come to an end this morning with little additional 
amounts.

MIC099-212250-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0012.180221T1900Z-180224T0000Z/
/MCLM4.2.ER.180221T1900Z.180222T1200Z.180223T1800Z.NO/
951 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  North Branch Clinton near Mt Clemens.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Wednesday the stage is 14.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this afternoon...
  and crest around 17.0 feet tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4262 8293 4275 8293 4274 8285 4261 8287


$$

MIC115-212250-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180226T1800Z/
/MONM4.1.ER.180221T1347Z.180222T1200Z.180226T1200Z.NO/
951 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  River Raisin at Monroe. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 7 AM Wednesday the stage is 8.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this morning...
  and crest around 9.7 feet tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4194 8359 4199 8360 4191 8334 4187 8336


$$

MIC163-212250-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180222T0949Z/
/DLRM4.1.ER.180221T0819Z.180221T1500Z.180222T0349Z.NO/
951 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Lower Rouge River in Inkster and Dearborn. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Wednesday the stage is 10.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage tonight.

&&

LAT...LON 4231 8338 4232 8326 4230 8326 4227 8338


$$

MIC163-212250-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180223T1200Z/
/DETM4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.180221T1800Z.180223T0600Z.NO/
951 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Rouge River in Detroit. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Wednesday the stage is 17.2 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage early Friday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4245 8335 4245 8324 4234 8322 4234 8328


$$

MIC099-212250-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180222T0417Z/
/FSRM4.1.ER.180220T2245Z.180221T1800Z.180221T2217Z.NO/
951 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Clinton River in Sterling Heights and Clinton Township.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Wednesday the stage is 16.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage late this afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4260 8294 4257 8290 4254 8296 4262 8309
      4268 8309 4260 8298             

$$

DRC
274 
WGUS83 KDTX 212146
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Cass River...Clinton River...Flint River...Kearsley Creek...Lower
Rouge River...North Branch Clinton...River Raisin...Rouge River...
Saginaw River...Shiawassee River...Swartz Creek...Tittabawassee River

.Rain fall of 1 to 3 inches combined with snow melt lead to significant
rises in the rivers.  Additional light precipitation is possible over
the next few days but will not effect the rivers.

MIC049-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180222T1025Z/
/FLSM4.3.ER.180220T2030Z.180221T1100Z.180222T0425Z.NR/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Swartz Creek in Flint. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 11.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 11.1 feet at 3 PM Wednesday
  and should fall below flood stage tonight.


&&

LAT...LON 4288 8367 4288 8374 4297 8380 4300 8372
      4298 8370 4296 8373             

$$

MIC099-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-180224T0234Z/
/MCLM4.2.ER.180221T1411Z.180222T0600Z.180223T2034Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  North Branch Clinton near Mt Clemens.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 16.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is will crest around 17.2 feet
  tonight.


&&

LAT...LON 4262 8293 4275 8293 4274 8285 4261 8287


$$

MIC049-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180223T2100Z/
/DAVM4.2.ER.180220T2132Z.180221T1230Z.180223T1500Z.NR/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Kearsley Creek near Davison. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 11.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river at crest and should fall
  below flood stage late Friday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4306 8365 4300 8350 4294 8351 4303 8365


$$

MIC145-157-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0015.180221T2319Z-180222T1930Z/
/VSSM4.1.ER.180221T2319Z.180222T0000Z.180222T1330Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River at Vassar. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 3 PM Wednesday the stage is 13.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this evening...
  and crest around 14.1 feet this evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4350 8343 4346 8336 4330 8370


$$

MIC145-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180224T2248Z/
/FRNM4.2.ER.180221T0914Z.180222T1200Z.180224T1648Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 19.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 20.8 feet tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$

