Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Dodge City, KS

339 
WWUS53 KDDC 190359
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1059 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

KSC025-190409-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-180519T0430Z/
Clark KS-
1059 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN CLARK COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3718 9954 3740 9954 3772 9945 3771 9905
      3734 9901 3713 9941
TIME...MOT...LOC 0359Z 214DEG 34KT 3724 9942 

$$

KSC033-097-190430-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-180519T0430Z/
Kiowa KS-Comanche KS-
1059 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT
FOR KIOWA AND NORTHERN COMANCHE COUNTIES...

At 1059 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles northeast
of Protection, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Coldwater, Greensburg, Haviland, Protection, Mullinville, Wilmore,
Lake Coldwater and Belvidere.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3718 9954 3740 9954 3772 9945 3771 9905
      3734 9901 3713 9941
TIME...MOT...LOC 0359Z 214DEG 34KT 3724 9942 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

099 
WWUS53 KDDC 190417
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1117 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

KSC033-097-190430-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-180519T0430Z/
Kiowa KS-Comanche KS-
1117 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KIOWA AND NORTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTIES...

At 1117 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles southwest
of Belvidere, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Coldwater, Wilmore and Belvidere. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3726 9935 3743 9931 3753 9920 3761 9904
      3734 9901 3719 9929
TIME...MOT...LOC 0417Z 219DEG 46KT 3740 9916 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

903 
WWUS53 KDDC 190425
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1125 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

KSC033-097-190435-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-180519T0430Z/
Kiowa KS-Comanche KS-
1125 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KIOWA AND
NORTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1130 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail,
gusty winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3726 9935 3743 9931 3753 9920 3761 9904
      3734 9901 3719 9929
TIME...MOT...LOC 0425Z 219DEG 46KT 3747 9909 

$$

UMSCHEID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
716 PM CDT Fri May 18 2018

...Updated aviation discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 354 PM CDT Fri May 18 2018

Severe weather event getting ready to unfold across southwest
Kansas late this afternoon and evening. As of mid afternoon,
surface low pressure was centered over southeast Colorado near
KSPD. A stationary front/outflow boundary extended from the low
into west central and central Kansas. Farther south, a dryline was
becoming more pronounced from the low into the Texas Panhandle.

The atmosphere continues destabilize across the area this
afternoon per the SPC Mesoanalysis page. MUCAPE values are
increasing to 2000+ j/kg. In addition, 0-6 km shear has been
slowly ramping up to around 40 kts. A special 19z sounding from
KDDC is verifying this and is also showing a capping inversion at
700 mb which was a little more pronounced than the RAP13 soundings
were depicting it earlier today. Per recent runs of the HRRR/RAP
models, storms should develop along the front and dryline mainly
after 4 pm. Storms will initially be discreet with a greater
threat for large hail. Think there will be a window of opportunity
for a few storms developing along the old outflow boundary in
west central Kansas to become briefly tornadic given the enhanced
low level shear along and north of the boundary. The models have
been consistent in showing the storms growing upscale into a
convective line as they move out of far southwest Kansas and the
northeast Texas Panhandle early this evening with the severe
weather threat will switch from large hail to strong/damaging
winds as the storm cluster moves northeast.

Most of the thunderstorm activity will be moving out of central Kansas
around or after midnight. The HRRR has been hinting at storms redeveloping
over southwest Kansas later tonight. Not real confident this will happen
but it will have to be watched.