MIC111-145-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180223T1800Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.180221T1455Z.180222T1200Z.180223T1200Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Tittabawassee River from Midland downstream into Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 25.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 26.9 feet tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4366 8438 4367 8432 4362 8421 4344 8398
      4341 8401 4360 8427             

$$

MIC017-145-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180225T2000Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.180221T1712Z.180223T0000Z.180225T1400Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 17.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 20.5 feet tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC091-115-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0016.180222T0123Z-180224T0800Z/
/BLIM4.1.ER.180222T0123Z.180222T1800Z.180224T0200Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  River Raisin at Blissfield. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 2 PM Wednesday the stage is 682.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 683.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this evening...
  and crest around 683.7 feet tomorrow afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4186 8399 4191 8377 4184 8377 4179 8393


$$

MIC115-220546-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0017.180223T1500Z-180225T0200Z/
/DNDM4.1.ER.180223T1500Z.180224T0000Z.180224T2000Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  River Raisin at Dundee. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 646.0 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 650.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by late Friday morning...
  and crest around 650.3 feet Friday evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4184 8377 4191 8377 4199 8360 4194 8359


$$

MIC115-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180226T0600Z/
/MONM4.1.ER.180221T1406Z.180223T0600Z.180226T0000Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  River Raisin at Monroe. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 9.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should crest around 9.7 feet
  Thursday night.


&&

LAT...LON 4194 8359 4199 8360 4191 8334 4187 8336


$$

MIC163-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180222T2300Z/
/DLRM4.1.ER.180221T0819Z.180222T0000Z.180222T1700Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Lower Rouge River in Inkster and Dearborn. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 11.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4231 8338 4232 8326 4230 8326 4227 8338


$$

MIC163-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180223T0000Z/
/DETM4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.180221T1545Z.180222T1800Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Rouge River in Detroit. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 16.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood
  stage tomorrow afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4245 8335 4245 8324 4234 8322 4234 8328


$$

MIC099-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180222T0610Z/
/FSRM4.1.ER.180220T2245Z.180221T1830Z.180222T0010Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Clinton River in Sterling Heights and Clinton Township.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 3 PM Wednesday the stage is 16.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 16.4 feet at 1 PM Wednesday
  and should fall below flood stage this evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4260 8294 4257 8290 4254 8296 4262 8309
      4268 8309 4260 8298             

$$

MIC145-155-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180226T1800Z/
/OWOM4.2.ER.180220T1654Z.180221T1500Z.180226T1200Z.NR/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 8.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 9.1 feet at 10 AM Wednesday
  and should fall below flood stage Monday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC049-145-220546-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180223T0800Z/
/FLTM4.1.ER.180221T0234Z.180221T1745Z.180223T0200Z.NO/
446 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Flint River in Flint. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 14.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should fall
  below flood stage tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4304 8364 4299 8375 4304 8389 4308 8382
      4305 8372 4308 8367             

$$

DRC
905 
WGUS83 KDTX 220138
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Cass River...Flint River...Kearsley Creek...Lower Rouge River...
North Branch Clinton...River Raisin...Rouge River...Saginaw River...
Shiawassee River...Swartz Creek...Tittabawassee River

..Rainfall of 1 to 3 inches combined with snow melt lead to significant
rises in the rivers.  Additional light precipitation is possible over
the next few days but will not affect the rivers.

MIC049-220938-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180222T1025Z/
/FLSM4.3.ER.180220T2030Z.180221T1100Z.180222T0425Z.NR/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Swartz Creek in Flint. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage is 10.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage early Thursday.


&&

LAT...LON 4288 8367 4288 8374 4297 8380 4300 8372
      4298 8370 4296 8373             

$$

MIC099-220938-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-180224T0234Z/
/MCLM4.2.ER.180221T1411Z.180222T0600Z.180223T2034Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  North Branch Clinton near Mt Clemens.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage is 17.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Forecast...the river is near crest and should fall 
  below flood stage Friday afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4262 8293 4275 8293 4274 8285 4261 8287


$$

MIC049-220938-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180223T1800Z/
/DAVM4.2.ER.180220T2132Z.180221T1230Z.180223T1200Z.NR/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Kearsley Creek near Davison. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage is 11.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is near crest should fall 
  below flood stage Friday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4306 8365 4300 8350 4294 8351 4303 8365


$$

MIC145-157-220938-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-180223T0000Z/
/VSSM4.1.ER.180222T0100Z.180222T0600Z.180222T1800Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River at Vassar. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage is 14.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is forecasted to crest near 
  14.4 feet tonight and go below flood stage tomorrow 
  during the early afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4350 8343 4346 8336 4330 8370


$$

MIC145-220938-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180224T2248Z/
/FRNM4.2.ER.180221T0914Z.180222T1800Z.180224T1648Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage is 20.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 21.0 feet tomorrow early afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$

MIC111-145-220938-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-180223T1727Z/
/MIDM4.2.ER.180221T1455Z.180222T1200Z.180223T1127Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Tittabawassee River from Midland downstream into Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage is 26.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 27.1 feet tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4366 8438 4367 8432 4362 8421 4344 8398
      4341 8401 4360 8427             

$$

MIC017-145-220938-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180225T2100Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.180221T1712Z.180223T1200Z.180225T1500Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage is 17.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 20.1 feet Friday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC091-115-220938-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0016.180222T0800Z-180224T0000Z/
/BLIM4.1.ER.180222T0800Z.180222T1800Z.180223T1800Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  River Raisin at Blissfield. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 2 PM Wednesday the stage is 682.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 683.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow...
  and crest around 683.3 feet tomorrow early afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4186 8399 4191 8377 4184 8377 4179 8393


$$

MIC115-220938-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0017.180223T1200Z-180224T2000Z/
/DNDM4.1.ER.180223T1200Z.180223T1800Z.180224T1400Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  River Raisin at Dundee. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 646.0 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 650.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by Friday morning...
  and crest around 650.2 feet Friday early afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4184 8377 4191 8377 4199 8360 4194 8359


$$

MIC115-220938-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180226T0600Z/
/MONM4.1.ER.180221T1406Z.180223T0000Z.180226T0000Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  River Raisin at Monroe. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 7 PM Wednesday the stage is 9.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is forecasted to crest around
  9.7 feet late Thursday.


&&

LAT...LON 4194 8359 4199 8360 4191 8334 4187 8336


$$

MIC163-220938-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180222T2300Z/
/DLRM4.1.ER.180221T0819Z.180221T2000Z.180222T1700Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Lower Rouge River in Inkster and Dearborn. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage is 10.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is near crest and should fall below flood 
  stage tomorrow during the early afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4231 8338 4232 8326 4230 8326 4227 8338


$$

MIC163-220938-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180223T0000Z/
/DETM4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.180221T1545Z.180222T1800Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Rouge River in Detroit. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage is 16.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood
  stage tomorrow during the early afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4245 8335 4245 8324 4234 8322 4234 8328


$$

MIC145-155-220938-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180226T1800Z/
/OWOM4.2.ER.180220T1654Z.180221T1500Z.180226T1200Z.NR/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 7 PM Wednesday the stage is 8.7 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is near crest 
  and should fall below flood stage next Monday.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC049-145-220938-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-180223T0600Z/
/FLTM4.1.ER.180221T0234Z.180221T1745Z.180223T0000Z.NO/
838 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

A flood warning continues for 
  Flint River in Flint. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage is 14.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is near crest
  and should fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4304 8364 4299 8375 4304 8389 4308 8382
      4305 8372 4308 8367             

$$
176 
WGUS83 KDTX 221454
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
954 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018



...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FOLLOWING...
   
   Lower Rouge River...Rouge River
    

.Light rain showers are possible through the weekend but
will not cause any flooding.

MIC163-221524-
/X.CAN.KDTX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180222T2300Z/
/DLRM4.1.ER.180221T0819Z.180221T2000Z.180222T1239Z.NO/
954 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

Flood warning discontinued for 
Lower Rouge River in Inkster and Dearborn. 
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage is 9.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 8 AM Thursday and will continue
  to fall...therefore...the warning has been cancelled.