On Saturday the stationary front is progged to move into south central
Kansas as the remains of the upper low move out into far northwest Kansas.
A fairly cold airmass aloft related to the upper system will keep some
instability in place over the region. A stronger cold front is expected
to move southeast through western Kansas during the afternoon with
widely scattered thunderstorms developing along it. A few severe
storms could develop along the front over south central and parts
of southwest Kansas along the front, as well as some storms up along
I-70 under the colder air aloft.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 354 PM CDT Fri May 18 2018

The medium range models are showing another upper low developing over
the western states early next week. This will keep the central High
Plains under a general southwesterly flow aloft pattern through mid
week. The models show subtle disturbances moving out over the region
but the strength and timing of these features is uncertain. Forecast
Builder has some slight chance to chance pops through the week
which looks good for now. An upper level ridge builds over the
central CONUS later next week which should result in daytime high
temperatures back up into the 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 716 PM CDT Fri May 18 2018

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop and move
northeast across portions of southwest into central and south
central Kansas through this evening. The Dodge City and Hays
terminals will likely be the most impacted by these storms with
hail up to golf ball size and strong winds at Dodge City. Strong
thunderstorm wind gusts and heavy rain may the be main impacts at
Hays. Conditions should be improving across the area after 04-06z.
Some MVFR stratus could impact Hays and possibly Garden City later
tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  61  82  51  73 /  50  20  20  10
GCK  57  78  48  71 /  40  20  10  10
EHA  56  81  47  73 /  10  20  20  10
LBL  60  82  49  74 /  20  20  20  10
HYS  61  79  51  70 /  60  20  20  10
P28  66  91  57  78 /  40  20  40  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gerard
LONG TERM...Gerard
AVIATION...Gerard

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
319 AM CDT Fri May 18 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-190830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
319 AM CDT Fri May 18 2018 /219 AM MDT Fri May 18 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to severe storms are possible late this afternoon and
evening time frame along and east of dryline oriented north to
south along the Highway 83 corridor. The main threat will be large
hail up to baseball sized and damaging winds over 60 mph along
with a couple of tornados being possible. West of the dryline,
there will be significant fire weather with relative humidity
values about 17-18 percent and strong south winds gusting up to
35 mph.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Significant risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Severe weather threat will return Monday through Thursday with
large hail over two inches and damaging winds over 60 mph possible
during this time. Fire weather risk will be elevated Tuesday
through Thursday west of a dryline for the western counties where
relative humidity values will be around 20 percent and increased
south winds up to 25-30 mph.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  No hazards.

* Monday
  No hazards.

* Tuesday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Thursday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 4PM along and east of line
through the highway 83 corridor late this afternoon and evening.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
920 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0723 PM     HAIL             1 E INGALLS             37.83N 100.43W
05/18/2018  E1.50 INCH       GRAY               KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

JDF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
926 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0917 PM     TORNADO          13 NNE SYRACUSE         38.14N 101.62W
05/18/2018                   HAMILTON           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JRJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
938 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     TORNADO          20 NNE SYRACUSE         38.23N 101.58W
05/18/2018                   HAMILTON           KS   STORM CHASER

&&

JDF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1001 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     TORNADO          20 NNE SYRACUSE         38.23N 101.58W
05/18/2018                   HAMILTON           KS   STORM CHASER

0917 PM     TORNADO          13 NNE SYRACUSE         38.14N 101.62W
05/18/2018                   HAMILTON           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0905 PM     HAIL             2 E WAKEENEY            39.02N 99.84W
05/18/2018  E1.00 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

0855 PM     TORNADO          10 NE SYRACUSE          38.07N 101.62W
05/18/2018                   HAMILTON           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0855 PM     TORNADO          9 NNW KENDALL           38.06N 101.59W
05/18/2018                   HAMILTON           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0837 PM     HAIL             2 W FRIEND              38.26N 100.95W
05/18/2018  E1.00 INCH       FINNEY             KS   PUBLIC

0837 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W FRIEND              38.26N 100.95W
05/18/2018  E60 MPH          FINNEY             KS   PUBLIC

            55 TO 65 MPH WINDS.

0830 PM     HAIL             8 S ROZEL               38.07N 99.41W
05/18/2018  E1.75 INCH       EDWARDS            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0823 PM     HAIL             LAKIN                   37.94N 101.26W
05/18/2018  E1.00 INCH       KEARNY             KS   PUBLIC

0823 PM     TSTM WND GST     LAKIN                   37.94N 101.26W
05/18/2018  E70 MPH          KEARNY             KS   PUBLIC

0811 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KINSLEY                 37.92N 99.41W
05/18/2018                   EDWARDS            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TRAMPOLINE WAS BLOWN INTO WINDOW OF HOUSE.