&&

LAT...LON 4231 8338 4232 8326 4230 8326 4227 8338


$$

MIC163-221524-
/X.CAN.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180223T0000Z/
/DETM4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.180221T1545Z.180222T1000Z.NO/
954 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

Flood warning discontinued for 
Rouge River in Detroit. 
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage is 14.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 5 AM Thursday and will continue
  to fall...therefore...the warning has been cancelled.


&&

LAT...LON 4245 8335 4245 8324 4234 8322 4234 8328


$$

DRC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 20, 5:46 AM EST, 4 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 5:46 AM EST, 4 hours 44 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
546 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

.AVIATION...

Constant stream of very moist air will continue to stream northeast
through the area into tonight. This will maintain fairly steady
rainfall throughout the day into tonight. However, the I-94
terminals may only get brushed by the southern edge of this plume at
times. Ceilings/visibilities have been quite variable and will most
likely continue to be. In general, expect MVFR to lower VFR cigs and
vsbys with occasional IFR in heaviest pockets of rain (and also in
patchy fog early in the forecast). Embedded thunder remains a
concern, but timing is too uncertain to pin down (and probably
better handled by shorter term amendments).

For DTW...Cigs/Vsbys will fluctuate today into tonight as terminal
goes in and out of rain, but generally expect MVFR/lower VFR. The
lowest cigs will most likely come tonight as plume of deep moisture
and rain settles through terminals as cold front begins to sink
southeast through lower Michigan.

/DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* Medium for ceilings 5000 feet today, high tonight.

* Low for thunderstorms impacting terminal today

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 327 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

DISCUSSION...

The flood watch continues for all of southeast MI today through
Wednesday afternoon for the long duration rainfall event that is
ongoing. Rainfall totals on Monday were largely in the 0.25 to 0.75
inch range across the area which is very close to forecast. This
adds confidence going forward with the event totals around 1-3
inches by Wednesday afternoon. The one area I think may be overdone
is the far south (Lenawee, Monroe, and maybe into southern Wayne) as
bulk of the moisture today looks to be lining up to the north, which
would really cut into amounts. They will be left in the watch as
rain could easily fill back in or drift back south today, in
addition to all the rain upcoming Tuesday night into Wednesday
across the eastern CWA.

Models have changed little over the last 24 hours with the deep
trough over the western conus now releasing a strong but sheared
vort max up through the Midwest. This is driving the surface low to
lift up into Northern MI this morning which in turn is pulling the
surface warm front, that stalled across the Saginaw Valley
overnight, up north of the area today. The northward shift of the
warm sector will bring additional warmth and moisture into the
region today. The 00Z DTX sounding Monday evening already showed
pwats of 1.25 inches, with a further increase on the way. SPC
mesoscale analysis data supports model output showing 1.4 inch
readings on the way today. In addition, surface dewpoints as of 3am
were already in the mid 50s and will stay there through the day.
Strength of the low level jet (~60 knots) and upper levels (>150
knots) are both very potent and will aid in moisture advection and
dynamic forcing for the system. Marginal mid level lapse rates and
showalter indices between 0-2C will both warrant the mention of
thunder in the forecast.

Once the surface low tracks northeast this evening, we'll be left
with the still active trailing cold front draped down through lower
MI. A series of shortwave impulses will lift up along the boundary
resulting in continued chances of heavy rainfall through the
overnight. A strong and cold arctic high building across the plains
and Midwest will then give the front a boost east allowing it to
finally work east of the region Wednesday. Some adjustments to
rainfall amounts remain possible and likely as the fgen and moisture
convergence shows itself better and how tight it may contract.
Current regional radar loop already shows some contraction of the
rain band further south and west which would pull the area of rain
to the north, possibly creating a longer period of light rain,
or lull, south of I94 today. Something to keep an eye on.

1040mb high will slide over the Great Lakes by Wednesday evening
bringing a much needed drying trend to the forecast through
Thursday. Temperatures will take a big hit as the cold front moves
through. Possible record highs today (low/mid 60s) will give way to
highs near 40 on Wednesday (higher across the SE with a later
frontal passage) and upper 30s on Thursday.  Still above normal for
late Feb but still a notable 20+ degree drop. Temps will then hover
in the low/mid 40s heading into the weekend. Precip chances will
return Friday as the western trough releases the next strong wave.
Mostly dry on Saturday before the next wave approaches for Sunday.

MARINE...

A warm front will resume its trek north today after stalling near
Saginaw Bay late Monday. Moderate easterly flow with gusts of 20 to
25 knots will persist early this morning over northern Lake Huron,
but expect the south to southwest winds in the wake of this front to
spread north over much of northern Lake Huron. Stable conditions
within this mild southerly surge will limit gusts to 20 to 25 knots
today into tonight. Low pressure will move along the front and north
of the Great Lakes tonight with a trailing cold front dropping south
through the area late tonight into Wednesday. Instability will
increase somewhat in this colder flow, so gusts will approach 30
knots over northern Lake Huron on Wednesday. High pressure will then
settle overhead by Wednesday night bringing a decrease in winds.

HYDROLOGY...

Low pressure will approach from the southwest with moist south to
southwest flow persisting in advance of this feature. Precipitable
water values will remain high, on the order of 1.25 inches, within
this ridge of high theta-e air. Numerous rounds of rain, some of
which will be heavy, can be expected as this low ejects into the
region today into tonight. Embedded thunderstorms will also bring
locally enhanced rainfall rates to some areas.

Once this low crosses northern lower Michigan into Ontario late
tonight into early Wednesday, a cold front will drop southeast
through the area, focusing additional rainfall into the first part
of Wednesday. Precipitation will then end by Wednesday afternoon.
All told, expect total rainfall in excess of 2 inches over a wide
swath of the region with some areas most likely topping 3 inches by
Wednesday morning.

This heavy rainfall will cause considerable ponding of water in low
lying and poorly drained areas. Sharp rises in area rivers and
streams will also occur with a number of rivers likely reaching
flood stage later today into Wednesday. The mild temperatures, along
with the substantial runoff into rivers, may also lead to some
degree of ice breakup which could potential exacerbate flooding in
localized spots.

CLIMATE...

Record high temperatures will be possible across much of southeast
Michigan today. Here is a look at record high temperatures for
Tuesday, February 20th:

Detroit     63 (2016)
Flint       61 (1930)
Saginaw     62 (1930)

With the high moisture content, there is also a good chance to break
the records for warmest lows February 20th:

Detroit     47 (1930)
Flint       45 (1930)
Saginaw     46 (1930)

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for MIZ047>049-053>055-
     060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083.

Lake Huron...NONE.
Lake St Clair...NONE.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...NONE.
&&

AVIATION.....DG
DISCUSSION...DRK
MARINE.......DG
HYDROLOGY....DG
CLIMATE......DRK

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 20, 4:05 AM EST, 6 hours 25 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
405 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-211000-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-
St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
405 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A flood watch is in effect today and tonight. See the latest flood
watch statement for additional detail.

There will be a chance of thunderstorms today and tonight as a low
pressure system moves through ahead of a slowly advancing cold front.
These storms are not expected to be severe.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A flood watch is in effect through Wednesday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-211000-
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond 5NM
off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off shore-
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw
Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
405 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Huron and Lake St Clair.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There will be a chance of thunderstorms today and tonight as a low
pressure system moves through ahead of a slowly advancing cold front.
These storms are not expected to be severe.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.