0800 PM     HAIL             1 SSW GRIGSTON          38.47N 100.72W
05/18/2018  E1.00 INCH       SCOTT              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0758 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 SSE FRIEND            38.22N 100.88W
05/18/2018                   FINNEY             KS   PUBLIC

0757 PM     HAIL             3 E SHALLOW WATER       38.37N 100.85W
05/18/2018  E0.75 INCH       SCOTT              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ENE DODGE CITY        37.76N 100.0W
05/18/2018                   FORD               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOF BLOW OFF A BUILDING AT THE FORD CO
            SHERIFFS OFFICE COMPLEX.

0729 PM     TORNADO          2 E FRIEND              38.26N 100.88W
05/18/2018                   FINNEY             KS   STORM CHASER

            LANDSPOUT TORNADO.

0723 PM     HAIL             1 E INGALLS             37.83N 100.43W
05/18/2018  E1.50 INCH       GRAY               KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

0723 PM     HAIL             INGALLS                 37.83N 100.45W
05/18/2018  E1.75 INCH       GRAY               KS   PUBLIC

0722 PM     HAIL             INGALLS                 37.83N 100.45W
05/18/2018  E1.75 INCH       GRAY               KS   PUBLIC

0720 PM     HAIL             2 S CHARLESTON          37.84N 100.56W
05/18/2018  E1.00 INCH       GRAY               KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0719 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 E DODGE CITY          37.76N 99.97W
05/18/2018  M64 MPH          FORD               KS   ASOS

0658 PM     HAIL             LIBERAL                 37.04N 100.94W
05/18/2018  E1.50 INCH       SEWARD             KS   PUBLIC

0655 PM     HAIL             PLAINS CITY             37.26N 100.59W
05/18/2018  E1.50 INCH       MEADE              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0652 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 WNW PLAINS CITY       37.29N 100.65W
05/18/2018                   SEWARD             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT FROM SEWARD CO EM.

0647 PM     HAIL             KISMET                  37.21N 100.70W
05/18/2018  E0.88 INCH       SEWARD             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0645 PM     HAIL             9 NW ENGLEWOOD          37.14N 100.08W
05/18/2018  E1.00 INCH       CLARK              KS   PUBLIC

0645 PM     HAIL             KISMET                  37.20N 100.70W
05/18/2018  E1.00 INCH       SEWARD             KS   PUBLIC

0640 PM     HAIL             3 S KISMET              37.16N 100.70W
05/18/2018  E1.75 INCH       SEWARD             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PING PONG TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED.

0620 PM     HAIL             PLAINS CITY             37.26N 100.59W
05/18/2018  E1.50 INCH       MEADE              KS   PUBLIC

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1004 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

KSZ088-089-190400-
Clark KS-Comanche KS-
1004 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MEADE...NORTHWESTERN
COMANCHE AND CLARK COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...

At 1004 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 3
miles south of Acres, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ashland, Coldwater, Protection, Englewood, Sitka, Clark State Lake,
Lake Coldwater and Acres.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
south central and southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3700 10009 3702 10009 3745 10000 3731 9914
      3700 9976
TIME...MOT...LOC 0304Z 234DEG 23KT 3706 9987

UMSCHEID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1008 PM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     HAIL             8 NNW MONTEZUMA         37.71N 100.49W
05/18/2018  E2.00 INCH       GRAY               KS   PUBLIC

            GOLF BALL TO HEN EGG SIZE HAIL WAS
            PHOTOGRAPHED AT THIS LOCATION.

&&

MU