DRK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 20, 7:53 AM EST, 2 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
753 AM EST TUE FEB 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DEARBORN                42.31N 83.21W
02/20/2018  M1.40 INCH       WAYNE              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0500 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ENE ROSEVILLE         42.51N 82.92W
02/20/2018  M1.06 INCH       Macomb             MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0515 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MANCHESTER              42.15N 84.04W
02/20/2018  M1.45 INCH       WASHTENAW          MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0630 AM     HEAVY RAIN       OIL CITY                43.61N 84.59W
02/20/2018  M1.13 INCH       Midland            MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0658 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ANN ARBOR               42.28N 83.73W
02/20/2018  M1.41 INCH       WASHTENAW          MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SW BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHI 42.54N 83.30W
02/20/2018  M1.28 INCH       Oakland            MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SSW CANTON            42.24N 83.53W
02/20/2018  M1.39 INCH       Wayne              MI   ASOS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL MEASURED AT WILLOW RUN AIRPORT.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ROMULUS                 42.22N 83.37W
02/20/2018  M1.42 INCH       Wayne              MI   ASOS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL MEASURED AT DETROIT METRO AIRPORT.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 NNE DOWNTOWN DETROIT  42.41N 83.01W
02/20/2018  M1.18 INCH       Wayne              MI   ASOS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL MEASURED AT DETROIT CITY AIRPORT.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SSE SHELBY TOWNSHIP     42.67N 83.03W
02/20/2018  M1.20 INCH       Macomb             MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       OWOSSO                  43.00N 84.18W
02/20/2018  M1.09 INCH       SHIAWASSEE         MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

&&

TF
Local storm report, Feb 20, 9:28 AM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
928 AM EST TUE FEB 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 AM     HEAVY RAIN       TECUMSEH                42.01N 83.94W
02/20/2018  M1.02 INCH       LENAWEE            MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0653 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNE WIXOM             42.55N 83.52W
02/20/2018  M1.25 INCH       Oakland            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            20 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N WHITMORE LAKE       42.44N 83.75W
02/20/2018  M1.31 INCH       Livingston         MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SW SALINE             42.13N 83.84W
02/20/2018  M1.36 INCH       Washtenaw          MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WYANDOTTE               42.21N 83.16W
02/20/2018  M1.23 INCH       WAYNE              MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 WNW DURAND            42.95N 84.10W
02/20/2018  M1.20 INCH       Shiawassee         MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 E PINCKNEY            42.45N 83.85W
02/20/2018  M1.35 INCH       Livingston         MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BURT                    43.24N 83.91W
02/20/2018  M1.50 INCH       SAGINAW            MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            21 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0815 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WNW TIPTON            42.03N 84.10W
02/20/2018  M1.30 INCH       Lenawee            MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0820 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 W PORT HURON          42.99N 82.45W
02/20/2018  M1.01 INCH       St. Clair          MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0830 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WNW PLEASANT RIDGE      42.47N 83.14W
02/20/2018  M1.15 INCH       Oakland            MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0859 AM     HEAVY RAIN       OAKLEY                  43.14N 84.17W
02/20/2018  M1.40 INCH       SAGINAW            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            21 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SSE WATERFORD         42.62N 83.37W
02/20/2018  M1.37 INCH       Oakland            MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

&&

TF
Local storm report, Feb 20, 10:05 AM EST, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1005 AM EST TUE FEB 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GARDEN CITY             42.33N 83.33W
02/20/2018  M1.52 INCH       Wayne              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            33 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

1000 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSW CLARKSTON         42.71N 83.44W
02/20/2018  M1.34 INCH       Oakland            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            23 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

&&

TF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 10:30 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningDTXMacomb44 hr
Feb 20, 10:30 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningDTXWayne69 hr
Feb 20, 10:45 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningDTXSaginaw, Shiawassee7 days
Feb 20, 10:45 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningDTXGenesee5 days
Feb 20, 4:15 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningDTXGenesee, Saginaw57 hr
Feb 20, 4:15 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningDTXMidland, Saginaw3 days
Feb 20, 4:15 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningDTXGenesee37 hr
Feb 20, 4:15 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningDTXBay, Saginaw9 days
Feb 20, 4:15 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningDTXWashtenaw60 hr
Feb 20, 4:15 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningDTXOakland, Wayne33 hr
Feb 20, 6:41 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementDTXGenesee, Livingston, Shiawassee, Tuscola49 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.